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Free Picks: Service Plays for Tuesday February 26

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DUNKEL INDEX

NBA

Cleveland at Chicago
The Bulls look to bounce back from their 102-72 loss at Oklahoma City on Sunday and build on their 10-2 ATS record in their last 12 games following an ATS defeat. Chicago is the pick (-7) according to Dunkel, which has the Bulls favored by 10 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Chicago (-7)

Game 501-502: Orlando at Philadelphia (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Orlando 104.581; Philadelphia 118.924
Dunkel Line & Total: Philadelphia by 14 1/2; 193
Vegas Line & Total: Philadelphia by 9 1/2; 189 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-9 1/2); Over

Game 503-504: Golden State at Indiana (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Golden State 112.447; Indiana 130.709
Dunkel Line & Total: Indiana by 18 1/2; 191
Vegas Line & Total: Indiana by 7 1/2; 195 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Indiana (-7 1/2); Under

Game 505-506: Sacramento at Miami (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Sacramento 112.335; Miami 126.652
Dunkel Line & Total: Miami by 14 1/2; 216
Vegas Line & Total: Miami by 15 1/2; 210 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Sacramento (+15 1/2); Over

Game 507-508: Brooklyn at New Orleans (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Brooklyn 116.627; New Orleans 122.416
Dunkel Line & Total: New Orleans by 6; 184
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 509-510: Cleveland at Chicago (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland 114.445; Chicago 124.701
Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 10 1/2; 193
Vegas Line & Total: Chicago by 7; 190
Dunkel Pick: Chicago (-7); Over

Game 511-512: Milwaukee at Dallas (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee 113.477; Dallas 124.632
Dunkel Line & Total: Dallas by 11; 208
Vegas Line & Total: Dallas by 5 1/2; 211
Dunkel Pick: Dallas (-5 1/2); Under

Game 513-514: Minnesota at Phoenix (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 115.562; Phoenix 112.299
Dunkel Line & Total: Minnesota by 3 1/2; 199
Vegas Line & Total: Phoenix by 1 1/2; 194 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+1 1/2); Over

Game 515-516: Charlotte at LA Clippers (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Charlotte 109.586; LA Clippers 123.328
Dunkel Line & Total: LA Clippers by 13 1/2; 193
Vegas Line & Total: LA Clippers by 16; 199
Dunkel Pick: Charlotte (+16); Under

NHL

Colorado at San Jose
The Avalanche look to take advantage of a San Jose team that is 1-8 in its last 9 games when playing with 2 days of rest. Colorado is the pick (+160) according to Dunkel, which has the Avalanche favored by 1/2 a goal. Dunkel Pick: Colorado (+160)

Game 1-2: Dallas at Columbus (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 10.971; Columbus 11.673
Dunkel Line & Total: Columbus by 1/2; 4 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 3-4: Carolina at Washington (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Carolina 12.616; Washington 11.259
Dunkel Line & Total: Carolina by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Washington (-130); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Carolina (+110); Over

Game 5-6: Winnipeg at NY Rangers (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Winnipeg 10.583; NY Rangers 12.028
Dunkel Line & Total: NY Rangers by 1 1/2; 4
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
Game 7-8: Buffalo at Tampa Bay (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Buffalo 11.384; Tampa Bay 11.039
Dunkel Line & Total: Buffalo by 1/2; 6 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Tampa Bay (-155); 6
Dunkel Pick: Buffalo (+135); Over

Game 9-10: Pittsburgh at Florida (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh 12.244; Florida 10.288
Dunkel Line & Total: Pittsburgh by 2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Pittsburgh (-165); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-165); Over

Game 11-12: Boston at NY Islanders (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston 11.137; NY Islanders 12.186
Dunkel Line & Total: NY Islanders by 1; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Boston (-150); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Islanders (+130); Under

Game 13-14: Calgary at Minnesota (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Calgary 10.400; Minnesota 11.881
Dunkel Line & Total: Minnesota by 1 1/2; 4
Vegas Line & Total: Minnesota (-155); 5
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-155); Under

Game 15-16: Phoenix at Vancouver (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Phoenix 11.817; Vancouver 11.407
Dunkel Line & Total: Phoenix by 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Vancouver (-180); 5
Dunkel Pick: Phoenix (+160); Over

Game 17-18: Colorado at San Jose (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado 11.192; San Jose 10.715
Dunkel Line & Total: Colorado by 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: San Jose (-180); 5
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (+160); Over

 
Posted : February 26, 2013 9:15 am
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NCAAB

Indiana at Minnesota
The Golden Gophers look to bounce back from their 71-45 loss at Ohio State and build on their 4-1 ATS record in their last 5 games after scoring less than 50 points in the previous game. Minnesota is the pick (+6) according to Dunkel, which has the Hoosiers favored by only 3. Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+6)

Game 517-518: Indiana at Minnesota (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Indiana 75.371; Minnesota 72.309
Dunkel Line: Indiana by 3; 133
Vegas Line: Indiana by 6; 139
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+6); Under

Game 519-520: Towson at George Mason (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Towson 54.696. George Mason 55.858
Dunkel Line: George Mason by 1
Vegas Line: George Mason by 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Towson (+6 1/2)

Game 521-522: Memphis at Xavier (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Memphis 69.467; Xavier 62.406
Dunkel Line: Memphis by 7; 138
Vegas Line: Memphis by 4 1/2; 133
Dunkel Pick: Memphis (-4 1/2); Over

Game 523-524: Auburn at Alabama (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Auburn 56.996; Alabama 65.106
Dunkel Line: Alabama by 8; 113
Vegas Line: Alabama by 11 1/2; 119
Dunkel Pick: Auburn (+11 1/2); Under

Game 525-526: Loyola-Chicago at Detroit (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Loyola-Chicago 50.209; Detroit 66.858
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 16 1/2
Vegas Line: Detroit by 13
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-13)

Game 527-528: WI-Milwaukee at WI-Green Bay (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: WI-Milwaukee 44.670; WI-Green Bay 63.619
Dunkel Line: WI-Green Bay by 19
Vegas Line: WI-Green Bay by 14
Dunkel Pick: WI-Green Bay (-14)

Game 529-530: Wright State at Illinois-Chicago (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Wright State 55.867; Illinois-Chicago 50.295
Dunkel Line: Wright State by 5 1/2
Vegas Line: Wright State by 1
Dunkel Pick: Wright State (-1)

Game 531-532: Youngstown State at Valparaiso (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Youngstown State 52.449; Valparaiso 63.944
Dunkel Line: Valparaiso by 11 1/2
Vegas Line: Valparaiso by 13 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Youngstown State (+13 1/2)

Game 533-534: Wyoming at Air Force (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Wyoming 61.274; Air Force 63.728
Dunkel Line: Air Force by 2 1/2
Vegas Line: Air Force by 4
Dunkel Pick: Wyoming (+4)

Game 535-536: Florida at Tennessee (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Florida 79.360; Tennessee 67.315
Dunkel Line: Florida by 12; 132
Vegas Line: Florida by 9; 124
Dunkel Pick: Florida (-9); Over

Game 537-538: Wake Forest at Florida State (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Wake Forest 56.425; Florida State 64.655
Dunkel Line: Florida State by 8; 135
Vegas Line: Florida State by 5; 139
Dunkel Pick: Florida State (-5); Under

Game 539-540: Nebraska at Wisconsin (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Nebraska 60.889; Wisconsin 73.905
Dunkel Line: Wisconsin by 13; 110
Vegas Line: Wisconsin by 16; 113 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Nebraska (+16); Under

 
Posted : February 26, 2013 9:15 am
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Jimmy BoydFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Illinois-Chicago +1FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The Illinois-Chicago Flames are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 home games against a team with a winning road record while the Wright State Raiders are 1-6 in their last 7 games against a team with a winning record. The Flames are also 11-3 ATS against teams holding their opponents to 42% or less from the field this season. The Flames already beat Wright State back on January 26th with a 55-49 final score. That game was played on the Raiders home court so it seems unlikely that Wright State will be able to reverse their fortunes playing round two of this matchup on the road. The Raiders offense has struggled in road games averaging 60.1 points per game with 31 total rebounds and only 7 of those coming on the offensive glass. Illinois-Chicago plays well at home and they have already proven they know how to beat Wright State. Getting a free point here is a gift from the oddsmakers.

 
Posted : February 26, 2013 11:29 am
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Sean HiggsFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Wyoming vs. Air ForceFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Play: UnderFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Wyoming's season has fallen apart since their leading scorer was injured in a bar brawl. The free fall will continue as I think they will have a hard time scoring here. Wyoming has gone under in 12 of its last 15 overall and 11 of its last 14 vs MWC opponents.

 
Posted : February 26, 2013 11:30 am
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Golden State Warriors vs. Indiana Pacers
Play: Indiana PacersFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The Pacers are on quite the roll. They have won their last 4 games by a combined margin of 108 points. The largest such margin since 2001. Indiana has Star forward Danny Granger back and have controlled this series here winning and covering 12 of the last 16, including 5 straight. The Pacers are also a solid 9-1 straight up and to the spread off a division game and have covered 8 of 10 this month. Golden St has failed to cover 4 of 5 on Tuesday and are just 1-5 straight up and ads in the 2nd half vs winning teams. Look for the pacers to get the win and cover here tonight.

 
Posted : February 26, 2013 11:31 am
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David ChanFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Auburn vs. Alabama
Pick: AuburnFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Situational Analysis
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Auburn will be looking to rebound after losing a listless 88-55 contest at Mississippi on the 23rd. Shaquille Johnson had 18 points.
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Alabama is coming off a crushing 97-94 triple OT loss at LSU on the 23rd. Trevor Releford had 36 points; Rodney Cooper chipped in 18.
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Statistical Analysis
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Note that Auburn is 11-8 ATS as an underdog this year, and 10-7 ATS vs. teams with winning records.
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Note that Alabama is just 2-9 ATS at home this season, and 0-2 ATS after allowing 80 points or more.
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Pick Analysis
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These teams last played on February 6th, and the Tigers would come away with a convincing 49-37 victory. Eight of the Crimson Tide's 14 SEC games have been decided by four points or less. Expect another battle here, and consider a second look at the visitors in this one!

 
Posted : February 26, 2013 11:33 am
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Marc LawrenceFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Auburn vs. AlabamaFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: AlabamaFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The Iron Bowl resumes in Tuscaloosa Tuesday night where Alabama hosts Auburn with revenge on the minds of the Tide from a 12-point loss suffered earlier this year at the Auburn Arena. Setting the table is the fact that Bama arrives off a SUATS loss at LSU on Saturday. That's because the Tide is 6-0 SUATS as a host in this series when playing off a SUATS loss. With that, look for the Crimson to even the slate here tonight. We recommend a 1-unit play on Alabama.

 
Posted : February 26, 2013 11:34 am
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Will RogersFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Colorado vs. San JoseFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: San JoseFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The San Jose Sharks have had a tough schedule in the month of February, and they have lost nine of 10 so far this month. They might be able to get back on tack on Tuesday, coming off two days of rest, hosting a Colorado team playing in a 3-in-4 situation.
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Here are my keys to the game:
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1: Fatigue - The Avs play their final game of a three game West Coast swing, already suffering back to back losses to the Kings and the Ducks. This will be their third game in four nights, and they may be a little weary on the road.
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2: Injuries - The Avs did get Gabriel Landeskog back after missing time due to a concussion, but he still isn't 100 percent, and hasn't made much of an impact since his return. Their blueline is still without Erik Johnson and Ryan Wilson. Ryan O'Reilly is unsigned, as the Avs leading scorer from last season has yet to lace up the skates this year.
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3: Situational/Motivational - The Sharks are at home, well rested, and they have intentions of breaking out of a slump and getting back into a playoff spot in the Western Conference. The Avs are looking forward to finishing off this road trip, and returning home to Denver. While they are in San Jose to play the Sharks, their minds might already be back home in Colorado.

 
Posted : February 26, 2013 11:35 am
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Jesse SchuleFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Milwaukee vs. DallasFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: DallasFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The Mavs lost their last game at home to L.A., but they didn't miss by much. Kobe Bryant's 38 points were just too much for Dallas to overcome, and they went on to lose a close one by a score of 103-99. Dirk Nowitzki was also on top of his game, scoring a season-high 30 points.
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While the loss to the Lakers was disappointing, the Mavs have to be encouraged by the play of their star player. If Dirk can play with that level of intensity for the remainder of the season, the Mavs are going to be tough to beat, especially in "Big D".
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Dallas will host the Milwaukee Bucks on Tuesday night, and the Bucks have really struggled, with just one win in their last eight games. It isn't going to get any easier in Dallas tonight, taking on a Mavs team that is looking to bounce back from a loss. Dallas has been a good bet in such situations, with a record of 8-0 ATS in it's last eight games coming off a loss. The Mavs have also feasted on the leagues poorer teams, with a record of 8-1 ATS in their last nine against teams with a losing record.
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Nowitzki is averaging 21.6 points on 54.2% shooting in his last five games, and he's also 10-of-14 from beyond the arc during that span. Dallas has won all but one of the last nine meetings with the Bucks in Dallas, and that trend should continue on Tuesday.

 
Posted : February 26, 2013 11:36 am
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Bruce MarshallFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Auburn vs. AlabamaFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: AlabamaFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Alabama has no room for error, or risk slippage from its precarious perch on the edge of the Big Dance bubble. And, with a heavy dose of revenge vs. its most-hated rival in mind after a woeful performance in its ugly 49-37 loss at Auburn Arena Feb. 6, must anticipate a focused effort from host Alabama. But can we lay points with the Tide, just 1-9 as chalk in Tuscaloosa? Considering the various dynamics involved, we might risk it, especially since Bama is eager to rinse the bad taste from the previous meeting vs. the Tigers, when the Tide “O” went on the blink for nine shutout minutes in the second half, and Anthony Grant’s bunch hit just 28.6% from the floor in root canal special. Auburn’s efforts have gotten steadily worse in five losses in a row (especially Saturday’s 88-55 blowout loss at Ole Miss) since that first meeting. Tide star G Trevor Releford at least enters in top form after his 36-point effort went for naught in Saturday’s bitter triple-OT loss at LSU.

 
Posted : February 26, 2013 11:37 am
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Stephen NoverFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Minnesota +6.5FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Yes, I realize Minnesota opening with 15 wins in its first 16 games is a distant memory. The Gophers have lost eight of their past 11. Their bad stretch began with an 88-81 road loss to Indiana on Jan. 26. The Gophers nearly came back from a 23-point deficit in that matchup.
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The Gophers have gotten blown out in their last two games, losing on the road to Ohio State and Iowa. The Gophers have turned the ball over a combined 41 times in those two games while shooting just 32.6 percent from the field.
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But Minnesota is much better at home, has played a difficult schedule (17th in the Ratings Percentage Index rankings) and this is a circle-the-wagons, let-everything-hang game. The Gophers know they need a good showing to regain their confidence and get back off the mat not to mention keep them firmly on the bubble for the NCAA Tournament. A blowout home loss would look bad.
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The Gophers have beaten Michigan State and Wisconsin at Williams Arena during the past three weeks. The Spartans are ranked ninth and Wisconsin is 17th, respectively, in the latest The Associated Press Top 25 poll.
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Indiana is No. 1. The Hoosiers are in a bit of if not a letdown spot at least a situation where their motivation doesn't figure to be as high as Minnesota's. The Hoosiers won a hard-fought 72-68 road battle at Michigan State in their last game to give them a two-game lead in the loss column over the Spartans for the Big Ten Conference crown.
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On the injury front, senior forward Rodney Williams, the Gophers' second-leading rebounder and third-leading scorer, has recovered from his shoulder soreness and will start. Indiana guard Victor Oladipo, who is second in scoring for the Hoosiers, isn't 100 percent due to a sprained ankle.
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This is the Big Ten. Desperate home teams protect their turf. The Gophers are in that spot. They've beaten Top 20 teams at home and they can hang in here against the best.

 
Posted : February 26, 2013 11:39 am
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Tony GeorgeFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Dallas -5.5FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Dallas a hot mess and could not beat the Laers BUT Milwaukee is a team they match up well against and the Bucks in a free fall losing 3 in a row and 8 out of their last 10 games. Dirk looking back to top form and Dallas is a GREAt team off a loss, they have cashed 8 in row ATS after a SU loss. Dallas is only 3-7 ATS in this series and the Bucks have covered 15 out of 20 in this series, I see that trend reversing tonight.

 
Posted : February 26, 2013 11:40 am
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Dave CokinFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Loyola Chicago at DetroitFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: Loyola ChicagoFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Detroit had a chance to put itself into the at-large mix at Wichita State on Saturday. Instead the Titans squandered the opportunity and their only path to the Dance now will be in the Horizon tourney. I can see this being a major letdown spot for a team that has trouble playing 40 minutes on a regular basis. Loyola is no bargain, but the Ramblers should be able to compete here against a host that even on Senior Night figures to have trouble being focused. Big points available, and I'll take them with Loyola.

 
Posted : February 26, 2013 11:41 am
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Jim FeistFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Bobcats at ClippersFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: UnderFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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LA is a vastly improved defensive team from a year ago, 4th in the NBA in points allowed and ranked 5th in the NBA in field goal shooting defense allowing .438% shooting. The under is 8-3 in the Clippers last 11 games vs. a team with a winning percentage below .400. It won't be hard to shut down the Bobcats, a dismal offensive team a long way from home, 24th in the league in scoring and one that shoots 42% as a team -- dead last in the NBA. They are on a 10-3 run under the total and the under is 38-15-2 in the Bobcats last 55 road games vs. a team with a home winning percentage of greater than .600. Play the Bobcats/Clippers under the total.

 
Posted : February 26, 2013 11:42 am
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Don Best ConsensusFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Minnesota Timberwolves at Phoenix Suns
Pick: Minnesota TimberwolvesFOREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Timberwolves are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 Tuesday games. Suns are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games overall. Minnesota is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a losing S.U. record.

 
Posted : February 26, 2013 11:43 am
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