Free Picks: Service Plays for Tuesday February 5

DUNKEL INDEX

NCAAB

Florida State at Georgia Tech
The Seminoles look to build on their 6-1 ATS record in their last 7 games at Georgia Tech. Florida State is the pick (+3) according to Dunkel, which has the game Even. Dunkel Pick: Florida State (+3)

Game 511-512: Wake Forest at North Carolina (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Wake Forest 55.320; North Carolina 71.338
Dunkel Line: North Carolina by 16; 143
Vegas Line: North Carolina by 12; 147 1/2
Dunkel Pick: North Carolina (-12); Under

Game 513-514: Purdue at Penn State (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Purdue 60.116; Penn State 58.146
Dunkel Line: Purdue by 2; 129
Vegas Line: Purdue by 2 1/2; 125
Dunkel Pick: Penn State (+2 1/2); Over

Game 515-516: Villanova at DePaul (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Villanova 63.585; DePaul 58.426
Dunkel Line: Villanova by 5; 142
Vegas Line: Villanova by 3; 145
Dunkel Pick: Villanova (-3); Under

Game 517-518: Youngstown State at Cleveland State (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Youngstown State 55.796; Cleveland State 49.733
Dunkel Line: Youngstown State by 6
Vegas Line: Youngstown State by 2
Dunkel Pick: Youngstown State (-2)

Game 519-520: Central Michigan at Akron (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Central Michigan 43.526; Akron 67.724
Dunkel Line: Akron by 24
Vegas Line: Akron by 19
Dunkel Pick: Akron (-19)

Game 521-522: Boston College at Miami (FL) (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston College 59.200; Miami (FL) 76.991
Dunkel Line: Miami (FL) by 18
Vegas Line: Miami (FL) by 13 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Miami (FL) (-13 1/2)

Game 523-524: Florida at Arkansas (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Florida 76.738; Arkansas 67.379
Dunkel Line: Florida by 9 1/2; 142
Vegas Line: Florida by 11 1/2; 137
Dunkel Pick: Arkansas (+11 1/2);

Game 525-526: Evansville at Bradley (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Evansville 57.085; Bradley 59.305
Dunkel Line: Bradley by 2 1/2
Vegas Line: Bradley by 1 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Bradley (-1 1/2)

Game 527-528: Wichita State at Southern Illinois (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Wichita State 63.435; Southern Illinois 50.596
Dunkel Line: Wichita State by 13
Vegas Line: Wichita State by 10
Dunkel Pick: Wichita State (-10)

Game 529-530: Missouri State at Northern Iowa (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Missouri State 54.910; Northern Iowa 68.362
Dunkel Line: Northern Iowa by 13 1/2
Vegas Line: Northern Iowa by 12 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Northern Iowa (-12 1/2)

Game 531-532: Illinois-Chicago at Valparaiso (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Illinois-Chicago 52.587; Valparaiso 61.927
Dunkel Line: Valparaiso by 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Valparaiso by 12
Dunkel Pick: Illinois-Chicago (+12)

Game 533-534: Kansas State at Texas Tech (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas State 66.145; Texas Tech 56.281
Dunkel Line: Kansas State by 10
Vegas Line: Kansas State by 11 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Texas Tech (+11 1/2)

Game 535-536: Florida State at Georgia Tech (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Florida State 61.477; Georgia Tech 61.704
Dunkel Line: Even
Vegas Line: Georgia Tech by 3
Dunkel Pick: Florida State (+3)

Game 537-538: Ohio State at Michigan (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Ohio State 71.563; Michigan 80.805
Dunkel Line: Michigan by 9; 129
Vegas Line: Michigan by 7 1/2; 133
Dunkel Pick: Michigan (-7 1/2); Under

Game 539-540: South Carolina at Kentucky (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: South Carolina 59.300; Kentucky 72.026
Dunkel Line: Kentucky by 12 1/2; 144
Vegas Line: Kentucky by 17 1/2; 139 1/2
Dunkel Pick: South Carolina (+17 1/2); Over

David ChanFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Golden State vs. Houston
Pick: HoustonFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Golden State is 30-17 SU and 27-19-1 ATS; it's coming off a 113-93 win over Phoenix as a 10.5 point fav on the 2nd. As good as the Warriors have been playing of late, take note that they haven't won in Houston in over five years.

Stephen Curry would lead the charge vs. the Suns, scoring 29; Andrew Bogut contributed 11 points, seven boards and three blocks.
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It's interesting to note though that Golden State is 0-3 ATS this year when playing with two days of rest.

Houston is 26-23 SU and 25-23-1 ATS; it's coming off a 109-95 win over Charlotte as a 12 point fav on the 2nd.
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The Rockets have won five of seven, including four of five, while averaging 112.6 points in the process.

James Harden continues his strong season, finishing with 21 points, 11 boards and 11 assists; Chandler Parsons and Patrick Patterson finished with 24 apiece.
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The Rockets would use their size down low, outscoring the Bobcats 58-32 in the paint, while also winning the rebound battle 50-35.

And note that not only is Houston 15-9 ATS at home this year, but it's also 4-2 ATS as a home fav of 3 points or less.
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With a tough game on the road in Oklahoma City tomorrow night, I believe the Warriors get caught looking ahead to that contest, and the Rockets continues their strong push in front of the home town crowd!

Bruce MarshallFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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South Carolina vs. KentuckyFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: South CarolinaFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Number likely rising after latest South Carolina stinker at home vs. Georgia on Saturday, while UK seeking to make a move onto firmer Selection Sunday footing as Coach Cal’s many diaper dandies begin to mature into forces (C Nerlens Noel doing a nice Anthony Davis impersonation lately on the stop end). But we’re going to draw the line in the low teens, because precocious UK has yet to cover a number vs. SEC opposition at Rupp Arena this season, and SC coach Frank Martin is at least receiving enhanced contributions lately from football-playing G Bruce Ellington (10.3 ppg) and frosh F Michael Carrera (15 ppg last two).

Marc LawrenceFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Golden State vs. HoustonFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: HoustonFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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When the Rockets host the Warriors in this key Western Conference clash in Houston the hosts will take the court knowing they are 14-2 SU and 11-5 ATS of last in this series, including 7-1 ATS the last eight here. Meanwhile Golden State enters off a 20-point romp at home over Phoenix Saturday night knowing they are just 7-171 ATS in games off a victory of twenty or more points, including 1-10 ATS when facing a .530 or less opponent. With that we'll let the numbers work once again here tonight. We recommend a 1-unit play on Houston.

Scott SpreitzerFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Phoenix Suns at Memphis GrizzliesFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Prediction: Memphis GrizzliesFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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I went against Memphis in their first game after making the trade that sent Rudy Gay packing and we cashed with Oklahoma City in blowout fashion. But the Grizzlies bounced right back next time out with a win and cover over Washington, holding the Wizards to 76 points. Tayshaun Prince just keeps plugging along and didn't miss a beat in his first game with Memphis. Now I expect Prince to get even more playing time, maybe even as a starter. The Grizzlies are "nasty" inside and should slam the door on Phoenix inside on one end, while having little trouble on the offensive interior. The cool thing about Memphis is that they can "go small" with a three guard lineup, then change on a dime to a big lineup, which will cause losing teams like Phoenix, fits. The Suns are 4-20 SU on the road this season, allowing 113, 110, and 108 points to their "hosts" in their last three away from home. The Suns are 5-17 SU in their last 22 games, overall, and their last four road losses came by an average of 16 ppg. Phoenix is on a 7-21 ATS slide against teams that outscore their opponents by at least 3 ppg, and they're 2-11 ATS when playing at least eight games in 14 days. Meanwhile, the Grizzlies are on a 49-27 ATS run when playing just their second game in five days under Lionel Hollins. More of the same. I'm laying the points with Memphis on Tuesday.

Jimmy BoydFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Michigan -7.5FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Motivation won't be a problem for the Wolverines here tonight. They are coming off just their second loss of the season on Saturday when they went into Indiana and took a 73-81 defeat. Plus, they will be revering their first loss of the season, a 53-56 setback at Ohio State.
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Despite only losing by three points, that was an uncharacteristically bad game for Michigan. This team shot just 38.3% from the field and 6-for-20 from behind the three point arc. Ohio State shot 87.5% from the line in that game. If you look at those shooting numbers, if these teams shot their "normal" numbers I think Michigan would have pulled of the home win. Now when you add in the revenge factor and home court advantage it should translate to an easy win and cover tonight for the Wolverines.

Rob VincilettiFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Milwaukee Bucks vs. Denver NuggetsFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Play: Denver NuggetsFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Denver has 3 days of rest for this one and has owned the series vs Milwaukee of late going 4-0 straight up and ats the last 3 seasons. The Nuggets are a Perfect 7-0 straight up and ats in games where the total is 210 or higher. The Bucks are 0-3 straight up and to the spread in games with a total of 210 or more and 4-15 ats vs North West Division teams. The Bucks are also 3-8 ats vs teams who average 99 or more points. Denver also fits a nice 76% system that pertains to well rested teams that have been off 3 or more days. Looks like Bucks in the headlights for Milwaukee tonight. Take Denver.

Dave CokinFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Boston College vs Miami FloridaFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: Boston CollegeFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Miami has gone from what was a pretty well kept secret to a contender to roll deep into March. The Hurricanes are good and they've got a savvy vet running the show in Jim Larranaga. The long ago Providence College star was under the radar for years at Bowling Green and George Mason, but got famous when he guided the amazing Colonials to the Final Four a handful of years ago. The 'Canes are 17-3 against a spectacularly tough schedule and they have a legit shot to be a #1 seed in March. They are also the vastly superior team here. Boston College is a nondescript entry and their most positive trait is grit. The Eagles are the second best team on the court in virtually all ACC games, but they fight tooth and nail almost every night. As a result, BC has been a pretty good spread team. Tonight's game is not close on paper. But it's a dead spot of sorts for Miami, as the 'Canes are off a vital road win at NC State with a big date against North Carolina on deck. Clearly, this is a plus scheduling spot for the underdog. The bad news is that the oddsmakers are just as smart as us bettors think we are, and they've input these dynamics into the number. The game power rates to Miami -17, but it opened -15 and got bet down to -14. That said, it's also a spot where Miami figures to not be at its sharpest, so I'm still siding with the dog. Just let it be said I'm doing so with the knowledge I'm not getting full value in the process. But Boston College plus the points still gets my vote to hang within the spread.

Jim FeistFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Phoenix at Memphis
Pick: UnderFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Phoenix is less a run-and-gun team than in the recent past, 19th in the NBA in scoring. The under is 21-7 in the Suns last 28 games playing on 2 days rest. They head to Memphis, a team adjusting on offense after trading their leading scorer last week, Rudy Gay. This team relies on defense, on a sizzling 20-8-1 run under the total! The under is 14-5 in the Grizzlies last 19 home games and when these teams meet the under is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings. Play the Suns/Grizzlies under the total.

JR O'DonnellFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Arkansas +11FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Tonight's ESPN slammer goes to the Mike Quails led Razorbacks who have been a better ball club since he has been bang'n the boards..Power rated @ Gators - 7.8 points ... Ole Miss a better ball club + 17.5 vs these Gators l game..now a 11 point dog here @ home .... Fla Wins ...Hogs Cover... Razorbacks are 14-6 ATS in their last 20 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Home team is 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings.

Bones Best Bet

Panthers / Jets OVER 5.5 +101 *1.5 Units*
Welcome to the land of Goals Against, please check your defensemen at the door. These teams are two of the worst teams in the league when it comes to goals allowed per game. These teams combined allow 7.63 goals per game, when the total is only 5.5, they would need a defensive miracle to allow three less goals then their average. The over is also 11-5 for these teams this season, and has hit 7 times in their last 8 meetings. We are all OVER this one, mind the pun!

Devils ML -103 *1 Unit*
The Rangers are getting too much respect here for a 4-4 hockey club. We understand they are under performing, but the Devils have played great hockey this year, and sport a 4-1-2-1 record, good for 5th in the East. Add to that the Devils have won 3 in a row between these teams, and the Rangers are 1-4 in their last 5 against the Devils, as well as in New Jersey. The Devils also have a 2-0-1 record at home while the Rangers are just 1-2 on the road.

Blues PL -1.5 +185 *1 Unit*
The Blues have already beaten the Predators twice this year, including 3-0 at home. They get to play them at home again tonight. The last 2 times the Predators have come to St. Louis they have been blanked 3-0. The Predators have lost 4 in a row to St. Louis, and are struggling to win games this year going 3-2-0-3. The Blues on the other hand are 6-2 on the season, including 3-0 at home. We love the Blues here.

Kings -0.5 (IN REG) +109 *1 Unit*
If this was last year, the Kings would be -170 ML. The Kings are struggling, but there is no better team to turn it around against then the Blue Jackets, who are terrible. The Kings have won 4 of their last 5 in Columbus. They have also beaten Columbus 7 of their last 10 meetings. Steve Mason looks to start as well, which bodes well for us - he sucks.

ONE SIMPLE PARLAY - Two big favorites, one big payoff.

Senators ML + Red Wings ML +175 *1 Unit*
The Senators are at home to the Sabres, a team that has dropped two in a row to teams they normally win against. It's not just that, it's the way they lost those games - they gave up a 2 goal lead to one of the worst teams in the league, the Panthers. The game before that they didn't even show up to play against the Canadiens. Now they are playing their 3rd game in 4 nights. Add to that the Senators are playing some good hockey this year, despite some recent goal scoring troubles - Anderson (confirmed starter) has still not allowed more than 2 goals in a game. The Senators have also taken 3 of 4 from the Sabres. Calgary has just one win this season, while the Red Wings are 4-3-1. They are also 3-1 at home, while the Flames have not won a game on the road so far this season. The Flames are 2-7 in their last 9 meetings against Detroit - keep in mind those Flames teams were much better then this current squad. The Red Wings are rested have have won 2 of their last 3 games. This is a really nice parlay.

Senators -1 +133 *1 unit*

PLAYING THE DOGS - The goal here is to win one and make money, win both and we're laughing.

Lightning ML +105 *0.75 Units*
The Lightning have scored 5 goals in each of their last 3 games against the Flyers, winning each of them. They have taken 4 of 5 from the Flyers, and are 3-1 in their last 4 in Philadelphia. Tampa also sports one of the best records in hockey, starting the season 6-2, while the Flyers are struggling at 3-6.

Islanders ML +130 *0.75 Units*
Unbelievably the Islanders have won 3 in a row against the Penguins and are actually playing some pretty good hockey this year. We love this number for a home team that have already beaten the Penguins in Pittsburgh this year.

Charlie Sports

South Carolina Gamecocks at Kentucky Wildcats
Play: South Carolina Gamecocks

The (12-9) South Carolina Gamecocks of the SEC will take on the (15-6) Kentucky Wildcats also on the SEC in 2013 NCAA Basketball action. The road team is 16-7 Against The Spread the last 23 meetings between the teams. The over is 16-5 the last 21 meetings betwee nthe teams. South Carolina is 3-1 ATS their last 4 on the road. The Wildcats are 0-3 their last 3 ATS at home. South Carolina gets the road cover.

Matt Fargo

Boston College at Miami Florida
Pick: Boston College

Matt is coming off a Monday split. In February, he a SOLID 11-5 while going an EPIC 23-11-2 +$10,220 last 7 days! For Tuesday he extends his AWESOME 32-19 NBA run with a 10* Enforcer and he adds to his 10-5-2 CBB run with an Ultimate Underdog! The NHL resumes with a Big Bite Beatdown and altogether spells a PERFECT 3-0 SWEEP! Miami has now won nine straight games including all eight in the SEC following a big road victory at NC State on Saturday. The Hurricanes are now on a breather alert following four straight wins since facing Boston College in the first meeting this season. An additional problem is the fact that Miami has a rematch with North Carolina on deck for Saturday putting it in a tough sandwich spot here. The Hurricanes won that first meeting over the Eagles by only a point so they will not be taking them lightly but at the same time, I can see a far from focused effort as just coasting along to get the win here is a definite possibility. Boston College is coming off a win at home against Clemson on Saturday to mover to 2-6 in the ACC. The Eagles have been more than competitive though as they are 5-3 ATS in those games as this is the biggest number it has seen in conference action and by a big amount. Miami is a perfect 7-0 ATS at home so the linesmakers had to adjust and this is the first time all season the Hurricanes are favored by double-digits. Being undefeated in the ACC and undefeated against the number at home will do that. Also, we play against favorites of 10 to 19.5 points that are coming off a road win by three points or less, with a winning record on the season playing a losing team. This situation is 63-33 ATS (65.6 percent) over the last five seasons.

Ray MonohanFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Milwaukee Bucks vs. Denver NuggetsFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Play: Denver NuggetsFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The Nuggets have long been one team at home and another on the road. This year they are 20-3 SU in Denver with a very strong 15-8 ATS record. They are also entering this game on a 6 game winning streak and have won 8 of 10. They have been crushing people too as only 2 of those 6 games were within 10 points. That's a lot of momentum for a mediocre Milwaukee team to overcome. They are solid on the road this season but I don’t like the matchup of their top scorer Jennings against jet quick Ty Lawson. In fact I don’t like a lot of the matchups in a game that will have more flow than they normally prefer.