Jack JonesFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Alabama Crimson Tide -6FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The Alabama Crimson Tide will be highly motivated to get back in the win column following a tough 53-54 loss at Tennessee on Saturday. They had won four straight prior to that defeat, including a 59-55 triumph over Kentucky.
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Alabama has proven to be a very good home team this season. It is 8-3 on its home floor this year, outscoring opponents by an average of 8.0 points/game. In fact, it is a perfect 3-0 at home in conference play this season.
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My biggest reason for backing the Crimson Tide tonight is the fact that Arkansas is one of the worst teams in the country on the road. The Razorbacks are 0-6 away from home this season, getting outscored by 14.4 points/game.
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The Razorbacks' road losses in conference play have been ugly to say the least. They lost at Texas A&M 51-69 on January 9th, at Ole Miss 64-76 on January 19th, and 54-75 at South Carolina on January 26th. With those results, I'd have to say we're getting the Crimson Tide at a discount tonight as only a 6-point favorite.
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Arkansas is 4-16 ATS as a road underdog or pick over the last 3 seasons. The Razorbacks are 17-45 ATS in their last 62 road games overall. Arkansas is 1-9 ATS in its last 10 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Bet Alabama Thursday.
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Iowa -13FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The Hawkeyes will be extremely motivated to deliver a big time performance at home after a couple of tough losses on the road to Ohio State and Purdue. Iowa is just 2-5 in Big Ten play, but the schedule has been brutal to this point. The Hawkeyes are more than capable of beating a horrible Penn State team by 20 points. The Nittany Lions are 1-6 on the road this season, getting outscored by an average of just over 16.0 ppg. Iowa is 10-2 at home, outscoring opponents by 18.0 ppg.
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Hofstra +10FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Hofstra fits neatly into a profitable wagering situation this evening. The Pride were upset at home by UNC-Wilmington last time out while James Madison defeated UNC-Wilmington in its last game. However, road underdogs of 10 points or more that check in off an upset loss at home to a conference rival and are matched up against an opponent that checks in off a win against a conference foe are 79-42 ATS the last 5 seasons. This is a 65.3 percent system in our favor. Plus, this matchup is typically very close. Each of the last 3 meetings have been decided by 2 points and 6 of the last 7 have been decided by 3 points or less. Also, consider that Hofstra has won or lost by less than 10 points in 17 straight meetings. Take the points.
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Oregon State Beavers at Californoia Golden Bears
Play: Californoia Golden BearsFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The (11-9) Oregon State Beavers of the PAC 12 will take on the (11-8) California Golden Bears also of the PAC 12 in 2013 NCAA Basketball action. The under is 10-2 Oregon State last 12 overall. The Beavers are only 1-3 Against The Spread their last 4 vs. California. California is only 3-9 ATS their last 9 NCAA Basketball games overall and the total has stayed under in 4 of the Bears last 5. California gets the home cover.
NHL PredictionsFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Winnipeg Jets -108FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The Winnipeg Jets are off to a pretty solid 3-2-1 start to the season winning 3 of their last 4 games after opening the season with losses vs Ottawa and Boston. The Jets have scored 16 goals over their last 4 games, with their power play cashing in at least once in each of those games. Their latest game was on Tuesday in Montreal and the Jets lost a close 4-3 game to a then hot Canadiens team. Florida opened the season with a 5-1 win against Carolina at home despite being out shot 42-25, but have since gone on to lose 5 straight games. Losses have come to Ottawa (2), Montreal, Philadelphia and Tampa Bay. Over that span of 5 losses the Panthers have been outscored 23-5. Take note that the Jets are 8-3 in their last 11 vs Southeast opponents, and although these two teams split 3 meetings last season the Jets won twice in Florida and are 5-1 in their last 6 games in Florida. Florida has averaged just one goal per game over their last 5, while the Jets are averaging 4 goals per game over their last 4. Florida looks to be a good team to bet against right now, and with the Jets playing well and getting a good price we will do just that taking Winnipeg on the money line.
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Gonzaga at Loyola Marymount
Play: Loyola MarymountFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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As bad as Loyola Marymount's record looks, with the exception of a 92-51 loss at BYU (Cougars were in a huge revenge spot), they've been competitive more often than not in West Coast Conference play. They went to St. Mary's and lost by 13 and their other four WCC losses were by single digits. Note that they also managed to slip in a home win over a quality Santa Clara squad. And go back even further and we saw the Lions at home catching +10 against Ole Miss only to lose by three. Over the last six meetings in the series, the highest pointspread was Gonzaga -16.5...in Spokane. In their last three trips to Los Angeles, the Zags were laying -10.5 (won by 4), -9 (won by 10), and -11.5 (lost outright). Another key factor is the prep time. LMU head coach Max Good admitted that star Anthony Ireland has been worn down of late. The Lions had a full week of rest and prepare for the league's top team coming into their gym. To me that's a positive situation and one where we can step in and take the huge home dog.
Brandon Lee
Mavericks +3
With this line it appears to me that oddsmakers don't expect Stephen Curry to play, which is a huge loss for Golden State. The Warriors could also be without a couple other key rotation players in Harrison Barnes and Carl Landry, who are both listed as questionable. Dallas has been playing much better of late, but they continue to fly under the radar due to their poor start. Without Curry I really like Dallas to win this game outright and if it becomes official that he is out, this will be a much stronger play than just a free pick. Take the Points!
Jeff Alexander
Iowa -13.5
Off back-to-back losses on the road, Iowa will be ready to put it on Penn State in its return home. Iowa is 10-2 at home this season with its losses coming by narrow margins to Indiana and Michigan State. The Hawkeyes have owned the Nittany Lions at Carver-Hawkeye Arena, winning 9 straight there by an average of 14.6 points. Plus, Penn State is 0-8 in Big Ten play with these losses coming by an average of 14.5 points. Penn State is 0-8 ATS in road games the last 3 seasons after being held to 65 points or less in 3 straight games. It has lost by an average of 16.5 points in this spot. Iowa is 17-6 ATS in all home games since the start of last season and itis 7-1 ATS as a favorite this season. Lay the number.
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St. Louis at ColumbusFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Play: UnderFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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I’ve had some success so far this season betting Columbus games under the total. This team has really struggled offensively since the departure of Rick Nash this past offseason. Their offense just doesn’t seem to click and it is pretty apparent as they rank 27th in goals per game at 1.71. Columbus’ power play has really struggled as well, ranking 26th at 11.8%. Things don’t get any easier as they face one of the best defensive teams in the NHL in the St. Louis Blues tonight. The Blues are holding their opponents to a staggering 19.5 shots per game! The next closest team is Anaheim at 25.4 shots. Needless to say, the Blue Jackets will have their work cut out for them tonight in order to find quality chances around the net. Despite Columbus’ shortcomings on offense, I do project a competitive effort from them defensively. Five of their seven games have been decided by one goal and with the 4th best penalty killing in the NHL the Blue Jackets should be able to keep St. Louis’ red hot power play (33.3%) in check. Look for a low scoring game here as we get plenty of value on the under 5 at +120.
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Montana at Portland StateFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Prediction: Portland StateFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The Vikings (5-12) have lost four games in a row entering this contest but all four of those games were on the road. Now Portland State returns home again where they enjoy a 5-2 record along with a +5.6 net point differential. The Vikings shoot a red hot 52.2% on their home court which includes an uncanny 53.4% clip from behind the arc. Their ability to nail shots from downtown which makes them very dangerous in this spot -- and they have covered he point spread in 14 of their last 17 games on their home court. Additionally, Portland State is 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games regarding meeting point spread expectations against teams with a winning percentage over 60%. Montana (14-4) enters this game off a big 76-74 win versus Weber State in a crucial Big Sky match-up but now they go on the road for the first time in five contests. The Grizzlies look ripe for a letdown now in a hostile environment as they are only 5-15-1 ATS in their last 21 road games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on their home court. Additionally, Montana has failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 meetings with the Vikings. Take the points with Portland State in this one.
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Hawaii vs. UC RiversideFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Play: HawaiiFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Hawaii is one of the more talented teams in the Big West. They took some time to build chemistry this year, but I believe the Warriors are now ready for a nice run. UC Riverside is terrible defensively, and they don't shoot the ball well at all. Hawaii beat UC Riverside by 15 at home a few weeks ago. While I expect this one to be closer, I think Hawaii takes care of business. Take Hawaii. **3-1 Tuesday and 9-6 yesterday! HUGE 9 play card ready for today. All in One Entire Card (9 Picks) is the BEST VALUE on the board! It includes my 100% Angle play, which is backed by an AMAZING 34-0 angle! Join in today!**
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Butler vs. Saint Louis
Play: ButlerFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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It does not surprise this bureau that St. Louis is 3-2 SU 2-3 ATS in A 10 play this season. That, despite the fact they were picked by many to win the League. The difference between now deceased former HC Majerus and current HC Crews is like night and day. Consider the Bilikens fortunes on the defensive end of the court where they allow a very middling 42% from the field 36% from the arc. A 58 PPG defense is simply a function of their preference for a slower pace. Crews has proven he is not ready to step up to this level of competition. In his head coaching career he is 24-45 ATS vs. winning teams. To the surprise of few, Butler has adapted well to playing in an upgraded conference. In moving from the 12th ranked Horizon League to the 8th ranked A 10, they are performing admirably. They enter tonight on a run of 14-1 SU and 6-0 ATS. They covered all 4 games without leading scorer Clark losing only to LaSalle by a single point. Following the meager 22 wins of last season, 6th year HC Stevens now has his Bulldogs primed for another post-season run. Note that Stevens has been outstanding in this role going 29-14 ATS as underdog including 8-1 ATS this season (only loss to Illinois). Yet there’s full motivation for this contest with the realization that no fewer than 7 teams are in the thick of the A 10 race with 2 losses. The better team gets the win
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Dallas vs. Golden State
Play: OverFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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These two teams both average over 100 points per game and don't play that much defense as Golden State is allowing nearly 100 points and Dallas is allowing 103 points per game. Over the last three games Golden State is averaging 108 points per game. Dallas is averaging a shade under 108 points per game over their previous three. Look for a shoot out with both teams scoring in the mid 100s.
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Arizona vs. WashingtonFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Play: WashingtonFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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In their last games Arizona beat USC 74-50 while Washington lost to Oregon 81-76. Arizona is in 2nd place in Pac 12 play and they have won 4 of their last 6 games. The Huskies have beaten the Wildcats in 3 straight meetings and they have taken 5 straight at home where they are averaging 80.6. The Huskies struggled on defense in their last game losing to a ranked Oregon team, leading scorer C.J. Wilcox had 14 points and Andrew Andrews chipped in with 15 points. Washington has a balanced offensive attack with 4 players averaging in double figures and they will move the rock well tonight. Arizona leading scorer Mark Lyons (14.9 ppg) had been playing great before struggling in his last game, but he has help with the other Wildcats of Solomon Hill and Nick Johnson averaging in double figures. All 3 of these guys are shooting at least 35% from beyond the 3-point arc. Washington is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games, 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record, and they have an Over record of 4-1 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Washington has lost 3 straight, but they have covered the spread in 4 of their last 5 games facing Arizona. Expect the Huskies to play better D, they will cover the spread in their house.
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Eastern Kentucky vs. Tennessee-Martin
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As you know I love to fade teams that shoot a lot of threes when they go on the road. Traditionally it is hard to find your range in an environment you are not used to and when you rely so much on your perimeter game because you lose the rebound margin as well as the FTA game then you are an automatic fade on the road. Eastern Kentucky shoots 45% of their shots from three and on the road they shoot just 35.6% which is not bad, but they are also -10.8 rebound margin while TN Martin +3.6 at home. To go along with that they are also -7.5 FTA on the road so expect Martin to be in this game because they should dominate the glass and get to the FT line more and I expect Eastern Kentucky to struggle a bit from the perimeter.