Free Picks: Service Plays for Thursday, January 9

DUNKEL INDEX

NCAAB

Arizona at UCLA
The Wildcats head to Pauley Pavilion for a Pac-12 showdown against at UCLA team that is coming off a 107-73 win over USC and is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games after scoring 100 points or more in the previous game. Arizona is the pick (-2) according to Dunkel, which has the Wildcats favored by 7. Dunkel Pick: Arizona (-2)

Game 505-506: UL-Monroe at TX-Arlington (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UL-Monroe 46.971; TX-Arlington 56.047
Dunkel Line: TX-Arlington by 9
Vegas Line: TX-Arlington by 5
Dunkel Pick: TX-Arlington (-5)

Game 507-508: South Florida at Temple (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: South Florida 53.281; Temple 66.023
Dunkel Line: Temple by 12 1/2
Vegas Line: Temple by 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Temple (-5 1/2)

Game 509-510: Memphis at Louisville (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Memphis 68.223; Louisville 75.082
Dunkel Line: Louisville by 7; 152
Vegas Line: Louisville by 9 1/2; 144 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Memphis (+9 1/2); Over

Game 511-512: George Mason at VCU (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: George Mason 54.269; VCU 71.518
Dunkel Line: VCU by 17
Vegas Line: VCU by 15 1/2
Dunkel Pick: VCU (-15 1/2)

Game 513-514: DePaul at Butler (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: DePaul 56.040; Butler 63.708
Dunkel Line: Butler by 7 1/2; 127
Vegas Line: Butler by 10; 133 1/2
Dunkel Pick: DePaul (+10); Under

Game 515-516: Florida State at Clemson (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Florida State 63.701; Clemson 69.401
Dunkel Line: Clemson by 5 1/2; 118
Vegas Line: Clemson by 2; 124 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Clemson (-2); Under

Game 517-518: Auburn at Mississippi (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Auburn 54.129; Mississippi 69.222
Dunkel Line: Mississippi by 15
Vegas Line: Mississippi by 11 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Mississippi (-11 1/2)

Game 519-520: Florida Atlantic at Louisiana Tech (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Florida Atlantic 50.242; Louisiana Tech 72.307
Dunkel Line: Louisiana Tech by 22
Vegas Line: Louisiana Tech by 17
Dunkel Pick: Louisiana Tech (-17)

Game 521-522: Florida International at Rice (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Florida International 49.437; Rice 53.315
Dunkel Line: Rice by 4
Vegas Line: Rice by 2
Dunkel Pick: Rice (-2)

Game 523-524: Georgia State at Western Kentucky (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Georgia State 58.000; Western Kentucky 57.942
Dunkel Line: Even
Vegas Line: Western Kentucky by 1 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Georgia State (+1 1/2)

Game 525-526: Troy at Arkansas State (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Troy 47.236; Arkansas State 56.394
Dunkel Line: Arkansas State by 9
Vegas Line: Arkansas State by 11 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Troy (+11 1/2)

Game 527-528: George Washington at LaSalle (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: George Washington 60.637; LaSalle 65.997
Dunkel Line: LaSalle by 5 1/2
Vegas Line: LaSalle by 3
Dunkel Pick: LaSalle (-3)

Game 529-530: Southern Mississippi at North Texas (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Southern Mississippi 60.391; North Texas 51.269
Dunkel Line: Southern Mississippi by 9
Vegas Line: Southern Mississippi by 7
Dunkel Pick: Southern Mississippi (-7)

Game 531-532: Marshall at TX-San Antonio (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Marshall 50.209; TX-San Antonio 40.225
Dunkel Line: Marshall by 10
Vegas Line: Marshall by 8
Dunkel Pick: Marshall (-8)

Game 533-534: South Alabama at AR-Little Rock (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: South Alabama 50.456; AR-Little Rock 54.658
Dunkel Line: AR-Little Rock by 4
Vegas Line: AR-Little Rock by 2
Dunkel Pick: AR-Little Rock (-2)

Game 535-536: Pepperdine at BYU (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pepperdine 57.082; BYU 65.270
Dunkel Line: BYU by 8
Vegas Line: BYU by 14 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Pepperdine (+14 1/2)

Game 537-538: Arizona at UCLA (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona 75.915; UCLA 68.775
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 7; 137
Vegas Line: Arizona by 2; 144 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (-2); Under

Game 539-540: Tulane at Tulsa (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tulane 47.455; Tulsa 57.192
Dunkel Line: Tulsa by 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Tulsa by 13
Dunkel Pick: Tulane (+13)

Game 541-542: Charlotte at UTEP (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Charlotte 55.702; UTEP 62.976
Dunkel Line: UTEP by 7 1/2
Vegas Line: UTEP by 3 1/2
Dunkel Pick: UTEP (-3 1/2)

Game 543-544: Marquette at Xavier (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Marquette 65.593; Xavier 67.709
Dunkel Line: Xavier by 2; 135
Vegas Line: Xavier by 4 1/2; 129 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Marquette (+4 1/2); Over

Game 545-546: Northwestern at Iowa (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Northwestern 57.209; Iowa 72.208
Dunkel Line: Iowa by 15; 132
Vegas Line: Iowa by 17; 138 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Northwestern (+17); Under

Game 547-548: Michigan at Nebraska (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Michigan 72.741; Nebraska 62.342
Dunkel Line: Michigan by 10 1/2; 130
Vegas Line: Michigan by 4; 137 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Michigan (-4); Under

Game 549-550: UC-Davis at CS-Northridge (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UC-Davis 43.612; CS-Northridge 48.308
Dunkel Line: CS-Northridge by 4 1/2
Vegas Line: CS-Northridge by 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: UC-Davis (+8 1/2)

Game 551-552: UC-Riverside at CS-Fullerton (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UC-Riverside 46.851; CS-Fullerton 51.862
Dunkel Line: CS-Fullerton by 5
Vegas Line: CS-Fullerton by 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: UC-Riverside (+7 1/2)

Game 553-554: Stanford at Oregon State (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Stanford 63.644; Oregon State 63.307
Dunkel Line: Even
Vegas Line: Stanford by 2
Dunkel Pick: Oregon State (+2)

Game 555-556: Arizona State at USC (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona State 66.283; USC 60.548
Dunkel Line: Arizona State by 5 1/2; 135
Vegas Line: Arizona State by 2 1/2; 141 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Arizona State (-2 1/2); Under

Game 557-558: Hawaii at Cal Poly (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Hawaii 55.617; Cal Poly 59.435
Dunkel Line: Cal Poly by 4
Vegas Line: Cal Poly by 2
Dunkel Pick: Cal Poly (-2)

Game 559-560: Santa Clara at St. Mary's (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Santa Clara 55.899; St. Mary's 65.218
Dunkel Line: St. Mary's by 9 1/2
Vegas Line: St. Mary's by 12
Dunkel Pick: Santa Clara (+12)

Game 561-562: Loyola-Marymount at San Diego (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Loyola-Marymount 53.399; San Diego 57.299
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 4
Vegas Line: San Diego by 2
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (-2)

Game 563-564: San Francisco at Pacific (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco 57.868; Pacific 59.596
Dunkel Line: Pacific by 1 1/2
Vegas Line: Pacific by 4 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (+4 1/2)

Game 565-566: California at Oregon (11:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: California 62.192; Oregon 76.573
Dunkel Line: Oregon by 14 1/2
Vegas Line: Oregon by 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oregon (-8 1/2)

Game 567-568: Gonzaga at Portland (11:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Gonzaga 72.623; Portland 59.162
Dunkel Line: Gonzaga by 13 1/2
Vegas Line: Gonzaga by 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Gonzaga (-8 1/2)

Game 569-570: UC-Irvine at Long Beach State (11:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UC-Irvine 58.491; Long Beach State 54.935
Dunkel Line: UC-Irvine by 3 1/2
Vegas Line: UC-Irvine by 1
Dunkel Pick: UC-Irvine (-1)

Game 571-572: Manhattan at Quinnipiac (9:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Manhattan 59.442; Quinnipiac 55.048
Dunkel Line: Manhattan by 3 1/2
Vegas Line: Manhattan by 1
Dunkel Pick: Manhattan (-1)

Game 573-574: Davidson at Furman (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Davidson 54.620; Furman 40.831
Dunkel Line: Davidson by 14
Vegas Line: Davidson by 11
Dunkel Pick: Davidson (-11)

Game 575-576: The Citadel at Wofford (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: The Citadel 37.646; Wofford 56.662
Dunkel Line: Wofford by 19
Vegas Line: Wofford by 16 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Wofford (-16 1/2)

Game 577-578: NC-Greensboro at Appalachian State (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NC-Greensboro 43.997; Appalachian State 49.587
Dunkel Line: Appalachian State by 5 1/2
Vegas Line: Appalachian State by 3
Dunkel Pick: Appalachian State (-3)

Game 579-580: Samford at Chattanooga (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Samford 43.089; Chattanooga 44.725
Dunkel Line: Chattanooga by 1 1/2
Vegas Line: Chattanooga by 4 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Samford (+4 1/2)

Game 581-582: North Dakota State at IPFW (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: North Dakota State 61.417; IPFW 54.839
Dunkel Line: North Dakota State by 6 1/2
Vegas Line: North Dakota State by 5
Dunkel Pick: North Dakota State (-5)

Game 583-584: South Dakota State at IUPUI (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: South Dakota State 53.547; IUPUI 46.209
Dunkel Line: South Dakota State by 7 1/2
Vegas Line: South Dakota State by 3 1/2
Dunkel Pick: South Dakota State (-3 1/2)

Game 585-586: SIU-Edwardsville at Jacksonville State (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: SIU-Edwardsville 44.151; Jacksonville State 47.679
Dunkel Line: Jacksonville State by 3 1/2
Vegas Line: Jacksonville State by 7
Dunkel Pick: SIU-Edwardsville (+7)

Game 587-588: Belmont at SE Missouri State (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Belmont 55.676; SE Missouri State 50.978
Dunkel Line: Belmont by 4 1/2
Vegas Line: Belmont by 2
Dunkel Pick: Belmont (-2)

Game 589-590: Eastern Illinois at Tennessee Tech (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Eastern Illinois 41.441; Tennessee Tech 47.946
Dunkel Line: Tennessee Tech by 6 1/2
Vegas Line: Tennessee Tech by 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Eastern Illinois (+8 1/2)

Game 591-592: Idaho State at North Dakota (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Idaho State 44.618; North Dakota 52.830
Dunkel Line: North Dakota by 8
Vegas Line: North Dakota by 6
Dunkel Pick: North Dakota (-6)

Game 593-594: Sacramento State at Northern Arizona (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Sacramento State 42.494; Northern Arizona 46.026
Dunkel Line: Northern Arizona by 3 1/2
Vegas Line: Northern Arizona by 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Sacramento State (+7 1/2)

Game 595-596: Weber State at Northern Colorado (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Weber State 55.826; Northern Colorado 59.352
Dunkel Line: Northern Colorado by 3 1/2
Vegas Line: Northern Colorado by 1 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Northern Colorado (-1 1/2)

Game 597-598: Montana at Eastern Washington (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Montana 49.669; Eastern Washington 52.881
Dunkel Line: Eastern Washington by 3
Vegas Line: Eastern Washington by 1 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Eastern Washington (-1 1/2)

Game 599-600: Montana State at Portland State (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Montana State 47.804; Portland State 48.627
Dunkel Line: Portland State by 1
Vegas Line: Portland State by 3
Dunkel Pick: Montana State (+3)

Jim Feist

Oklahoma City Thunder at Denver Nuggets
Pick: Denver Nuggets

Oklahoma City has an edge on many teams by running and gunning, but Denver isn't one of them, an uptempo offensive team in the thin, Denver mountain air. Oklahoma City has been short-handed and comes off a 112-101 loss to Utah. Without Russell Westbrook and Serge Ibaka, Kevin Durant took the ball nearly every possession in the fourth quarter. Westbrook is out with a knee injury and Ibaka didn't dress because of flu-like symptoms. The Thunder is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game. Denver is getting it together and has been home all week, off a blowout win over Boston, 129-98. Randy Foye connected on seven 3-pointers and the Nuggets are 15-5-1 ATS in their last 21 games following a win of more than 10 points. The Nuggets are also 35-16-1 ATS in their last 52 home games vs. a team with a winning road record and 10-1 ATS in their last 11 home games vs. a team with a road winning percentage of greater than .600. Oklahoma City hasn't played well against Denver, 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings.

Don Best ConsensusFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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Miami Heat ar New York KnicksFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: New York Knicks 1st HalfFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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The Miami Heat seem to get off to a slow start more than any team in the league. Furthermore, when they are playing an inferior opponent they have developed a bad habit of playing down to the competition. The Knicks have somehow won 3 in a row and 5 of 6. Playing at MSG used to be something, but it means nothing to the Miami Heat. They'll "flip the switch" in the 2nd Half (if necessary) but the 1st half should be exhibition of going through the motions at it's finest.

Cajun SportsFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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Arizona State vs. USCFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Play: Arizona St -3.5FOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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Tonight our Super System Play comes from the college hardwood set to tipoff at 10:00PM Eastern Time. We want to Play ON CBB teams following a game where they held their opponent under 35.3 percent shooting while they shot 40 to 47.5 percent from the field and did not commit seven or more turnovers than their opponent. This system has a record of 20-8 ATS the last twenty-eight qualifying contests. Play ASU minus the points

Jesse Schule
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Detroit Red Wings vs. San Jose Sharks
Play: Detroit Red Wings +162
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The Wings will be in San Jose Thursday night, taking on their Western Conference rival Sharks. These teams know each other very well, and they have a history of playing close games, with four of the last five meetings requiring added time to decide a winner.
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Detroit has battled through injuries during the first half of the season, but the good news for the Wings is that Henrik Zetterberg and Jimmy Howard are back, and both players have made an immediate impact.
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Zetterberg scored twice in Detroit's 5-1 win in Dallas, and he's scored three goals and six points in just four games since returning to the lineup. Howard stood on his head in Dallas, stopping 44-of-45 shots.
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The Sharks are coming off a loss to Nashville on the road Tuesday, and they have also been bitten by the injury bug. Already without Tomas Hertl for the rest of the season, they learned that Logan Couture will require surgery on a broken hand. He's scored 14 goals and 35 points so far this season, and it's going to be tough to replace that kind of production.
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These are two teams moving in opposite directions, and with San Jose coming in as the big favorite, I think the smart play here is on Detroit as a dog.

Justin Bay
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NC-Greensboro vs. Appalachian State
Play: NC-Greensboro +4
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UNC-Greensboro
- Power Rating: 94
- Average 67.9 PPG
- Allow 76 PPG
- SOS: 97.8
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Appalachian State
- Power Rating: 78.3
- Average 63.6 PPG
- Allow 78 PPG
- SOS: 98
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**According to our system, UNC-Greensboro should win this game outright.**

Marc LawrenceFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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Arizona at UCLAFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Play: ArizonaFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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A Connecticut Yankee in King Arthur’s Court? How about an Indiana Hoosier in Pauley Pavilion? Yes, just 10 days after agreeing to (but not signing) a 10-year deal with New Mexico, Alford jumped ship and cost his new employers a hefty $625,000 buyout. Plus, if either UCLA or Alford ends the arrangement in less than three years, the offending party will have to pony up an incredible $10.4 million! Didn’t Steve know that former Bruins HC Ben Howland was fired last year just a few months after winning his 4th Pac-12 title? Regardless, the heat is certainly on the former Indiana star (now into his 19th season as a Division 1 head coach), and Alford’s current pointspread history does not bode well for today’s matchup: he’s gone just 2-5-2 ATS versus avenging undefeated foes (Bruins bounced Wildcats from last year’s conference tournament), including 0-4 SUATS the last four. Meanwhile, unbeaten Arizona counters with a solid 4-1 ATS away from Tucson when playing with Pac-12 Last Tournament Knockout revenge. The Cats are also a strong 7-3 ATS in lined games at press time and they catch the Bruins off a date with hated rival USC – and UCLA has lost the money in five straight games after tangling with the Trojans. Better crank up the AC, Steve… it’s about to get hotter. We recommend a 1-unit play on Arizona.

Larry NessFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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Arizona at UCLAFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Play: UCLAFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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Arizona is 15-0 (2-0 in Pac 12 play), giving the Wildcats their best start since the 1931-32 team opened 16-0. Defense has been the key, with the Wildcats limiting opponents to 54.9 PPG (3rd) on 36.6 percent shooting (6th). However, the nation's No. 1 team visits Pauley Pavilion tonight to take on the UCLA Bruins, a team which beat them in all THREE meetings last year.
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Steve Alford's Bruins are 12-2, including 1-0 in Pac 12 play, after crushing USC 107-73 this past Sunday. The Bruins shot 57.7 percent and made 11 of 23 three-pointers in their highest-scoring regular-season conference game since a 116-110 double-overtime loss at Stanford in 1987. UCLA has had little trouble running its offense to open this season, ranking among the nation's leaders with 87.1 PPG (6th) on 52.7 percent shooting (1st) while hitting 40.7 percent of three-pointers (22nd).
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Johnson (16.0) leads Arizona in scoring and teams with PG McConnell (6.4-6.2 APG) in the starting backcourt. Gordon is a 6-9 freshman averaging 12.4 & 8.0 and joins the 6-8 Ashley (11.9-6.8) plus the 7-0 Tarczewski (9.9-6.5) in the starting frontcourt. Only two players have played important roles off the bench, 6-7 freshman Hollis-Jefferson (8.4-5.1) and guard York (7.2).
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UCLA's big perimeter people gave Arizona fits last year and while Shabazz Muhammad is gone, the 6-9 Anderson (15.1-8.9-6.6) and the 6-5 Adams (18.7-5.0) are back leading the Bruins this year. The 6-10 Wear twins also start, David (7.6-4.5) and Travis (5.9-2.4), along with a third guard, Powell (11.0). Coming off the bench are 6-5 freshman guard LaVine (12.4), Alford's son Kory (7.8), who followed his dad from New Mexico and is also a guard, plus the 6-9 Parker (7.6-5.6).
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UCLA's big backcourt caused all sorts of problems for the Wildcats a year ago and I expect the Bruins to once again wreak havoc with Sean Miller's defense. No. 1 loses its first game.

Rob VincilettiFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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San Francisco vs. PacificFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Play: San Francisco +4FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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San Francisco is 15-1 to the spread on the road if they were favored in their last game and has played well covering in 15 of 19 in Conference games off a win. In the Month of January they are 14 5 ats. San Francisco is off a pair of solid wins and travels to Pacific for this game. Pacific has lost and failed to cover 5 of the last 7 vs winning teams and 5 of the last 6 off 3+ losses. In their last 2 games they have struggled from the field shooting under 40%. We will back San Francisco here tonight.

Rob Vinciletti's Featured Package

Bryan PowerFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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Memphis vs. LouisvilleFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: LouisvilleFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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Though Louisville has turned in a couple of 'dud' performances so far when taking on top tier teams, I think a return home is going to do them some good tonight when they renew acquaintances w/ Memphis. This will be the Cardinals' first home game in some time, since December 17th to be exact. In nine home games so far, they have outscored foes by an average of 30.9 points per game.
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They have also beaten Memphis four straight times, including each of the last two years.
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Memphis is coming off an outright loss at home to Cincinnati, 69-53 as 5.5-point favorites on Saturday. Unfortunately, I was one game too early in going against the Tigers when I played South Florida on New Year's Eve. This will only be their third "true" road game of the season, the first being a 101-80 loss at Oklahoma State, another time where I played against them. Memphis is beating its foes by an average of 12 points less per game than is Louisville this season, so I feel that laying the points is justified.

Carlos Salazar

Miami Heat at New York Knicks
Play: New York Knicks +6.5

The Miami Heat have their hand fulls with the Knicks this season and today will be no different. Carmelo is averaging over 38 points per game against them the last four times they faced. Look for the Knicks to stay close and cover the 6.5.

Carlos Salazar's Featured Package

Brandon Shively
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Arizona State vs. USC
Play: Arizona State -3
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This is conference play and I like HC Herb Sendek and his Arizona State Sundevils team to win this game and cover the spread convincingly. After a shaky start to begin the season, Arizona State has begun to tighten up and play some tough defense. Over the last 5 games, they are holding opponents to 37.6% shooting from the floor, while outscoring their opponents by an average of 15 ppg. Arizona State is led by Jahii Carson who can take over a game when ever needed. I have been watching Carson play since his freshman year, and the kid is special. There is not a weakness in is his game. They have also been enjoying the services of Penn State transfer, Jermaine Marshall, which now give Arizona State one of the top backcourts in the PAC 12. Marshall is a team leader as well that has experience. He graduated from Penn State already so he is a 5th year senior and his experience will be an advantage on playing on the road. I saw this guy put up 29 points last year vs. Michigan State and he can flat out play. In the paint, Arizona State has Jordan Bachynski who is leading the nation in blocked shots at 4.9 ppg. These are 3 future NBA draft picks in my opinion with Carson, Marshall, and Bchynski, and they are a solid foundation to let the role players of Gilling and McKissic do their thing.
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For USC, they have first year coach Andy Enfeld. Enfeld is known for his 'Dunk City' style of play at Fla. International last year. Sure, this might be an exciting team to watch, but the talent simply is not there this year. They have a few athletic guards but these guys cannot shot from the perimeter and that will hurt them in this game. USC also lacks the talent in the paint and Bachynski will control this game down low tonight.
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In closing I will use the stats from the last 5 games of both teams and you will see Arizona State has the clear advantage tonight as they are 7-8 points better than USC.
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Avg. Margin Last 5 games = Arizona State +15.4 points/ USC -1.2 points
Defensive field goal % = Arizona State 37.6%/ USC 42.9%
3 point% = Arizona State 38.9%/ USC 29.3%
Free throw % = Arizona State 72%/ USC 62%
Assist/Turnover ratio = Arizona State 1.40/ USC 0.88
Blocks a game = Arizona State 7.4/ USC 5.4
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Head to Head Trends:
Arizona State is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings
Play on : Arizona State Sundevils

Brandon Shively's Featured Package

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Records can be very misleading for many teams as conference play gets underway. I believe we have a classic example of this tonight as Hawaii pays a visit to Cal Poly in Big West action.
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The Rainbow Warriors have roared out of the starting gate at 11-3. However, all but one those wins have been on the islands, where Hawaii enjoys a huge home court edge thanks to the travel factor that puts visitors at a big disadvantage.
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Cal Poly is limping home with a 4-9 ledger. The Mustangs have taken their lumps thanks to a bad case of overscheduling. This team has played the ninth toughest schedule in all of D-1. That’s not just ambitious, it’s basketball hell for a team out of the Big West.
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The good news for the Mustangs is they’re finally back home and they get to start fresh as they open conference play. This was a good Big West entry last season at 12-6, and the key components from that squad are back. They’re also a well coached squad and now that league play has returned, look for Joe Callero to dig into his bag of defensive tricks on a regular basis.
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Hawaii has really struggled over the years making its first trip to the conference mainland. Maybe this edition of the Warriors has enough to overcome that long term vulnerability, but they’re going to have to prove it to me.
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I see the number being a solid indicator tonight. 11-3 with a couple of impressive wins visiting 4-9 with some lopsided losses and the 4-9 team is favored. Cal Poly should start to improve on that record moving forward and I like their chances of grabbing a win tonight. I’ll spot the short line with the Mustangs.

Jimmy Boyd

California +9

The Ducks are a poor team defensively, and that will make it hard to cover such a large spread against the Golden Bears. Cal is averaging 74.2 points per game this season, and they come into this matchup with a respectable 10-4 record. The Bears have won four of their last five games, including a seven point road win against Stanford in their last outing. The Ducks on the other hand are coming off a loss to Colorado, a game in which they allowed the Buffaloes to put up 100 points.

The Golden Bears are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games when playing against a team that has won 60 percent or more of their games. The Ducks on the other hand come into this matchup with a 4-13-1 ATS record in their last 18 games against Pac-12 opponents. They are also 1-6 ATS following a loss which is a sign of a mentally fragile team. I think Cal has a good chance to give Oregon a scare in this matchup. Their defense is allowing just 66.4 points per game, and staying within nine-points against the soft Oregon defense should be an easy task to accomplish.