Jimmy Boyd
New York Yankees -148
The Yankees get the call as our free play with CC Sabathia on the bump. The big southpaw is heating up. He's gone 3-0 with an ERA of 1.50 over his last 3 starts. Plus, he's had Baltimore's number. He's 16-2 (19-4 on the ML) with an ERA of 2.86 in 23 career starts versus the Orioles. The Yankees are 12-1 in his last 13 starts vs. the Orioles, 8-0 in his last 8 road starts vs. the Orioles, 50-18 in his last 68 starts overall and 35-16 in his last 51 road starts. The Yankees are 51-17 in their last 68 meetings with the O's and 20-6 in their last 26 meetings in Baltimore. Take the Yanks.
Jeff Scott Sports
3 UNIT PLAYS
St Louis/ Chicago Over 8: Cardinal home games have averaged 10.8 rpg this year, with the Over going 13-3 in those games. Last night they were only able to score 4 runs off of Dempster, but they also didn't have Beltran in the lineup for that one. He should be in the lineup today and that will help this Cardinals offense get back on track here. The Cardinals have hit .290 and they score 6.3 rpg at home and that should continue today vs Paul Maholm who has a 5.65 ERA in his last 5 starts vs the Cardinals and a 4.63 ERA in 4 career starts here. Paul has also struggled on the road in his career, with a 5.05 ERA, plus he has a 4.71 career ERA in day starts. Kyle Lohse has had a good start to the year with a 2.08 ERA, but he has struggled with the Cubs in his career, posting a 5.48 ERA in 13 starts vs them, including a 5.65 ERA in his last 5 starts vs them. Both offenses are more than capable of 4+ runs in this one.
Cleveland -131 over MINNESOTA: (Added) The Tribe really plays well on the road this year and they are 9-3 away vs Righties. Their offense has really played well away from home, scoring 5.3 rpg, which is 2nd in the league. Today they get to face a struggling Jason Marquis, who is 2-2 with a 6.26 ERA overall and 1-1 with a 7.16 ERA at home this year. Derek Lowe has struggled with the Twins of late, going 0-3 with a 6.55 ERA in his last 5 starts vs them, but he has had a good year this year so far, going 5-1 with a 2.47 overall and 3-0 with a 1.27 ERA in 3 days starts. The Twins offense will stuggle today with Lowe, while Cleveland's offense will have a very nice showing vs Marquis, who wqas hit for 7 ER in just 6 innings in his lone career start vs the Tribe. Easy cleveland win here.
2 UNIT PLAYS
WASHINGTON -1.5 (+120) over San Diego: The Nats offense seems to be coming around a bit and should be able to score off Bass. Stephen Strasburg has been excellent this year with a 3-0 mark and a 1.64 ERA, but in day games he has been nearly unhittable so far, posting an 0.47 ERA in 3 starts, with the Nats winning all 3 starts. Look for another easy win by the Nats today.
BOSTON -1.5 (+110) over Seattle: Josh Becket has struggled this year, but he is 3-1 with a 3.48 ERA in his last 5 starts vs the M's, while the Sox are 3-0 and have won all 3 games by 2+ runs in his last 3 starts vs the Mariners here. Blake Beavan also had a rough start with a 1-3 mark and a 4.32 ERA and he has struggled in 2 career starts vs the Sox, posting an 0-2 mark with a 6.23 ERA vs them, with both losses by 2+ runs. Easy Red Sox win here.
Jeff Scott Sports
3 UNIT PLAY
SAN ANTONIO -11.5 over LA Clippers: I rode the spurs through the Utah series and I'm gonna go with them here as well. The Spurs haven't played in a while so they will be well rested, while the Clippers are off a tough physical 7 game series with Memphis and have had just 1 days rest. Both Paul and Griffin are hurting for the Clippers and they are their only real scoring options. and they will need to score a lot vs a San Antonio team that has averaged 102.3 ppg vs Utah and 105.9 ppg at home this year. The Spurs may come out a bit rusty like OKC did in the first quarter last night, but then they will start to wear a tired Clippers team down and eventually run away with the game in the second half.
1 UNIT PLAY
Indiana/ Miami Over 185.5: Im Gonna look to the Over in this one. With Bosh out the heat will be missing a Key defensive player and that should allow the Pacers scoring to be up some in this one. The Pacers have the ability to put points on the board, as they did average 99 ppg in their last 4 games vs Orlando and they did score 97.3 ppg overall on the year. We know the Heat can score, as they put up 95 points in game 1, while at home this year they have averaged a solid 100.5 ppg. Both teams have a chance at hitting the mid 90's in this one.