EZWINNERS
North Carolina Tar Heels +1
UNC has played very well in the NIT Tournament and if Carolina can continue to limit their turnovers they should be able to win this game and the tournament championship. The Tar Heels will have a big advantage against the Rams in the paint and their inside presence should carry them to victory. UNC is much bigger and deeper than Rhode Island on the front line and the trio of Thompson, Zeller and Henson should all have big games. Rhode Islands leading rebounder is only 6'6" so I don't expect the Rams to have much success in the paint. Rhode Island's chance to win this game will have to come from the outside and I don't see the Rams shooting the lights out from the perimeter in this game. Play on Carolina.
SPORTS WAGERS
Sacramento +7/+2.64 over INDIANA
The Pacers have definitely been playing better lately but this is a team that is capable of losing on any given night and you can double that against a western foe that can score points. The Kings will get back Tyreke Evans tonight and he makes them a much better club. After playing Boston and Cleveland in its previous two and losing by eight and seven points respectively, the Kings will take a big step down in class tonight against a team they know they can beat. When you lay significant points with teams like Indiana you’re taking a big risk and after getting officially eliminated from the playoffs on Sunday, the Pacers might pull a complete no show here. Indiana will go for its eighth consecutive home win but they haven’t accomplished that in six years and frankly, it’s unappealing at best to expect them to do something they have not accomplished since 2004. Play: Sacramento +7 (Risking 1.02 units to win 2). Play Sacramento +2.64 (Risking 1 unit).
NY Rangers +1.01 over NY ISLANDERS
The Rangers are simply the better squad taking back a tiny price but any take-back on the Rangers over the Islanders is worth a look. The Rangers are still in this thing and sit just four points behind the Bruins for the final playoff spot. The Rangers can’t afford to lose another game and may have to run the table (five games) to get in but as the old cliché goes, they’ll take it one game at a time and it starts here. The Rangers have still picked up five out of a possible six points over its last three games that include a win over the Devils and a 5-0 win over these same Islanders. Of course the Islanders would love to knock out the Rangers more than anything but the Islanders have not looked sharp recently at all. They’ve won two in a row over Calgary and Columbus but were outplayed in both and were shutout in its two previous games. The Islanders are seriously banged up, they’re the inferior squad and they absolutely do not have an edge in net. Play: NY Rangers +1.01 (Risking 2 units).
Boston +1.61 over NEW JERSEY
This line is seriously out of whack, as the B’s play better on the road and the Devils have been very beatable since early January. In fact, since January 10th, the Devils have played 33 games and have just 13 wins over that stretch. That’s 20 losses and over its last six games they have just two wins. The Bruins are playing back-to-back and its third game in four days and that has influence on this price. However, Boston is in playoff mode and every player will dig down deeper so fatigue is not going to be a problem. Boston deserved a better fate than its 3-2 loss last night, as they dominated play but ran into a hot goaltender. The Bruins have dropped three in a row to the Devils but all three were decided by a single goal with one of them going into OT and you can be damn sure this one will be close too and that the Bruins chances of winning are as good and perhaps even better than the Devils. Play: Boston +1.61 (Risking 2 units).
Phoenix +1.70 over VANCOUVER
Speaking of overlays, the Coyotes are way too tough and way too dangerous to ignore as a +1.70 underdog. These two have played five times this season with the Coyotes winning three of them The Coyotes are the healthier team and they’re also the hotter team. Phoenix has won 10 of its last 12 games while the Canucks have just two wins over its last six. Phoenix has also won 19 of its last 26 games and they’re on a 7-1 run against the Northwest. Anyway, you can break this down any way you want to. The bottom line is a Coyote victory will surprise nobody and just the Bruins, the Coyotes chances of winning here are as good and maybe even better than the Canucks chances. Biggest overlay on the board. Play: Phoenix +1.70 (Risking 2 units).
Lenny Del Genio
PHI +5.5 vs OKL
Regulars know we are fond of playing on the Thunder this season, but this is a terrible situational spot for this young team. They are off a series of playoff-like home games against the Spurs, Rockets, Lakers and Blazers, a stretch that saw them go 2-2 SU/ATS with the most impressive win coming against non-playoff foe Houston. This is OKC's 1st road game since suffering a 20-point loss at Indiana nine days ago and smells like a trap. The Sixers are looking to win three straight games for the first time in nearly two months here and look who they beat in the previous two - Atlanta and Milwaukee - a pair of playoff-bound teams. Philly has been off since Friday, so they will be well rested and prepared. Oklahoma City could get caught looking ahead to Boston tomorrow night. Take Philadelphia.
Red Dog Sports
UNC vs. Rhode Island
Play: Under 150
UNC played two games already at Madison Square Garden and should be used to the court but the Tar Heels have struggled to shoot from the outside. Rhode Island likes to play fast as well but this game should be close and should end in the 140's. Play under 150.
James Patrick Sports
Wizards vs. Rockets
Inept offenses is an understatement here as Washington has failed to top the century mark in (16) straight NBA contests and the Wizards are Under the Total at a (35-16) ATS rate, included in that stretch is (7) of the past (8) Under the Total and (22-6) ATS overall. This series has played Under the Total in (4) of (5) match-ups and Big Game James Patrick's election in NBA Tuesday action is Washington - Houston Under the Total.
Mike Lineback
Los Angeles Clippers vs. Milwaukee Bucks
Play: Milwaukee Bucks -10.5
The Clippers are injured, lack heart, and have nothing to play for tonight. Their starting backcourt of Gordon & Davis are out. Which means they will have an even harder time finding shots. Plus, it doesn't hurt that Milwaukee are one of the best defensive teams' in league (no easy shots allowed). Meanwhile, Milwaukee are healthy again with return of Bogut and Delfino, and have plenty to play for. They are currently trying to hold off Miami & Charlotte for the #5 seed in the East. And with Cleveland on deck tomorrow & Charlotte slated for Friday, they should be very focused on the Clippers. Los Angeles lost at home to Golden State by 18 on Sunday, with Gordon & Davis, and without GS's Monte Ellis in lineup. Like I said they lack heart & fortitude. Plus, the Clippers have lost 8 of their L10 road games by 10+ points. In addition, Bucks playing with revenge, after losing to the Clips two weeks ago. Milwaukee were in a letdown spot then, but not tonight.
Jimmy Boyd
1 Unit on Philadelphia 76ers +6.5
The 76ers are showing some fight. They are coming off back-to-back impressive wins over Milwaukee and Atlanta and I look for them to take Oklahoma City down to the wire tonight. Things have not gone too smoothly for the Thunder on the road recently. In fact, the Thunder have either lost or won by 6 or fewer points in 13 of their last 17 road games. The Thunder are 2-7-1 ATS in the last 10 meetings and 0-3-1 ATS in the last 4 meetings in Philadelphia. The home team is a perfect 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings. The Thunder are also 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games as a favorite of 5.0-10.5 points and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a road favorite of 5.0-10.5 points. We'll take the 76ers and the points tonight.
Stan Lisowski
DAYTON
The Flyers have gone 14-3 straight up and 10-4 ATS vs.non-A1O competition this season. Dayton has played strong in this tournament winning the last 2 games at tough venues; while Mississippi has had a somewhat cushy path to this semi, playing the last 3 games at home. The favorite in these teams’ games combined stands 48-14 outright.
Sac Lawson
IND -7 vs SAC
It's tough to know that just 30 minutes ago we could have got this line at 6, but it's also reassuring to know that the move is a solid indicator in our favor. Fact is, Sacramento is extremely banged up, they're terrible on the road, and they're facing an Indiana team that has finally hitten their stride (especially at home).
It's still unclear on whether Tyreke Evans will be back tonight, but if he doesn't play that means Sacramento will be left with 7 guys to carry the load against a fast paced Pacers squad. Indiana has suffered some of their own injury issues this season, and quite frankly, it's the reason they are where they are at this stage in the season. If this team was healthy all year, with Murphy and Granger both out there... I truly believe they'd be a playoff team. That's certainly what they're playing like right now.
It's hard to ignore that Sacramento is just 7-31 on the road this year, and they're facing up against an Indiana team that has absolutely demolished people on their home floor lately. Even with how poorly this season has gone for the Pacers, they can still hang their hat on a 56% ATS home record.
Listen guys, Sacramento is banged up, in the middle of a road trip, and facing a team that is absolutely on fire at home. Sac got the best of Indy earlier in the season, and now it's time for Indiana to flex their muscles in their own gym. I expect a monster blowout. Pacers 1 unit!
King Creole
LAC +11 vs MIL
Clips: 10-2 ATS L12 vs Milwaukee... 7-1 ATS vs Central division... 5-0 ATS away after Warrriors...
Bucks: 0-4 ATS as favs -5 to -11 pts... 1-4 ATS off SU win... 1-4 ATS after allow 100+ pts
Sacramento @ INDIANA - Kings: 2-6 O/U in 1st of BB RG / Pacers: 1-5 O/U as non-conf HF's
Okla City @ PHILADELPHIA - Thunder: 2-7 O/U L9 vs Philly / Sixers: 0-6 w/ 3+ rest
Phoenix @ CHICAGO - Suns: 5-1 in 1st of BB RG / Bulls: 1-4 vs PAC div
Washington @ HOUSTON - Wiz: 1-4 O/U in 2/2 rest sit / Rockets: 1-4 O/U L5 vs Wash
John Ryan
Dayton vs. Mississippi
Play: Dayton -1
3* graded play on Dayton as they take on Mississippi in the NIT semifinals set to start at 7:00 EST. Our proprietary sports handicapping model and simulator shows a high probability that Dayton will win this game by more than 3 points. Dayton has done well in past games when facing a strong shooting team. Mississippi has shot 45.4% for the season and dayton is a solid 19-10 ATS (+8.0 Units) versus good shooting teams making >=45% of their shots over the last 2 seasons. Dayton HC Gregory is 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) after playing 2 consecutive road games. Dayton is a near perfect 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) after playing 2 consecutive road games over the last 3 seasons. Meanwhile, Mississippi HC Kennedy is a poor 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) in road games in all tournament games. Take Dayton.
Craig Trapp
North Carolina vs. Rhode Island
Play: Under 151
This one has under all over it. UNC has realized in the NIT tourney that they don't have the guards to play their typical style. Instead the slow down style allows their superior big men to dominate the paint on both offense and defense. UNC has played under in 7 of last 10 games and RI has played under in 17 of 30 games overall this year. A bunch of time off since last game for both of these spells early shooting problems and a very easy under for all of us.
Jack Jones
Washington Wizards +7
Houston is deflated right now, knowing that their chance of making the postseason have gone out the window. Washington is obviously struggling right now, but it's not like they haven't been competitive during their dreadful 15-game losing streak. Usually a road team that has lost 15 straight would be a heavier underdog than 7 points to a team with a .500 record like Houston. This is a trap, and we're not biting as we'll side with the underdog Wizards who will be much more motivated heading into this one, trying to end their skid. The Rockets are 0-4 SU & 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
This play also falls under a system that is 79-46 (63%) ATS since 1996. It tells us to bet on road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (WASHINGTON) - after 8 or more consecutive losses. These teams tend to be great to back when they get on these long losing streaks, because there becomes overwhelming value against the spread. Houston has a plethora of injuries right now as well with Shane Battier, Jared Jeffries, Kevin Martin and David Andersen all watching from the sidelines. Take the Wizards.
Info Plays
3* on L.A. Clippers +11
Reasons why the Clippers cover:
1.) System Play. We'll Play Against - Favorites of 10 or more points (MILWAUKEE) - after a home game where both teams score 100 or more points, tired team - playing 8 or more games in 14 days. This is a 54-20 ATS System hitting 73% since 1996.
2.) Once again, the Bucks are being overvalued by the odds makers after the recent tear they went on from the middle of February into late March. But the odds are starting to catch up with Milwaukee, as they are just 1-3 ATS in their last 4 games. They have wins by 3 and 5 points, and home losses to the Heat and 76ers by 13 and 15 points, respectively during this stretch. The Bucks will be looking ahead to facing the Cleveland Cavliers tomorrow night on the road, and they won't show up tonight against the Clippers. Bet L.A. on the road.
Jeff Alexander
1 Unit on Philadelphia +6.5
Off back-to-back wins over the Bucks and Hawks, the 76ers enter tonight's contest with plenty of momentum on their side. They will also be out for revenge after losing by 11 in OKC earlier this season. While the Thunder are a much improved team, they still haven't proven to be worth of this kind of respect from the odds makers on a consistent basis. In fact, the Thunder are just 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games as a favorite of 5.0-10.5 points and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a road favorite of 5.0-10.5 points. The Thunder are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 trips to Philadelphia and the home team is a perfect 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings. Look for the 76ers to keep this one within the number.