Tony GeorgeFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Yankees / Mariners Under 7FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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King Felix and CC Sabathia on the hill tonight. Massive Pitchers Duel. Sometimes the obvious choice is the right choice in gambling! These 2 aces will make hits hard to come by and near impossible to post up a ton of runs here tonight in the Bronx! 3-2 type game, side play too close to call but like the under. Play the Under
Stephen NoverFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Seattle +108FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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CC Sabathia remains good, but he's not the stud of past years. Felix Hernandez, though, is the best right-hander in baseball if not the best pitcher. Hernandez trumps Sabathia here. Seattle is 9-4 in its last 13 games. The Mariners' 26th-ranked offense isn't that much worse than the Yankees' battered lineup, which is 17th in runs scored.
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Hernandez is in dominating form with a 0.71 ERA in his last five starts spanning 38 innings. He's 4-0 during this time. He's also 4-1 with a 1.13 ERA during his past five starts at Yankee Stadium. In his last 10 starts versus the Yankees, King Felix has a 7-2 record and 2.19 ERA.
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The situation is good, too, for Seattle. The Mariners come in rested followed an off day on Monday. The Yankees, however, had to play a doubleheader against the Indians.
Jack Jones
Baltimore Orioles -132
The Baltimore Orioles get the nod Tuesday as a home favorite over the San Diego Padres in Game 1 of this interleague series. For a second straight season, the Orioles have proven to be underrated, going 23-15 to this point.
Baltimore has one of the best pitching staffs in the league. A big part of that is tonight's starter, Chris Tillman. The right-hander is 3-1 with a 3.76 ERA in seven starts this year, including 3-0 with a 2.25 ERA in his last three.
Andrew Cashner has been solid at home for San Diego (16-21), but it has been another story on the road. Cashner is 0-2 with a 6.75 ERA and 1.625 WHIP through two road starts in 2013.
San Diego is 22-53 (-23.5 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +125 to +150 over the last 3 seasons. The Padres are 0-6 in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
The Orioles are 9-2 in their last 11 interleague home games. Baltimore is 23-6 in its last 29 games following an off day. The Orioles are 4-0 in Tillman's last 4 starts overall. Bet Baltimore Tuesday.
Wunderdog
Golden State at San Antonio
Pick: First Half Under 98
This has been a tough series. Each team has won one on the road, and the series is knotted at two games apiece. I would expect Game Five to be very physical at the onset, which typically means defensive as each team knows the significance of winning here to go up 3-2. Both of these teams are potent at the offensive end, but what we have seen is a pair of defenses leaving it all on the floor, as the points have not come easy for either team. Both of these teams have averaged well below their season points on offense, and with so much riding here, the defenses, which have grown in confidence, are going to come out and try to impose their wills early. Golden State does not want the crowd to get involved early, and the best way to do that is to defend hard. I look for the first half to be played defensively tough, and will play the first half UNDER the total.
Big Kat Sports
Colorado Rockies vs. Chicago Cubs
Take: Chicago Cubs
It’s odd for us to have the same team on back to back nights as our free play but the Cubs seem to fit the bill tonight, They have been playing better baseball of late, winning 5 of their last 7 games and they have been getting strong pitching from their starters over the last week. Tonight Carlos Villanueva will take his turn to try and keep the ship rolling for the Cubs. He has pitched much better than his 1-2 record as he has a 3.02 ERA and has left 5 of his 7 starts with a lead that the Cubs pen wasn’t able to hold on to. Villanueva will be opposed by Jeff Francis, who may be in danger of losing his spot in the rotation with the Rockies. He is just 1-3 on the season with a 6.90 ERA and has struggled against the Cubs in his career, posting a 7.67 ERA with Cubs batters hitting .328 off him over 6 starts. Pair those numbers with the fact that the Rockies are 10-26 in their last 36 games when listed as road underdog and that the Cubs have gone 19-7 in the last 26 games between these two teams at Wrigley and we’ll roll with them again tonight.
Teddy Covers
San Francisco at Toronto
Play: San Francisco
It’s not hard to make a case for betting against the Blue Jays as chalk these days. High priced offseason acquisition RA Dickey hasn’t won a game in nearly a month, allowing 17 runs in 25 innings of work over his last four outings, all Toronto defeats. Dickey was favored in three of those four losses, just as he is today. For a guy who was 43-55 with an ERA well over 4.00 prior to last season’s remarkable Cy Young campaign, the 2012 season is looking more and more like an aberration, not a sign of continued success to come.
Toronto has no discernible home field edge right now, 7-12 at the Rogers Centre compared to their 8-12 road mark. From a run differential standpoint, the Blue Jays -47 ranks as the third worst in all of baseball, ahead of only the two true bottom feeders: Miami and Houston. In other words, there is absolutely nothing fraudulent about the Blue Jays struggles. Bettors who have faded Toronto on a nightly basis are cashing in; a bottom five team in terms of profitability.
Meanwhile, the defending champs continue to take advantage of betting market indifference towards them; ranked #3 in the NL in terms of profitability. Their big bats are heating up right now, pounding out 23 runs while taking the final three games of their last series against Atlanta while getting legitimate contributions from everybody in the lineup.
All Barry Zito does these days is win. The Giants are 5-2 in his seven starts this year, after winning each of his final 14 starts to close out 2012, and Zito has allowed a single earned run or less in each of his last four outings. And yet Toronto is taking big money from the wiseguy betting syndicates today, driving this line up as high as -140 in some spots! Not my money – wrong team favored here!
MLB Predictions
Braves / Diamondbacks Under 9
I’m coming right back here with the UNDER as we get a higher total at 9 and a good price with +105. The Braves managed 10 runs last night, but they scored just 4 in their previous 3 games. The Arizona Diamondbacks continue to struggle scoring runs, as their 1 run gives them 12 over their last 6 games (2 runs per game). Tonight we’ve Julio Teheran on the mound for Atlanta who is 2-0 on the season with a 4.84 ERA, .319 OBA and 1.53 WHIP. Although those numbers aren’t great he is 2-0 with a 2.79 ERA over his last three starts and 2-0 with a 4.32 ERA on the road this year. Southpaw Patrick Corbin will get the start for Arizona and he is 5-0 with a 1.75 ERA, .220 OBA and 1.06 WHIP. At home he is 3-0 with a 1.42 ERA, and over his last 3 starts he is 3-0 with a 1.80 ERA. Last season Corbin had average overall numbers but was 3-3 with a solid 2.92 ERA at home. Note that the UNDER is 5-1 in the Diamondbacks last 6 overall, 4-1 in their last 5 home games, and 12-5-1 in their last 18 vs a team with a winning record. The UNDER is 4-0 in Corbin’s last 4 home starts and 5-2 in his last 7 home starts with a total set between 9 and 10.5 runs. Arizona is struggling scoring runs right now, and although Atlanta had hot bats last night I expect Corbin to be able to contain them enough to help keep this game UNDER the high total.
Joe Gavazzi
Kansas City +110
The Angels have fallen into an offensive funk once again. LAA has a .177 BA in their last 3 games. For KC last night’s 11-1 outburst against LAA should have snapped them out of their offensive funk that led to a previous 1-6 slide. Tonight, they send emerging start Guthrie to the mound. He has no losses in his last 18 starts for Kansas City. In that time, Guthrie has a personal record of 10-0 with a 2.18 ERA including 5-0 this year with a 2.28 ERA and 3-0 with a 0.42 ERA in his most recent 3 starts. After pitching a pair of quality starts, Vargas returned to the form that has seen him log a 4.26 ERA and 1.56 WHIP this season. Though it was a 6-5 win vs. Houston, Vargas allowed 5 runs on 10 hits in 5 2/3 IP. With an Angles bullpen that has an AL worst 112 index, the Royal hitters should feast the entire evening.
Rocketman
Kansas City Royals vs. Los Angeles Angels
Play: Kansas City Royals
The Kansas City Royals travel to Los Angeles to take on the Angels on Tuesday night. Kansas City is now 19-16 overall this year while the LA Angels come in with a 14-24 overall record on the season. LA Angels are 8-19 when playing at night this year. LA Angels are 11-20 this year against right handed starters. The Angels are allowing 5.5 runs per game at home this year and 6 runs per game at night this season. Jeremy Guthrie takes the mound for the Royals where he is 5-0 with a 2.28 ERA overall this year, 2-0 with a 2.88 ERA on the road this season and 3-0 with a 0.42 ERA his last 3 starts. We'll recommend a small play on Kansas City tonight! Thanks and good luck, Rocky Rocketman Sports has a 3* MLB Winner for Tuesday! Rocketman has won 15 out of 16 years overall in his history with the one losing year being less than 5 units! This is the Rocketman's 17th year in the industry! Don't miss out and win long term again!
Will Rogers
NY Mets vs. St. Louis
Pick: St. Louis
I won a free play with the Cardinals yesterday over the Mets as they won easily, "doubling up" the visitors in a 6-3 victory. I happen to believe St. Louis is the best team in baseball right now, so why not do it all over again?
Here are my keys to the game:
1. Two teams going in opposite directions - The Cardinals have won 10 of 12 to surge to the top of MLB with a 24-13 record. The Mets have lost six of eight, scoring 2.6 runs per game while batting only .202 as a team. Last night was the second straight game that they managed to produce only four hits.
2. Homefield Advantage - The Mets have lost 10 of 13 here at Busch Stadium. The Cardinals have lost at home only one time in May.
3. X-Factor - This would be Cardinals starter John Gast, who makes his major league debut Tuesday. Gast was the club's best minor league prospect, going 3-1 with a 1.16 ERA in six starts at Triple-A Memphis. He started the year with 32 consecutive scoreless innings.
Bryan Power
Houston vs. Detroit
Pick: Detroit -1.5
Note that this is a run line play where I'm "laying" the -1.5 with Detroit against Houston. At the risk of stating the obvious, the Astros are atrocious. Those who though this could be a historically bad team this season look like they knew what they were talking about as Houston is 10-28 on the year, having dropped five straight and 11 of 13. I see no reason to expect them to be competitive tonight
Houston is 0-5 this year vs. Detroit after falling 7-2 last night. In those five losses, they have been outscored 44-10, four of the losses coming by multiple runs. The only game they were able to stay within a run of the Tigers, ironically enough, came against the starter they face today, Doug Fister. But Fister has been solid this year (3.14 ERA in 7 starts) and has an offense to back him up (6.3 runs per game at home).
Houston is 1-19 this season when facing a team with a winning record. They have given up, by far and away, the most runs in baseball. Opponents are averaging 6.2 per game against them this year (compared to 3.8 for Detroit), including an average of nine per the last three games. When Lucas Harrell started against the Tigers earlier in the year, the end result was a 17-2 loss with Harrell allowing eight runs in just 4.3 innings. This game won't be close.
Jesse Schule
Washington vs. LA Dodgers
Pick: Washington +1.5.
The Dodgers' struggles continued last night, with a 6-2 loss to Washington in Game 1 of this series. L.A. can't seem to get anything going at the plate, and the Dodgers rank 28th in the Majors in runs scored.
Scoring has been a major problem when Clayton Kershaw has been on the mound, and they have lost his last two starts. Kershaw (3-2, 1.62 ERA) has been dominant all year, and he's allowed just four runs over his last four starts. Due to a lack of offense and a suspect bullpen, he's only won one of those starts.
The Dodgers have just two wins in their last 11 games, yet they are a hefty favorite in tonight's game with their ace on the mound.
The Nat's will hand the ball to Dan Haren, and he's coming off three straight wins. Haren (4-3, 5.17 ERA) allowed four runs on nine hits over six innings in a 5-4 win over the Tigers in his last start. Prior to that he was very sharp in a 3-1 win over Atlanta, allowing a single run on four hits over eight innings.
While Haren has been a little up and down, he's been much better lately, and a start in a pitcher-friendly park against one of worst offensive teams in baseball might be a good spot for him.
I like the Nats on the run line, I think the Nats can keep this one close, even against Kershaw.
Greg Shaker
Cardinals -1.5
Just brief here on a very busy day. I have actually seen the Cardinals Pitcher in AAA and he is pretty darn good. His work this year comprises 32 innings of ZERO Earned Runs allowed to open his season in Memphis AAA and his Spring was very good. Enough to impress the Cards to give him a shot tonight. Gee has been inconsistent and the Cardinals have been wearing out righthanded pitching this year. Currently scoring right at 6 per 9 over their last 10 played. Cards pen finally performing well. I'm going to lay the runs verses the Mets team whose season is slipping badly right now and a worn out Bullpen that badly needs a rest but not likely to get it here in the Gateway City.
Dave Essler
Twins +100
I get that it's Jake Peavy and he's done well against the Twins as a whole over his career. However, the total keeps going up and this is a Twins team that's hitting .285 over the last week and scoring almost 8 runs a game. In contrast, the White Sox are hitting .231 over that time frame and averaging less than four runs a game. This line is begging for people to fade the Twins, in particular Correia. However, his WHIP this season is a nice 1.20. What sticks out more to me is who he's done well against. His last three games have been against Boston, Cleveland, and Texas, and he's already beaten the Tigers. Peavy already pitched against the Twins THIS season, and lost 2-1. The key thing there is that there's recent familiarity, and my oh my how things change. In that game (obviously in Chicago) the White Sox were -170, so what's really changed? Are the White Sox not as good as we thought they'd be (I think so, getting older) or are the Twins better than we thought they'd be (I never think the Twins will suck when healthy and obviously managed well). Add to that the fact that it's the Twins with the better pen both lately and all season long, really, and at EV at home we (I) will bet on the Twins.
Ross Benjamin
Kansas City vs. Los Angeles
Play Under 8.5
The Angels starter Justin Vargas enters tonight in very good form posting a 2.78 ERA and 1.10 WHIP over his last 3 starts. Vargas has seen 3 of his 4 starts versus the Royals go under the total since the start of the 2010 season. In those 4 starts Vargas posted terrific numbers with a 2.08 ERA and 1.04 WHIP. Vargas has seen 15 of his 19 career home team starts go under the total versus opponents who average 3 walks or less per game. The Royals starter Jeremy Guthrie has been absolutely lights out over his last 3 starts posting a microscopic 0.42 ERA. Since the start of the 2010 Guthrie has been rock solid in his 4 starts versus the Angels with a 2.38 ERA and an outstanding 0.86 WHIP. Guthrie has seen 27 of his 38 career road team starts go under the total versus an opponent with a .330 or less on-base-percentage on the season. Play on this game to go under the total.