DUNKEL INDEX
NBA
Chicago at Denver
The Nuggets look to build on their 8-0 ATS record in their last 8 home games against teams with a winning road record. Denver is the pick according to Dunkel, which has the Nuggets favored by 9. Dunkel Pick: Denver.
Game 501-502: LA Lakers at Boston (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Lakers 119.725; Boston 121.832
Dunkel Line & Total: Boston by 2; 190
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
Game 503-504: Chicago at Denver (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 118.894; Denver 127.832
Dunkel Line & Total: Denver by 9; 205
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
NHL
Carolina at Ottawa
The Hurricanes look to build on their 13-3 record in their last 16 games versus Northeast Division opponents. Carolina is the pick (+115) according to Dunkel, which has the Hurricanes favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Carolina (+115)
Game 51-52: Calgary at Columbus (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Calgary 10.954; Columbus 10.598
Dunkel Line & Total: Calgary by 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Columbus (-145); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Calgary (+125); Over
Game 53-54: NY Islanders at NY Rangers (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Islanders 10.913; NY Rangers 11.327
Dunkel Line & Total: NY Rangers by 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: NY Rangers (-170); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Rangers (-170); Under
Game 55-56: Montreal at Buffalo (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Montreal 10.645; Buffalo 11.290
Dunkel Line & Total: Buffalo by 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Buffalo (-150); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Buffalo (-150); Under
Game 57-58: Washington at Pittsburgh (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 12.184; Pittsburgh 11.622
Dunkel Line & Total: Washington by 1/2; 6 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Pittsburgh (-210); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Washington (+175); Over
Game 59-60: Tampa Bay at New Jersey (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay 11.698; New Jersey 12.212
Dunkel Line & Total: New Jersey by 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: New Jersey (-130); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: New Jersey (-130); Over
Game 61-62: Florida at Philadelphia (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Florida 11.347; Philadelphia 10.653
Dunkel Line & Total: Florida by 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Philadelphia (-160); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Florida (+140); Over
Game 63-64: Carolina at Ottawa (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Carolina 12.370; Ottawa 11.590
Dunkel Line & Total: Carolina by 1; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Ottawa (-135); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Carolina (+115); Under
Game 65-66: Toronto at Winnipeg (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto 10.611; Winnipeg 11.493
Dunkel Line & Total: Winnipeg by 1; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Winnipeg (-150); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Winnipeg (-150); Over
Game 67-68: Los Angeles at Nashville (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Los Angeles 12.560; Nashville 12.185
Dunkel Line & Total: Los Angeles by 1/2; 5 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Nashville (-120); 5
Dunkel Pick: Los Angeles (+100); Over
Game 69-70: Detroit at St. Louis (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 10.270; St. Louis 10.698
Dunkel Line & Total: St. Louis by 1/2; 4 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: St. Louis (-170); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-170); Under
Game 71-72: Vancouver at Minnesota (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Vancouver 11.878; Minnesota 10.732
Dunkel Line & Total: Vancouver by 1; 5 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Vancouver (-115); 5
Dunkel Pick: Vancouver (-115); Over
Game 73-74: Chicago at Phoenix (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 11.254; Phoenix 12.264
Dunkel Line & Total: Phoenix by 1; 4
Vegas Line & Total: Chicago (-115); 5
Dunkel Pick: Phoenix (-105); Under
NCAAB
NC State at Duke
The Blue Devils look to take advantage of an NC State team that is coming off a 79-78 loss to Miami and is 3-7-1 ATS in its last 11 games following a SU defeat. Duke is the pick (-10 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Blue Devils favored by 12 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Duke (-10 1/2)
Game 505-506: Clemson at Virginia (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Clemson 60.987; Virginia 71.568
Dunkel Line: Virginia by 10 1/2; 115
Vegas Line: Virginia by 7 1/2; 111 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Virginia (-7 1/2); Over
Game 507-508: Florida Atlantic at Florida International (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Florida Atlantic 48.379; Florida International 56.822
Dunkel Line: Florida International by 6 1/2
Vegas Line: Florida International by 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Florida International (-5 1/2)
Game 509-510: Indiana at Illinois (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Indiana 73.942; Illinois 67.853
Dunkel Line: Indiana by 6; 144
Vegas Line: Indiana by 7 1/2; 149
Dunkel Pick: Illinois (+7 1/2); Under
Game 511-512: Old Dominion at Drexel (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Old Dominion 46.618; Drexel 57.801
Dunkel Line: Drexel by 11; 120
Vegas Line: Drexel by 13; 123
Dunkel Pick: Old Dominion (+13); Under
Game 513-514: Loyola-Chicago at Youngstown State (7:45 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Loyola-Chicago 52.926; Youngstown State 59.796
Dunkel Line: Youngstown State by 7
Vegas Line: Youngstown State by 4 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Youngstown State (-4 1/2)
Game 515-516: Arkansas State at Middle Tennessee State (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arkansas State 56.572 Middle Tennessee State 68.764
Dunkel Line: Middle Tennessee State by 12
Vegas Line: Middle Tennessee State by 11 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Middle Tennessee State (-11 1/2)
Game 517-518: Detroit at WI-Milwaukee (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 62.794; WI-Milwaukee 46.877
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 16
Vegas Line: Detroit by 13
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-13)
Game 519-520: Wright State at WI-Green Bay (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Wright State 53.821; WI-Green Bay 57.732
Dunkel Line: WI-Green Bay by 4
Vegas Line: WI-Green Bay by 7
Dunkel Pick: Wright State (+7)
Game 521-522: Troy at South Alabama (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Troy 47.981; South Alabama 57.364
Dunkel Line: South Alabama by 9 1/2
Vegas Line: South Alabama by 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: South Alabama (-6 1/2)
Game 523-524: Western Kentucky at North Texas (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Western Kentucky 51.055; North Texas 49.725
Dunkel Line: Western Kentucky by 1 1/2
Vegas Line: North Texas by 2 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Western Kentucky (+2 1/2)
Game 525-526: Texas State at TX-Arlington (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas State 48.807; TX-Arlington 58.399
Dunkel Line: TX-Arlington by 9 1/2
Vegas Line: TX-Arlington by 9
Dunkel Pick: TX-Arlington (-9)
Game 527-528: TX-San Antonio at Louisiana Tech (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: TX-San Antonio 47.999; Louisiana Tech 64.698
Dunkel Line: Louisiana Tech by 16 1/2
Vegas Line: Louisiana Tech by 13 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Louisiana Tech (-13 1/2)
Game 529-530: AR-Little Rock at UL-Monroe (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: AR-Little Rock 53.375; UL-Monroe 47.786
Dunkel Line: AR-Little Rock by 5 1/2
Vegas Line: AR-Little Rock by 4 1/2
Dunkel Pick: AR-Little Rock (-4 1/2)
Game 531-532: Washington at UCLA (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 61.739; UCLA 67.663
Dunkel Line: UCLA by 6; 145
Vegas Line: UCLA by 9; 149
Dunkel Pick: Washington (+9); Under
Game 533-534: Maryland at Virginia Tech (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Maryland 65.095; Virginia Tech 60.090
Dunkel Line: Maryland by 5
Vegas Line: Maryland by 4 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Maryland (-4 1/2)
Game 535-536: Missouri at Texas A&M (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Missouri 66.832; Texas A&M 62.395
Dunkel Line: Missouri by 4 1/2; 133
Vegas Line: Missouri by 2 1/2; 128
Dunkel Pick: Missouri (-2 1/2); Over
Game 537-538: NC State at Duke (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NC State 66.765; Duke 79.238
Dunkel Line: Duke by 12 1/2
Vegas Line: Duke by 10 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Duke (-10 1/2)
Game 539-540: Idaho at New Mexico State (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Idaho 50.931; New Mexico State 65.603
Dunkel Line: New Mexico State by 14 1/2
Vegas Line: New Mexico State by 9
Dunkel Pick: New Mexico State (-9)
Game 541-542: Seattle at Denver (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle 50.524; Denver 66.316
Dunkel Line: Denver by 16
Vegas Line: Denver by 17
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (+17)
Game 543-544: California at Arizona State (9:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: California 60.716; Arizona State 67.874
Dunkel Line: Arizona State by 7
Vegas Line: Arizona State by 3 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Arizona State (-3 1/2)
Game 545-546: UC-Davis at UC-Santa Barbara (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UC-Davis 50.259; UC-Santa Barbara 53.361
Dunkel Line: UC-Santa Barbara by 3
Vegas Line: UC-Santa Barbara by 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: UC-Davis (+5 1/2)
Game 547-548: Loyola Marymount at Portland (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Loyola Marymount 47.462; Portland 47.388
Dunkel Line: Even
Vegas Line: Portland by 2 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Loyola Marymount (+2 1/2)
Game 549-550: BYU at San Diego (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: BYU 65.176; San Diego 58.490
Dunkel Line: BYU by 6 1/2
Vegas Line: BYU by 8
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (+8)
Game 551-552: Colorado at Oregon (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado 63.619; Oregon 67.267
Dunkel Line: Oregon by 3 1/2; 133
Vegas Line: Oregon by 6 1/2; 136
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (+6 1/2); Under
Game 553-554: Pacific at Cal Poly (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pacific 56.628; Cal Poly 58.299
Dunkel Line: Cal Poly by 1 1/2
Vegas Line: Cal Poly by 1
Dunkel Pick: Cal Poly (-1)
Game 555-556: UC-Irvine at CS-Northridge (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UC-Irvine 54.679; CS-Northridge 52.884
Dunkel Line: UC-Irvine by 2
Vegas Line: CS-Northridge by 1
Dunkel Pick: UC-Irvine (+1)
Game 557-558: St. Mary's at Santa Clara (11:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Mary's 66.704; Santa Clara 67.721
Dunkel Line: Santa Clara by 1; 143
Vegas Line: St. Mary's by 2 1/2; 147 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Santa Clara (+2 1/2); Under
Game 559-560: Pepperdine at Gonzaga (11:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pepperdine 51.579; Gonzaga 75.635
Dunkel Line: Gonzaga by 24
Vegas Line: Gonzaga by 22 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Gonzaga (-22 1/2)
Game 561-562: Washington State at USC (11:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 59.199; USC 62.901
Dunkel Line: USC by 3 1/2
Vegas Line: USC by 5
Dunkel Pick: Washington State (+5)
Game 563-564: Long Beach State at Hawaii (12:00 a.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Long Beach State 57.464; Hawaii 53.756
Dunkel Line: Long Beach State by 3 1/2
Vegas Line: Hawaii by 2 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Long Beach State (+2 1/2)
Game 565-566: Elon at Wofford (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Elon 53.667; Wofford 48.467
Dunkel Line: Elon by 5
Vegas Line: Elon by 3
Dunkel Pick: Elon (-3)
Game 567-568: Canisius at Manhattan (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Canisius 57.761; Manhattan 56.032
Dunkel Line: Canisius by 1 1/2
Vegas Line: Canisius by 2 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Manhattan (+2 1/2)
Game 569-570: St. Peter's at Fairfield (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Peter's 44.122; Fairfield 55.469
Dunkel Line: Fairfield by 11 1/2
Vegas Line: Fairfield by 14
Dunkel Pick: St. Peter's (+14)
Game 571-572: Marist at Iona (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Marist 43.026; Iona 62.383
Dunkel Line: Iona by 19 1/2
Vegas Line: Iona by 16
Dunkel Pick: Iona (-16)
Game 573-574: The Citadel at Chattanooga (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: The Citadel 41.677; Chattanooga 48.485
Dunkel Line: Chattanooga by 7
Vegas Line: Chattanooga by 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chattanooga (-6 1/2)
Game 575-576: Western Carolina at Davidson (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Western Carolina 45.041; Davidson 63.205
Dunkel Line: Davidson by 18
Vegas Line: Davidson by 16 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Davidson (-16 1/2)
Game 577-578: North Dakota State at Oakland (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: North Dakota State 61.654; Oakland 54.959
Dunkel Line: North Dakota State by 6 1/2
Vegas Line: North Dakota State by 4 1/2
Dunkel Pick: North Dakota State (-4 1/2)
Game 579-580: South Dakota State at IPFW (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: South Dakota State 60.398; IPFW 53.375
Dunkel Line: South Dakota State by 7
Vegas Line: South Dakota State by 9
Dunkel Pick: IPFW (+9)
Game 581-582: Appalachian State at Georgia Southern (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Appalachian State 47.349; Georgia Southern 49.179
Dunkel Line: Georgia Southern by 2
Vegas Line: Georgia Southern by 3
Dunkel Pick: Appalachian State (+3)
Game 583-584: NC-Greensboro at Furman (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NC-Greensboro 44.818; Furman 44.489
Dunkel Line: Even
Vegas Line: Furman by 1
Dunkel Pick: NC-Greensboro (+1)
Game 585-586: Niagara at Rider (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Niagara 56.967; Rider 52.939
Dunkel Line: Niagara by 4
Vegas Line: Niagara by 2 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Niagara (-2 1/2)
Game 587-588: Belmont at Murray State (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Belmont 63.593; Murray State 60.421
Dunkel Line: Belmont by 3
Vegas Line: Belmont by 4
Dunkel Pick: Murray State (+4)
Game 589-590: Eastern Illinois at Tennessee-Martin (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Eastern Illinois 43.400; Tennessee-Martin 41.945
Dunkel Line: Eastern Illinois by 1 1/2
Vegas Line: Tennessee-Martin by 1 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Eastern Illinois (+1 1/2)
Game 591-592: Tennessee State at Austin Peay (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tennessee State 53.149; Austin Peay 43.007
Dunkel Line: Tennessee State by 10
Vegas Line: Tennessee State by 6
Dunkel Pick: Tennessee State (-6)
Game 593-594: NE-Omaha at Western Illinois (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NE-Omaha 44.273; Western Illinois 59.008
Dunkel Line: Western Illinois by 14 1/2
Vegas Line: Western Illinois by 16
Dunkel Pick: NE-Omaha (+16)
Game 595-596: College of Charleston at Samford (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: College of Charleston 54.040; Samford 48.922
Dunkel Line: College of Charleston by 5
Vegas Line: College of Charleston by 7
Dunkel Pick: Samford (+7)
Game 597-598: SIU-Edwardsville at SE Missouri State (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: SIU-Edwardsville 41.567; SE Missouri State 49.395
Dunkel Line: SE Missouri State by 8
Vegas Line: SE Missouri State by 6
Dunkel Pick: SE Missouri State (-6)
Game 599-600: Portland State at Northern Arizona (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Portland State 40.481; Northern Arizona 47.548
Dunkel Line: Northern Arizona by 7; 147
Vegas Line: Northern Arizona by 4; 142 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Northern Arizona (-4); Over
Game 601-602: Northern Colorado at Montana (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Northern Colorado 44.707; Montana 55.475
Dunkel Line: Montana by 11
Vegas Line: Montana by 12 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Northern Colorado (+12 1/2)
Game 603-604: North Dakota at Montana State (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: North Dakota 46.401; Montana State 49.464
Dunkel Line: Montana State by 3
Vegas Line: Montana State by 4 1/2
Dunkel Pick: North Dakota (+4 1/2)
Game 605-606: Southern Utah at Idaho State (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Southern Utah 46.172; Idaho State 46.310
Dunkel Line: Even
Vegas Line: Southern Utah by 2
Dunkel Pick: Idaho State (+2)
Game 607-608: Eastern Washington at Sacramento State (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Eastern Washington 40.146; Sacramento State 48.967
Dunkel Line: Sacramento State by 9
Vegas Line: Sacramento State by 7
Dunkel Pick: Sacramento State (-7)
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Washington vs. UCLAFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: WashingtonFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The gears are starting to grind a bit at UCLA, as a collection of frosh stars who all want their hands on the ball has caused Ben Howland to lose even more hair as the Bruins (have dropped 3 of their last 4 SU) begin to slide down the Big Dance seeding scale. As perplexing as Lorenzo Romar’s U-Dub has been (losers of 4 of last 5 SU, but have covered 7 of 9), the Huskies remain hard to beat by a margin, with their last six losses all by single-digits. UW broke its recent losing streak vs. Arizona State last Saturday, when Romar finally “let the dogs loose” in a 96-point explosion (the most since Feb. 2011 vs. Cal) after spending much of the season playing at a slower pace. Big points work tonight at Pauley Pavilion. Play Washington
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Detroit vs. Wis MilwaukeeFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: Wis MilwaukeeFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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We'll be the first to admit the Panthers have been practically clawless this season. However, after opening the season 2-9 ATS in their first eleven lined games, Milwaukee has rallied to cash six of its last ten contests. They have also been ultra reliable at home when playing off a previous home loss, going 19-3 SU and 16-3 ATS in this role when playing on three or more days of rest, including 11-1 ATS in conference clashes. With the Panthers returning home off an embarrassing 31-point loss, and the visiting Titans having cashed in only five of 14 tries as favorites this season, the points become the play here today. We recommend a 1-unit play on Wisconsin Milwaukee.
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Toronto vs. WinnipegFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: Toronto +1.5FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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What to expect: We're being asked to lay plenty of juice (as always) with the puck-line in this matchup, but I actually feel the line could be much higher. Winnipeg hasn't won a game by multiple goals since back on January 25th, and it needed an empty-netter to do so on that night. Tuesday's narrow 3-2 overtime win over Florida certainly didn't impress me all that much, and I believe the Jets will be in for another fight against the Leafs on Thursday. Toronto has suffered just one loss by more than a goal over its last five games, and is coming off a galvanizing 3-2 road win in Washington on Tuesday. The Leafs have been at their absolute best on the road this season, posting a solid 4-1 record. They split four meetings with the Jets last season, losing both games here in Winnipeg, but each of those losses came by a single goal. Note that the Jets continue to play without Dustin Byfuglien, and he isn't expected to return from a lower-body injury on Thursday night. The Jets have been scuffing along lately, and I don't see them busting out with a convincing win tonight. The Leafs continue to play a gritty style of hockey on the road, and get another solid effort between the pipes in a game that goes right down to the wire.
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NY Islanders vs. NY RangersFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: NY RangersFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The Isles are 4-4-1 and are coming off back to back losses, including a 4-2 setback to Pittsburgh on the 5th. It's interesting to note that the Isles are just 1-3 (-1.6 units) after allowing 4 goals or more this year.
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The Rangers are 4-5 and are coming off a lacklustre 3-1 setback at New Jersey on the 5th.
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Note though that the Rangers are 2-1 (+1.1 units) after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous contest this year.
So where's the value in this one?
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Both teams have been struggling of late, but the home side has a big opportunity to return to form against a club that it's enjoyed plenty of success against, going 10-3-1 in the last 14 in this series. The Rangers have in fact taken the last seven in front of the home town crowd, winning by a combined 31-10.
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Rangers' goaltender Henrik Lundqvist started six of those games, posting a 1.32 GAA, and three shutouts.
And that doesn't bode well for the Isles, who were 0 for 7 with the man advantage in each of their last two outings.
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Sometimes a favorite is a favorite for a reason, and in this case, I absolutely have no problem in recommending to lay the steeper price!
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Washington vs. UCLAFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: WashingtonFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The Huskies snapped a four game losing streak with a win over Arizona State on Saturday, and while they have lost four of their last five straight up, they have covered the spread in seven of their last nine overall. They have a record of 4-3 on the road this season, but all three of those losses were close, including a 57-53 loss at Arizona in their last game away from home.
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Washington is in California Thursday night, taking on a struggling UCLA team that has lost three of four. The Bruins lost at home to USC in overtime in their last game, getting out-rebounded 44-36, and hitting just 2-of-19 from beyond the arc. Shabazz Muhammad had 22 points in a losing effort, despite suffering from flu like symptoms, and receiving two liters of IV fluid before the game.
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The Bruins have failed to cover the points in each of their last three home games, and in five of their last seven overall. UCLA split their two games with the Huskies in 2012, winning at home by a score of 75-69, the six point margin of victory would not be enough to cover the spread in this game. Prior to that victory, the Huskies had won four straight meetings with UCLA dating back to 2010.
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Washington has been a good bet versus Pac-12 opponents, with a record of 7-2 ATS in their last nine games within the conference.
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It is my opinion that the Bruins are one of the more overrated teams in college basketball, and their poor performance against the spread this season seems to support that opinion. They are giving up quite a few points against a very good Huskies team, and I think Washington will keep it close, covering the number easily.
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Belmont vs. Murray State
Play: BelmontFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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Belmont has better RPI Numbers here going 7-2 vs teams ranked 51 to 100. Murray St is 1-3 vs top 100 teams and has failed to cover 6 of 7 at home and are 1-6 ats vs teams who play good defense and allow 65 or less points per game. Belmont is 10-0 in conference play this season and 27-7 after allowing 60 or less points in their last game. They have played the 60th toughest schedule in the country this season compared to Murray St. Who has played the 262nd toughest. Look for Belmont to get the win and Cover.
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California +3.5FOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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Bears + the short # as the Mike Montgomery .who we think is a strong leader will lead Bears will go into the Sun Devils palace and steal one..2 super back court motors with Crabbe/Cobbs will get the job done. These 2 junior guards are the highest scoring pair in the Pac-12 Conference with a super "33.7" ppg. Crabbe leads the Pac-12 and ranks 17th nationally at 19.4 points per game, while Cobbs ranks 12th in the conference at 14.3 points per contest. The pair has combined to score 709 of the total 1,430 points (49.6 %). The Road team is 16-5 ATS in the last 21 meetings. & the Underdog is 7-3 ATS in the last 10 meetings. Cal has a huge edge on D... Power rated @ a Pickem..Cal By 2 to 3 points
Jimmy BoydFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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Idaho +9½FOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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Idaho is a better team than their record indicates but they have had some bad breaks. They are 9-12 on the year but outscoring opponents by 0.6 ppg. New Mexico State is a good team, no doubt about it, but they are only outscoring conference opponents by 6.5 ppg for a 9-2 record.
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Idaho did lose earlier in the year at home to New Mexico State, but that was after getting out to a 42-27 halftime deficit. They battled back and I think they are going to carry that momentum into tonight's contest. New Mexico State has not only won nine in a row, but also six in a row at the pay window. Idaho on the other hand has lost four in a row against the spread. Oddsmakers have over-adjusted and now you get a matchup of one team being over-valued and the other under.
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Idaho is 7-1 ATS in the role of an underdog this year and 82-53 ATS on the road against conference opponents since 1997. New Mexico State is just 36-62 ATS after scoring 75 points or less in two straight games since 1997.
Alex SmartFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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NY Islanders +150FOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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Two long time NY Rivals the Isles and Rangers go head to head tonight in MSG. The Islanders despite of the line, must not be under estimated, especially with super star John Tavares in their lineup. When this kid is hot, he can control an entire game. The slick gritty center has 11 points on the season, but has still not began on one of his patented explosive streaks. At 3-1-1 on the road, only two Eastern Conference teams (New Jersey, Toronto) have more points than the Islanders' seven away from home. I know the Islanders have lost 7 straight at MSG, but all good and bad runs must eventually come to an end. Thats what Im betting happens tonight.
Jim Feist
North Carolina State vs Duke
Pick: Over
Revenge time for Duke! At least they hope as North Carolina State is in town after topping Duke, 84-76, four weeks ago. That game sailed over the total which is not a surprise as both offense are outstanding, loaded with talent and scoring options inside and out. Duke is on a 5-1 run over the total, while NC State is on a 3-1 run over. Defensive oriented Miami just hung 79 on the Wolfpack and Duke is off a blowout win over over Florida State scoring 79 and the Over is 13-3-1 in the last 17 meetings. between these foes Play Duke/NC State over the total.
Dave CokinFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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Indiana at IllinoisFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: IllinoisFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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Rough sledding for Illinois since the 12-0 start, and not the easiest opponent to stop the bleeding against. But if there's a spot for the Illini to jump up and spring an upset, this might be it. They'll at least get the tempo to their liking as Indiana loves to run. The Hoosiers are off Michigan and have a huge Sunday date at Ohio State, so the scheduling dynamics are there. I also have to think Illinois approaches this as a game they have to win if they're going to have any shot at all to get to March Madness. The Illini are 2-7 in conference play. They will have to win their four remaining league home games and will probably need at least one road win to maintain any hopes. I think a loss here pretty much ends it, so I'll look for the home team to pull out all the stops. The number is big enough so that Illinois really just needs to compete to have a good chance at covering. Let's give Illinois plus the points a play tonight.
AlatexFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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California at Arizona StateFREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Play: Arizona StateFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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Arizona State is the better team here and despite getting tons of backing in their last game at Washington, they might be priced cheaply here. They opened +5.5 at Washington and were bet all the way down to +3, losing the game 96-92 to the Huskies. It was not a great effort defensively for the Sun Devils as they trailed by double-digits most of the game while allowing Washington to hit 36 of 68 from the field. However, they never quit, and shot 37-58, 64% from the floor themselves in making a valiant comeback. They catch a Cal team off two home wins over Oregon and Oregon State, and one that is not as efficient on the road as they are at home. Cal is 2-3 SU and ATS on the road this year, and they lack the inside game to hurt the Sun Devils like Washington did. Arizona State is 4-1 SU at home this year, smashing UCLA by 18 in its last game on this court. Herb Sendek will shore up the defense after allowing 96 to Washington and the Sun Devils should get another home win.
WunderdogFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Arkansas State at Middle Tenn StateFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: Arkansas State +11FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Middle Tennessee State has now put together back-to-back 20-win seasons, as they are off to a 20-4 start to this season and are a perfect 11-0 at home. Last year they were denied an NCAA Tournament bid because they lost to this same Arkansas State team in the conference tournament. The Red Wolves have been a thorn for Middle Tennessee as they beat them again this year in a thrilling overtime 6-point win. The Red Wolves matchup well and certainly have the talent to hang in this one, and Arkansas St. has covered their last five vs. a winning team. The Blue Raiders have struggled vs. winning teams, now at 1-7 ATS in their last eight. Take Arkansas St.