Free Picks: Service Plays for Thursday February, 2

DUNKEL INDEX

NCAAB

Oregon State at Colorado
The Buffaloes look to bounce back from a 77-60 loss to UCLA and build on their 10-1 ATS record in their last 11 games following an ATS defeat. Colorado is the pick (-3) according to Dunkel, which has the Buffaloes favored by 5 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Oregon State (-3)

Game 513-514: Duke at Virginia Tech (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Duke 70.230; Virginia Tech 68.000
Dunkel Line: Duke by 2; 137
Vegas Line: Duke by 4 1/2; 140 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Virginia Tech (+4 1/2); Under

Game 515-516: Nebraska at Northwestern (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Nebraska 61.173; Northwestern 65.211
Dunkel Line: Northwestern by 4; 129
Vegas Line: Northwestern by 7; 125 1/2
Dunkel Pick Nebraska (+7); Over

Game 517-518: Wright State at Butler (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Wright State 51.282; Butler 61.786
Dunkel Line: Butler by 10 1/2; 119
Vegas Line: Butler by 9; 115
Dunkel Pick: Butler (-9); Over

Game 519-520: James Madison at Old Dominion (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: James Madison 50.395; Old Dominion 63.308
Dunkel Line: Old Dominion by 13; 121
Vegas Line: Old Dominion by 10; 125
Dunkel Pick: Old Dominion (-10); Under

Game 521-522: Detroit at Valparaiso (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 57.867; Valparaiso 58.771
Dunkel Line: Valparaiso by 1; 140
Vegas Line: Valparaiso by 3; 143 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (+3); Under

Game 523-524: Youngstown State at Illinois-Chicago (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Youngstown State 52.713; Illinois-Chicago 52.446
Dunkel Line: Even; 135
Vegas Line: Youngstown State by 2; 130 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Illinois-Chicago (+2); Over

Game 525-526: UL-Monroe at Arkansas State (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UL-Monroe 40.954; Arkansas State 50.854
Dunkel Line: Arkansas State by 10; 127
Vegas Line: Arkansas State by 11 1/2; 122
Dunkel Pick: UL-Monroe (+11 1/2); Over

Game 527-528: Middle Tennessee State at North Texas (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Middle Tennessee State 63.671; North Texas 59.935
Dunkel Line: Middle Tennessee State by 3 1/2; 131
Vegas Line: Middle Tennessee State by 6; 133 1/2
Dunkel Pick: North Texas (+6); Under

Game 529-530: Denver at UL-Lafayette (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Denver 57.212; UL-Lafayette 56.385
Dunkel Line: Denver by 1; 132
Vegas Line: UL-Lafayette by 1; 127
Dunkel Pick: Denver (+1); Over

Game 531-532: Florida Atlantic at South Alabama (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Florida Atlantic 53.838; South Alabama 51.405
Dunkel Line: Florida Atlantic by 2 1/2; 120
Vegas Line: Florida Atlantic by 3; 124
Dunkel Pick: South Alabama (+3); Under

Game 533-534: Florida International at Troy (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Florida International 49.985; Troy 50.857
Dunkel Line: Troy by 1; 141
Vegas Line: Troy by 3; 139 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Florida International (+3); Over

Game 535-536: South Carolina at Florida (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: South Carolina 58.216; Florida 74.458
Dunkel Line: Florida by 16; 130
Vegas Line: Florida by 14 1/2; 135
Dunkel Pick: Florida (-14 1/2); Under

Game 537-538: UCLA at Washington (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UCLA 66.436; Washington 67.510
Dunkel Line: Washington by 1; 146
Vegas Line: Washington by 4; 141 1/2
Dunkel Pick: UCLA (+4); Over

Game 539-540: Oregon at Utah (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oregon 60.617; Utah 53.105
Dunkel Line: Oregon by 7 1/2; 122
Vegas Line: Oregon by 10; 126 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Utah (+10); Under

Game 541-542: Oregon State at Colorado (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oregon State 60.478; Colorado 66.104
Dunkel Line: Colorado by 5 1/2; 143
Vegas Line: Colorado by 3; 146 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (-3); Under

Game 543-544: Arizona at California (11:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona 65.805; California 71.433
Dunkel Line: California by 5 1/2; 138
Vegas Line: California by 7 1/2; 131 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (+7 1/2); Over

Game 545-546: USC at Washington State (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: USC 53.790; Washington State 61.230
Dunkel Line: Washington State by 7 1/2; 116
Vegas Line: Washington State by 7; 120
Dunkel Pick: Washington State (-7); Under

Game 547-548: San Diego at St. Mary's (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego 51.870; St. Mary's 70.543
Dunkel Line: St. Mary's by 18 1/2; 144
Vegas Line: St. Mary's by 20 1/2; 140 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (+20 1/2); Over

Game 549-550: Portland at Santa Clara (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Portland 46.307; Santa Clara 54.735
Dunkel Line: Santa Clara by 8 1/2; 148
Vegas Line: Santa Clara by 5; 145 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Santa Clara (-5); Over

Game 551-552: Utah State at Nevada (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Utah State 56.403; Nevada 66.469
Dunkel Line: Nevada by 10; 127
Vegas Line: Nevada by 8; 131 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Nevada (-8); Under

Game 553-554: Idaho at Fresno State (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Idaho 54.654; Fresno State 57.650
Dunkel Line: Fresno State by 3; 125
Vegas Line: Fresno State by 4; 130
Dunkel Pick: Idaho (+4); Under

Game 555-556: UC-Santa Barbara at CS-Northridge (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UC-Santa Barbara 55.915; CS-Northridge 44.116
Dunkel Line: UC-Santa Barbara by 12; 145
Vegas Line: UC-Santa Barbara by 8 1/2; 139 1/2
Dunkel Pick: UC-Santa Barbara (-8 1/2); Over

Game 557-558: Cal Poly at CS-Fullerton (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cal Poly 55.191; CS-Fullerton 55.320
Dunkel Line: Even; 133
Vegas Line: CS-Fullerton by 2 1/2; 131 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cal Poly (+2 1/2); Over

Game 559-560: Arizona State at Stanford (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona State 50.761; Stanford 67.444
Dunkel Line: Stanford by 16 1/2; 122
Vegas Line: Stanford by 14; 126
Dunkel Pick: Stanford (-14); Under

Game 561-562: UC-Davis at UC-Irvine (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UC-Davis 38.961; UC-Irvine 54.966
Dunkel Line: UC-Irvine by 16; 144
Vegas Line: UC-Irvine by 11; 138 1/2
Dunkel Pick: UC-Irvine (-11); Over

Game 563-564: Pepperdine at Loyola Marymount (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pepperdine 49.656; Loyola Marymount 57.647
Dunkel Line: Loyola Marymount by 8; 120
Vegas Line: Loyola Marymount by 10; 123
Dunkel Pick: Pepperdine (+10); Under

Game 565-566: Gonzaga at BYU (11:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Gonzaga 63.436; BYU 68.124
Dunkel Line: BYU by 4 1/2; 151
Vegas Line: BYU by 3; 147 1/2
Dunkel Pick: BYU (-3); Over

Game 567-568: Pacific at UC-Riverside (11:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pacific 52.012; UC-Riverside 53.366
Dunkel Line: UC-Riverside by 1 1/2; 115
Vegas Line: UC-Riverside by 4; 120 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Pacific (+4); Under

Game 569-570: Canisius at Iona (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Canisius 39.754; Iona 60.869
Dunkel Line: Iona by 21; 155
Vegas Line: Iona by 24 1/2; 148 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Canisius (+24 1/2); Over

Game 571-572: College of Charleston at Elon (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: College of Charleston 51.180; Elon 49.673
Dunkel Line: College of Charleston by 1 1/2; 133
Vegas Line: College of Charleston by 4; 139
Dunkel Pick: Elon (+4); Under

Game 573-574: Chattanooga at Western Carolina (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Chattanooga 47.385; Western Carolina 48.233
Dunkel Line: Western Carolina by 1; 141
Vegas Line: Western Carolina by 3; 138
Dunkel Pick: Chattanooga (+3); Over

Game 575-576: Samford at Appalachian State (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Samford 46.820; Appalachian State 50.985
Dunkel Line: Appalachian State by 4; 130
Vegas Line: Appalachian State by 7 1/2; 133
Dunkel Pick: Samford (+7 1/2); Under

Game 577-578: The Citadel at NC-Greensboro (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: The Citadel 40.669; NC-Greensboro 52.994
Dunkel Line: NC-Greensboro by 12 1/2; 146
Vegas Line: NC-Greensboro by 10; 140
Dunkel Pick: NC-Greensboro (-10); Over

Game 579-580: Jacksonville State at Tennessee-Martin (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Jacksonville State 46.231; Tennessee-Martin 43.009
Dunkel Line: Jacksonville State by 3; 121
Vegas Line: Jacksonville State by 5; 125
Dunkel Pick: Tennessee-Martin (+5); Under

Game 581-582: Tennessee Tech at Austin Peay (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tennessee Tech 50.549; Austin Peay 54.194
Dunkel Line: Austin Peay by 3 1/2; 152
Vegas Line: Austin Peay by 2 1/2; 147 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Austin Peay (-2 1/2); Over

Game 583-584: SE Missouri State at Murray State (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: SE Missouri State 48.685; Murray State 65.782
Dunkel Line: Murray State by 17; 134
Vegas Line: Murray State by 14 1/2; 140 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Murray State (-14 1/2); Under

Game 585-586: Morehead State at SIU-Edwardsville (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Morehead State 50.746; SIU-Edwardsville 45.639
Dunkel Line: Morehead State by 5; 133
Vegas Line: Morehead State by 6 1/2; 130
Dunkel Pick: SIU-Edwardsville (+6 1/2); Over

Game 587-588: Eastern Kentucky at Eastern Illinois (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Eastern Kentucky 46.084; Eastern Illinois 45.267
Dunkel Line: Eastern Kentucky by 1; 122
Vegas Line: Eastern Illinois by 2; 127
Dunkel Pick: Eastern Kentucky (+2); Under

Game 589-590: Marist at Manhattan (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Marist 44.427; Manhattan 58.839
Dunkel Line: Manhattan by 14 1/2; 135
Vegas Line: Manhattan by 16; 139
Dunkel Pick: Marist (+16); Under

Game 591-592: Eastern Washington at Northern Arizona (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Eastern Washington 50.517; Northern Arizona 41.302
Dunkel Line: Eastern Washington by 9; 138
Vegas Line: Eastern Washington by 6 1/2; 135
Dunkel Pick: Eastern Washington (-6 1/2); Over

Game 593-594: Portland State at Weber State (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Portland State 49.647; Weber State 59.467
Dunkel Line: Weber State by 10; 148
Vegas Line: Weber State by 11; 153 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Portland State (+11); Under

Game 595-596: Sacramento State at Northern Colorado (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Sacramento State 41.068; Northern Colorado 49.282
Dunkel Line: Northern Colorado by 8; 141
Vegas Line: Northern Colorado by 6 1/2; 138
Dunkel Pick: Northern Colorado (-6 1/2); Over

Game 597-598: Idaho State at Montana State (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Idaho State 47.253; Montana State 50.567
Dunkel Line: Montana State by 3 1/2; 140
Vegas Line: Montana State by 4 1/2; 135 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Idaho State (+4 1/2); Over

Game 601-602: IPFW at Western Illinois (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: IPFW 45.579; Western Illinois 53.875
Dunkel Line: Western Illinois by 8 1/2; 118
Vegas Line: Western Illinois by 7 1/2; 123 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Western Illinois (-7 1/2); Under

Game 603-604: Oral Roberts at South Dakota State (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oral Roberts 64.775; South Dakota State 67.460
Dunkel Line: South Dakota State by 2 1/2; 156
Vegas Line: South Dakota State by 3; 149
Dunkel Pick: Oral Roberts (+3); Over

Game 605-606: Southern Utah at North Dakota State (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Southern Utah 50.361; North Dakota State 63.243
Dunkel Line: North Dakota State by 13; 127
Vegas Line: North Dakota State by 11; 131
Dunkel Pick: North Dakota State (-11); Under

Sam Martin

Gonzaga at BYU
Prediction: BYU

Gonzaga may be the bigger name in this matchup at BYU, but the Cougars are the better team and we look for them to prove it tonight. Gonzaga is not the same team as in year's past, and their scoring can't match up with BYU's 84 ppg average here on their home court. BYU lined up as a small favorite last year and crushed the Zags in an 89-67 win. We're not calling for a 20+ point victory here, but we do think BYU wins this game comfortably!

Marc Lawrence

Memphis Grizzlies at Atlanta Hawks
Prediction: Atlanta Hawks

Well, if you think that the Hawks can handle the Grizzlies SU for the ninth time in 10 tries – including all five in this building – then you have to lay the points tonight in Atlanta. That’s because, as of press time, the surging Grizz are a non-exerting 0-7 ATS in their seven SU losses this season. It also doesn’t hurt that Lionel Hollins’ horses are coming off a revenger against the Nuggets with a same-season double-revenge match against the Thunder looming in Oklahoma City tomorrow night. Memphis’ 0-4 ATS mark on the road before battling Durant and company also doesn’t bode well for a Grizzlies’ group that is 5-15-1 ATS in this series since 2001. No doubt the Grizz has turned it around after a sluggish 3-6 start, but Philips Arena has never been kind to them (3-13 SU, 5-11 ATS lifetime) and with the Hawks already 8-1 SU at home this season (only loss to Miami), don’t expect a warm welcome tonight. Who says we don’t play favorites? An easy lay. We recommend a 1-unit play on Atlanta.

Sean Murphy

Oral Roberts @ South Dakota St
PICK: Over 149

This has been a high-scoring series since the start of last season, with all three meetings reaching at least 150 total points.

There's little reason to expect anything different on Thursday, as both sides are extremely confident, and rolling offensively.

Oral Roberts is a perfect 12-0 in conference play, and hasn't lost a game since December 15th at Gonzaga. Over their last five games, the Golden Eagles have reached a whole new level offensively, averaging 82.6 points per game on 53.6% shooting.

This is certainly a matchup they can handle, having already scored 97 points in a winning effort against South Dakota State back on January 7th.

The Jackrabbits will obviously be jacked up for this matchup, as they've dropped four consecutive matchups in the series. Note that they're a perfect 8-0 SU at home this season, where they average a whopping 85.8 ppg on 51.5% shooting.

While South Dakota State hasn't managed to win much in this series lately, the Jackrabbits have produced offensively, putting up 82, 73, and 75 points in three meetings going back to last season.

Both teams want to play at a fast pace, and should be able to do that again tonight. Note that we saw 115 shot attempts in their first meeting this season. Rebounding is key when it comes to getting out in transition, and both of these squads can 'board with the best of them.

This could turn out to be a 'first to 80 wins' type of game. Barring an off-night shooting, I'm confident that the pace alone can help get this one into the 150s.

Matt Fargo

UCLA vs. Washington
Play: Washington -3½

Matt went a STAGGERING 85-47-3 (64.4%) in January and he has already gotten February off to a MONSTER start as he went a SWEET 4-1 Wednesday! He has another big night planned for Thursday as he extends his BLAZING 64-40-4 (61.5%) CBB run, his AWESOME 11-2 (84.6%) NBA run as well as his INSANE 26-6 (81.3%) NHL run!

Washington picked up a big win in Arizona last Saturday to improve to 7-2 in the Pac 12 and remain tied with California for first place. The Huskies have won three straight games after suffering a three-point home loss to the Golden Bears and with that being the only meeting with them this season, all of the other games become that much more important. That certainly includes this one and with USC on deck for Saturday, the Huskies full focus will be on the Bruins.

UCLA is on a two-game winning streak to move a game over .500 in the Pac 12 and it has been a case of winning at home and losing on the road. The Bruins are a perfect 4-0 at home in conference play but just 1-4 on the road and that only victory on the highway came at 1-8 USC. This team has improved after a very rough start but it is nowhere near the team a lot people thought they were going to be. A couple blowout wins should give them confidence but winning here will be a tall order.

The Huskies are 11-2 at home with the only other loss besides California coming against South Dakota St. which is still a head-scratcher. They have lost only twice since then and because of this, they are reestablishing themselves as an NCAA Tournament bubble team. Washington is lacking quality wins and even though UCLA is down, this would still qualify as a good one. Even more important, it would avoid a possible non-quality loss should UCLA fall apart down the stretch.

Washington can accomplish something that has not happened in a long time in this series. The Huskies have won three straight meetings and a win would make it four straight wins over UCLA since the inception of the series back in 1952. Washington has covered seven of the last nine in this series and has gone 5-2 ATS in its last seven games against teams with a winning record. The Bruins meanwhile are 1-6 ATS in their last seven road games against teams with a winning home record.

Rob Vinciletti

Detroit vs. Valparaiso
Play: Valparaiso -3

Valpo has won 7 of 10 vs losing teams and 8 of 11 Conference games this season. In games after allowing 60 or less they are 5-2. They have won 4 of the last 5 here in the series and have a much better RPI Ranking at 113 than Detroit does at 219. Detroit is just 2-9 with home loss revenge and have dropped 8 of 9 vs winning teams. Finally Detroit is 1-3 with 5 or 6 days rest. Look for Valparaiso to get the cover here tonight.

Freddy Wills

Duke vs. Virginia Tech
Play: Duke -4

Yesterday we had a similar play but out of the Big Ten with Michigan covering the 4 point spread. This time we are on Duke covering the points. I do not like road favorites in conference games usually, but I think this is a unique spot despite Virginia Tech playing plenty of defense. First of all Duke would like to have a little revenge after losing here last year. Also they need to get the bad taste out of their mouth from their game on Saturday in which they nearly blew a 20 point lead. Mike Krzyzewski was furious and even stated, “To me that was a loss.” His team should be motivated against a Virginia Tech team that plays defense but has serious scoring droughts. To me Tech is just an average team going 3-13-1 ATS in their last 17 vs. winning teams with a win% over .600. Both teams are different than they were last year but Duke clearly has more talent. Look for Seth Curry to regain his shooting touch.

Joseph D'Amico

Portland Trail Blazers vs. Sacramento Kings
Play: Portland Trail Blazers -3

Portland has already won and covered both meetings over Sacramento this season, by a combined 34 points. Aldridge, Wallace, Crawford, Matthews, and Felton are all in DDs while Aldridge and Wallace have been terrorizing opponents on the glass for a combined 15.5 RPG. Sacto is 6-15, managing to cover only 2 of their 15 losses. The Kings defense is paper-thin, allowing 100 plus points 12 times so far. Things are likely to worsen as Forward, Chuck Hayes is doubtful and 2nd leading-scorer, Marcus Thornton is still out. The Blazers are 5-0 ATS their L5 games played at the Kings, 4-1 ATS their L5 games played as a favorite, and 14-5-1 ATS their L20 games played vs. teams with a winning percentage under .400. The Kings are 6-13 ATS their L19 games played as a 'dog, 1-6 ATS their L7 games played vs. the NBA North West, and 4-10 ATS their L14 games played against teams with a winning record. Take Portland.

Jack Jones

Fresno State -4

The Fresno State Bulldogs are in a classic revenge spot tonight. The first meeting of the season between Fresno and Idaho was won by the Vandals at home 63-59. I believe the Bulldogs will return the favor Thursday with a 4-plus point victory.

Fresno comes in very battle-tested after a grueling 3-game road trip against Nevada, Louisiana Tech and New Mexico State. They went 0-3 on that trip, but two of their three losses were decided by a combined 5 points. The Bulldogs were an underdog in all three games.

Fresno is a much better team than their 9-14 record would indicate. This squad has played a very tough schedule with 15 road games compared to only 8 home contests. They have taken advantage at home, going 6-2 while outscoring opponents by 9.5 points/game.

The Bulldogs are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games. Fresno is 9-2 ATS after playing a road game this season. The Bulldogs are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games as a favorite of 0.5-6.5. Fresno is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games following three or more consecutive road games. Bet Fresno State Thursday.

Jim Feist

Utah State vs Nevada
Pick: Utah State

Utah State has won 19 of its last 30 road games dating back to the 2009-10 season and is 97-79 (.551) in road games under head coach Stew Morrill. They come off two blowout WAC wins over Hawaii and San Jose and this is a rematch of a 78-71 game Nevada won at Utah State 3 weeks ago. Utah State shot 50% and while the Aggies never led in the contest, it was close all the way and with the score 54-53, botched two chances to take the lead. The Aggies are 10-2 ATS in the last 12 meetings and 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings in Nevada. Play Utah State.

Dave Cokin

Oregon State vs Colorado
Pick: Colorado

We're seeing PAC-12 roadies having lots of trouble as they hit the Boulder altitude for the first time, so that's strike one for Oregon State tonight. Strike two is that the Beavers don't play much defense and that can be a killer on the road. Strike three is the potential letdown for OSU off the thrilling come from behind win over rival Oregon. I'll go with Colorado to notch the win and cover.

Free NBA Release for 2/2: Portland -3 over Sacramento. The Trail Blazers are showing excellent value as a small favorite in Sacramento tonight, where they have won in their last four visits by an average margin of 9 points/game. This line would be higher if Portland had a better road record this year, but they don't....yet. The Trail Blazers are 10-1 at home but just 3-8 on the road so far. We suspect they will take advantage of a soft Sacramento Kings defense allowing 108 points/game over their last five, as they look to improve their record on the road. Portland is 14-5-1 ATS in their last 20 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400, and 6-1 ATS in their last 7 meetings with Sacramento (including 2-0 ATS this year). Sacramento is just 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games as a home dog, and 2-5 ATS in their last 7 after covering their last time out. We'll take the better team in tonights matchup, Portland Trail Blazers -3. Our Free Plays are now 157-81-1 overall and 13-1 over their last 14! Sign up today to receive all of our free releases via email at iseewinners.com. Thank you and good luck.

Jeff Scott Sports

3 UNIT PLAYS

Atlanta/ Memphis Over 184: Memphis comes in struggling a bit on offense as they have averaged just 86.4 ppg in their last 5 games, but I feel they are due to breakout a bit in this one. Atlanta has allowed 92 points or more in 4 of their last 6 game and they do allow 92.2 ppg and I feel that the Grizzlies should be good for at least 92 points in this one. Atlanta has been a very so,id team on offense this year as they have averaged 97.6 ppg on 45.6% shooting, while at home they have averaged 103.8 ppg on 46.7% shooting. The Hawks are also a very good 3pt shooting teams as they have hit 40.4 % of their long range shots overall and 38.8% of them at home. Neither team is great from the line, but if both teams hit their percentages we should be fine. This is a low OU line for an Atlanta home game where 196 ppg have been scored and i would expect this one to hit 190 or higher.

POWER ANGLE PLAY

New Orleans/ San Antonio Over 183.5: Like the Grizzlies above, the Hornets have had problems scoring this year as they have averaged just 88.1 ppg on the year, but they have picked it up a bit of late as they have averaged 92.6 ppg in their last 6 games and 99 ppg in their last 2 games. Now in a game with an OU line of 183.5 and where the Spurs are expected to win, if the Hornets hit 92 points in this one, then this will be an easy over. It won't be that easy to hit though as the Spurs have allowed just 89.6 ppg at home and 87 ppg in their last 5 games overall, but the Hornets did put up 102 points on them in their last game, so i feel that the Hornets should at least hit 90 points in this one. The Spurs on offense have been pushing the ball a bit more this year and it has resulted in 97 ppg overall, including 101.8 ppg at home and they should be able to score plenty on a Hornets team that has allowed 95.4 ppg on the road and 98.2 ppg on a whopping 49% shooting their last 5 overall. Even if the Hornets are held to around 89 or 90 points, i have to believe that the Spurs are good for at least 95 points and that will still get us the OVER here. POWER ANGLE FOR THIS PLAY--- Play Over in all games where the total is between 180 and 189.5 points and the road team is a poor offensive team (88-92 PPG) off a game where the combined score was 205 or higher, vs an average defensive team (92-98 PPG). This play is 43-16 since 1996.

Utah/ Golden State Over 194.5: I sense a pattern here LOL. Utah games have been a bit high scoring of last as their last 6 games have averaged 203.8 ppg. The Jazz have been excellent at the Offensive end of late as they have hit the century mark in 7 of their last 10 games, while scoring an average of 102.1 ppg over that stretch. Now they get to face a Golden State team that has allowed 99.2 ppg overall and 98.3 ppg at home The Warriors on offense have averaged 96.2 ppg overall, while in their last 3 (all at home) that number has jumped to 101 ppg. Utah has not played great defense on the road this year, where they have allowed 102.7 ppg, while they have also allowed 103.2 ppg in their last 5 overall. Both teams have their offenses clicking a bit right now and that should translate in about 200 points or more in this one. KEY TRENDS--- UTAH is 25-12 OVER in a road game where the total is between 190 and 199.5 points over the last 3 seasons, while GOLDEN STATE is 17-5 OVER in home games off a close home win by 3 points or less since 1996.

2 UNIT PLAY

Portland -3.5 over SACRAMENTO: The Kings are not a good team and while Portland has struggled on the road this year, they are the better team and should be able to win this one with ease. Let's also Play against home teams shooting =46% on the season against opponent after game where they allowed a shooting pct. of 35% or less. This play is 24-5 since 1996.

SPORTS WAGERS

Nashville +108 over PHILADELPHIA

Since Dec 17, the Flyers are just 9-10. They were laboring before the break and they lost at home to the Jets, 2-1 in their first game back after the All Star game. Philly has several injuries to key personnel that include both James Van Riemsdyk and Daniel Briere. Another issue is goaltending. It seems like every goaltender the Flyers sign, draft or trade for ends up a bust. Ilya Bryzgalov was supposed to be the guy this time around but he's choking under the pressure of playing in a hot market, unlike his time spent in Phoenix and Anaheim. Meanwhile, the Preds have one of the league’s best puck stoppers in Pekka Rinne. They're also the hottest team in the league with five wins in a row, 10 wins in their past 11 and 13 wins in 15 games. They were flat off the break and trailed Minnesota 4-1 going to the third period on Tuesday. A furious rally ensued and the Preds extended their winning streak. Also note that the Preds have allowed two goals or less in nine of 11 while scoring four or more six times over that span. Sticking with the hot squad at price. Play: Nashville +108 (Risking 2 units).

Minnesota +122 over COLORADO

The Wild blew a 4-1 third period lead in first game off the break against the Preds and while they didn't even pick up a point, they still had the hottest team in the league on the ropes. That is something they can take to the dressing room and apply to this game in much the same way the Maple Leafs did last night when they responded to the same situation by beating Pittsburgh. The Avalanche are not the Penguins either. This is a young Avs team that could be very fragile after three straight losses to beatable teams including a loss to Edmonton in their first game back after the break. Colorado has just two wins (Florida and Dallas) in its past 10 games and they're just too flimsy right now to trust as the chalk. Backup goaltender J.S. Giguere is the confirmed starter. Play: Minnesota +122 (Risking 2 units).

Montreal +133 over NEW JERSEY

The New Jersey Devils are much more appealing as the dog than they are in the favorite's roll and once again it's because of weak goaltending. GM Lou Lamoriello has openly stated that he's going to give Brodeur a heavy dose of playing time over the next few weeks in an attempt to get him sharper or perhaps to see whether or not he has to dip into the trade market to strengthen the team. Time will tell but what we do know is that the Devils have lost three of four and needed a goal in the final minute to prevent that losing streak from reaching four. Prior to the break, the Devils outshot Buffalo 28-14 and lost. They outshot Philly 31-20, Boston 31-25, Calgary 38-14 and lost all three. How can the Devils be trusted laying juice when every puck stop is a battle? Conversely, Carey Price is among the best goalies in the game. Montreal has recent wins over Detroit, Toronto and the Rangers. They also have two recent shootout losses to Ottawa and Pittsburgh. In other words, the Habs are playing with a bit of a swagger right now under new coach Randy Cunnyworth. Combine the Canadiens strong efforts with the goaltender mismatch and an upset is a distinct possibility. Play: Montreal +133 (Risking 2 units).