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Free Picks: Service Plays for Tuesday, March 2,2010

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SPORTS ADVISORS

COLLEGE BASKETBALL

(9) Villanova (23-5, 17-10 ATS) at Cincinnati (16-12, 7-16 ATS)

Villanova returns to the court for the first time since Saturday’s humiliating loss at Syracuse when it travels to Fifth Third Arena for a Big East battle with the Bearcats, who are in need of a marquee win to boost their Tournament resume.

The Wildcats jumped out to a quick lead at Syracuse but couldn’t sustain it and eventually got rocked 95-77 as a 4½-point road underdog. Villanova has followed up a 12-game winning streak – including nine consecutive Big East victories – by going 3-4 over its last seven contests, including 1-3 SU and ATS on the road. Also, the Wildcats are just 2-6 ATS in their last eight games after starting the season by cashing in 15 of their first 19 contests.

Cincinnati has failed to gain any traction since opening the Big East season with consecutive wins over UConn and Rutgers, dropping nine of its last 15 games (3-11 ATS in lined action). On Saturday, the Bearcats went to No. 8 West Virginia and built a six-point halftime lead, only to fall 74-68, though they did cover as a 13-point road underdog. Cincy is 5-3 in Big East home games, but 0-8 ATS. Going back to Dec. 10, Cincinnati has failed to cover in nine straight lined contests at Fifth Third Arena.

The home team has won the last three meetings in this budding rivalry and is 4-0 ATS in four clashes since Cincinnati joined the Big East in 2005-06. Last year, Villanova rolled 71-50 as an 11½-point chalk. The Wildcats have won three of the four meetings (2-2 ATS), all as a favorite.

Not only is ‘Nova 1-4 ATS in its last five games (all in conference), but it has failed to cover in five of its last seven versus winning teams. Similarly, Cincinnati is mired in a slew of pointspread slumps, including 7-20 overall, 0-9 at home, 5-18 versus Big East foes, 1-10 after a SU loss, 0-4 after a spread-cover, 4-14 against winning teams and 1-4 on Tuesday.

The high-scoring Wildcats are on “over” streaks of 16-6 overall, 6-1 on the road, 6-2 after a non-cover and 7-2 after a SU defeat. The over is also 4-1 in Cincy’s last five at home, but the Bearcats are also on “under” runs of 5-2 on Tuesday, 7-3 after a defeat and 9-4-1 following a non-cover. Finally, the last three meetings in this rivalry have stayed low.

ATS ADVANTAGE: VILLANOVA

(13) Vanderbilt (22-6, 14-12 ATS) at Florida (20-9, 13-11 ATS)

The Commodores hit the road for the second time in three days when they head to the O’Connell Center looking to damage Florida’s Big Dance hopes in a key SEC clash.

Vanderbilt suffered a heartbreaking two-point home loss to then-No. 2 Kentucky on Feb. 20, but it rebounded last week with consecutive league wins over Georgia at home (96-94 in overtime on Thursday) and Arkansas on the road (89-72 on Saturday). In the victory over the Razorbacks, the Commodores cashed as a two-point road favorite, but they’re still just 3-6 ATS in their last nine games.

The Gators ran their winning streak to three in a row with last Tuesday’s 75-62 home rout of No. 19 Tennessee to move off the Tournament bubble. But they got right back on that bubble Saturday by losing 78-76 at Georgia as a two-point road favorite. Although Florida has failed to cover in four of its last six games (following a 6-1 ATS run), Billy Donovan’s squad is still 9-3 SU in its last 12 conference games.

The Commodores are 8-5 away from home (7-5 ATS in lined games), including 5-2 SU and ATS in SEC road games (with the winner covering the spread in all seven games). The Gators are 13-3 at the O’Connell Center (6-6 ATS), including six straight conference home wins (4-2 ATS) since losing to Kentucky 89-77 in their first league contest in Gainesville.

Vanderbilt had little trouble with Florida when these teams met in Nashville on Jan. 9, winning 95-87 as a 5½-point home favorite. That ended the Gators’ two-game SU and four-game ATS winning streaks in this rivalry. Florida is still 7-3 SU in the last 10 meetings (6-3 ATS in the last nine), and it has cashed in five of the last seven clashes in Gainesville.

The Commodores have failed to cover the spread in four straight games when coming off an ATS triumph, but they’re on positive pointspread rolls of 5-2 on the highway (all in the SEC), 9-3 on Tuesday and 9-4 versus winning teams. Florida is 6-2 ATS in its last eight games against winning teams, but 3-7 ATS in its last 10 on Tuesday and 6-15 ATS in its last 21 after a SU defeat.

Vanderbilt, which averages 79.1 ppg, are on “over” runs of 10-2 overall, 10-2 on the road, 20-7 in SEC play and 7-2 after a SU victory. The Gators have topped the total in four of their last five SEC outings and 19 of 28 after a SU defeat, but the under is 12-5 in their last 17 home games. Additionally, four of the last five series battles at Florida have stayed under the total.

ATS ADVANTAGE: NONE

Georgia Tech (19-9, 13-8-1 ATS) at Clemson (20-8, 13-12 ATS)

Two ACC squads looking to enhance their March credentials hook up at Littlejohn Coliseum, where Clemson hosts the Yellow Jackets.

Georgia Tech bounced back from a tough two-point loss at Maryland by taking out Boston College 73-68 on Saturday, but failed to cover as a 7½-point home favorite. The Yellow Jackets are just 3-4 in their last seven games (2-4-1 ATS), and they’ve lost five straight ACC road games (2-2-1 ATS). However, three of those five were two-point road setbacks. For the season, Georgia Tech is 3-7 in true road games (5-4-1 ATS).

The Tigers continued their late-season surge with Sunday’s 53-50 come-from-behind victory at Florida State as a five-point road underdog. Clemson has won four of its last five games overall and five of its last seven, including four straight home wins. However, the Tigers are just 4-7 ATS in their last 11 (all in the ACC), alternating spread-covers in their last eight outings. Clemson is 13-2 and 9-3 ATS at Littlejohn Coliseum, where it outscores visitors by nearly 17 ppg (76.3-59.4).

Clemson went to Atlanta on Jan. 19 and lost 66-64 to the Yellow Jackets as a one-point road underdog, which kick-started a three-game losing skid that preceded the Tigers’ current 5-2 run. Georgia Tech has won the last two meetings (including a five-point victory as an 8½-point underdog in last year’s ACC tournament), but the home team is 7-1 SU and 6-2 ATS in the last eight regular-season clashes, including Clemson’s 73-59 home win as a 13-point chalk last season.

Also in this rivalry, the favorite is 5-2 ATS in the last seven, with the SU winner covering the spread in each of those contests.

Georgia Tech carries ATS trends of 17-8-1 overall, 9-4-1 on the highway, 3-1-1 after a SU victory and 5-1-1 following a non-cover. Clemson has cashed in nine of 11 at home and five of seven on Tuesday, but it is 1-5 ATS in its last six after a SU victory and 0-4 ATS in its last four after a non-cover.

The under is on runs of 5-2 for the Jackets on Tuesday, 5-1 for the Jackets after a non-cover, 13-6 for the Tigers overall, 19-7 for the Tigers at home and 5-1 for the Tigers versus winning teams. Also, the last two series meetings at Clemson have stayed low.

ATS ADVANTAGE: CLEMSON and UNDER

NBA

Boston (36-21, 21-35-1 ATS) at Detroit (21-38, 25-32-2 ATS)

The slumping Celtics, coming off consecutive home losses, try to regain momentum when they trek to The Palace in Auburn Hills, Mich., for an Eastern Conference contest against the Pistons.

Boston blew an eight-point lead to Cleveland on Thursday, getting outscored 60-32 in the second half of a 108-88 loss as a 2½-point home underdog. Things got even worse Saturday, though, when they hosted the Nets (5-53) and lost 104-96 as a 10½-point home favorite. Going back to Dec. 27, Boston is just 13-16 SU and 8-20-1 ATS, including 4-15-1 ATS in its last 20 and 0-4 ATS in the last four. On the bright side, Doc Rivers’ squad still sports one of the best road records in the NBA at 20-10 (15-15 ATS).

Detroit returns home after a four-game Western Conference road trip that started with a 101-89 victory in Sacramento as a 2½-point underdog last Tuesday but ended with three consecutive losses (1-2 ATS) to the Clippers, Nuggets and Warriors by 6, 5 and 7 points. The Pistons have dropped 12 of their last 18 games (6-11-1 ATS), going 3-7 in their last nine at home (2-7-1 ATS). Going back to mid-December, they’re 10-26 SU (11-24-1 ATS), including 6-12 at The Palace (5-12-1 ATS).

One of Detroit’s recent home victories came against Boston on Jan. 20, when the Pistons rolled 92-86 as a six-point underdog. They’ve won the last two in a row in this rivalry (SU and ATS) following a 5-0 SU and 4-1 ATS run by the Celtics. That said, the visitor is has won and covered four of the last six meetings; the visitor is 14-5 ATS in the last 19; the underdog is 7-3 ATS in the last 10; Boston is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 trips to Motown; and the SU winner has covered in each of the last six meetings and 14 of the last 15.

In addition to their current 8-20-1 ATS slump overall, the Celtics are in pointspread ruts of 0-6 in Eastern Conference games, 0-4 versus the Central Division, 0-4 versus losing teams, 0-4 on Tuesday and 5-15-1 when coming off a SU defeat. The Pistons have cashed in six straight Tuesday contests and they’re 3-1-1 ATS in their last five against Atlantic Division teams, but from there, they’re on ATS slides 2-6-1 against the Eastern Conference, 2-5 versus winning teams, 25-51-1 after a SU defeat and 23-50-1 after an ATS setback.

Boston has topped the total in four straight games overall, and the over is 18-8-1 in its last 27 following two days off. However, the under is 5-1 in its last six on the road and 5-1 in its last six against Central Division opponents, while Detroit is on “under” runs of 10-3 against the Eastern Conference, 5-1 versus opponents with a winning record and 4-1 on Tuesday.

Finally, 16 of the last 21 meetings between these rivals have stayed low, including the last seven in a row in Detroit.

ATS ADVANTAGE: UNDER

 
Posted : March 2, 2010 8:14 am
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Marc Lawrence

Indiana Pacers at Los Angeles Lakers
Prediction: Indiana Pacers

The Pacers travel to La La land to take on the Lakers in a nice revenge set favoring Indiana. That's because Los Angeles leveled Indiana, 118-96, on January 27th, the worst home loss of the season for the Pacers. With the Lakers off a huge double revenge win over Denver, look for Indiana to improve to 6-0 ATS as a double-digit dog this season here tonight.

 
Posted : March 2, 2010 8:56 am
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Charlie Scott

Louisville vs. Marquette
Play: Louisville +2

An NCAA Tournament bid could be at stake in tonights matchup between Louisville/Marquette. Expect a tired worn down Marquette squad who is finally at home after 3 straight OT wins on the road. Louisville teams of the past have generally played their best basketball at the end of their seasons,and this Louisville team is no different as they have won their last 3 road games s/u at U Conn,Depaul,and Syracuse. I'm not a big Pitino fan, but have to admit he's a good coach and Louisville will definitely have the edge in coaching vs Marquettes young Buzz Williams. Play the better team getting points : Play Louisville !

 
Posted : March 2, 2010 8:56 am
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Craig Trapp

Villanova vs. Cincinnati
Play: Villanova -3

Two things win close games and Villanova has them and Cincy does not. Those two things are great guard play and FT shooting. Cincy is one of the worst CBB shooting teams from both the three pt line and FT line. Nova losing on Saturday really will have them motivated to bounce back in a big way. Cincy on the other hand has really had issues in close games and can't imagine that will be fixed. Nova covers easily.

 
Posted : March 2, 2010 8:57 am
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Rob Vinciletti

Air Force vs. Wyoming
Play: Wyoming -5.5

This is a battle of 2 Mountain West Conference door mats. Wyoming comes in with revenge here in their last home game. The Cowboys have lost their last 3 home games, however tonight they get a team like Air Force that once again is down this year. The Falcons were able to win the first meeting between the 2 teams earlier in the year. Tonight should be a different story as Wyoming has won 9 of the last 12 here,while Air Force is just 1-11 straight up and 3-9 ats off a conference game this year. Look for Wyoming to get the revenge as its always a good idea to take Last home game revengers off a loss vs sub .500 opponents.

 
Posted : March 2, 2010 8:57 am
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Sam Martin

St. Johns at Syracuse
Prediction: St. Johns

We backed Syracuse as our 20* Big East Game of the Year on Saturday in their big win over Villanova, but we're fading them here tonight as a big home favorite as they are in a tough spot. Syracuse is caught in a letdown after that big win, and they likely are looking ahead past St. John's and gearing up for their regular season finale at Louisville this weekend. And while St. John's isn't the best team in the world, they play pretty good defense, and could slow this game down enough to where there simply won't be enough possessions for Syracuse to blow them out. Take the points and hold on!

 
Posted : March 2, 2010 8:58 am
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Nick “The BookieKiller” Parsons

New Jersey Devils @ San Jose Sharks
PICK: San Jose Sharks -150

San Jose (40-13-9) and New Jersey (37-21-3), who could potentially meet in the Stanley Cup finals, had a combined 13 players make the trip to Vancouver; for a number of different reasons I believe the home team offers decent value in this position:

The Devils got a chance to rest and clear their heads after stumbling into the break, going 5-10-2 despite acquiring Ilya Kovalchuk in a trade with Atlanta on Feb. 4.

However, Martin Brodeur was showing signs of tiring, going 3-4-1 with a 3.20 GAA in his last eight games.

Also keep in mind that New Jersey is just 5-7 (-3.7 units) in non-conference games.

On the other side of the rink: The Sharks are eager to play again after losing 3-1 to Buffalo on Feb. 13 in their last game before the break.

San Jose is 21-9 (+8.2 units) when playing against a team with a winning record; meaning the Sharks tend to play at their best when faced with stiff competition.

Bottom line: Home ice advantage can't be overlooked in this case; consider a play on the decently valued SHARKS.

 
Posted : March 2, 2010 8:59 am
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DAVID CHAN

Baylor @ Texas Tech
PICK: Baylor -3.5.

This one is being billed as Tweety Carter vs. Mike Singletary, and both these guys are going to try to strut their stuff. Baylor’s supporting cast is much better. Texas Tech has lost five straight SU en route to a 4-10 conference mark. The Red Raiders are playing out the string here and hoping to catch lightning in a bottle at the conference tournament.

Baylor is getting better and better. In the last road game, a 70-63 win at Oklahoma, Carter only needed to attempt seven shots. Ekpe Udoh was banging and blocking inside and the balanced attack took the pressure off the whole team.

Baylor can beat a team many ways. On February 16, it beat Texas Tech 88-70 with double-doubles for both Carter and Udoh. Baylor wins by three possessions on the road here.

 
Posted : March 2, 2010 9:00 am
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JIM FEIST

INDIANA PACERS / LOS ANGELES LAKERS
TAKE: INDIANA PACERS

The Pacers play hard for no-nonsense coach Jim O'Brien, on a 4-2-1 ATS run. O'Brien layed down the law this week, suspending forward Solomon Jones for a game for "conduct detrimental to the team." He's no great loss (4 ppg), but it sends a message to the team. This is the first game of a 4-game trip out West. The defending champion Lakers are the team to beat in the West, but they have been overvalued money-burners on a 3-8-2 ATS run. The last six games: 0-5-1 ATS. This is the last home game for the Lakers before a stretch playing 6 ofd 7 on the road. Play the Pacers.

 
Posted : March 2, 2010 9:01 am
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SPORTS WAGERS

BOSTON -½ +1.00 over Montreal

The “second season” starts tonight and these Bruins are in no position to take a night off. They’ll face a team that is as beatable as any in the business and chances are great that the Bruins come out raring to go and determined to make the playoffs. The Bruins are in seventh place right now just a point ahead of these Canadiens and just two points ahead of the Lightning. So yeah, they’re close in the standings but that’s where the similarities end, as comparing these two teams in terms of talent is like comparing the scent of cinnamon and sewers. The Habs are on the bubble too and they’ll want to win just as bad, however, they come in banged up and with a lack of both offense and defense. Incidentally, Carey Price will start but does it really matter? The Bruins love to beat this team more than any other and losing to them is this crucial spot is not an option. Play: Boston -½ +1.00 (Risking 2 units).

SAN JOSE -½ +1.06 over New Jersey

Father Time catches up with everyone and there’s not a damn thing anyone can do about it. Now, 38 isn’t ancient by any stretch but when you play 70 games a year for almost 20 seasons and you’re on the ice for almost two hours a night, it takes its toll and that’s what’s happening to Marty Brodeur. We saw signs of it last year and there are clearer signs this year. The man will go down as one of the best ever but just like Curtis Joseph’s skills and reflexes began to diminish, so are his. It’s not an aberration and it’s not just a bad game here and there. Brodeur has let in a ton of softies this season and a ton more of his saves have been pure luck. Furthermore, the Devils dropped its last six on the road and nine of its last 10 before the break and that includes losses in Carolina, Toronto and the Islanders among others. Brodeur was pulled from his last NHL game and we all know what happened in the Olympics so his confidence is also an issue. Some think that the Sharks big trio of Thornton, Marleau and Heatley along with Boyle will suffer a letdown here but I’m not buying that. Those four are sharper and more inspired than ever before and they don’t play for the Devils. Play: San Jose -½ +1.06 (Risking 2 units).

ATLANTA -½ +1.23 over Florida

The Thrashers really have a great chance to make the playoffs, as they’re just two points behind the Habs for the eighth spot. Despite losing three of five before the break, they looked a lot sharper than that record indicates. Those three losses were as follows: a 5-4 loss to the Blackhawks in OT, a 4-3 defeat to the Av’s in OT in a game they were robbed in and against Washington in a 5-2 loss, they were the better team but ran into a hot goaltender. They made a great deal for Kovalchuk and while the perception by the oddsmakers is that they’re worse, the fact is they’re not. They received a front-line d-man in Johnny Oduya, a great looking rookie in Niclas Bergfors, outstanding junior prospect Patrice Cormier and a first-round draft pick. Pretty sweet for one guy and frankly, they haven’t missed a beat without Kovalchuk and actually look better but it’s been very quiet. Meanwhile, the Panthers have dropped six straight and they can’t score goals. In fact, Florida has been held to two goals or less in an incredible 13 straight games and it’s unlikely that a two-week break is going to cure that. Nathan Horton remains out, the Panthers are in losing mode and they’re playing a team that is going to open some eyes the final six weeks of the season. Play: Atlanta -½ +1.23 (Risking 2 units).

 
Posted : March 2, 2010 9:14 am
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James Patrick Sports

Loyola Chicago vs. Cleveland State

The Vikings get a home game in their first step of defending their Horizon League Tournament Championship and they best be ready for the Ramblers as Loyola is (9-1) ATS in Cleveland and (16-3) ATS the past (19) meetings. The Vikings are (7-19) ATS in Tuesday games and we look for Loyola Chicago Ramblers to make this a very entertaining opening game in Horizon League action.

 
Posted : March 2, 2010 9:17 am
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DUNKEL INDEX

Indiana at LA Lakers
The Pacers look to build on their 7-0 ATS record in their last 7 games as an underdog of 11 points or more. Indiana is the pick (+12 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Lakers favored by only 8 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Indiana (+12 1/2)

Game 501-502: Boston at Detroit
Dunkel Ratings: Boston 121.497; Detroit 117.037
Dunkel Line & Total: Boston by 4 1/2; 187
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 503-504: Golden State at Miami
Dunkel Ratings: Golden State 116.797; Miami 119.231
Dunkel Line & Total: Miami by 2 1/2; 198
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 505-506: Sacramento at Oklahoma City
Dunkel Ratings: Sacramento 110.766; Oklahoma City 122.963
Dunkel Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 12; 208
Vegas Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 10 1/2; 202 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma City (-10 1/2); Over

Game 507-508: Indiana at LA Lakers
Dunkel Ratings: Indiana 117.864; LA Lakers 126.132
Dunkel Line & Total: LA Lakers by 8 1/2; 205
Vegas Line & Total: LA Lakers by 12 1/2; 208 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Indiana (+12 1/2); Under

NCAAB

Louisville at Marquette
The Golden Eagles look to build on their 9-1-1 ATS record in their last 11 games versus teams with a winning SU record. Marquette is the pick (-2) according to Dunkel, which has the Golden Eagles favored by 4. Dunkel Pick: Marquette (-2)

Game 509-510: St. John's at Syracuse
Dunkel Ratings: St. John's 66.037; Syracuse 75.584
Dunkel Line: Syracuse by 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Syracuse by 14
Dunkel Pick: St. John's (+14)

Game 511-512: Villanova at Cincinnati
Dunkel Ratings: Villanova 70.292; Cincinnati 67.781
Dunkel Line: Villanova by 2 1/2
Vegas Line: Villanova by 4
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (+4)

Game 513-514: Indiana at Purdue
Dunkel Ratings: Indiana 56.043; Purdue 75.058
Dunkel Line: Purdue by 19
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 515-516: Iowa at Wisconsin
Dunkel Ratings: Iowa 62.245; Wisconsin 73.947
Dunkel Line: Wisconsin by 11 1/2
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 517-518: Minnesota at Michigan
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 69.547; Michigan 67.997
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 1 1/2
Vegas Line: Pick
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota

Game 519-520: Penn State at Michigan State
Dunkel Ratings: Penn State 63.131; Michigan State 75.029
Dunkel Line: Michigan State by 12
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 521-522: East Carolina at Central Florida
Dunkel Ratings: East Carolina 49.030; Central Florida 58.198
Dunkel Line: Central Florida by 9
Vegas Line: Central Florida by 12
Dunkel Pick: East Carolina (+12)

Game 523-524: UTEP at Marshall
Dunkel Ratings: UTEP 68.430; Marshall 66.534
Dunkel Line: UTEP by 2
Vegas Line: Marshall by 1
Dunkel Pick: UTEP (+1)

Game 525-526: Vanderbilt at Florida
Dunkel Ratings: Vanderbilt 68.455; Florida 70.994
Dunkel Line: Florida by 2 1/2
Vegas Line: Florida by 3
Dunkel Pick: Vanderbilt (+3)

Game 527-528: South Florida at DePaul
Dunkel Ratings: South Florida 66.442; DePaul 59.893
Dunkel Line: South Florida by 6 1/2
Vegas Line: South Florida by 2 1/2
Dunkel Pick: South Florida (-2 1/2)

Game 529-530: Tulane at Southern Mississippi
Dunkel Ratings: Tulane 49.156; Southern Mississippi 62.143
Dunkel Line: Southern Mississippi by 13
Vegas Line: Southern Mississippi by 11
Dunkel Pick: Southern Mississippi (-11)

Game 531-532: Miami (FL) at North Carolina
Dunkel Ratings: Miami (FL) 64.855; North Carolina 66.087
Dunkel Line: North Carolina by 1
Vegas Line: North Carolina by 4
Dunkel Pick: Miami (FL) (+4)

Game 533-534: Georgia Tech at Clemson
Dunkel Ratings: Georgia Tech 68.774; Clemson 73.447
Dunkel Line: Clemson by 4 1/2
Vegas Line: Clemson by 7
Dunkel Pick: Georgia Tech (+7)

Game 535-536: Missouri at Iowa State
Dunkel Ratings: Missouri 73.605; Iowa State 65.489
Dunkel Line: Missouri by 8
Vegas Line: Missouri by 5
Dunkel Pick: Missouri (-5)

Game 537-538: Baylor at Texas Tech
Dunkel Ratings: Baylor 71.802; Texas Tech 65.355
Dunkel Line: Baylor by 6 1/2
Vegas Line: Baylor by 4
Dunkel Pick: Baylor (-4)

Game 539-540: Colorado at Nebraska
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado 62.306; Nebraska 63.193
Dunkel Line: Nebraska by 1
Vegas Line: Nebraska by 5
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (+5)

Game 541-542: Louisville at Marquette
Dunkel Ratings: Louisville 68.350; Marquette 72.286
Dunkel Line: Marquette by 4
Vegas Line: Marquette by 2
Dunkel Pick: Marquette (-2)

Game 543-544: Air Force at Wyoming
Dunkel Ratings: Air Force 47.413; Wyoming 52.892
Dunkel Line: Wyoming by 5 1/2
Vegas Line: Wyoming by 6
Dunkel Pick: Air Force (+6)

Game 545-546: Loyola-Chicago at Cleveland State
Dunkel Ratings: Loyola-Chicago 47.989; Cleveland State 59.938
Dunkel Line: Cleveland State by 12
Vegas Line: Cleveland State by 11
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland State (-11)

Game 547-548: Youngstown State at WI-Green Bay
Dunkel Ratings: Youngstown State 48.693; WI-Green Bay 62.012
Dunkel Line: WI-Green Bay by 13 1/2
Vegas Line: WI-Green Bay by 9
Dunkel Pick: WI-Green Bay (-9)

Game 549-550: Detroit at Valparaiso
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 56.604; Valparaiso 56.113
Dunkel Line: Even
Vegas Line: Valparaiso by 2
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (+2)

Game 551-552: Illinois-Chicago at WI-Milwaukee
Dunkel Ratings: Illinois-Chicago 50.671; WI-Milwaukee 59.816
Dunkel Line: WI-Milwaukee by 9
Vegas Line: WI-Milwaukee by 11
Dunkel Pick: Illinois-Chicago (+11)

Game 553-554: Jacksonville State at Morehead State
Dunkel Ratings: Jacksonville State 41.277; Morehead State 62.621
Dunkel Line: Morehead State by 21 1/2
Vegas Line: Morehead State by 15
Dunkel Pick: Morehead State (-15)

Game 555-556: Tennessee State at Murray State
Dunkel Ratings: Tennessee State 49.276; Murray State 64.642
Dunkel Line: Murray State by 15 1/2
Vegas Line: Murray State by 21
Dunkel Pick: Tennessee State (+21)

Game 557-558: Tennessee Tech at Austin Peay
Dunkel Ratings: Tennessee Tech 45.251; Austin Peay 56.087
Dunkel Line: Austin Peay by 11
Vegas Line: Austin Peay by 9
Dunkel Pick: Austin Peay (-9)

Game 559-560: Eastern Kentucky at Eastern Illinois
Dunkel Ratings: Eastern Kentucky 52.232; Eastern Illinois 52.304
Dunkel Line: Even
Vegas Line: Eastern Illinois by 1
Dunkel Pick: Eastern Kentucky (+1)

Game 561-562: Illinois at Ohio State
Dunkel Ratings: Illinois 67.678; Ohio State 78.339
Dunkel Line: Ohio State by 10 1/2
Vegas Line: Ohio State by 9
Dunkel Pick: Ohio State (-9)

Game 563-564: Charleston Southern at Radford
Dunkel Ratings: Charleston Southern 43.381; Radford 53.215
Dunkel Line: Radford by 10
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 565-566: Liberty at Winthrop
Dunkel Ratings: Liberty 42.481; Winthrop 51.024
Dunkel Line: Winthrop by 8 1/2
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 567-568: VMI at Coastal Carolina
Dunkel Ratings: VMI 41.228; Coastal Carolina 57.121
Dunkel Line: Coastal Carolina by 16
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 569-570: High Point at UNC-Asheville
Dunkel Ratings: High Point 41.494; UNC-Asheville 49.630
Dunkel Line: UNC-Asheville by 8
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

NHL

Los Angeles at Dallas

The Kings look to build on their 7-3 record in their last 10 games when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season. Los Angeles is the pick (+115) according to Dunkel, which has the Kings favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Los Angeles (+115)

Game 1-2: Montreal at Boston
Dunkel Ratings: Montreal 10.562; Boston 12.671
Dunkel Line & Total: Boston by 2; 4
Vegas Line & Total: Boston (-175); 5
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-175); Under

Game 3-4: Carolina at Toronto
Dunkel Ratings: Carolina 11.771; Toronto 10.827
Dunkel Line & Total: Carolina by 1; 6 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Toronto (-135); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Carolina (+115); Over

Game 5-6: Florida at Atlanta
Dunkel Ratings: Florida 10.099; Atlanta 11.314
Dunkel Line & Total: Atlanta by 1; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Atlanta (-140); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-140); Over

Game 7-8: Chicago at NY Islanders
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 11.989; NY Islanders 10.701
Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 1; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Chicago (-190); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago (-190); Over

Game 9-10: Vancouver at Columbus
Dunkel Ratings: Vancouver 11.250; Columbus 11.544
Dunkel Line & Total: Columbus by 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 11-12: Buffalo at Pittsburgh
Dunkel Ratings: Buffalo 10.899; Pittsburgh 11.618
Dunkel Line & Total: Pittsburgh by 1; 6 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 13-14: Philadelphia at Tampa Bay
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia 11.819; Tampa Bay 10.941
Dunkel Line & Total: Philadelphia by 1; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Philadelphia (-130); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-130); Under

Game 15-16: NY Rangers at Ottawa
Dunkel Ratings: NY Rangers 11.490; Ottawa 12.643
Dunkel Line & Total: Ottawa by 1; 4 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Ottawa (-155); 5
Dunkel Pick: Ottawa (-155); Under

Game 17-18: Edmonton at Nashville
Dunkel Ratings: Edmonton 10.294; Nashville 11.883
Dunkel Line & Total: Nashville by 1 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Nashville (-250); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Nashville (-250); Under

Game 19-20: Los Angeles at Dallas
Dunkel Ratings: Los Angeles 12.944; Dallas 12.198
Dunkel Line & Total: Los Angeles by 1; 6 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Dallas (-135); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Los Angeles (+115); Over

Game 21-22: St. Louis at Phoenix
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis 12.171; Phoenix 11.090
Dunkel Line & Total: St. Louis by 1; 4 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Phoenix (-140); 5
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (+120); Under

Game 23-24: New Jersey at San Jose
Dunkel Ratings: New Jersey 10.811; San Jose 12.145
Dunkel Line & Total: San Jose by 1 1/2; 4 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: San Jose (-150); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Jose (-150); Under

 
Posted : March 2, 2010 9:28 am
(@blade)
Posts: 318493
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Vernon Croy

1* Take Baylor

This pick falls into one of my NCAAB systems and Baylor has covered the spread in 13 of their last 19 road games. Baylor is shooting 42.9% from beyond the arc on the road this season and they are 13-6 ATS in their last 19 road games when playing a team that has a winning record above .600 at home. Texas Tech has struggled over their last 5 games going 0-5 while being out-scored by an average of 9.4 points per game and Baylor is 4-1 SU in their last 5 games against the Red Raiders. Baylor is also the better rebounding team here tonight and Texas Tech just shot 61.5% from 3 point range against Baylor back on February 16th but still lost by 18 points. Take Baylor Tuesday night.

 
Posted : March 2, 2010 11:06 am
(@blade)
Posts: 318493
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Jr Tips

Indiana at LA Lakers

Kobe Bryant and the Western Conference-leading Los Angeles Lakers close out their three-game home stand tonight when they try to win their 11th straight at Staples Center against the Pacers. Bryant is averaging 21.3 points on 42.7 percent shooting in four contests since a sprained left ankle sidelined. Kobe missed 14 of 17 shots in Sunday's 95-89 victory over Denver while having a season-high 12 assists. The Lakers beat the Pacers 118-96 on Jan. 27 as Bryant hit 10 of 15 from the field and finished with 29 points, nine rebounds and seven assists and now the Lakers go for its 11th consecutive victory at Staples Center against Indiana. Andrew Bynum had 20 points in last season's matchup at Staples Center and 27 points with 12 boards in the Jan. 27th victory at Indiana. He could have another big game going against the Pacers small starting lineup with Troy Murphy and Danny Granger playing in the post. The Pacers have been outrebounded by an average of 8.1 losing seven of nine although they won over the Bulls 100-90 on Saturday. With this small Pacers lineup, the Lakers will beat them up on the inside opening up easy shots for the Laker shooters although the pacers will push the ball with their small lineup. The Lakers won't be as focused in this game coming off a playoff like atmosphere against the Nuggets so the Pacers will be able score at a high rate tonight as these teams always play a high scoring game.

Take Over 208.5

 
Posted : March 2, 2010 11:33 am
(@blade)
Posts: 318493
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EZWINNERS

Morehead State Eagles -15

This is an opening round game of the Ohio Valley Conference tournament and I see a huge mismatch in talent between these two teams. Morehead State won both meetings this season and this time around Jacksonville State will be without their leading scorer Trenton Marshall was suspended for the rest of the season four games ago. Without Marshall the Gamecocks are 0-3 against the spread in their last three games and they are only 2-6 against the spread in their last eight games as an underdog. Morehead State is a solid 10-4 in their last fourteen Ohio Valley Conference games and the favorite has covered four straight games in this series. Give me Morehead please.

 
Posted : March 2, 2010 11:34 am
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