Jeff Scott Sports
3 UNIT PLAYS
Philadelphia/ Miami Over 184: Philly has struggled to score of late as they have averaged 89.8 ppg in their last 5 games, but that scoring should increase some vs a Miami team that has allowed 97 ppg in their last 5 games overall. The Philly defense has been tough all year, but Miami has averaged 102.8 ppg at home and they did hang 113 points on this tough Philly Defense in their only meeting here. I expect no less than 90 points from Philly here, while the Heat should grab no les than 98 of their own. Should be an easy over here.
Phoenix/ Sacramento Under 214: I had the Under in the Kings game last night and it went over by 6 points, but I see a different result tonight. The Kings played a high scoring fast paced game last night, but it was last night and to play that same kind of pace on back to back nights is tough for any team. Phoenix has normally been a high scoring up an down team, but not as much this year. The Suns have averaged 99.8 ppg in their last 5 games, but just 96.7 ppg overall and 94.4 ppg on the road this year. Phoenix has also played better defense, as they have allowed 97.2 ppg overall, 98.7 ppg on the road and just 95.8 ppg in their last 5 overall. Sacramento will force the pace, but it won't be as fast as last night and we also note that both meetings between the teams this year have put up just 184 and 182 point. No more than 205 in this one.
2 UNIT PLAY
New York/ Indiana Under 191.5: Google News Play.The Knicks have really become more of a defensive minded team of late as they have allowed just 85.5 ppg in their last 9 games. The Knicks scoring has been down some as they have averaged just 91.4 ppg in their last 7 games and just 83.4 ppg in their last 3 games on the road. Indiana has struggled some defensively of late as they have allowed 98.6 ppg in their last 5 games, but they still have played great defense at home this year, where they have allowed just 92 ppg. Indiana has averaged 98.8 ppg at home and 97.8 ppg in their last 5 games overall, but I don't see them coming close to number against this defensive team. Neither team will push the pace and both have played good defense this year. I look for a game in the low 180's here.