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Orlando at PhiladelphiaFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: Orlando +9.5FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The Orlando Magic have discovered life without the big guy in the middle isn't very pleasant. The Magic are on a woeful 1-17 run in their last 18 games, and just 3-15 ATS. The Philadelphia 76ers are far from a playoffs-caliber team this season, and without Andre Iguodala they have found out that he was an important cog to their success. The Sixers are also no bargain of late either as they are on a five-game skid. The offense has managed no more than 93 points in any of the five games, and regardless of the opponent the number here is simply an overlay. The Magic have been huge when following a 10+ point loss at 43-21-1 ATS in their last 65. Take the points, and play on Orlando.
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Auburn +11½ -109 over ALABAMAFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Auburn is 9-18 overall while the Crimson Tide are 18-9 and that discrepancy in each clubs’ W/L record has this one grossly overpriced. Another factor influencing this line is that Alabama figures to be sky high here in an attempt to get on the NCAA bubble. However, we can’t get on board with this pedestrian Alabama team that has offensive problems, that is coming off a triple OT loss to LSU and that is just 2-9 ATS on its home court.
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Auburn is 5-3 ATS on the road. The Tigers certainly matched up well enough with ‘Bama just 20 games ago in an ugly 49-37 victory at home. If these two teams play another low-scoring game, and the total of 118 suggests just that, it makes this big of a spread even tougher to cover. Auburn would love nothing more than to send this Crimson Tide group to the NIT Tournament as oppose to the main event. The change of venues is not significant enough to expect Alabama to win by 12 or more after losing by eight to this club.
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TENNESSEE +8½ -106 over FloridaFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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It may seem like a tough call to fade this Florida team but the Gators actually haven't been meeting point-spread expectations all month, as they're 2-5 ATS in February and it's pretty clear that the oddsmakers have not caught up to them yet. We’re always on the lookout for ranked teams favored on the road against unranked opponents and this is another one of those games in which the ranked team is overvalued. With a two game lead in the conference and just four games left, the Gators are likely to lack intensity here, as they pretty much have the SEC locked up with home games against Alabama and Vandy on deck.
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Tennessee has won and covered its last five games and has the look of a live underdog again here. The Volunteers are 2-0 as home underdogs this year, beating Wichita State 69-60 back in December and repeating the feat on Feb. 16 by romping over Kentucky 88-58. Florida is still the superior team but considering that the Gators are expected to be without Will Yeguete and Michael Frazier II and will have to rely on an inexperienced bench in a game that doesn’t mean a whole lot to them, expect Tennessee to stay well within this range with a chance to pull the upset..
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Pass NBA
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Dallas -109 over COLUMBUSFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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OT included. Despite an OT loss in Nashville last night and blowing a two goal lead twice, the Dallas Stars remain high on our list. Let’s not ignore that Dallas still scored four goals in Nashville and have run its streak of three goals or more to 10 consecutive games. This team is so loaded offensively that Michael Ryder is third on the RW depth chart. Ryder has 14 points in 19 games after scoring 35 goals a season ago. Frankly, it’s hard to envision the Stars getting outscored here by the offensively challenged Jackets.
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Columbus returns home from a grueling six game road trip in 10 nights. Columbus won once in Detroit on said trip with the power-play connecting one time in 22 opportunities. The Jackets also lost Brandon Dubinsky in the game against the Red Wings and subsequently lost their final two games of the trip while scoring just one time. The future looks bright for the Jackets because of a slew of high draft picks in the upcoming, player rich, junior draft. However, this season is proving to be a serious struggle and in a difficult scheduling spot, this isn’t likely going to be one of those games that Columbus picks up an infrequent win. Dallas is hungry and vastly superior and this price allows us to utilize that.
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Winnipeg +145 over N.Y. RANGERSFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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OT included. The Rangers have been this year’s biggest disappointment. They were supposed to be a lock to get into the playoffs and contend for the Cup. Instead, they’ll be trying to avoid their longest losing streak in two years and it’s no mystery as to why. The Rangers lack grit. They don’t have those key role players like Brandon Prust, Sean Avery, John Mitchell and Brandon Dubinsky to get dirty in the corners and create opportunities in front of the net like last season. The Blue Shirts have become a soft team that gets pushed on most nights. New York’s production is also tailing off with just five goals scored in its past four games and while the Rangers will get some healthy bodies back tonight, Rick Nash is not one of them and now Ryan McDonagh, the Rangers best shut down defender, joins Nash on the rack.
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The Jets’ Achilles Heel last year was their inability to win on the road. It cost them a playoff spot but they appear to have learned from that experience and are now playing significantly better on the road. Winnipeg concludes its five-game trip here with a chance to win its fourth game of the trip after defeating Buffalo, Carolina and New Jersey. The Jets play hard every night and even when they lose, it’s by the narrowest of margins. Five of Winnipeg’s last seven losses have been by one goal and the other two were by a pair of goals. This is a feisty Winnipeg team that was swept by the Rangers in four games last season. A lot has changed since and the Jets should prove that here.
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Colorado +150 over SAN JOSEFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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OT included. Since opening the season with seven straight wins, the Sharks have been the NHL’s worst team. However, this price doesn’t come close to reflecting that. San Jose has one win in its past 10 games. They’ve scored two goals or less in seven straight and one goal or less in five of those. The Sharkies return home from a six game trip here and that’s rarely the right time to be playing a favorite. San Jose began its trip in Columbus on Feb. 11 and lost 6-2 to the Jackets. Instead of responding to that embarrassment, things got worse. This is more than a slump as the team appears lifeless over this 10 game timeframe and it’s difficult to predict if they’ll snap out of it.
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The Avalanche are coming off back-to-back losses in Los Angeles and Anaheim, the latter in OT this past Sunday. Those are two of the hottest opponents in the league. Prior to that, the Avs won two in a row, defeating Nashville and St. Louis while winning three of four. Colorado has scored 19 goals in its past six games and they continue to offer up decent value. In 17 games played by both clubs, San Jose has one more win than the Avalanche. The Sharkies may shake these doldrums but their issues could also be deep rooted. Taking back a tag like this makes it worthwhile to find out.
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Dallas Mavericks -5.5FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The Mavericks are coming off a heartbreaking 99-103 loss at home to the Lakers on Sunday, which only adds value to them tonight against a struggling Milwaukee squad. Dallas simply can't afford to lose this game at home if they want to seriously have a shot at making the playoffs. The Bucks are just 1-7 in their last 8 games and have lost four straight on the road. Milwaukee hasn't had a whole lot of success against the Western Conference, going just 5-13 ATS in their last 18 games. The Bucks are an even worst 3-13 ATS in their last 16 games vs the Southwest division. Dallas continues to be a great to back as they are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 games, 8-0 ATS in their last 8 games following a loss and 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games vs a team with a losing record.
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Chicago Bulls -6.5FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The Cavs don't match up well with Chicago, and the result has been one blowout loss after another in the series. The Bulls have won 10 straight in the series with each of the last eight wins coming by double digits. Chicago has won this season's three meetings by 29, 10 and 26 points. Cleveland also catches the Bulls at a bad time. They were blown out by 30 at Oklahoma City Sunday and will be looking to take their frustrations out on the Cavs as a result. Consider that plays against teams that are out for revenge for at least two straight double-digit losses to an opponent, provided that opponent checks in off a road loss of 10 points or more, are 55-24 ATS the last five seasons. In addition, the Cavs are on a 25-48 ATS slide when out for revenge for a loss of 10 points or more to an opponent. The Cavaliers are 0-7 ATS in the last 7 meetings. Lay the points.
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Carolina at WashingtonFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Play: WashingtonFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Carolina travels to Washington tonight in a battle of Southeast division foes. The story here is the breakout game from Alex Ovechkin, where he netted a hat trick and an assist in a 5-1 win over New Jersey Saturday night. Is this the spark the star forward needed to turn his and Washington's season around? Any time you give a goal scorer like Ovechkin confidence it could spell disaster for opponents. The Capitals have won four of their last six games and did it with the NHL's second best power play which scores at a 28.8% clip. They should have plenty of special teams chances tonight against a Carolina team ranked 24th on the PK killing off just 76.8% of its penalties. Despite a decent start, Carolina has lost three of its last four games and comes into Washington tonight without a lot of depth. The Jeff Skinner injury has really kept them from being as offensively explosive as they are capable of and throw in the injuries to Gleason, McBain, and Pitkanen and the Hurricanes have been shorthanded from the better part of February. These are two teams that have been headed in different directions of late which puts us on the home side.
David Banks
Chicago Bulls -7
The Chicago Bulls (32-24, 24-32 ATS) are actually facing a team that they have proven they can score against when they host the Cleveland Cavaliers (18-38, 28-27-1 ATS) at the United Center in Chicago, IL on Tuesday night at 8:05 ET in a game carried on NBA TV. The Bulls rank 28th out of 30 NBA teams in points scored overall this season and they have actually shot the ball worse at home, accounting for their modest 15-13 straight up and abysmal 7-21 ATS record in the Windy City. Chicago also scored just 72 points at Oklahoma City Sunday, but it has looked like the Bulls of old when facing the defensively challenged Cavaliers this year.
In fact, the Bulls have dominated the Cavaliers for several seasons now, going a perfect 10-0 straight up in the last 10 meetings and 7-0 ATS in the last seven matchups. Yes, much of that was with Derrick Rose in the lineup, but Cleveland is one of the few teams that Chicago has continued to flourish against even without Rose, who has stated publicly that he "would not mind" sitting out this entire season as he recovers from his torn ACL suffered in the first game of last season's playoffs. The Bulls are 3-0 vs. the Cavs this year, averaging a whopping 109.3 points in those three triumphs while winning by an average of +21.7 points! This is from a team averaging 92.5 points for the year. Furthermore, Chicago is averaging an atrocious 90.9 points on just 42.6 percent shooting here at home this season, and yet in the only home meeting with Cleveland, the Bulls obliterated the Cavs 118-92 while shooting 53.7 percent (44-for-82) from the field, playing at a pace more closely associated with a team like Houston than with Chicago, which ranks 27th in the league with a pace rating of only 92.0 possessions per game. Moreover, the first time these teams met this season in Cleveland way back in November, the Bulls shot what is still an NBA season-high 63.8 percent (44-for-69) in a 115-86 blowout. Unfortunately for the Bulls' sake, they cannot face Cleveland every game!
The Cavaliers have topped 100 points in three straight games and they have one of the more exciting young players in the NBA in Kyrie Irving, but they have been unable to solve the stiff Chicago defense this season, averaging a measly 87.7 points in the three meetings. The Cleveland defense on the other hand has not been able to stop anyone, with the normally poor shooting Bulls included. That is because the Cavaliers are allowing 101.2 points per game while ranking dead last in the NBA in field goal percentage allowed at a generous 47.7 percent and 28th out of 30 teams in three-point defense at 38.1 percent. As poor as those numbers are, the Cavs have actually been slightly worse on the road allowing 102.0 points per game on an atrocious 48.5 percent shooting, and they are surrendering 49.1 percent shooting over the last five games.
The Cavaliers are 5-17 ATS in their last 22 games vs. divisional opponents. The Bulls are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games following an ATS loss and 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games after scoring less than 75 points in their previous game.
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Tennessee + over FloridaFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Florida delivered a dominant revenge performance against Arkansas over the weekend, through they failed to cover in that game. The Gators are clearly the top team in the SEC at 12-2 in conference play, holding a two game cushion over Kentucky and Alabama with four games to go. A big game with Alabama is up next which could make the season's lone meeting with Tennessee a game that is overlooked in between two huge games. Tennessee has quietly pushed its way on to the NCAA Tournament bubble with five straight wins in conference play and despite 10 losses; a high quality non-conference schedule keeps the Volunteers in play. Tennessee is 11-3 S/U at home this season and all four of the losses for Florida have come away from home. The overall road schedule for Florida has been exceptionally weak, losing in every true road games against a quality team with only minor wins over Florida State and Texas A&M standing out as decent road wins. This will also be a third road game in the last four games for the Gators and this is a season making opportunity for Tennessee with its lone chance against the likely SEC champion and a potential NCAA Tournament #1 or #2 seed. Tennessee won both meetings with the Gators last season and Florida has covered just seven times in the last 22 meetings of this series. The statistics for Florida are impressive but Tennessee is a deep team that rebounds well and will limit the outside shooting opportunities for the Gators. Look for the Volunteers to keep this game tight in what should be the biggest game of the season in Knoxville.
Brad Wilton
Tuesday night's free play will be to ride the Tigers of Memphis as they look for their 19th straight win at the expense of the Xavier Musketeers.
Second straight February these non-conference teams will face one another, as Xavier dropped a 72-68 decision last season, but did cover as the +5 point road dog in Memphis.
Deja Vu tonight, as Xavier is once again a +5 point dog, but the problem is, this year's Musketeers team is just 15-11 and are fresh off blowing a 13-point home halftime lead against VCU over the weekend in a 4-point loss.
I have a feeling the Musketeers will be a little deflated after that setback, and the fact the Tigers have covered in 4 of their last 5 wins tells me they are peaking right now.
Memphis has not lost a true road game this year, going 7-0 straight up going 5-2 against the spread in those 7 wins.
Playing the Tigers to extend their winning streak with the comfortable road win.
2* MEMPHIS
Jeff Benton
For Tuesday, freebie on Tennessee plus the points at home versus Florida.
I am guessing the Vols are getting this many points partly because they are fresh off Saturday's four overtime road win at Texas A&M, but I think this is just too many points for the Gators to lay on the road tonight.
Florida has dropped their last pair against the spread, and is on a 2-5 overall spread slide their last seven games.
Tennessee has been just the opposite, as their current five game win and cover streak has the Vols Big Dance dreaming, especially if they can extend that streak to six in a row tonight.
Don't laugh, with series wins in the last pair and six of the last ten straight up, have to give the points and the Volunteers a real shot to stay close, especially in Knoxville where they have won five of their seven SEC games this year.
Take Tennessee to put up a fight with the points tonight as your Tuesday freebie.
1* TENNESSEE
Brett Atkins
Wright State is much better than the team we saw lose 70-58 to Evansville at home
in the final BracketBuster. And even though the Raiders have lost two of three now, I'm still stuck no the team that is 9-5 in league play and on the brink of a 20-win season. Just two more wins until they get there, and my free pick is on them getting their 19th victory tonight.
This is a huge revenge game for Wright State, you see. The Raiders had swept the season series three years in a row before losing to Illinois-Chicago at home, 55-49, back on Jan. 26.
Wright State couldn't get their offense on track, and trailed 26-14 at halftime. The Raiders shot just 2-of-19 from 3-point range in the game, and it's near impossible to have just as bad a game. And even though these two are tied for last place in the Horizon League in scoring with 61.9 points per game, the Raiders rank first in scoring defense (58.6). I'm confident we're going to see that stringent D tonight.
Lay the single road point in this one tonight.
2♦ WRIGHT STATE
Craig Davis
Tuesday night's comp play is Minnesota as the home underdog versus #1 Indiana.
I realize this isn't a popular pick, but with games coming up against Ohio State and Michigan, we might catch the Hoosiers in a bit of a "look ahead" spot here tonight.
Don't get me wrong, I don't believe Tom Crean has been preaching anything but "focus on the Gophers" since their last game, but the kids are human and they know what lies ahead should be tougher than what's in front of them tonight.
Having said that, Minny plays a lot better at home than they do on the road, and if you remember the last time these two teams met, the Gophers feel like they figured out the Hoosiers in the second half and nearly stormed all the way back from a HUGE deficit to win... or at least be in the position to win at the end.
Indiana was ranked 5th and the Gophers 8th the last time these two met at the end of January in Bloomington. Minnesota was 15-1 at the time and had just destroyed Michigan State the previous week... so they were riding high coming into that game.
Well Indiana led at one point, 47-21 and the game looked like it was going to be a laugher. Minnesota smothered the Hoosiers with defense and three-point shooting in the second half, but came up short in an 88-81 loss. What they did in the second half, though, has to be a shot in the arm of confidence, knowing they can play with this team.
With the crowd behind them, they have a shot to beat anyone in the country at home... despite their last two horrendous, double-digit losses at Iowa and Ohio State.
Don't be surprised if the Gophers pull the upset, but I'm happy enough just taking the points in this one.
3♦ MINNESOTA
Chris Jordan
My free winner for tonight is going to be on the Indiana Hoosiers, laying points inside Williams Arena in Minneapolis, to the Minnesota Golden Gophers. Admittedly, I thought about using Indiana as a premium selection, after all, it's covered four of its last five trips to The Barn.
But, you see, I was one of the very few advocating how good the Golden Gophers are this season two months ago. Cracks me up everyone jumping on them now, bunch of johnny-come-latelys who are riding coattails. Minnesota is well-coached team, one that nearly erased a 23-point deficit on the road in mid-January during a visit to Bloomington, Indiana.
But even though the Gophers look like a safe bet to make next month's dance, I'm not sure they make out that sweetened round without a true point guard, inconsistent outside shooting and a suspect bench. I mean, sure, they cracked the Top 10 at one point this season, but when the competition elevated in conference play, they've suffered their lumps.
And right now they look like a team lacking confidence, and I think Tubby Smith's tongue-lashing proves there is frustration with the team right now.
I'm going to take a shot here, laying the touchdown sans an extra point to a beleaguered basketball team that might lose this one by 10 tonight.
All Hoosiers.
2♦ INDIANA
Scott Delaney
My free winner for tonight is going to be on the Memphis Tigers, as they open a three-game road swing in Cincinnati, and lay the points in their non-conference clash with the Xavier Musketeers.
Memphis (24-3, 13-0 C-USA), which moved up to No. 19 spot in the current AP poll, comes in to this game riding an 18-game win streak. The Tigers haven't lost since Dec. 15, when they fell to No. 6 Louisville.
So even though Xavier (15-11, 8-5 A-10) has won three of its last five games, I don't think this is the right time to step out of conference. Besides, Memphis brings a perfect 7-0 road record into tonight's game. It is the nation's only team with an undefeated road record. Actually, the last time the Tigers dropped a road game was at Southern Miss on Feb. 1, 2012, as they hold the nation's current longest road win streak at 11 straight.
Memphis has also covered five of seven on the road and is on a 4-1 ATS win streak overall, while the Musketeers are suffering through a 1-5 ATS slide versus non-conference teams.
Lay the road chalk.
1♦ MEMPHIS
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JOE WIZ FREE PLAY
Under 199 L.A. and Charlotte.
Jim Feist FREE SERVICE PLAYS
Bobcats/Clippers under the total.
DCI Pro Basketball
The Daniel Curry Index
L.A. CLIPPERS 107, Charlotte 87 = 194
Game 515-516: Charlotte at LA Clippers (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Charlotte 109.586; LA Clippers 123.328
Dunkel Line & Total: LA Clippers by 13 1/2; 193
Vegas Line & Total: LA Clippers by 16; 199
Dunkel Pick: Charlotte (+16); Under
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Jack Jones
15* Chicago Bulls -6.5
DCI Pro Basketball
The Daniel Curry Index
CHICAGO 99, Cleveland 89
DUNKEL INDEX
NBA
Dunkel Pick: Chicago (-7)
Dave Price
Chicago Bulls -6.5