Free Picks: Service Plays for Wednesday December, 12

Ray MonohanFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM

Colorado vs. Fresno StateFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Play: ColoradoFOR TFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The Buffaloes were downright embarrassed against Kansas on the weekend, a bit of a shock given they should be pretty familiar with what it is like in Allen Fieldhouse. As a result we can get some better value on Colorado on a much easier road trip to Fresno State to play the Bulldogs. Sure this team has struggled on the road losing to the Jayhawks and Wyoming but they also beat talented Murray State and Baylor squad. Against KU leading scorer Spencer Dinwiddie found himself in foul trouble early and was a non factor scoring 4 points. His rebound performance should lead to an early victory. Buffs are 16-5 ATS coming off a loss.

Rob VincelettiFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Chicago Bulls vs. Philadelphia 76ersFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Play: Philadelphia 76ersFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The Sixers catch the Bulls with no rest off a tough game with the Clippers last night. That sets up a nice NBA System here that plays on home favorites with 1 day of rest that are favored by less than 5 points and scored 100 or more as a home favorite of 5 or more in their last game, vs an opponent like the Bulls that were a home dog in their last game. This system has cashed 8 of the last 9 times it has applied. The Sixers come in off a nice win and cover on Monday vs the Detroit Pistons and should be very tough in this spot vs a Chicago team that has no rest. Look for the Sixers to get the win and cover.

Matt FargoFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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San Antonio Spurs vs. Utah JazzFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Play: Utah JazzFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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San Antonio owns the best record in the NBA at 18-4 and it is currently riding a five-game winning streak heading into tonight. The Spurs have been getting it done both at home and on the road and their 11-2 road record is the best in the NBA. They haven't exactly played the best of competition however as 10 of those 11 wins have come against teams that all possess a losing record with the lone road win against a winning team being against Boston back in mid-November. The Spurs offense has been lights out during the first half of this roadtrip as they have averaged 133.0 ppg on 51.6 percent shooting from behind the arc. Things could change tonight though as Utah has won three-straight games which is tied for a season high and while the opposition has been average at best, it has pushed the Jazz back over .500 after sustaining a three-game losing streak just prior to this. Utah still possesses one of the best home courts in the NBA as it is 8-1 on the season with the lone loss coming against the Clippers by just one point nine days ago. The Jazz are outscoring opponents by over 10 ppg on its home floor and it will be out for revenge following the playoff sweep from last season and the opening season series loss in San Antonio back at the start of November. The Jazz are 8-1 ATS in their last nine home games against teams with a winning road record and they covered in their only game as a home underdog so far this season. Meanwhile, the Spurs are 3-7-2 ATS in their last 12 games after scoring more than 125 points in their previous game and this has been a very home dominated series with the host going 23-9-1 ATS in the last 33 meetings.

Ben BurnsFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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San Antonio vs. UtahFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: UtahFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The Spurs are an outstanding 11-2 on the road. However, with an 8-1 record here at Salt Lake City, the Jazz have an even better winning percentage at home. I feel that they're providing us with some value here.
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You may recall that the Spurs knocked the Jazz out of the playoffs last season. The Jazz already played them tough at San Antonio last month, losing by six. This is the first meeting of the season here at Utah though.
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The Jazz, who are 11-8 ATS the last 19 series meetings here, come in well rested and playing well. They've won three straight, covering each of the last two. I expect them to be highly motivated tonight. Consider taking the points.

Jesse SchuleFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Dallas vs. BostonFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: BostonFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The Celtics will host Dallas on Wednesday, and Boston will be looking for it's fourth consecutive victory at the Garden. The Mavericks, still without Dirk Nowitzki, have struggled on the road this season, with a record of 4-7 away from home. The Celtics have been very strong defensively in recent games, limiting opponents to just 40% shooting over their last six contests.
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Boston is coming off a 92-79 victory over the 76ers, limiting Philadelphia to just 39% shooting on Saturday.
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"Our defense is why we won," coach Doc Rivers said. "I thought the first half, going zone, man and back and forth is good for us. And again when you play defense like that, you usually win games."
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Defense has been the story when these teams have met in recent seasons, with eight of the last 10 head to head meetings going under the total.
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Shawn Marion has been out of action for Dallas, missing the last two games with a groin injury. He is unlikely to dress for Wednesday's game.
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Boston has been a good bet as a favorite lately, going 4-0-1 ATS in their last five games when favored by 5-10 points
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I like Boston to keep that streak alive at home on Wednesday.
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Take the Celtics to cover.

Chris ElliottFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Atlanta vs. OrlandoFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: AtlantaFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The Hawks have been road warriors this season with victories at Oklahoma City and Memphis on the resume. They had a tough 101-92 loss at Miami last time out after winning 9 of 10 games. Orlando has lost 3 straight home games by a combined -13.0 PPG. The Hawks have owned the Magic with a record of 11-2 SU and ATS in their last 11 matchups, nothing should change here.
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The Hawks had won 9 of 10 games before dropping a 101-92 defeat at Miami (14-5) on Monday night. They are now 12-6 on the season overall and 5-3 on the road including victories at OKC (17-4) and at Memphis (14-4). The team has been solid offensively, scoring 96.9 PPG led by big men Josh Smith and Al Horford who are averaging 16.5 and 16.4 PPG respectively. The team has depth up and down the lineup with 5 players scoring more than 10 PPG and 10 players scoring more than 5 PPG. The defense has been great giving up 94.0 PPG to rank 6th in the NBA. Overall the team is outscoring their opponents by an average margin of +2.9 PPG.
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The Magic have struggled out of the gate to a record of 8-12 overall and 4-5 at home after losing 3 straight at home to Boston, San Antonio and Brooklyn by a combined -13.0 PPG. As a team the offense has been dismal 28th overall scoring 92.2 PPG on .442% shooting while their defense has helped keep them in most games, ranking 10th overall allowing 95.6 PPG. Overall the team is being outscored by a margin of -3.4 PPG.
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Atlanta has owned Orlando in this matchup recently, winning 11 of the last 13 games SU and ATS including 2 straight wins at the Amway Center by a combined margin of 15 PPG.The Hawks are at the top of their game right now while the Magic are looking to avoid losing 4 in a row at home for the first time in 5 years. The the Atlanta Hawks to win ATS.

Timothy Black
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SAVANNAH STATE vs. OHIO STATE
PLAY: SAVANNAH STATE
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Savannah State hasn't played a game with a posted total all year but they have played a lot of low scoring games. They have played solid defense all year long, holding Florida to just 58 points a couple weeks ago. They won't score much but it will be a low scoring game and they won't get blown out of the gym even though Ohio State is a far superior team.

Dave CokinFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Chicago Bulls at Philadelphia 76ers
Pick: Chicago BullsFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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This line will be shaded because the Bulls played Tuesday night, while the 76ers enjoyed an evening off. I see value at this price with what looks to be the more talented dog, so Chicago will be tonight's free opinion.

Jim FeistFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Brooklyn Nets at Toronto Raptors
Pick: Toronto RaptorsFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Toronto hasn't played many home games, but they are competitive there (3-4). Toronto is rested but Brooklyn is in the second of a back to back spot after a showdown with the Knicks last night, and the Nets are 7-22-1 ATS in their last 30 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. The Nets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games playing on no days rest. Play the Raptors.

David Banks

Boston Celtics -6

The Dallas Mavericks (11-10, 10-11 ATS) are finally over .500 and starting to gain some consistency as they look to make it four straight wins Wednesday night when they face the Boston Celtics (11-9, 8-10-2 ATS) at TD Garden in Boston, MA on ESPN at 8:05 ET. The Mavericks could just now be figuring out how to run their offense without injured superstar Dirk Nowitzki, while the Celtics should be well rested for this game, not having played since Saturday.

Nowitzki has yet to make his seasonal debut following arthroscopic knee surgery and he has only resumed taking set shots for the time being, targeting a return right around New Year's Day. Dallas was very erratic without him early on, especially breaking in a ton of new personnel, but it has now won three straight games while shooting a nice even 50.0 percent (128-for-256) over those three victories, two of which came on the road at Phoenix and at Houston. This hot spell has the Mavs up to 10th in the NBA in scoring (100.1), an identical 10th in field goal percentage (45.2) and sixth in three-point percentage (38.6), all improvements from where they were at earlier on. Dallas is paced by four newcomers in a lot of key categories, as O.J. Mayo leads them in scoring, Darren Collison leads in assists and steals, Chris Kaman leads in rebounds and field goal percentage and Elton Brand leads in blocked shots. Thus, Dallas management deserves kudos for all of the off-season moves and this will be a very dangerous team once Dirk does get back.

The Celtics may be two games over .500, but this is a team that has looked more "old" than "experienced" at times this year. Boston is the worst rebounding team in the NBA with only 38.3 boards per game, and a team that has won with stingy defense in recent years has not been nearly as aggressive on that end of the court, thus falling to the middle of the pack at 12th in scoring defense (96.6), 15th in field goal percentage allowed (44.4) and 12th in three-point defense (35.1). The three days off could help, but a peaking Dallas offense should still be a difficult matchup for the aging Boston defense. Perhaps the Celtics can give more extended minutes to sixth man Jeff Green, as he has frankly outperformed the starting Boston forwards recently while averaging 16.0 points on an outstanding 54.0 percent shooting over the last five games, and at 6-foot-9, Green has stepped out to nail eight three-pointers during this time while also providing good defense.

Thus far this NBA season, Western Conference teams have gone 77-54 straight up and 73-56-2, 56.6 percent ATS vs. the East in non-conference affairs like this one heading into play on Tuesday evening. The road teams are 6-1 ATS in the last seven head-to-head meetings between these clubs and the Mavericks are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games vs. Atlantic Division teams. Conversely, the Celtics are 4-10-1 ATS in their last 15 vs. the Southwest Division.

Jack Jones

Philadelphia 76ers -2.5

The Philadelphia 76ers are showing great value at home tonight as only a 2.5-point favorite over the Chicago Bulls. This is simply a great situation to back the 76ers as they will be the fresher team heading into this one.

Chicago will be playing the second of a back-to-back and its 6th game in 9 days. That's an extremely tough stretch for any team, and there's no question these Bulls' players have to be tired right now. Philly comes in on one days' rest, and this will be just its 5th game in 11 days.

Home-court advantage has proven to be huge in this series between the Bulls and 76ers. The home team has won five straight meetings. Philadelphia has won three straight and five of six at home over Chicago.

The Bulls are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record. The 76ers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 1 days rest. Philly is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 after scoring 100 points or more in its previous game. Chicago is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 when its opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game. Bet the 76ers Wednesday.

Steve Janus

Philadelphia 76ers

A lot of people are going to look to fade Chicago on a back-to-back set, but that's not why you should take Philadelphia in this matchup. The Bulls are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games when their starters combine for more than 160 minutes the previous day.

The reason my money is on the 76ers is due to the fact that they will be out for revenge against a team they are very familiar with (met in the playoffs). The Bulls defeated the 76ers 93-88 just 11 days ago in Chicago in a game that was close from start to finish.

This time around the Bulls will be without starting shooting guard Richard Hamilton, who had 15 points in that first meeting.

The other key here is that the 76ers are coming off a 104-97 home win over the Pistons. Philadelphia is an impressive 32-18 ATS in home games after playing a home game over the last 3 seasons. Chicago is also just 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games vs a team with a winning record.

WunderdogFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Chicago at PhiladelphiaFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: Under 181.5FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The Chicago Bulls have been a defensive-oriented team while awaiting return of Derrick Rose. They have held their own mostly due to their commitment on the defensive end of the court. That effort has held opponents to under 90 points per game in their last 10. Philadelphia is no stranger to getting after it on the defensive end with 11 of their last 14 opponents held under the century mark. They know that vs. the Bulls they have to match their defensive intensity, and are certainly equipped to do so. The Bulls have been money to the UNDER at 24-8 in their last 32, while the Sixers enter play at 19-9 to the UNDER in their last 28 following an ATS win. Only one way to go here - play the UNDER.

Hollywood SportsFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Brooklyn at TorontoFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Prediction: UnderFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Brooklyn (11-9) lost their fifth straight game against their cross-town rival Knicks last night by a 100-97 score last night. The Nets did cover the 3.5-point spread yesterday -- and the Under is 4-0-1 in their last 5 games after a point spread victory. The Under is also 5-1-1 in Brooklyn's last 7 games played without a day of rest. Furthermore, the Nets go on the road for this one -- and the Under is a decisive 20-5-1 in their last 26 fames on the road. Toronto (4-18) has also lost their last five games in a row after their 92-74 loss at Portland on Monday -- and the Under is 20-7-1 in their last 28 games after a double-digit loss. The Raptors have also played 10 of their last 14 games Under the Total at home. And in their last 18 games against teams with a winning record, Toronto has played 13 of these games Under the Total. Take the Under in this one.