Free Picks: Service Plays for Tuesday, March 12

DUNKEL INDEX

NCAAB

DePaul vs. Rutgers
The Blue Demons look to take advantage of a Rutgers team that is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games against teams with a losing record. DePaul is the pick (+3) according to Dunkel, which has the Scarlet Knights favored by only 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: DePaul (+3)

Game 567-568: Princeton at Pennsylvania (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Princeton 58.597; Pennsylvania 51.544
Dunkel Line: Princeton by 7; 120
Vegas Line: Princeton by 5; 124
Dunkel Pick: Princeton (-5); Under

Game 569-570: Seton Hall vs. South Florida (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Seton Hall 57.393; South Florida 58.852
Dunkel Line: South Florida by 1 1/2; 120
Vegas Line: Pick; 115 1/2
Dunkel Pick: South Florida; Over

Game 571-572: DePaul vs. Rutgers (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: DePaul 54.821; Rutgers 56.094
Dunkel Line: Rutgers by 1 1/2; 141
Vegas Line: Rutgers by 3; 145
Dunkel Pick: DePaul (+3); Under

Game 573-574: Nevada vs. Wyoming (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Nevada 53.466; Wyoming 55.101
Dunkel Line: Wyoming by 1 1/2; 124
Vegas Line: Wyoming by 3 1/2; 119 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Nevada (+3 1/2); Over

Game 575-576: Seattle vs. Texas State (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle 50.185; Texas State 47.180
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 3; 142
Vegas Line: Seattle by 4; 147
Dunkel Pick: Texas State (+4); Under

Game 577-578: TX-San Antonio vs. San Jose State (11:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: TX-San Antonio 45.626; San Jose State 44.078
Dunkel Line: TX-San Antonio by 1 1/2; 133
Vegas Line: TX-San Antonio by 4 1/2; 127 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Jose State (+4 1/2); Over

Game 579-580: North Dakota State vs. South Dakota State (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: North Dakota State 55.963; South Dakota State 60.603
Dunkel Line: South Dakota State by 4 1/2; 135
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 581-582: Wright State at Valparaiso (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Wright State 56.676; Valparaiso 66.780
Dunkel Line: Valparaiso by 10; 125
Vegas Line: Valparaiso by 7 1/2; 121 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Valparaiso (-7 1/2); Over

Game 591-592: Coppin State vs. Bethune-Cookman (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Coppin State 41.704; Bethune-Cookman 43.826
Dunkel Line: Bethune-Cookman by 2
Vegas Line: Bethune-Cookman by 3 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Coppin State (+3 1/2)

Game 593-594: Florida A&M vs. North Carolina A&T (6:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Florida A&M 39.431; North Carolina A&T 47.548
Dunkel Line: North Carolina A&T by 8
Vegas Line: North Carolina A&T by 6
Dunkel Pick: North Carolina A&T (-6)

Game 595-596: Howard vs. Delaware State (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Howard 38.839; Delaware State 42.990
Dunkel Line: Delaware State by 4
Vegas Line: Delaware State by 4 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Howard (+4 1/2)

Game 597-598: Mt. St. Mary's vs. LIU-Brooklyn (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Mt. St. Mary's 51.871; LIU-Brooklyn 57.401
Dunkel Line: LIU-Brooklyn by 5 1/2; 152
Vegas Line: LIU-Brooklyn by 3 1/2; 155 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LIU-Brooklyn (-3 1/2); Under

Marc LawrenceFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Memphis Grizzlies at Portland Trail Blazers
Prediction: Portland Trail BlazersFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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When Portland hosts Memphis in the Rose Garden Tuesday night in NBA play the Trailblazers will be looking to avenge a 6-point defeat suffered 6 days ago in Elvis' hometown. That's good news for Blazers' backer considering they are 9-2 ATS the last 11 games when seeking same season loss revenge. Portland is also 6-0 ATS the last six games in this series. With the Grizzlies nice and fat off an 11-point home revenge victory over New Orleans on Saturday, it's the Trailblazers turn tonight. We recommend a 1-unit play on Portland.

Matt FargoFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Anaheim Ducks at Minnesota Wild
Play: Minnesota WildFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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If it wasn't for the history making start for Chicago, Anaheim would be sitting comfortable in first place in the Western Conference with its 39 points. The Ducks are in second place by a wide margin however and at the midway point, they are certainly one of the bigger surprises in the NHL. They are 11-1 at home which has certainly been the catalyst of the strong start and while the road play has been very good as well, this is where they are vulnerable. Anaheim is coming off a three-game homestand and going back its last 10 games, the host is a perfect 10-0 including three losses on the road. Minnesota has quietly put together a fantastic run after an inconsistent start as it is 7-3 over its last 10 games with all of those losses coming on the road. The Wild have put together a 5-0-1 home record over their last six games at Xcel Energy Center including a big 4-2 win over Vancouver on Sunday which was a double-revenge winner after losing to the Canucks twice prior. That win pushed the Wild into a first place tie with Vancouver in the Northwest Division as well. Minnesota will again be out for double-revenge as it has lost both meetings this season to Anaheim but both of those were on the road. The change of venue is in favor of the Wild as they are 8-2 against the moneyline in their last 10 home games against teams averaging 2.85 or more gpg over the last two seasons. Anaheim meanwhile is just 3-16 against the moneyline in its last 19 road games after playing a home game.

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New Orleans Hornets vs. Brooklyn NetsFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Play: Brooklyn NetsFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The Nets come back home off a tough loss at Philadelphia. The are 3-0 at home with no rest of late and fit a nice system here. We want to play on home favorites with no rest that were road favorites of 5 or more last night and scored 90 or more, vs an opponent that scored 90 or less as a home favorite of 4 or less. These home teams are 9-0 straight up with 8 spread wins. The Hornets have failed to cover 3 of the last 4 on the road vs the Nets and are just 2-6 ats vs Atlantic Division games. The Hornets have struggled with winning teams losing 25 of 34 while the Nets have won 20 of 24 vs teams under .500. Look for the Nets to bounce back with a win and cover tonight.

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San Antonio Spurs vs. Minnesota Timberwolves
Play: Minnesota TimberwolvesFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The Spurs are a great team , but after coming from behind for a win last night against arch rival OKC, will be on tired legs tonight in Minnesota and in a slight let down mode. I know the Wolves, are not even remotely as talented as Spurs, but grabbing close to DDs with a home team in the NBA can be a smart choice in this type of situation! Spurs are 3-8-1 ATS in their last 12 games following a ATS win.Home team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings

Jim Feist

San Antonio Spurs at Minnesota Timberwolves
Pick: Minnesota Timberwolves

San Antonio is without sparkplug guard Tony Parker and doesn't get fired up to play bad teams: The Spurs are 4-9-1 ATS in their last 14 games vs. a team with a winning percentage below .400. This is a tough scheduling spot, as well, the second of a back to back spot after facing Oklahoma City last night in a West showdown. This is the 4th home game over the last 5 games for rested Minnesota and the home team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings. Play the Timberwolves.

Dave CokinFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Texas San Antonio vs San Jose StateFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: Texas San AntonioFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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It has been a tale of two seasons for San Jose State. The Spartans were never going to be a powerhouse, but they had been playing okay ball. Then came the James Kinney incident, and since their star got suspended, San Jose State has been perfect...they've lost every game. Not only that, but since Kinney's departure, this team is shooting an amazing 32% and we're not talking about on three-pointers. That's their overall FG percentage, which is actually kind of unbelievable. I don't have much positive to say about the opponent, either. But at least they've won a few games, and I'm figuring that they might have a little more interest. But this is entirely about fading an awful San Jose team, so I'll make UTSA minus the points the free play.

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Orlando +8FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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We know Orlando is terrible. The Magic just might be the worst team in the NBA if not for Charlotte. But if there's one game the Magic and their fans will be sky high for it's this matchup against former teammate Dwight Howard.
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If the season ended now, the Lakers would be in the playoffs. This is their first of three straight road games. They are dealing with a three-hour time difference and have far more challenging games ahead of them playing Atlanta on Wednesday and the Pacers on Friday.
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So if not a letdown by the Lakers at least the backdoor figures to be open for Orlando. The Lakers are not a good road team having lost 20 of their 31 away matchups going 11-19-1 ATS. They are 6-14-1 ATS when facing a foe with a winning percentage of below .400.
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Orlando has just six home games left after this one. The Magic only have 18 victories, but one came against the Lakers, 113-103, at Staples Center on Dec. 2. Howard was just nine-of-21 from the foul line. Howard is shooting a career-low 47.8 percent from the foul line.
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It's not inconceivable the Magic send him to the line at least 20 more times. The Lakers were minus 17 when Howard was on the floor during the first meeting with Orlando.

David ChanFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Nevada vs. WyomingFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: WyomingFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Situational Analysis
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Nevada is coming off a 77-66 loss at Colorado State on March 9th. Deonte Burton had 27 points.
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Wyoming has had a few extra days to absorb its 78-56 loss to Colorado State on the 6th. Larry Nance Jr. had 16 points; Derrious Gilmore added 12.
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Statistical Analysis
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Note that Nevada's offense is ranked seventh in the Mountain West, averaging just 67 PPG.
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Note that Wyoming is ranked second in the league in three-point defense at 28.6 percent.
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Pick Analysis
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These teams played twice this year. Wyoming won 59-48 in Nevada on January 12th. Wyoming also beat the Wolf Pack 68-49 in front of the home town crowd on February 13th. And now these two face each other in the conference tournament's first round. To put it bluntly, this is simply a horrible matchup for the Wolf Pack, who were outplayed in all phases in their regular season setbacks. The Pokes have in fact won eight straight in the series, and I expect that mark to be added to here; consider a second look at Wyoming in this one!

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Boston vs. CharlotteFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: CharlotteFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The Charlotte Bobcats have lost 10 straight, and they return home after suffering a loss on the road in Washington on Saturday. The Celtics are in Charlotte coming off a loss at Oklahoma City on Sunday that snapped a five game win streak. Boston appeared to be down and out when Rondo went down, but the old men continue to get the job done for the Celtics.
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Here are my keys to the game:
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1: Line Value - Charlotte is 5-2-1 ATS over the past eight head to head meetings with Boston, and they won the last meeting outright. Charlotte won that game at home earlier this year by a score of 94-91, and they have won 3-of-7 versus Boston since 2011.
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2: Situational/Motivational - The Bobcats don't win many, but they might put up a fight in this game though, playing at home against an opponent that they have enjoyed success against in the past. With the Celtics coming off a big loss to the Thunder, they may a little sluggish in a pretty meaningless road game against an inferior opponent.
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3: X-Factor - Kemba Walker scored 29 points in a losing effort against Washington on Saturday, and the Bobcats will look to Walker for offense in this game. The last time the Bobcats managed to win a game outright, it was Walker who led the way scoring 20 points in a 108-101 win over Detroit, The Bobcats will need Walker to be at his best if they want to win this game.

Bruce MarshallFORFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Vancouver vs. ColumbusFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: ColumbusFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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What’s this? The Blue Jackets on a hot streak? Yes, it's five win in a row for the Jackets and a 5-0-2 streak their last seven as they prepare to entertain the Canucks tonight. What gives? Try GK Sergei Bobrovsky, who has stopped 124 of 128 shots in his last five games for a .969 save percentage. In the one-week period of Monday through Sunday (March 4-10), Bobrovsky was 4-0 with a 0.77 GAA and .972 save percentage. Although four of Columbus’ wins have been at home during the current streak, the good news is that they’re playing their next five games at Nationwide Arena as well. Meanwhile, Vancouver enters on an 0-2-2 slide and has not dropped five straight since Jan. 9-31, 2009. The Canucks have scored two or fewer goals in every contest of this skid, falling 4-2 at Minnesota on Sunday. Cory Schneider has started in goal during Vancouver's last three games and five of the past six, so HC Alain Vigneault might opt to instead go in goal with Roberto Luongo, still on the trading block. Luongo, who hasn't played since March 3 at Calgary, is 0-3-1 with a 2.49 GAA in his last four starts at Nationwide Arena since his lone win at Columbus way back on Oct. 6, 2006.

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Toronto vs. WinnipegFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: WinnipegFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The Leafs are 15-10-1 overall this year, and 9-5 on the road. They've lost two straight, and with a date vs. the Penguins at home on Thursday night, I believe get caught looking ahead to that contest. And the reason Toronto will have its mind on Pittsburgh is because it's coming off a frustrating, and demoralizing 5-4 OT loss to the Pens on Saturday. Toronto has looked horrible defensively over its last six outings, giving up a combined 24 goals. Winnipeg plays with revenge here after losing 3-2 at home to the Leafs back on February 7th. The Jets are coming off a tough 3-2 overtime loss at New Jersey on Sunday, and will be eager to atone on their own ice. No rest for the wicked though, as Winnipeg has the Rangers on deck on Thursday, before a game in Toronto on Saturday. Here's a great opportunity for the home side to avenge the earlier loss, against a Leafs team that is getting lit up left, right, and center! Lay the short price.

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Toronto at WinnipegFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: Winnipeg -125FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The Winnipeg Jets have played inside out so far on the season, meaning that they have fared better on the road than at home. That should offer some value here, as anytime you can win on the road the wins are going to follow at home. The Jets' defense was pourous early on as they allowed an average of 4 goals per contest in their first eight games, but in their 16 games that have followed, only two teams have even reached 4 goals. Toronto is the team right now struggling on the defensive end. The Maple Leafs have lost two straight and over their last six games, they have allowed 4 or more goals in five of them. Toronto is also just 3-9 in their last 12 off two days rest. Play on Winnipeg.

Larry NessFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Memphis vs. PortlandFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: PortlandFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The Memphis Grizzlies are holding opponents to an NBA-low 89.4 PPG and that defense has allowed them to win 12 of their last 13, losing only to the Heat (doesn’t everyone?). Memphis is now 42-19 and just one game back of the 45-20 Clippers for the No. 3 seed in the West. The Grizzlies haven’t much missed Rudy Gay (17.2-5.90, even though neither Prince, Davis nor Daye (the three players acquired in that trade) have contributed all that much. The “Grizz” have even kept winning with Randolph (15.7-11.6) missing the last four games with an ankle problem but reports are he’ll return here, joining Gasol (14.1-7.9) to give Memphis arguably the NBA’s best one-two inside combo in the league. The Blazers are 29-33 (tied with Dallas) and currently sit three games back of the 33-31 Jazz and Lakers for that final playoff spot. I, like most, figure the Blazers won’t make the postseason this year, but I won’t ignore Portland's 7-1-1 ATS mark this year as a home dog. Portland has won three consecutive home meetings and SEVEN of its last nine against the Grizzlies. I’ll back them again here.