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Free Picks: Service Plays for Tuesday, March 12

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Bryan PowerFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Washington vs. ClevelandFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: WashingtonFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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After their best month of the season, Cleveland has predictably started to "give some back" and now that they'll be without superstar Kyrie Irving, expect them to continue give even more back. Tonight finds them hosting a Washington team that comes to town looking for double revenge. This will be the first time this year the Wizards get to face Cleveland with John Wall in the lineup...
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The Wizards were also playing their best basketball of the season in February, but they too started to give some back with five straight ATS losses prior to beating sorry Charlotte on Saturday. That too was a double revenge spot for the Wiz. Here, they get the Cavs without Irving, a major plus considering he'd averaged 27.5 PPG in the two earlier meetings with Washington. In those first two matchups, one of which came on Opening Night, it was the Wizards without their best player. Now the shoe is on the other foot. Another thing to consider is Washington's amazing 16-1 ATS mark when seeking revenge for a home loss.
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With no Irving and just 4-13 ATS the last 17 times they've been a home favorite of three points or less, I don't give Cleveland much of a chance here. Even better would be if Bradley Beal returned for the Wizards.

 
Posted : March 12, 2013 11:41 am
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Jimmy BoydFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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San Jose State +4½FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The San Jose State Spartans are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games against a team winning 40% or less of their games on the season. They are also 4-1 ATS in their last five neutral court games. The Spartans already beat UTSA in an 80-67 game on San Antonio’s home court back on December 31st.
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Over the last two seasons San Jose State is 9-1 ATS when they failed to cover the spread in two or more consecutive games. The Spartans are led in scoring by Chris Cunningham who is coming off a 17 point 7 rebound performance in their last outing against Texas State. San Antonio is not a very talented team so Cunningham should have another big game and lead his team to victory over the Roadrunners.

 
Posted : March 12, 2013 11:41 am
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Freddy WillsFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Nevada +3FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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We lost for the first time in a while on our POD yesterday and today we just don't see any value out there and it gives us the perfect opportunity to let our formulas tune as we get ready for the stretch run. I'll offer a free play where I see value here on Nevada out west against Wyoming who they have lost to twice already this season. Well the third time is a charm. Vegas views these two teams about 2.5 points apart based on recent common opponents. I'm only getting a half point value, but I feel the motivation behind Nevada is enough to give me value here. No team likes to lose to an opponent 3 times in one season and I expect Nevada to avoid that. Wyoming is just far too reliant on it's three point game and they were one of the worst % wise in the nation. Nevada meanwhile is a much better shooting team from three and also gets to the FT line more and shoots nearly 72%. In their home game vs. Wyoming they simply just had a bad shooting game, but they are still the better rebounding team as well thus giving us good value. Stay tuned for Wednesday where our NCAAB POD will likely be back in action.

 
Posted : March 12, 2013 11:42 am
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Steve JanusFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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DePaul +4FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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This may seem like an easy spot to jump on the favorite, considering DePaul finished just 2-16 in conference play compared to Rutgers at 5-13. However, one of the Blue Demons two conference wins this season came against the Scarlet Knights, as they held on for a 75-69 win at home.
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As many of you are aware, Rutgers is going to be without their leading scorer Eli Carter, who was lost for the rest of the season back in February. The Scarlet Knights only win without Carter came in the regular season finale win over Seton Hall. It was actually against DePaul that Carter was injured. He scored just 4 points in that game and his loss clearly played a role in the outcome of that game. Not only do I think the Blue Demons will cover, I like them to win this game outright!

 
Posted : March 12, 2013 11:43 am
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Jesse SchuleFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Lightning / Panthers Over 5½FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The Lightning have all the talent in the world, but they can't win hockey games simply because they can't stop other teams from scoring. They took a two goal lead into the third period at home on Saturday, but then surrendered three unanswered goals to Montreal, and the Habs went on to win 4-3.
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Rookie netminder Cedrick Dejardins was between the pipes for that game, after getting called up from the American Hockey League. He's since been sent right back where he came from after failing to deliver in his season debut. Anders Lindback will get the nod for tonight's game in Florida, and the 24 year old Swede has been a huge disappointment this season.
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The good news for the struggling Lightning is that they face a Florida team that is even worse off tonight. Florida is one of only three teams that have allowed more goals than Tampa, and they rank last in the league in that category. Given the fact that Tampa ranks among the highest scoring teams in the league, while Florida is by far the worst defensive team in the league, and it doesn't appear to bode well for the Panthers.
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Scott Clemmensen has the dubious distinction of having the highest GAA in the NHL, putting up a rather swollen average of 4.28 goals per game. The Panthers only other option at the moment is 23 year old Jacob Markstrom, who hasn't been a lot better. He's allowed eight goals over his last two starts, and the Panthers have lost five of six with Markstrom between the pipes.
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Steven Stamkos is the NHL's leading goal scorer, and he's likely to have a big night against the weak goaltending of the Florida Panthers.

 
Posted : March 12, 2013 11:44 am
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John RyanFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Wright State +8½FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The simulator shows a high probability that Alpo will lose this game by fewer than six points and has a great shot at winning the Championship and advancing to the NCAA Tournament. Given this projections, I like playing this game with a 7.5* amount using the line and a 2.5* amount using the money line. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 113-58 ATS for 66.1% winners since 1997. Platy on neutral court teams as a dog (WRIGHT ST) off a win against a conference rival and now facing an opponent off a home no-cover where the team won straight up as a favorite. Valpo was placed as the top seed in the bracket with Wright State seeded third. Wright State first defeated Youngstown State 66-59 and then had a war with second seed Detroit winning 56-54. Alpo had a double-bye and had to fight extremely hard just to defeat four seed Green Bay 70-69. Of course, Alpo wants to win and so do all the other ‘bubble teams’ Wright State would take away one of those bubble spots with a win as Alpo is almost guaranteed a big to the Tournament. I have them projected as a 12 or 13 seed. So, Wright State clearly knows they MUST win for their season to continue and that is certainly a big edge to have against a superior opponent. I truly believe that Wright State has the defense to contain Alpo and use turnovers and missed shots to generate fast break scoring opportunities in transition. Wright State ranks 17th allowing 58.4 PPG, 17th allowing 9.9 assists per game, and ninth posting a 0.627 assists-to-turnover ratio. Take Wright State.

 
Posted : March 12, 2013 11:45 am
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SPORTS WAGERSFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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DePaul +3½ over RutgersFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The final game of the first round of the Big East tourney (played at Madison Square Gardens) is not exactly a marquee matchup but that doesn’t mean an opportunity doesn’t exist. DePaul is coming off another lousy year in which it lost 15 of its final 16 games. However, they did play some close one’s including two OT losses to Notre Dame. The problem for the Blue Demons has been a defense that is ranked in the bottom 30 in the country in several categories. Offensively, DePaul is very capable. Its 72 points per game average ranks third in the powerful Big East and we’re not sure the Scarlet Knights can keep pace.
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Rutgers was already offensively challenged before leading scorer Eli Carter was lost for the year in mid-February. The Scarlet Knights’ two wins over their final 15 games both were against Seton Hall. Against the horrible defense of the Pirates, Rutgers scored 55 and 57 points respectively in those two contests. Rutgers has nowhere to turn. They go cold for long stretches every game and that allows the opposition to go on some serious runs and while defense usually prevails over offense, the discrepancy here is too large to overcome. Spotting points with poor clubs that can’t score does not work out well too often.

 
Posted : March 12, 2013 11:46 am
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SPORTS WAGERSFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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COLUMBUS +133 over VancouverFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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OT included. The Canucks have lost four in a row and six of their past seven games. Vancouver is not only losing, it is losing to struggling teams like Minnesota, San Jose, Nashville and Calgary. Throw in a disturbing 8-3 loss against Detroit and for the Canucks, this is more than just a slump. Vancouver is thin at the all-important center position. The offense appears stuck in neutral. Unlike previous years, when the Canucks fell behind by a goal or two, they often rallied. This season, they don’t have it in them to come from behind and even holding a lead is becoming a challenge. The Canucks will now play their third road game in succession before heading home to face Nashville and Detroit.
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After reeling off five consecutive wins, the Jackets are just four points out of a playoff spot. Of the Jackets’ 12 losses, nine of them have been by one goal. Columbus plays with grit, they’re now playing with confidence and they’re scoring goals. In terms of current form and state of mind, give a significant edge to the Columbus Blue Jackets. Playing at home doesn’t hurt either and we also like that Roberto Luongo is the confirmed starter. This line is based on previous years, not this one.
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WINNIPEG -½ +135 over TorontoFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Regulation only. Give the Maple Leafs credit for being a tough out in just about every game this season. They’ve also been terrific on the road with nine wins in 14 games. The Leafs are one of few teams that have not endured any significant losing streaks this season but the second half may bring about a different tale. Casual observers see a Toronto club that is seventh in goals per game and has cut its goals against dramatically from last season. We can’t overlook that the Leafs are outshot more heavily than all but one other NHL team (Edmonton) and have a shooting percentage that’s abnormally high (10.3 per cent at even strength). That strongly indicates Toronto’s record will not hold up in the long run.
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Winnipeg is just 4-6 at home but six of its next eight games will be played at the MTS Center, where they dominated a season ago. Sitting just two points out of a playoff spot, this now becomes the Jets most crucial stretch of the season. On February 7th, Toronto came in here and skated off with a 3-2 win. The Leafs managed just 18 shots on net and scored three times on 10 scoring chances. This time around, it’s an unfavorable spot for the Maple Leafs having just played Boston and Pittsburgh and having Pittsburgh up again on Thursday. The MTS Center will be the loudest building in the NHL on this night and we trust the Jets to respond against this overrated guest.
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Los Angeles +111 over PHOENIXFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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OT included. The Coyotes are favored largely because they’ve been off since Saturday while the Kings will play their third game in four days and tail-end of back-to-backs. That’s all well and good but it won’t work for us. If there is a team that is stronger than the Kings, we have not seen them yet. Los Angeles has scored five times or more in four of its past eight games. The Kings were losing games early in the year due to poor goaltending but seldom do they get outplayed. Instead, L.A. continues to dominate games more than any other team and that includes the Blackhawks. With 12 wins in its past 14 games, Los Angeles will now face a team they own, having defeated the Coyotes four straight in Phoenix and in five of the past six meetings overall. Expect more of the same here.

 
Posted : March 12, 2013 12:33 pm
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Wunderdog

Boston at Charlotte
Pick: Boston -10.5

The Charlotte Bobcats were the worst team in the NBA a year ago. They had high hopes as they opened this season at 7-5. They have reverted back to the horrible team they are, having gone 6-45 since. This team has an eye-opening stat, as testament of just how uncompetitive they are. Charlotte has the dubious distinction of losing more games by double-digits than any other team in the NBA at 30! Boston feared its season may be over after Rajon Rondo went down with a torn ACL. It has actually been a blessing. Rondo is a great player, but often termed a "cancer" in the locker room and is showing some truth to that. Boston has stepped-up and is 14-5 ATS sine his departure. Take the Celtics.

 
Posted : March 12, 2013 12:33 pm
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Sammy PFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Los Angeles at PhoenixFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Play: OverFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Los Angeles comes into Phoenix tonight playing tremendous hockey. They are starting to display the same winning qualities that won them the Stanley Cup last season. They've gone 9-2 in their last 11 games and have climbed back into the Western Conference playoff race. They have been getting the job done offensively getting contributions all throughout their lineup which has led to a major shift towards the Over for this club. Five of their last six games have gone Over the total. Phoenix has seen similar Over trends lately as well as they've gone 6-2 to the Over in the past eight games. These teams played a 4-2 game earlier in the season and I expect more of the same tonight. Los Angeles is playing the back end of a back-to-back situation here after a grueling 3-1 win on its home ice last night versus the Flames. I see no reason for either of these teams to slow down tonight. It may be only a matter of time before we see some 5.5 totals pop up in Kings games, and I feel very comfortable with this lined at 5 with minimal juice in a situation where I think the betting marketplace hasn't caught on to the recent high octane run both of these teams are on.

 
Posted : March 12, 2013 12:40 pm
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Jeff Alexander

DePaul +3.5

Rutgers can't be trusted laying this many points on a neutral floor, especially against a team it lost to by 6 during the regular season. The Scarlet Knights are a dismal 4-14 ATS as a favorite the last 2 seasons. DePaul has lost 6 in a row SU and ATS but is a perfect 6-0 ATS the last 3 seasons when playing away from home after failing to cover the number in 5 or 6 of its last 7. The value lies with DePaul here.

 
Posted : March 12, 2013 3:29 pm
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Dave Price

Orlando Magic +8.5

The Lakers are being overvalued on the road. We're talking about a team that is just 11-20 SU and ATS on the road this season. The Lakers will be out for revenge here as they were upset by 10 points as a 13.5-point home favorite in the first meeting. However, they are only 1-12 ATS the last 2 seasons in road games when out for revenge for an upset loss to an opponent. Shockingly, they have lost by an average of 7.7 points in this spot. Orlando is just 18-46 on the season, but the Lakers haven't exactly taken care of business against bad teams. In fact, they are a soft 6-20 ATS the last 2 seasons against bad teams with winning percentage of 25% to 40%. They have defeated these teams by only 2.2 points on average. The Magic have shown some life lately. They are 2-2 SU and 3-1 ATS in their last 4 with one of the losses coming by a single point to Miami. Take the points.

 
Posted : March 12, 2013 3:29 pm
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Jack Jones

Portland Trail Blazers +2

The Portland Trail Blazers should not be an underdog at home to the Memphis Grizzlies tonight. Portland is 20-10 SU & 16-12-2 ATS in all home games this season. The Rose Garden remains one of the most underrated home courts in the league.

The Blazers are fighting for their playoff lives at 29-33 on the season. They have no room for error from here on out, so they won't be taking any nights off. You can bet that they'll be laying it all on the line tonight to get a win over the Grizzlies.

Portland has played Memphis tough this season. It won 86-84 on the road on January 4th in their first meeting, and lost 85-91 on the road on March 6th in their second meeting after blowing a 50-38 halftime lead. The Blazers will want this game more as they'll be out for revenge from that defeat less than a week ago.

The home team has won six of the last seven meetings in this series. Portland has won each of its last three home meetings with Memphis, including a pair of 13-point victories. The Blazers are 18-7-1 ATS in their last 26 meetings with the Grizzlies. The underdog is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings.

The Blazers are 10-2-1 ATS in their last 13 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. The Grizzlies are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games playing on 2 days rest. Portland is 6-1-1 ATS in its last 8 games overall. The Blazers are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 home games. Bet Portland Tuesday.

 
Posted : March 12, 2013 3:30 pm
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Red Dog Sports

Wyoming -3

Take Wyoming -3 as the Cowboys have been off and have had a chance to get healthy. They are well coached by former Clemson head man Larry Shyatt and get points/rebounds from Larry Nance, Jr. whose dad also was at Clemson. Take Wyoming -3 even though this game is being played in the state of Nevada.

 
Posted : March 12, 2013 3:30 pm
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Don Best Consensus

Seattle vs Texas State
Pick: Texas State

Texas State is 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games vs. a team with a losing S.U. record. The Bobcats are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games vs. a team with a winning percentage below 40%.

 
Posted : March 12, 2013 3:31 pm
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