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Free Picks: Service Plays for Thursday, January 28,2010

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SPORTS ADVISORS

COLLEGE BASKETBALL

(16) Wisconsin (16-4, 10-8 ATS) at (10) Purdue (16-3, 8-10-1 ATS)

The Boilermakers look to avenge a loss to Wisconsin from earlier this month when these Big Ten rivals clash once again, this time at Mackey Arena in West Lafayette, Ind.

The Badgers are coming off consecutive home wins over Michigan (54-48) and Penn State (79-71 in overtime, but they failed to cover in both games and are now in an 0-3 ATS freefall. Wisconsin is 6-2 (4-4 ATS) in conference play, but both losses came on the road at Ohio State (60-51 as a 5½-point underdog) and Michigan State (54-47 as a six-point pup). For the season, Bo Ryan’s squad is 12-0 at home (7-3 ATS) and 4-4 in road/neutral site games (3-5 ATS).

Purdue ripped off 14 straight wins to start the season, then stumbled at Wisconsin 73-66 as a 1½-point favorite on Jan. 9, which began an 0-3 SU and ATS slump. The Boilermakers righted themselves last week with consecutive wins over Illinois (84-78 as a five-point road chalk) and Michigan (69-59, failing as a 13½-point home favorite). Purdue has now failed to cover in seven of its last 10 games, going 2-5 ATS in Big Ten action. It is also 9-1 at Mackey Arena (3-5-1 ATS), outscoring visitors by 19 ppg (79-60).

Wisconsin’s seven-point win over Purdue earlier this month ended the Boilermakers’ 4-0 SU and 7-0 ATS run in this rivalry. The Badgers have lost three in a row in West Lafayette SU and ATS and they’re 1-6 ATS in their last seven trips to Purdue, including last year’s 65-52 setback as a six-point road underdog. That’s the only time in the last eight meetings that the favorite covered the spread in this series.

The Badgers are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games on Thursday, while Purdue is in pointspread ruts of 3-7 overall, 2-5 at home, 1-4 on Thursday, 1-4 against winning teams and 2-5 after a SU victory.

Wisconsin is riding “under” streaks of 9-2 overall, 10-1 on the highway, 6-1 on Thursday, 37-18 in Big Ten play and 38-17-1 after a SU victory. The under is also 4-1 in the last five Badgers-Boilermakers clashes at Purdue. However, these squads topped the total earlier this month in Madison, Wis., and Purdue is on “over” stretches of 4-1 overall (all in conference) and 6-2 on Thursday.

ATS ADVANTAGE: PURDUE

Wake Forest (14-4, 8-7 ATS) at (22) Georgia Tech (14-5, 10-4 ATS)

Wake Forest shoots for its third straight victory when it heads south to Alexander Memorial Coliseum for an ACC battle with the 22nd-ranked Yellow Jackets.

The Demon Deacons followed up an 82-69 road upset of North Carolina with Saturday’s 69-57 rout of Virginia as a 5½-point home chalk. Wake Forest has won 10 of its last 12 games (7-5 ATS), but both defeats came on the road in ACC play (90-70 at Duke and 67-66 at Miami, Fla.). The Deacons are still a respectable 5-3 SU and ATS on the highway this season.

Georgia Tech’s mini two-game win streak ended with Sunday’s 68-66 loss at Florida State, though it cashed as a five-point underdog for its third straight ATS triumph. The Yellow Jackets are 2-1 SU and ATS in conference home games, with the two wins over Duke and Clemson being by a total of six points. For the season, they’re 9-1 at Alexander Coliseum (4-1 ATS in lined games), putting up 75.7 ppg while yielding just 59.5.

Wake Forest snapped a three-game losing streak to Georgia Tech last year with an 87-69 victory as a 13½-point home favorite. The host is 8-1 in the last nine regular-season meetings (7-2 ATS), Georgia Tech is 5-1 ATS in the last six clashes in Atlanta and the SU winner has covered the spread in each of the last nine battles.

The Demon Deacons are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 on the highway going back to last season, but they’ve failed to cover in five straight games on Thursday. Georgia Tech is on pointspread tears of 4-1 overall, 5-1 at home, 8-2 in ACC play, 4-1 on Thursday, 5-0 after a SU defeat, 8-2 after a spread-cover and 4-1 versus winning teams.

The under is on runs of 4-1 for Wake on the road, 5-2 for Wake in ACC action, 4-1 for the Yellow Jackets overall, 5-1 for the Yellow Jackets at home and 6-1 for the Yellow Jackets against league foes. On the flip side, the last five meetings in this rivalry have gone over the posted total.

ATS ADVANTAGE: GEORGIA TECH

California (13-6, 9-9 ATS) at Arizona State (14-6, 7-9 ATS)

Arizona State hopes to get back on track after an ugly loss to instate rival Arizona as it welcomes the Golden Bears to Wells-Fargo Arena in Tempe for a Pac-10 contest.

Cal has won two in a row, four of five and seven of its last nine, but it barely snuck past lowly Oregon State on Saturday, winning 65-61 but falling way short as a hefty 15½-point home favorite. The Bears are 5-2 in Pac-10 games, but just 3-4 ATS, and they’ve split their first two conference roadies, winning at Washington State (93-88 as a four-point chalk) and losing at Washington (85-69 as a 2½-point pup).

The Sun Devils’ 4-0 SU and ATS winning streak went up in smoke on Saturday, as they got embarrassed by hated Arizona, losing 77-58 as an 11-point home favorite. The SU winner has covered the spread in each of Arizona State’s last eight lined games, including all seven conference contests. Despite that terrible showing against Arizona, the Sun Devils are still 11-2 at home (4-5 ATS), holding visiting teams to just 52.8 ppg.

These teams split their two-game series last year, with Cal rolling 81-71 as a 1½-point home underdog and the Sun Devils getting revenge 83-66 as a seven-point home favorite. Prior to last year, the visitor had been on an 8-0 SU and ATS roll in this rivalry. The visitor is still 13-3 ATS in the last 16 meetings – with Cal cashing in eight of its last nine trips to Tempe – and the ‘dog has covered in five of the last six. Finally, the SU winner has covered the spread in each of the last 10 head-to-head matchups.

Cal has failed to cover in seven of its last eight road games and nine of its last 13 Pac-10 contests, but it is 4-1 ATS in its last five after a non-cover. The Sun Devils are on ATS runs of 4-1 overall (all in the Pac-10 and all against winning teams) and 16-5 after a non-cover.

The Bears are on “over” streaks of 25-12 on the road, 36-17-1 in league play, 24-9 on Thursday, 45-18-1 after a SU victory and 9-0 against opponents with a winning record. Arizona State carries “over” trends of 13-4 after a double-digit home loss, 5-2 on Thursday and 12-2 versus winning teams. However, nine of the Sun Devils’ last 10 home games have stayed low.

Finally, these teams have topped the total in each of their last four meetings overall and six of their last seven clashes at Arizona State.

ATS ADVANTAGE: CAL and OVER

NBA

Boston (29-13, 17-25 ATS) at Orlando (29-16, 22-22-1 ATS)

Fresh off the heels of a three-game losing streak, the Celtics now look to make it three straight wins as they travel to Amway Arena to take on the Magic.

Boston lost three straight and five of seven (SU and ATS) through the middle of January but has rebounded to win back-to-back games at home, beating Portland 98-95 in overtime (but coming short as a 10½-point favorite), followed by Monday’s 95-89 win over the Clippers 95-89 (missing as an 11½-point chalk). The Celtics have failed to cash in five straight games, and they’ve been held to double-digits in scoring in all five.

Orlando had its three-game winning streak snapped in Memphis on Monday, losing 99-94 as a 1½-point road chalk. The Magic have been a much different team at home (16-4) than on the road (13-12), including winning three in a row (2-1 ATS) and nine of the last 11 at Amway Arena (6-5 ATS).

The road team has won three in a row in this series – all outright upsets – including Boston’s 86-77 Christmas Day victory in Florida, cashing in as a 5½-point road underdog. Back in November, the Magic went to Beantown and took an 85-78 win as quiet six-point underdogs. The Magic have cashed in three of the last four series clashes going back to last year’s Eastern Conference semifinal playoff series, with Orlando won in seven games.

Boston has failed to cash in four straight after a non-cover and it is just 3-7-1 ATS in its last 11 after getting two days off, however the Celtics are on positive ATS runs of 48-21-1 as road ‘dogs and 38-17-1 as a ‘dog anywhere. Orlando is 11-2 ATS in its last 13 against Atlantic Division teams, but it is on pointspread slides of 1-5 on Thursdays, 2-5 against the Eastern Conference and 1-4 as a home favorite of less than five points.

The Celtics are on several “under” runs, including 4-1 overall, 19-7 on Thursday, 10-4 against the Southeast Division and 5-2 as ‘dogs of five points or fewer. The Magic are on a plethora of “under” streaks, including 5-1 overall, 5-2 at home, 7-1 as a favorite, 26-8 after a non-cover, 14-3 on Thursday and 5-0 when they get two days off. Finally, the “under” has been the play in six straight series clashes overall, and six of seven meetings in Orlando.

ATS ADVANTAGE: UNDER

Dallas (30-15, 20-25 ATS) at Phoenix (26-21, 23-24 ATS)

The Mavericks head to US Airways Center in Phoenix to face the struggling Suns in this matchup of perennial Western Conference playoff powers.

Dallas has won four of its last five (2-3 ATS), including three of four on the highway (2-2 ATS). The Mavericks were home on Tuesday and edged the Bucks 108-107 but came up well short as 6½-point favorites. It was only the second time in their last 10 games the Mavs reached triple-digits in scoring

Phoenix has lost seven of nine (SU and ATS) overall, including Tuesday’s 114-109 overtime setback at home to the Bobcats, falling as a 5½-point favorite. The Suns haven’t been playing much defense lately, allowing 13 of the last 14 opponents to score more than 100 points. If the Suns don’t get huge numbers from Amare Stoudemire, they tend to struggle, as evidenced by their loss on Tuesday when Stoudemire managed just 12 points and five rebounds.

Dallas has won three straight (2-1 ATS) and five of six (4-2 ATS) in this rivalry, including a 102-101 home win back in December. However, the Mavs came up short as a 4½-point chalk in that contest, ending a nine-game stretch in which the SU had gone 8-0-1 ATS in this rivalry.

The Mavericks have cashed in four of five as underdogs, but they are on several negative ATS slides, including 2-7 overall, 5-21 on Thursday, 1-6 after a day off and 1-5 against Pacific Division squads. Phoenix has gotten the cash in seven of 10 against Southwest Division teams, but the Suns are in pointspread funks of 2-9 overall, 1-5 at home, 6-20 on Thursday and 1-6 as a favorite.

Dallas is on “under” runs of 7-0 on Thursday, 4-1 on the road and 4-1 against Pacific Division teams, but it is on “over” streaks of 12-4 as a road ‘dog and 4-1 against the Western Conference. Phoenix has stayed below the total in five of seven as a chalk and five of six at home, but it is on “over” runs of 10-2 against the Western Conference, 7-1 on Thursday and 4-0 against Southwest Division teams.

Finally, the “over” has been the play in four of the last five head-to-head meetings and five of the past six clashes in the desert.

ATS ADVANTAGE: NONE

 
Posted : January 28, 2010 8:09 am
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Nelly

Philadelphia + over LA Lakers

At first glance, most would peg the 76ers as one of the worst teams in the NBA considering the 15-29 record. At just 7-15 at home there is no real advantage but a closer look reveals much stronger results over the past few weeks. The 76ers are 8-7 in the last 15 games and wins have come against quality teams with four road wins in that span and wins over Portland, New Orleans, Denver, and Dallas. Since Christmas the 76ers have not lost more than two consecutive games, a sign of a team that is heading in the right direction with the ability to avoid a losing streak. The Lakers clearly are the cream of the crop in the Western Conference but Los Angeles is 7-12 ATS on the road with just an 11-8 S/U mark. This will be a sixth straight road game for Los Angeles with games all on the east coast and the Lakers had a road heavy start to January as well for a very taxing month. Although Los Angeles has some nice wins in that span there are several upset losses and many of the road favorite covers have come by razor thin margins. There should be exceptional value on the home underdog 76ers for this game and this should be a full house with great intensity for a marquee match-up in a situation that should be tough for the Lakers to bring their best, even if it is a homecoming for Kobe Bryant.

 
Posted : January 28, 2010 8:10 am
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Bobby Maxwell

Dallas +2 at PHOENIX

Delivered two FREE winners on Wednesday with New Mexico on the college hardwood and Milwaukee on the pro hardwood. I'm now 62-24 with comp plays, including 39-10 over the last 49 days. Tonight I have a freebie on Dallas as the Mavericks take on the Suns in Phoenix.

Phoenix is really struggling right now and we’re going to take advantage of that and play the Mavericks in this one as they really shouldn’t be getting points in this one, but we’ll gladly take them.

Dallas has won three straight and five of six (4-2 ATS) in this rivalry and really have the better roster from top to bottom. Amare Stoudemire has not been playing well for the Suns lately and that is the reason for their struggles. He has to be a 20-point scorer for this team to have any chance. Charlotte held him to 12 points and beat the Suns 114-109 in OT on Tuesday, cashing as a 5 ½-point underdog in Phoenix.

The Mavericks have won four of five overall and three of four on the road. The key for these guys is they are playing defense again. They’ve been winning despite not scoring over 100 points. But they’ll get to the triple-digit mark tonight against a Suns’ defense that is non-existent.

Phoenix is on ATS slides of 1-5 at home, 1-6 as a favorite, 0-4 overall and 6-20 on Thursdays. Love Nowitzki and the Mavs in this one.

5♦ DALLAS

 
Posted : January 28, 2010 8:15 am
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Dominic Fazzini

Southern California -2 at OREGON STATE

I gave out an NBA winner Wednesday with my complimentary selection as the Raptors rolled at home over Miami. That improved my record to 62-44-3 over the last 109 days, and I'm coming right back with another winner today!

I'm skipping over to the college game for this victory, however, taking Southern Cal to take care of business on the road against Oregon State.

The Trojans are a strong defensive team, giving up just 55.7 ppg, and they should be able to handle the Beavers, who are scoring 60.8 ppg and haven't been able to find a consistent go-to guy on offense all season.

Oregon State has lost three straight games, and hasn't scored more than 61 points in any of them. The Beavers are just 5-3 at home this season, and have had two home losses in which they scored less than 50 points, and those were against Texas A&M-Corpus Christi and Seattle, teams that aren't exactly on the cusp of the Top 25.

USC has a solid floor leader in point guard Mike Gerrity, and a variety of scoring threats, led by guard Dwight Lewis (14.1 ppg), and should be able to take control of the game on the offensive end.

The Trojans are on ATS streaks of 5-1 overall, 4-0 on the road, 6-2 as a road favorite and 10-2 against Pac-10 opponents. They are 5-1 ATS in their last six games against the Beavers, and 6-2 ATS in their last eight games at Oregon State. Take USC to cover the points on the road tonight.

3♦ USC

 
Posted : January 28, 2010 8:15 am
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Karl Garrett

Stanford +6' at ARIZONA

12 of my last 20 comp plays have cashed the ticket.

For Thursday night, going to take the points with Stanford as they take on an Arizona team that is a little full of themselves right now after the butt-spanking they administered to their in-state hated rival Arizona State their last time on court.

The fact remains Stanford is overdue for a quality outing on the road, and tonight is the night they get it. The Cardinal is 4-1 straight up the last 5 times these schools have met, and they are also a profitable 8-3-1 against the spread their last 12 Thursday night games.

Arizona is just 3-4-1 against the spread at home this year, and the underdog in this series is 17-5 versus the line the last 22 series showdowns.

I expect Stanford to be there for the full 40 minutes in this one.

Take the points.

3♦ STANFORD

 
Posted : January 28, 2010 8:16 am
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Marc Lawrence

California at Arizona St.
Prediction: Arizona St.

The Sun Devils hosts the Bears in a big PAC 10 battle in Tempe this evening off an embarrassing 77-58 home loss to Arizona last Saturday. That sets the table for this game considering ASU is 5-1 ATS at home in games off an immediate home loss. With California 0-4 ATS as a dog and 0-3 ATS on the road this season, look for the Devils to improve to 9-3-1 ATS in games after the Wildcats here tonight.

 
Posted : January 28, 2010 8:16 am
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Scott Spreitzer

St. John's at Pittsburgh

The Panthers Panthers have knocked off Syracuse, Cincinnati, and UConn, all on the road, and beat Louisville in overtime. After running through a slate like that, it was unexpected when Pitt lost to Georgetown on January 20, to end the run. In fact, I released the Hoyas in that game and we cashed. It also was no real surprise when Pitt lost their next game, after watching that big streak come to a close. But tonight, I expect Pitt to get back into the win column in a big way. The Johnnies have had their problems on the offensive end. They have won just two of their last seven games, with one of those wins coming against hapless Depaul. Take out the tilt with the Blue Demons, and the Red Storm has averaged just 61.3 ppg in the other six, shooting horribly from the field and from behind the arc. In fact, they have made just 13 of their last 52 three point attempts! Making matters even worse, this team just doesn't get to the charity stripe. With Hardy getting more time at the point, the Johnnies spend too much time passing the ball around the perimeter. They don't have any true "slashers," so they don't get to the FT line much. I went against the Red Storm and won with Villanova this past Saturday, and I'm going against them again tonight.

Play on: Pittsburgh

 
Posted : January 28, 2010 8:17 am
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Frank Jordan

Toronto Raptors vs. New York Knicks
Play: New York Knicks -3

The Knicks are coming off a big 27 point win after a 50 blow out at home this is the 5th game of 5 game home stand so will this home stand end in victory or defeat. Well neither team is playing that well and just two weeks back these two teams met in Toronto with the Raptors winning 112-104. Toronto is coming off a win which is their third in a row to put them over .500, but have lost twice as many games that they have won on the road. Look for the Knicks to end the home stand 3-2 as they get revenge on Toronto. Play New York

 
Posted : January 28, 2010 8:17 am
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Rob Vinciletti

The Citadel vs. Georgia Southern
Play: The Citadel -2.5

The Citadel has won the last 3 games in this series by double digits and are 3-1 ats as a road favorite the past few years and 7-2 vs losing teams. GA.Southern is a terrible 1-5 with revenge from a blowout loss of 20 or more points and 11-29 vs teams who allow 65 ppg or less. When they allowed 80 or more in their last game Ga.Southern is just 1-4 in the following game. Take Citadel tonight minus the small number.

 
Posted : January 28, 2010 8:18 am
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Jim Feist

Toronto Raptors vs. New York Knicks
Play: New York Knicks -3

The Knicks have had a full day to rest after a big home win. David Lee had 28 points and 10 rebounds, and the Knicks administered a beating, routing the Minnesota Timberwolves 132-105. Chris Duhon had 13 assists and no points! This is the 5th straight home game for the Knicks and they face a Toronto team that is 8-16 on the road and in a terrible scheduling spot, playing the second of a back to back. It's also been an emotional week for Toronto, with a huge win at home over the Lakers Sunday, and then a big game against Miami last night, a team they are battling for fifth place in the conference. An excellent spot for the rested, running home team. Play the NY Knicks!

 
Posted : January 28, 2010 8:19 am
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EZWINNERS

Boston Celtics +3.5

I don't like the way Orlando is playing right now. The Magic are not shooting the ball well at all and they continue to bomb away from three point land. Turnovers have also been a huge problem for this team as well as the Magic are coming off of a 20 turnover performance in their last game a loss at Memphis and had 21 turnovers against the Indiana Pacers and 23 turnovers against the Sacramento Kings last week. Injuries are a concern as Vince Carter is playing with a sprained left shoulder and it shows in his shooting while Jameer Nelson still does not look right since returning from injury. The Celtics have Kevin Garnett back in the line up and he is a huge plus for the chemistry of this team. After a three game slump Boston has won two straight games and they are 16-7-1 against the spread in their last 24 road games against a team with a winning home record. Take the points.

 
Posted : January 28, 2010 8:19 am
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Larry Ness

Arizona -6 vs Stanford

The Cardinal and Wildcats are both 10-9 overall and 4-3 in Pac 10 play entering this game. It's been a tough season for the Pac 10 in 2009-10, as the league doesn't have a team ranked in the top-25 for the third consecutive week. It should be noted that when the Pac 10 failed to place a team in the AP's top-25 back on January 11, it marked the first time that had happened since the final regular season poll of the 1986-87 season. Pac 10 teams are an abysmal 1-15 vs top-25 opponents in 2009-10 and the conference faces the very real possibility it won't receive an at-large bid to the "Big Dance." The last time the Pac 10 placed just one team in the NCAA field was 1978, when the tourney featured just 32 teams. Johnny Dawkins is in his second year at Stanford, guiding the Cardinal to a 20-14 mark last year, including a three-game appearance in the CBI tournament. Gone from that team are guards Goods (16.2) and Johnson (6.6-4.5 APG), as well as the team's best inside player, Hill (13.6-5.9). The 6-7 Fields (21.8-8.7) was expected to be this year's leader and he has been but the 6-8 Owens (6.9-3.6 LY) is out for the season and we still don't know why. Sophomore guard Jeremy Green averaged just 15 minutes and 6.4 PPG last season but is getting double the playing time this year and averaging 17.5 PPG but the Cardinal are basically a two-man team. Sean Miller came from Xavier where he owned an impressive five-year mark of 120-47 but he'll have to "go some" to extend Arizona's streak of NCAA appearances to 26. The Wildcats made a 25th straight appearance in the "Big Dance' last year and went to the Sweet 16 before getting crushed 103-64 by Louisville. Gone from that team are the 6-10 Hill (18.3-11.0) and four-year star Budinger (18.0-6.2 LY). Wise (15.3-3.9 APG) and Fogg (10.8) returned in the backcourt, plus the 6-7 Horne (11.7-6.4) returned up front. The rest of the main contributors this year are freshman. The 6-7 Williams (15.6-7.1) is among the nation's best first-year players and is joined by the 6-6 Hill (7.1-4.6), the 6-6 Parrom (3.2-3.4) and guard Jones (5.0). Miller can coach and I expect his team to play well down the stretch. The Wildcats have as good a chance as any Pac 10 team to win the regular season or tourney titles. Lay the points.

 
Posted : January 28, 2010 8:20 am
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SPORTS WAGERS

PHOENIX -½ +1.17 over Calgary

Let’s see what we have here. The Flames, losers of seven in a row and nine of ten prior to last night went into Dallas, blew a two-goal lead and was completely dominated by a team not going so good. The Stars out-hit, outplayed and wanted it a whole lot more. The 4-3 final in OT was actually a very flattering to score to the Flames. So, instead of playing with a sense of urgency they played “not to lose” and looked pitiful in doing so. This is team in big trouble and after watching them play for three games in a row now, it’s no surprise why they’re getting whipped. They have no heart, they’re extremely soft in the corners and Brent Sutter looks like his head is about to pop off. The dressing room has to be filled to the max with tension playing for Sutter because he cannot handle it. The Flames can’t score and they’re giving up a ton of chances every game. Incidentally, two of its three goals last night came during a 5-minute major. The Flames have scored one goal or less in five of its last seven games. Meanwhile, the Coyotes are determined to win more than just about anyone. They play hard, they play physical and they do not let up for even a single shift. The Coyotes are not going to let this team come in here and dictate anything. They’ve won four of six with only losses during that stretch coming against Buffalo and in Washington and they’ve scored four goals or more in six of its last 10 games. If you make one wager tonight, this should be it because Calgary will get badly outplayed again, make no mistake about that. Play: Phoenix -½ +1.17 (Risking 3 units).

Atlanta +1.92 over PHILADELPHIA

The Thrashers are simply too dangerous a team to pass up on with a tag like this on them. This is a team that can score goals in bunches and that features four lines that can put the puck in the net. Anders Hedberg has been extremely sharp lately and when you combine a hot goaltender with a team that can score and throw in a big price, it’s a great recipe for a wager. Yes, Philly is playing well but this team is not that convincing. They’re beatable and a close look reveals that its “turnaround” has come against a whole slew of struggling and non-playoff teams. Philly has won 11 of 16 but those 11 wins came against Tampa Bay (twice), Carolina (twice), the sinking Rangers (twice), the Leafs, Columbus, the Islanders, Pittsburgh and Dallas. Do you see a notable win in there cause I sure don’t. They also lost to both Pittsburgh and Toronto, not to mention losses to Boston, Ottawa and Washington. They lose to every good team they play and this is a club to keep a close eye on to wager against because its stock is high right now and the tags on them confirm that. Philly is winning but they’re really not that good and do not warrant this price. Play: Atlanta +1.92 (Risking 2 units).

Chicago +1.16 over SAN JOSE

Some may lean to the Sharks here due to the fact that the Blackhawks will play its seventh game in a row on the road while the Sharks have been off for four days. That’s nice, it really is but this San Jose team hasn’t answered the bell in a “test” for about 15 years now. Furthermore, the Sharks have its worst record playing on three days rest or more, which now stands at just 3-3 on the year. Playing on one-day rest, like they will here, the Blackhawks are 17-7. So, yeah, the Sharks will be jacked up and the joint will probably be nuts but the Sharks are not and never have been a good bet with a little pressure on them and until they show me something else, I’ll continue to bet against them, both in the playoffs and regular season. Incidentally, these two have played three times this year with the Blackhawks winning twice and that includes a 7-2 win in San Jose. In the Sharks lone win they were outshot by Chicago 47-14 and that’s not a typo. Play: Chicago +1.16 (Risking 2 units).

 
Posted : January 28, 2010 8:22 am
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Jimmy Moore

Wisconsin @ Purdue
Pick: Wisconsin +8

I know Purdue is a very strong team but Wisconsin is pretty darn good as well. The Badgers beat Purdue by 7 earlier this season in Wisconsin and they have a better conference record than the Boilermakers. Purdue is only 2-5 ATS in conference play so this number looks too big to cover.

 
Posted : January 28, 2010 8:23 am
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DUNKEL

Dallas at Phoenix
The Suns look to build on their 5-1 ATS record in their last 6 home games when favored from 1 to 4 1/2 points. Phoenix is the pick (-2 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Suns favored by 6. Dunkel Pick: Phoenix (-2 1/2)

Game 501-502: Toronto at New York
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto 118.362; New York 118.138
Dunkel Line & Total: Even; 208
Vegas Line & Total: New York by 3 1/2; 214 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (+3 1/2); Under

Game 503-504: Boston at Orlando
Dunkel Ratings: Boston 117.311; Orlando 122.837
Dunkel Line & Total: Orlando by 5 1/2; 192
Vegas Line & Total: Orlando by 4; 187 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Orlando (-4); Over

Game 505-506: Dallas at Phoenix
Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 114.885; Phoenix 121.088
Dunkel Line & Total: Phoenix by 6; 209
Vegas Line & Total: Phoenix by 2 1/2; 216 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Phoenix (-2 1/2); Under

NCAAB

Wake Forest at Georgia Tech
The Demon Deacons look to build on their 7-3 ATS record in their last 10 road games. Wake Forest is the pick (+4 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Demon Deacons favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Wake Forest (+4 1/2)

Game 507-508: Wake Forest at Georgia Tech
Dunkel Ratings: Wake Forest 71.891; Georgia Tech 70.649
Dunkel Line: Wake Forest by 1
Vegas Line: Georgia Tech by 4 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Wake Forest (+4 1/2)

Game 509-510: Duquesne at Xavier
Dunkel Ratings: Duquesne 56.158; Xavier 66.880
Dunkel Line: Xavier by 10 1/2
Vegas Line: Xavier by 12 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Duquesne (+12 1/2)

Game 511-512: Georgia State at Old Dominion
Dunkel Ratings: Georgia State 50.438; Old Dominion 65.982
Dunkel Line: Old Dominion by 15 1/2
Vegas Line: Old Dominion by 17
Dunkel Pick: Georgia State (+17)

Game 513-514: St. John's at Pittsburgh
Dunkel Ratings: St. John's 64.477; Pittsburgh 70.264
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 6
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh by 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: St. John's (+8 1/2)

Game 515-516: Virginia Tech at Virginia
Dunkel Ratings: Virginia Tech 67.389; Virginia 66.329
Dunkel Line: Virginia Tech by 1
Vegas Line: Virginia by 3 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Virginia Tech (+3 1/2)

Game 517-518: Seton Hall at South Florida
Dunkel Ratings: Seton Hall 65.836; South Florida 63.034
Dunkel Line: Seton Hall by 3
Vegas Line: Seton Hall by 2
Dunkel Pick: Seton Hall (-2)

Game 519-520: Wisconsin at Purdue
Dunkel Ratings: Wisconsin 66.403; Purdue 76.754
Dunkel Line: Purdue by 10 1/2
Vegas Line: Purdue by 8
Dunkel Pick: Purdue (-8)

Game 521-522: Ball State at Buffalo
Dunkel Ratings: Ball State 46.150; Buffalo 59.917
Dunkel Line: Buffalo by 13
Vegas Line: Buffalo by 10 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Buffalo (-10 1/2)

Game 523-524: Southern Illinois at Indiana State
Dunkel Ratings: Southern Illinois 56.646; Indiana State 54.462
Dunkel Line: Southern Illinois by 2
Vegas Line: Indiana State by 1 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Southern Illinois (+1 1/2)

Game 525-526: Central Michigan at Miami (OH)
Dunkel Ratings: Central Michigan 47.336; Miami (OH) 57.763
Dunkel Line: Miami (OH) by 10 1/2
Vegas Line: Miami (OH) by 7
Dunkel Pick: Miami (OH) (-7)

Game 527-528: Loyola-Chicago at Detroit
Dunkel Ratings: Loyola-Chicago 53.410; Detroit 63.722
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 10 1/2
Vegas Line: Detroit by 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-9 1/2)

Game 529-530: Illinois-Chicago at Wright State
Dunkel Ratings: Illinois-Chicago 47.653; Wright State 62.550
Dunkel Line: Wright State by 15
Vegas Line: Wright State by 17 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Illinois-Chicago (+17 1/2)

Game 531-532: Florida Atlantic at South Alabama
Dunkel Ratings: Florida Atlantic 56.978; South Alabama 55.513
Dunkel Line: Florida Atlantic by 1 1/2
Vegas Line: South Alabama by 3
Dunkel Pick: Florida Atlantic (+3)

Game 533-534: Stanford at Arizona
Dunkel Ratings: Stanford 60.450; Arizona 67.622
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 7
Vegas Line: Arizona by 6
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (-6)

Game 535-536: New Orleans at Middle Tennessee State
Dunkel Ratings: New Orleans 41.953; Middle Tennessee State 54.106
Dunkel Line: Middle Tennessee State by 12
Vegas Line: Middle Tennessee State by 15
Dunkel Pick: New Orleans (+15)

Game 537-538: UL-Lafayette at Arkansas State
Dunkel Ratings: UL-Lafayette 47.664; Arkansas State 50.521
Dunkel Line: Arkansas State by 3
Vegas Line: Arkansas State by 4
Dunkel Pick: UL-Lafayette (+4)

Game 539-540: Denver at AR-Little Rock
Dunkel Ratings: Denver 51.682; AR-Little Rock 52.812
Dunkel Line: AR-Little Rock by 1
Vegas Line: Pick
Dunkel Pick: AR-Little Rock

Game 541-542: North Texas at Western Kentucky
Dunkel Ratings: North Texas 51.582; Western Kentucky 60.629
Dunkel Line: Western Kentucky by 9
Vegas Line: Western Kentucky by 7
Dunkel Pick: Western Kentucky (-7)

Game 543-544: UL-Monroe at Troy
Dunkel Ratings: UL-Monroe 41.655; Troy 54.103
Dunkel Line: Troy by 12 1/2
Vegas Line: Troy by 11
Dunkel Pick: Troy (-11)

Game 545-546: USC at Oregon State
Dunkel Ratings: USC 62.735; Oregon State 64.030
Dunkel Line: Oregon State by 1 1/2
Vegas Line: USC by 3 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oregon State (+3 1/2)

Game 547-548: California at Arizona State
Dunkel Ratings: California 66.576; Arizona State 64.177
Dunkel Line: California by 2 1/2
Vegas Line: Arizona State by 2 1/2
Dunkel Pick: California (+2 1/2)

Game 549-550: Mississippi at Auburn
Dunkel Ratings: Mississippi 64.981; Auburn 66.020
Dunkel Line: Auburn by 1
Vegas Line: Mississippi by 4 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Auburn (+4 1/2)

Game 551-552: Mississippi State at Arkansas
Dunkel Ratings: Mississippi State 62.943; Arkansas 62.663
Dunkel Line: Even
Vegas Line: Mississippi State by 3
Dunkel Pick: Arkansas (+3)

Game 553-554: Fresno State at Idaho
Dunkel Ratings: Fresno State 51.328; Idaho 59.047
Dunkel Line: Idaho by 8
Vegas Line: Idaho by 6
Dunkel Pick: Idaho (-6)

Game 555-556: St. Mary's (CA) at Pepperdine
Dunkel Ratings: St. Mary's (CA) 63.379; Pepperdine 53.366
Dunkel Line: St. Mary's (CA) by 10
Vegas Line: St. Mary's (CA) by 12
Dunkel Pick: Pepperdine (+12)

Game 557-558: San Diego at Loyola-Marymount
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego 51.106; Loyola-Marymount 50.088
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 1
Vegas Line: Loyola-Marymount by 2 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (+2 1/2)

Game 559-560: Cal Poly at UC-Santa Barbara
Dunkel Ratings: Cal Poly 46.457; UC-Santa Barbara 59.605
Dunkel Line: UC-Santa Barbara by 13
Vegas Line: UC-Santa Barbara by 9
Dunkel Pick: UC-Santa Barbara (-9)

Game 561-562: UC-Davis at UC-Riverside
Dunkel Ratings: UC-Davis 46.830; UC-Riverside 54.593
Dunkel Line: UC-Riverside by 7 1/2
Vegas Line: UC-Riverside by 5
Dunkel Pick: UC-Riverside (-5)

Game 563-564: Hawaii at San Jose State
Dunkel Ratings: Hawaii 45.163; San Jose State 55.437
Dunkel Line: San Jose State by 10 1/2
Vegas Line: San Jose State by 8
Dunkel Pick: San Jose State (-8)

Game 565-566: Long Beach State at CS-Northridge
Dunkel Ratings: Long Beach State 51.618; CS-Northridge 55.272
Dunkel Line: CS-Northridge e by 3 1/2
Vegas Line: CS-Northridge by 2 1/2
Dunkel Pick: CS-Northridge (-2 1/2)

Game 567-568: Pacific at UC-Irvine
Dunkel Ratings: Pacific 51.029; UC-Irvine 50.532
Dunkel Line: Pacific by 1
Vegas Line: Pacific by 3
Dunkel Pick: UC-Irvine (+3)

Game 569-570: UCLA at Oregon
Dunkel Ratings: UCLA 64.756; Oregon 62.669
Dunkel Line: UCLA by 2
Vegas Line: Oregon by 3 1/2
Dunkel Pick: UCLA (+3 1/2)

Game 571-572: Gonzaga at Santa Clara
Dunkel Ratings: Gonzaga 64.438; Santa Clara 53.106
Dunkel Line: Gonzaga by 11 1/2
Vegas Line: Gonzaga by 13 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Santa Clara (+13 1/2)

Game 573-574: Portland at San Francisco
Dunkel Ratings: Portland 56.216; San Francisco 53.684
Dunkel Line: Portland by 2 1/2
Vegas Line: Portland by 7
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (+7)

Game 575-576: The Citadel at Georgia Southern
Dunkel Ratings: The Citadel 50.584; Georgia Southern 49.226
Dunkel Line: The Citadel by 1 1/2
Vegas Line: The Citadel by 2 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Georgia Southern (+2 1/2)

Game 577-578: Western Carolina at Chattanooga
Dunkel Ratings: Western Carolina 54.552; Chattanooga 44.609
Dunkel Line: Western Carolina by 10
Vegas Line: Western Carolina by 6
Dunkel Pick: Western Carolina (-6)

Game 579-580: College of Charleston at Davidson
Dunkel Ratings: College of Charleston 50.252; Davidson 57.377
Dunkel Line: Davidson by 7
Vegas Line: Davidson by 6
Dunkel Pick: Davidson (-6)

Game 581-582: Elon at NC Greensboro
Dunkel Ratings: Elon 40.123; NC Greensboro 48.052
Dunkel Line: NC Greensboro by 8
Vegas Line: NC Greensboro by 5
Dunkel Pick: NC Greensboro (-5)

Game 583-584: Fairfield at Loyola-MD
Dunkel Ratings: Fairfield 55.243; Loyola-MD 54.023
Dunkel Line: Fairfield by 1
Vegas Line: Loyola-MD by 1
Dunkel Pick: Fairfield (+1)

Game 585-586: Manhattan at Rider
Dunkel Ratings: Manhattan 50.896; Rider 58.466
Dunkel Line: Rider by 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Rider by 5
Dunkel Pick: Rider (-5)

Game 587-588: Siena at St. Peter's
Dunkel Ratings: Siena 60.363; St. Peter's 55.022
Dunkel Line: Siena by 5 1/2
Vegas Line: Siena by 6
Dunkel Pick: St. Peter's (+6)

Game 589-590: Marist at Iona
Dunkel Ratings: Marist 38.127; Iona 58.849
Dunkel Line: Iona by 20 1/2
Vegas Line: Iona by 21
Dunkel Pick: Marist (+21)

Game 591-592: Appalachian State at Samford
Dunkel Ratings: Appalachian State 53.585; Samford 56.449
Dunkel Line: Samford by 3
Vegas Line: Samford by 1
Dunkel Pick: Samford (-1)

Game 593-594: Eastern Illinois at Tennessee Tech
Dunkel Ratings: Eastern Illinois 44.488; Tennessee Tech 49.911
Dunkel Line: Tennessee Tech by 5 1/2
Vegas Line: Tennessee Tech by 3 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tennessee Tech (-3 1/2)

Game 595-596: Morehead State at Tennessee State
Dunkel Ratings: Morehead State 50.182; Tennessee State 47.646
Dunkel Line: Morehead State by 2 1/2
Vegas Line: Morehead State by 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tennessee State (+6 1/2)

Game 597-598: Eastern Kentucky at Austin Peay
Dunkel Ratings: Eastern Kentucky 53.011; Austin Peay 58.081
Dunkel Line: Austin Peay by 5
Vegas Line: Austin Peay by 3
Dunkel Pick: Austin Peay (-3)

Game 599-600: Montana State at Northern Arizona
Dunkel Ratings: Montana State 50.410; Northern Arizona 56.086
Dunkel Line: Northern Arizona by 5 1/2
Vegas Line: Northern Arizona by 2
Dunkel Pick: Northern Arizona (-2)

Game 601-602: SE Missouri State at Jacksonville State
Dunkel Ratings: SE Missouri State 40.776; Jacksonville State 55.647
Dunkel Line: Jacksonville State by 15
Vegas Line: Jacksonville State by 12
Dunkel Pick: Jacksonville State (-12)

Game 603-604: Montana at Northern Colorado
Dunkel Ratings: Montana 52.548; Northern Colorado 59.178
Dunkel Line: Northern Colorado by 6 1/2
Vegas Line: Northern Colorado by 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Northern Colorado (-5 1/2)

NHL

Minnesota at Colorado
The Avalanche look to build in their 17-7 record in their last 24 games as a favorite between -150 and -200. Colorado is the pick (-160) according to Dunkel, which has the Avalanche favored by 2. Dunkel Pick: Colorado (-160)

Game 51-52: Los Angeles at Columbus
Dunkel Ratings: Los Angeles 12.950; Columbus 10.860
Dunkel Line & Total: Los Angeles by 2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Los Angeles (-120); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Los Angeles (-120); Over

Game 53-54: Atlanta at Philadelphia
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta 10.816; Philadelphia 12.805
Dunkel Line & Total: Philadelphia by 2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Philadelphia (-180); 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-180); Over

Game 55-56: NY Islanders at Carolina
Dunkel Ratings: NY Islanders 12.596; Carolina 12.074
Dunkel Line & Total: NY Islanders by 1/2; 6 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Carolina (-130); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Islanders (+110); Over

Game 57-58: Ottawa at Pittsburgh
Dunkel Ratings: Ottawa 12.708; Pittsburgh 13.894
Dunkel Line & Total: Pittsburgh by 1; 6 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Pittsburgh (-165); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-165); Over

Game 59-60: Minnesota at Colorado
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 11.693; Colorado 13.473
Dunkel Line & Total: Colorado by 2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Colorado (-160); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (-160); Over

Game 61-62: Calgary at Phoenix
Dunkel Ratings: Calgary 10.032; Phoenix 12.189
Dunkel Line & Total: Phoenix by 2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Phoenix (-140); 5
Dunkel Pick: Phoenix (-140); Over

Game 63-64: St. Louis at Edmonton
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis 11.527; Edmonton 11.642
Dunkel Line & Total: Edmonton by 1/2; 4 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: St. Louis (-125); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Edmonton (+105); Under

Game 65-66: Chicago at San Jose
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 13.167; San Jose 13.386
Dunkel Line & Total: San Jose by 1/2; 6 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: San Jose (-125); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Jose (-125); Over

 
Posted : January 28, 2010 10:03 am
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