JR O'DonnellFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Georgia -1.5FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Dawgs - the short # as Mark Fox has these Dawgs going ... let's back the short home chalk. This SEC banger has these Dawgs winners of 5 in a row with 5 ats covers & huge edges on the baords and a deeper bench. This series has the "favorite" 10-4 ATS in the last 14 meetings. Dawgs dont do alot of things well but they do play well as a team. We got a winner with the Dawgs.POWER RATED @ - 6 FLAT
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Michigan -1FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The Wolverines lost a heartbreaker at Wisconsin Saturday, but I like them to bounce back here. The Wolverines are 9-2 ATS after 1 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons and 9-1 ATS after having lost 2 of their last 3 games over the last 3 seasons. It is also worth noting that they are 19-9-1 ATS in their last 29 road games and 29-14-1 ATS in their last 44 versus Big Ten foes. Michigan is the more talented team and has had Michigan State's number lately. The Wolverines have won 3 of the last 4 meetings. Bet Big Blue.
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Memphis Grizzlies -9FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The Grizzlies appear to have gotten over the Rudy Gay trade and accepted their new roster. Memphis is coming off a couple of big home wins over the Warriors and Timberwolves and should have no trouble finishing off their homestand with a big win over the Kings. This is a huge game for the Grizzlies. This will be their final game before the All-Star break and the last thing they want to do is go into a long layoff off a loss at home to Sacramento.
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Considering how well the Grizzlies have played against the Kings in recent meetings, I don't think they will have any trouble winning this game by double-digits. In the two games this season, Memphis has won 113-81 at Sacramento and 85-69 at home. They are a perfect 5-0 at home against the Kings over the last 3 seasons. Each of the last three have come by 15+ points.
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The Grizzlies are a great team to back off a blowout win. They are 12-3 ATS coming off a 15+ point victory over the last 2 seasons. Memphis beat the Timberwolves 105-88 on Sunday.
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Detroit -15FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Generally, we wouldn't be interested in laying this type of number with any Horizon League favorite under and circumstances but we've done real well fading Cleveland State and can make a pretty good case to do so again tonight. The Vikings have been abysmal all year but particularly on the road where they are just 2-10 ATS. It's not like they are playing world beaters either as State is 1-5 in conference with suitcase with all five losses coming by more than 12 points. The Vikings are an overall ticket burner as a dog at 4-10 getting points. Detroit's ATS techs wouldn't seem to inspire a whole lot of confidence at first glance but the Titans have been showing buy sign the past three weeks scoring 75 points or better in all four wins. We also have a little matter of revenge as Cleveland State beat Detroit by 12 (as an eight point home dog) back on New Year's Day. CSU shot lights out that night but this is a club that consistently shoots below 40% against teams with winning records. Thinking that Detroit just might have a trip behind the woodshed planned for Cleveland State tonight. Lay the wood with Detroit.
Jim FeistFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Indiana State at Missouri StateFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: Indiana StateFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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A Missouri Valley conference battle and Indiana State is 8-2 ATS in the last 10 meetings, including 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Missouri. The undervalued Sycamores are 18-6 ATS in their last 24 in the Missouri Valley conference and on a 13-4 ATS run overall. Missouri State is 5-8 in the conference, second to last, and shoots just 40% from the field and averages only 59.6 ppg. The Bears got blown out at Wichita the last games and they are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games following an ATS loss. Play Indiana State!
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Alabama at GeorgiaFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick UnderFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The under is 8-0 in Bama's last 8 vs. the SEC. The under has gone 20-6 in the Tide's last 26 overall.
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Portland / Miami Over 200FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Two teams that are currently on 'over' streaks could be in line for another when the Miami Heat (34-14, 24-24 ATS) host the Portland Trail Blazers (25-26, 22-27-2 ATS) at American Airlines Arena in Miami, FL on Tuesday night at 7:35 ET in a game carried on NBA TV. Yes, this could be a letdown spot for the Heat after double-digit wins over the two Los Angeles teams, but when Miami has taken nights off this season, it has usually shown up in a lack of defensive intensity. Speaking of defense, it has become a foreign concept to a Portland team that has allowed 106.0 points per game over the last five games.
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The Heat have now gone 'over' on three straight games, as before hanging up 111 points on the Clippers and 107 on the Lakers, they were involved in a 114-108 shootout win over the Houston Rockets. Offense has not been an issue for Miami this season as it ranks fifth in the NBA in scoring at 102.8 points per game while leading the league on field goal percentage at an amazing 49.2 percent overall and ranking third in three-point shooting at 38.6 percent. LeBron James has been playing like a man possessed lately, as his 32-point effort vs. the Lakers Sunday gave him five consecutive 30-point games, and he has unbelievably hit on 49 of his last 65 field goal attempts for an unheard of 75.4 percent success rate! Also the Heat are at full strength again after Chris Bosh, Ray Allen and Dwayne Wade all had the flu this week with the former two missing some games. The Miami defense is ranked 12th in points against at 96.6 points per game, a big drop-off after ranking fourth last season while allowing only 92.5 points per contest, although one gets the sense that they can turn on the intensity defensively at any time. This does not seem like the spot to do so however after two big marquee wins.
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The Portland defense ranks 21st in points allowed at 99.3 per game and 25th in field goal percentage against at 46.4 percent, but the Blazers have been even worse than that while going 'over' in the last five games, allowing those opponents to shoot an unbearable 49.4 percent! The defense has been so bad that Portland allowed the Orlando Magic to snap a 12-game losing streak in a 110-104 loss on Sunday. If the Blazers could allow 110 points to Orlando, how are they supposed to contain the Miami offense with LeBron currently in raging form? The Portland offense has actually been doing its part, topping 100 points in four of those five games, and the one time it failed to it scored 99 points in a five-point loss at Dallas, so the Blazers should continue to put points on the board vs. a potentially relaxed Miami defense. Also, Portland's Rookie of the Year candidate Damian Lillard figured to bounce back well after scoring a season-low four points vs. the Magic, just the third time this season he was held to single-digits. The first time it happened, he bounced back with 29 points and the second time it happened, he came back with a 16-point, 8-rebound and 5-assist effort.
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The 'over' is 5-1 in the last six head-to-head meetings overall and 4-1 in the last five meetings in Miami. The 'over' is also 7-1 in the last eight Miami games following a straight up win.
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Portland at MiamiFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: PortlandFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The Miami Heat needed a late surge to overcome the Los Angeles Lakers in their last game. It is most difficult for a team that won a championship the prior year to become motivated enough to overcome the huge lines they have to face the following year. Miami is 34-14 on the season and certainly is an elite team, but they have found themselves often coming up short against big numbers as they are just 3-7 ATS in their last 10 when laying -10 or more. Portland finds themselves often a player short, but remains a highly competitive team. They seem to play just well enough to lose. They are 9-11 over their last 20 games, but have been beaten by 10 or more just two times in the 20 games, so they have shown the ability to hang tough every time on the floor. Take the points and go with Portland.
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Warriors -5 over RocketsFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Houston won this game a few days ago and hit a record number of NBA 3’s in that game. I just do not expect them to be on fire like that again. Live by the 3 and you will also die by the 3. Harden is banged up for Houston and I think this is a game in which the Warriors want revenge at home after getting embarrassed like they did. Also this total is set really high. Would not shock me to see a lower scoring game. Take Golden State.
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Cincinnati -6.5 over VillanovaFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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This Bearcats team is my sleeper team. Last year I gave you Indiana at 40/1 and if they didn’t draw Kentucky so early they would have played in the title game. This year I think Cincinnati will turn the page from their sweet 16 run last year. They are at 50/1 and its great value with their not being one dominate team this year in all of college basketball. I like the way this team plays under the basket on defense and think they simply out match the Nova team. Take Cincinnati.
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Indiana St vs. Missouri StFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Play: OverFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Small play on this Mizzou Conference game in which I have my reasons for this play. Number #1 it's a bad Total,These 2 Teams Indiana St & Missouri Valley will not get much attention from the oddsmaker, especially in a night where the oddsmaker has Michigan/Michigan St and Kentucky/Florida to worry about. In the first meeting between these Teams this Season, Indiana St won 68-60 and 128-127 is what I made this Total. Ken Pomeroy ratings have this game at 126. Indiana St games have gone Over 120 in 8 of their last 10, while 7 Missouri St games have gone Over 120 in their last 10. Playing Over totals like 120 in NCAAB is like playing Over 36 in the NFL, a couple of scoring spurts or foul calls and it's alot easier to get the Over breaks than Under at this price.
Teddy CoversFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Indiana St. vs. Missouri St.FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: Indiana St.FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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When these two teams met in Terre Haute last month, Indiana State’s defense positively stifled Missouri State’s limited offense after halftime, outscoring the Bears by a dozen in the second half of a comfortable eight point win. There’s no reason to expect anything significantly different tonight.
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The Bears can’t find the bottom of the basket. They shot just 16-51 from the floor in a 29 point loss at Wichita State over the weekend after being held to 37 points at Northern Iowa in their previous game, another double digit defeat thanks to their 15-55 shooting effort.
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Don’t expect home cookin’ to change Missouri State’s offensive acumen in any dramatic way – they’ve shot under 40% at home for the entire season. Leading scorer and assist man Anthony Downing hits less than 40% of his shot attempts, while dishing fewer than three assists per game. As a team, the Bears average only nine assists per game; bad news against the Sycamores stout defense.
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Indiana State has been a consistent moneymaker for their supporters all year. They’ve gone 7-2 ATS in their last nine road tilts, and 13-4 ATS in their last 17 games overall; still an undervalued commodity at this late stage of the season. The Sycamores have road wins and covers at Northern Iowa and Wichita State already in Missouri Valley Conference play; two teams that are one heck of a lot better than the Missouri State squad they’ll face tonight! Take Indiana State.
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UTAH +5½ over Oklahoma CityFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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As we approach the stretch run of the season, the Thunder (39-12) own the second best record in the NBA, just percentage points behind the Spurs. Russell Westbrook and Kevin Durant are logging huge minutes due to the Thunders’ one weakness, that being a lack of depth. OKC has beaten the Jazz eight of the past nine contests and with a statement home game on deck against Miami on Thursday night’s nationally televised game, this is a game where we could catch the visitor napping. Oklahoma City has won four straight, all by more than 20 points, with the average victory being 25.3 points. Yes, they’re a very good team but those numbers are unsustainable. Plus, blowing out the Suns in consecutive games can create some complacency.
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The Jazz should be ready. They are a completely different team at home, having won 19 of 25 games in their own building. They figure to be the more focused group tonight in front of a packed house of passionate, screaming Jazz fans than they were in a poor showing at Sacramento on Saturday night. There’s no question that Utah is the inferior squad here but if the better team won and covered every game, we’d all be rich. This is one of those times when the home underdog is in a good situational spot and a spot where upsets commonly occur.
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Carolina +137 over NEW JERSEYFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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OT included. The Devils lead the East with 19 points after reeling off five consecutive wins. A dozen games in, New Jersey has just one loss in regulation time. It’s all well-deserved too as they continue to play a methodical, 60-minute game with each skater playing its role to near perfection. However, the Devils stock is a little too high and that affords us an opportunity. They’re coming off back-to-back wins over the Penguins this past weekend. Six of New Jersey’s last seven games have seen them play its biggest rivals. They have another rival up next in the Flyers. The Devils are feeling great but they’re not unbeatable.
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Enter the Hurricanes fresh off a 6-4 win last night on the Island. Carolina will play its third game in four days here but it’s not that tough a trip as all three cities (Philly, Long Island, and New Jersey) are in close proximity. The ‘Canes are heating up and it’s much easier to play three in four when you’re winning. Carolina has picked up points in four straight and seven of its past nine. They’ve scored three goals or more in five straight. Eric Staal is playing the best hockey of his career on a line with Alexander Semin and Jiri Tlusty and the second line that features Jeff Skinner and Jordan Staal might just be the best second line in the NHL. It’s all about playing value and the Hurricanes at prices like this one are too dangerous to not consider
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Washington +118 over FLORIDAFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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OT included. The Capitals may be turning a corner. Prior to defeating these same Panthers on Saturday night, Washington had dropped five of six but three of those games (all 3-2 defeats) could have just as easily ended in their favor. The Caps have really cut down on scoring chances allowed and there were plenty more positive signs in that convincing win on Saturday. Four different Capitals scored goals in the win and 10 players tallied at least one point. Alex Ovechkin scored his fourth goal of the season and now has five points in his last four games. The Caps scored a power-play goal for the fourth consecutive game and are now 5 for 11 (45.5%) in their last five games. Early in the year, when expectations were high, the Caps were overvalued. With the worst record in the NHL, they are now undervalued and that’s presents a ‘buy’ opportunity.
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The Panthers return home from a four-game trip and their biggest issue remains goaltending. Jose Theodore has been wildly inconsistent with a 3.41 GAA and an intolerable .896 save percentage. He now sits in favor of Scott Clemmenson and Clemmenson’s numbers are worse (3.77 GAA .853 save %). Of the Panthers four wins, two have been worthy. Of the Panthers six losses, five of them have been by three goals or more and four of those have been by four goals or more. No team in the NHL is getting beat as badly as these Panthers and that makes them prime fade material.
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WINNIPEG -½ +129 over PhiladelphiaFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Regulation only. After getting trounced last night in Toronto, a response is expected by Philadelphia but we have our doubts. The Flyers are slower than most teams and it’s not working. They come in with a 1-6 road record and they’ve had very little success playing against Winnipeg, having been torched by 22 goals in the last four games they’ve played against the Jets with three of those at the Wells Fargo Center. The Jets have beaten the Flyers in eight of the past nine games and scored five goals or more in four of the eight wins.
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For the Jets, a 5-5-1 record doesn’t seem so great but the downside stems from a bad streak that saw them lose three straight on the road while being outscored 18-9. Since that stretch, the Jets have won two of three with only loss coming against the Maple Leafs in which they allowed just 18 shots on net. Over its past two home games, Winnipeg has allowed a combined 37 shots on goal. The Jets also get Dustin Byfuglien back for this one. With two of the best puck-moving defensemen in the league in Byfuglien and Tobias Enstrom and a group of speedy forwards, Philly may once again be playing catch-up.
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Memphis Grizzlies -9FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The Memphis Grizzlies have simply owned the Sacramento Kings this season, and I look for that to be the case again tonight in their third meeting. Memphis has the big men inside in Marc Gasol and Zach Randolph that overpower the likes of DeMarcus Cousins and Jason Thompson, making this an excellent match-up for them.
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The Grizzlies won the first meeting of the season 113-81 at Sacramento on January 7th as a 4-point favorite. They came back home on January 18th and prevailed 85-69. Their two victories this season have come by an average of 24 points/game.
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Memphis is 20-8 SU & 17-9-2 ATS at home this season. It is limiting opponents to just 87.0 points/game at home this year. Sacramento is a woeful 5-21 SU & 11-15 ATS on the road this season. It is yielding 103.3 points/game overall this year.
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Sacramento is 1-8 ATS versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 3+ per game this season. The Kings are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. The Grizzlies are 9-1-1 ATS in their last 11 games following a SU win of more than 10 points. Memphis is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 home meetings with Sacramento. Bet the Grizzlies Tuesday.
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Valparaiso at Wright StateFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: Wright StateFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Not a bad spot for Wright State tonight. The Raiders are a home avenger and they're riding a little positive flow coming into this game off back to back wins and covers. The first meeting was close enough, and I would expect that to be the case tonight as well. Valparaiso is a little banged up right now, and while I'm not sure they'll actually be missing anyone, they've got a few guys who will take the court nursing some aches and pains. I can't see this being anything but tight, but I'll side with Wright State to eke out the win and cover tonight.
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3 UNIT PLAYFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Minnesota/ Vancouver Under 5: Really I just see one team scoring in this one and that is the Canucks. Minnesota has scored just 1 goal during regulation in each of their last 5 games and they have have scored just 5 total goals in their last 5 games vs Vancouver. The Canucks have been very strong in the net this year as they have allowed just 2 gpg on the year, which is 5th in the league and they haven't allowed more than 1 goal in each of their last 5 games during regulation. Vancouver has scored 9 goals in their last 2 games, but the Wild have allowed no more than 2 goals in 5 of their last 7 games. Minnesota is 7th in the league in shots per game against, while Vancouver is 20th in the league in offensive spg. Both teams will find the scoring tough to come by as I see about 3 goals in this one.