Rickie RobbinsFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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California vs. OregonFREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Play: California +9FOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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The Oregon Ducks are coming off of their first loss of the season as they fell at Colorado. Oregon dropped to 17th in the rankings but they are still a perfect 9-0 at home this season. Joseph Young is averaging 19.1 points to lead the Ducks in scoring. Mike Moser is averaging 13.9 points and 7.6 rebounds, Damyean Dotson is averaging 11.6 points, and Jason Calliste is averaging 11.2 points. Oregon is averaging 89.4 points and they are shooting 49.6 percent from the floor while defensively their opponents average 76.1 points and shoot 42.6 percent. The Ducks have looked like one of the better teams all season.
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The Cal Golden Bears are 10-4 on the season and they are coming off of a win in their Pac-12 opener at Stanford. Cal is 1-2 on the road this season and 0-1 against teams ranked in the top 25. Justin Cobbs is averaging 14.4 points and 5.9 assists to lead the Ducks. David Kravish is averaging 11.6 points and 7.8 rebounds, Richard Solomon is averaging 11.5 points and 10.5 rebounds, and Tyrone Wallace and Jabari Bird are averaging 11.3 points. Cal is averaging 74.2 points and they are shooting 45.6 percent while defensively they are allowing 6.4 points and their opponents shoot 40.7 percent. Cal is playing their second of three consecutive road games.
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Oregon is 8-2-2 against the spread in their last 12 road games, 4-12-2 against the spread against the Pac-12, and 1-6 against the spread following a loss. Cal is 6-14-1 against the spread following a game that they covered the point spread, 1-4 against the spread following a win, and 1-4 against the spread in their last five road games. The road team has covered the point spread in five of the last six meetings of these two.
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Clemson -2FOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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Welp, some people may look at the fact that Clemson had Duke next as a bad spot for the Tigers, and I suppose it could be. But, they're not huge rivals like FSU and Clemson are. They bring out the worst in each other in every sport. We can''t discount the fact that Clemson has yet to lose a home game, or that FSU's only road win was over Central Florida. We just don't take many road teams in Conference play. Last season FSU beat Clemson, barely, twice, so the Tigers certainly have the motivation edge, IMO. On the court, yes, FSU is bigger. However, there are two things that really stick out to me. The first is the amount of turnovers FSU has been committing, which is nearly the worst percentage in CBB. That usually doesn't bode well on the road. Plus, if it's close down the stretch, Clemson shoots almost 77% from the FT line, which as we know is huge. Clemson has the 7th ranked defense in terms of efficiency (no, they haven't played the schedule FSU has) and they've had a more difficult time with up-tempo teams, which FSU is. However, go back to the turnover issue and playing at home. They're favored for a reason, and I happen to think it's a very good one. The home team usually dictates much more of the tempo, and barring an early blowout bu Florida State, Clemson finds a way to win and cover at home.
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Florida Atlantic vs Louisiana TechFREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: Florida Atlantic +16.5FOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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At first glance, a matchup between the 12-3 Louisiana State Bulldogs and the 4-10 Florida Atlantic Owls in the first ever Conference USA basketball game for each team seems like an easy Bulldog victory. However, consider that Louisiana Tech has accumulated its gaudy record vs. a schedule ranked 254th in SOS, with one overtime win at an Oklahoma team ranked 61st on the Pomeroy Ratings probably being its best effort. Meanwhile, the Owls have struggled to find wins vs. a schedule ranked 96th in SOS that has included single-digit losses to Maryland and Boston College. FAU is also a good offensive rebounding team ranking 77th in that category, as they were one of the more physical teams in the Sun Belt Conference last season, so those second chances should also help the Owls hang inside this big number. Florida Atlantic is 7-1 ATS in its last eight games vs. teams with winning straight up records.
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I PITY YOUR SAD FUCKING LIFE VIKESFAG THE C&P QUEEN OF THE INTERNET
Hawaii vs Cal PolyFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Pick : Cal Poly -2FOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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The Hawaii Rainbow Warriors are off to a surprising 11-3 start, but that has come vs. a schedule ranked 294th in the country in SOS and the Warriors have played only one true road game thus far, vs. a Northern Arizona team out of the Big Sky Conference ranked 260th on the Pomeroy Ratings. The Cal Poly SLO Mustangs are 4-9 and on a four-game losing streak, but they have literally faced one of the toughest schedules in the country as it ranks third in SOS, and they will appreciate this drop in class. The Mustangs have played only four home games so far and are 3-1 in those contests. This team has improved every year under Coach Joe Callero, and it returned four starters after going 18-14 overall and 12-6 inside the Big West last season. Cal Poly is 13-5-2 ATS in its last 20 games vs. the Big West Conference.
Ken Thomson
Appalachian St. -4
Taking a shot on Appalachian State who has gotten renewed hope in a dismal season since Jay Canty was inserted in the line up two games ago. NC Greensboro has been up and down and got blitzed by Western Carolina 72-51 in their last road tilt. Just a gut feeling on this one!
Red Dog SportsFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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Florida State vs. ClemsonFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Play: Clemson -2FOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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This should be a close low scoring game at Clemson's Littlejohn Coliseum. The Clemson team is decent shooting 3's and making their free throws at the end. I expect to see the Tigers play solid defense at home and win by 5.
Doug UpstoneFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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Michigan vs. NebraskaFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Play: Nebraska +4½FOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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Nebraska is 7-0 at home this season and have played a slightly tougher schedule than Michigan. This very young Michigan team is talented and are probably more talented in almost every aspect but if Nebraska can contest the 3 ball better than they did Saturday vs Ohio State, they should be a very live dog tonight at home. This early in the year, I like to give the nod to teams that are more cohesive, rather than look at sheer ability. Michigan will be stronger in March than they are now. I like the 4.5 points and perhaps a small upset. Play Nebraska.
Bruce MarshallFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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Pepperdine at BYUFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: BYUFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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Revenge angle worth considering with BYU bunch that is a much different beast at home at its cavernous Marriott Center, which USD painfully found out in a 34-point loss vs. the revenge-minded Cougs at Provo last Saturday. Now, BYU looks for payback vs. Pepperdine team that saw some of its flaws exposed in a weekend loss at USF when recurring ballhandling issues got the best of the Waves (only 6 assists vs. 15 TOs) and its frontline had trouble compensating for foul problems encountered by PF Stacy Davis. Rest assured the three-point numbers are going to look a lot different in the rematch after Pep's 6-point win at Malibu Dec. 30, when the Waves connected on 13 triples while BYU made only 1, with dagger-thrower deluxe Tyler Haws (22 ppg) missing on all three of his long-range attempts. Haws' normally-productive backcourt mate Matt Carlino (14.5 ppg) was also an uncharacteristic 1 for 7 from floor in that recent loss at Firestone Fieldhouse.
SPORTS WAGERSFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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PHOENIX -½ -103 over MinnesotaFREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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Regulation only. The oddsmakers have made the Wild somewhat appealing by making the Coyotes a -160 favorite against a Wild team that has won three straight over Buffalo, Washington and in Los Angeles. The oddsmakers aren’t buying those two victories and neither are we. Against Washington, Minnesota was outshot 30-11 and against L.A. they were outshot 40-17. They deserved to lose the latter two by four goals each time after being outshot by a combined 70-28. Prior to that, the Wild had lost six in a row while allowing four goals or more in all of them. This is a poor hockey team that gets badly outplayed on most nights and always outplayed on the road. There is simply no chance that Minnesota can continue to win hockey games when being outplayed so badly.
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The Coyotes always come to play. Phoenix is in a bit of a funk right now with just three wins in their past 10 games and two of those victories occurred against Calgary and Edmonton. That -160 tag for a team that is going this bad just confirms even more how strongly the oddsmakers feel about the Coyotes chances here. Over the course of 82 games every team will suffer through a rough stretch and that is what Phoenix is enduring right now. However, this team works too hard and is too talented for it too last much longer and there is nothing like a 6-0 win (Phoenix defeated Calgary 6-0 on Tuesday) to restore confidence and get them back on track.
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CAROLINA -½ +130 over TorontoFREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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Regulation only. Now what? Jonathan Bernier has been a little shaky the past couple of games and if the Maple Leafs don’t get outstanding goaltending, their chances of winning remain slim. The Maple Leafs have allowed 12 goals against in their past two games. In a blizzard, they allowed 43 shots on net in the Winter Classic. When they defeated the Hurricanes right before the Classic, they were outshot 43-27. Over their past 23 games, the Maple Leafs have two victories in regulation. Two. Their other six wins over that span came in OT or in a shoot-out, Conceivably, Toronto could be on a losing streak of 21 in 23 games and there is nowhere to turn. The Maple Leafs have some snipers but those same forwards (Kadri, Kessel, JVR, Lupol) know very little about back-checking or defense. Lupol is -12 this season and Kadri is -11. If Kessel wasn’t a power-play specialist, he’d be in that range also. Paul Ranger wouldn’t be the seventh defenseman on the Flames, yet he plays 17 minutes a night for the Maple Leafs. This Maple Leafs roster is a complete mess and it’s getting worse.
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Meanwhile, the Hurricanes have won four in a row. They had their game cancelled in Buffalo on Tuesday so they are a well-rested outfit that is raring to go. Carolina is wickedly talented with a slew of goal scorers and solid defensemen. The ‘Canes biggest issuw this season has been a lack of strong goaltending but that has bbeen rectified with Justin Peters and Anton Khudobin. Since returning from an ankle injury three games ago, Khudobin is 3-0 with a 1.99 GAA and .947 SV% and Peters is the most underappreciated goaltender in the game. The Hurricanes are two points behind the Maple Leafs for eighth in the East and their ascension up the standings isn’t likely to be stopped by this reeling visitor.
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LONG BEACH STATE +107 over Cal IrvineSERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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You dig deep enough in college basketball in games that don’t involve power-conferences and you’re bound to find something soft when you consider that there are 347 Division I teams. We trust we’ve found a soft number here. Long Beach State is 4-10 overall while Cal Irvine is 9-7 overall. In terms of rankings, Cal Irvine ranks eighth in the country in assists per game, 25th in rebounds per game and 23rd in in FG%. By contrast, Long Beach State ranks 158th in rebounding, 253rd in assists and 333rd in FG%. Those numbers heavily favors Cal Irvine but numbers in college basketball can be hugely deceiving. Cal Irvine has played a schedule full of cupcakes. Its toughest opponent this season was against Oregon, a game the Anteaters lost by 28 points. They also played Arizona State and lost by 13. Cal Irvine’s best win this season occurred against a rather pedestrian Washington squad and while this team is strong defensively and could challenge for the Big West title, they are not nearly as prepared to start conference play like the 49ers will be.
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A top-notch nonconference schedule has become a Don Monson signature and this year is no exception. The 49ers accepted an invitation to the Puerto Rico Tip-Off where other participants included Michigan, Kansas State, Georgetown and VCU. The stiff out-of-conference competition has proven to be a successful preparation tool in the past and figures to have the team ready to make a run at its fourth straight regular-season championship. Long Beach State has already played #6 Arizona, #14 Michigan, #10 VCU, #25 Mizzou, K-State not once but twice, Creighton, N.C. State, USC and they too, played the Huskies of Washington. Against the Huskies, LBSU lost in double OT and they defeated USC. So yeah, the 49ers are 4-10 but they have played the toughest non-conference schedule in the country and it’s about to pay off when the conference schedule opens for both teams here. Wrong side favored.
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Pass NBAFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Greg SmithFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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Michigan at NebraskaFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Play: Nebraska +4½FOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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The Cornhuskers will have something to prove, especially after getting thumped by Ohio State in their last game, 53-84. And what better way to show your worth, then to play at home, where you are perfect so far this season. Without leading forward Mitch McCary playing for the Wolverines, every win becomes a little harder to come by. I like Nebraska to bounce back off their rout loss and cover the spread.
John Ryan
Auburn at Mississippi
Prediction: Auburn
The simulator shows a high probability that Auburn will lose this game by fewer than 6 points and has a shot at winning the game outright. These combination bets that I will outline have proved to be added money makers over the course of a season. For example, my THREE NFL Games of the Year have been DOGS that won the game. Just last night I released my 10* NBA January Game of the Winner on +4 Atlanta, who defeated the Pacers by 10 points. So, for this play, I would recommend placing a 4* amount using the line and a 1* amount using the money line. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 25-5 ATS mark for 83.3% winners since 2008. Play on road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (AUBURN) that is a struggling three point shooting team making <=32% and is now facing an average 3-point defense allowing opponents to make 32 to 36.5% of their shots and after a game allowing a shooting percentage defense of 33% or less. Take Auburn.
Miguel DaSilva
Washington Capitals vs. Tampa Bay Lightning
Play: Tampa Bay Lightning -137
The Lightning have been playing some real great Hockey lately, scoring at will, averaging almost 4.3 goals per game. The Bolts have hit the OVER 4 out of their last 5 and i see this trend continuing tonight. The Caps are looking worse than ever these days averaging over 4 GA in their last 3, and over 3.10 goals against on the road this year. Were also gonna back the Bolts here tonight for strong Statistical reasons. Tampa is 11-4 at home this year while the Caps have stumbled as the opponent with a mark of 1-5 in their last 6. Tampa has won 6 of the last 7 games these two have played in Tampa Over the past 3 seasons. Marty St.Louis will be fired up after being left off the Canadian Olympic Roster, so watch for him to take out his frustration on upcoming goaltenders in the NHL
Jeff Alexander
Arizona -1½
I'll get behind the No. 1 team in the nation in its most motivated spot of the season. The Wildcats dropped all three meetings with UCLA last season, and you can bet they will be looking for some serious revenge tonight. UCLA is one of the top offensive teams in the nation, leading the country with a 52.7% field goal percentage. But, Arizona is 7-0 ATS in road games versus teams with a field goal percentage of 52% or higher since 1997. It has won these games by an average of 4.8 points. The Wildcats are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a loss against the spread and 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games versus a team with a winning percentage above .600. The Bruins are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games versus a team with a winning percentage above .600. Bet Arizona.
Dave Price
Denver Nuggets +3
The Thunder have struggled without Russell Westbrook this season, and I expect those struggles to continue in Denver against a motivated team. The Nuggets enter this contest beaming with confidence following three consecutive impressive performances. They also enter this game hungry after dropping the season's first two meetings. The Nuggets are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after scoring more than 125 points in their previous game. Denver is 9-0 ATS in home games after 2 consecutive covers as a favorite over the last 2 seasons. The Nuggets are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 home games versus a team with a road winning percentage of greater than .600 and 9-1 ATS in home games versus very good teams that outscore their opponents by 6+ points/game over the last 2 seasons. Denver has won or lost by just 2 points in 4 of the last 5 meetings to go 4-1 ATS during this stretch. Take the points.
Jack Jones
Clemson -2½
The Clemson Tigers are showing tremendous value as a small home favorite over the Florida State Seminoles tonight. I really like what I've seen from this Clemson team so far as I believe this is one of the more underrated squads in the country.
With the way they play defense, the Tigers can beat anyone. They are giving up just 53.3 points per game on 35.1% shooting this season, which is impressive when you consider that the 13 opponents they have faced average 73.3 points on 44.2% shooting on the year.
Clemson (10-3) has been unstoppable at home, going a perfect 7-0 while outscoring its opponents by an average of 23.7 points per game. K.J. McDaniels is an absolute beast, averaging 16.7 points, 6.8 boards and 2.8 blocks per game to lead the way for the Tigers.
Aside from wins over VCU and UMass, Florida State has struggled against the better teams that it has faced. It has lost four games already this season to the likes of Michigan, Florida, Minnesota and Virginia. Its 50-62 home loss to Virginia to open conference play really was a step in the wrong direction.
Clemson is 13-3 SU & 13-3 ATS in its last 16 home meetings with Florida State. The Tigers will be out for revenge on the Seminoles, who won all three meetings last season by five points or less, and by a combined 12 points total. I like them to have their payback at home tonight. Bet Clemson Thursday.