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(@blade)
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DUNKEL INDEX

Portland at Dallas
The Mavericks look to bounce back from their 112-91 loss to Oklahoma City and build on their 12-3 ATS record in their last 15 games following a SU loss of more than 10 points. Dallas is the pick (-4 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Mavericks favored by 7 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Dallas (-4 1/2)

Game 701-702: LA Clippers at Orlando (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Clippers 121.067; Orlando 111.813
Dunkel Line & Total: LA Clippers by 9 1/2; 181
Vegas Line & Total: LA Clippers by 6; 188
Dunkel Pick: LA Clippers (-6); Under

Game 703-704: Indiana at Philadelphia (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Indiana 122.441; Philadelphia 122.384
Dunkel Line & Total: Even; 186
Vegas Line & Total: Philadelphia by 3; 182
Dunkel Pick: Indiana (+3); Over

Game 705-706: New York at Washington (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New York 121.919; Washington 120.778
Dunkel Line & Total: New York by 1; 195
Vegas Line & Total: New York by 4 1/2; 191
Dunkel Pick: Washington (+4 1/2); Over

Game 707-708: Boston at Toronto (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston 113.559; Toronto 121.878
Dunkel Line & Total: Toronto by 8 1/2; 184
Vegas Line & Total: Toronto by 3; 188
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (-3); Under

Game 709-710: Charlotte at Cleveland (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Charlotte 109.510; Cleveland 117.494
Dunkel Line & Total: Cleveland by 8; 198
Vegas Line & Total: Cleveland by 5; 202
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (-5); Under

Game 711-712: Brooklyn at Detroit (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Brooklyn 116.957; Detroit 116.043
Dunkel Line & Total: Brooklyn by 1; 192
Vegas Line & Total: Detroit by 1 1/2; 189 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Brooklyn (+1 1/2); Over

Game 713-714: Houston at Miami (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston 118.713; Miami 128.309
Dunkel Line & Total: Miami by 9 1/2; 204
Vegas Line & Total: Miami by 7 1/2; 208
Dunkel Pick: Miami (-7 1/2); Under

Game 715-716: Memphis at Atlanta (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Memphis 117.001; Atlanta 118.561
Dunkel Line & Total: Atlanta by 1 1/2; 184
Vegas Line & Total: Memphis by 2; 180 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (+2); Over

Game 717-718: Golden State at Oklahoma City (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Golden State 118.389; Oklahoma City 127.358
Dunkel Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 9; 216
Vegas Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 10 1/2; 211 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Golden State (+10 1/2); Over

Game 719-720: Phoenix at New Orleans (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Phoenix 114.327; New Orleans 121.615
Dunkel Line & Total: New Orleans by 7 1/2; 183
Vegas Line & Total: New Orleans by 6; 193
Dunkel Pick: New Orleans (-6); Under

Game 721-722: Portland at Dallas (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Portland 116.348; Dallas 123.853
Dunkel Line & Total: Dallas by 7 1/2; 198
Vegas Line & Total: Dallas by 4 1/2; 202
Dunkel Pick: Dallas (-4 1/2); Under

Game 723-724: San Antonio at Minnesota (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Antonio 125.002; Minnesota 118.898
Dunkel Line & Total: San Antonio by 6; 204
Vegas Line & Total: San Antonio by 4 1/2; 196
Dunkel Pick: San Antonio (-4 1/2); Over

Game 725-726: Milwaukee at Utah (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee 116.515; Utah 119.521
Dunkel Line & Total: Utah by 3; 206
Vegas Line & Total: Utah by 5 1/2; 201 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (+5 1/2); Over

NHL

Dallas at Edmonton
The Stars look to build on their 4-1 record in their last 5 games at Edmonton. Dallas is the pick (+105) according to Dunkel, which has the Stars favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Dallas (+105)

Game 1-2: Boston at Montreal (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston 11.189; Montreal 12.131
Dunkel Line & Total: Montreal by 1; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Boston (-115); 5
Dunkel Pick: Montreal (-105); Over

Game 3-4: Anaheim at Colorado (9:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Anaheim 11.118; Colorado 12.064
Dunkel Line & Total: Colorado by 1; 4
Vegas Line & Total: Colorado (-120); 5
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (-120); Under

Game 5-6: Dallas at Edmonton (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 12.134; Edmonton 11.062
Dunkel Line & Total: Dallas by 1; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Edmonton (-125); 5
Dunkel Pick: Dallas (+105); Over

 
Posted : February 5, 2013 10:38 pm
(@blade)
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DUNKEL INDEX

NCAAB

Memphis at SMU
The Mustangs look to build on their 5-0 ATS record in their last 5 games against the Tigers at SMU. SMU is the pick (+8 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Tigers favored by only 6. Dunkel Pick: SMU (+8 1/2)

Game 727-728: Creighton at Indiana State (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Creighton 70.087; Indiana State 63.568
Dunkel Line: Creighton by 6 1/2
Vegas Line: Creighton by 5
Dunkel Pick: Creighton (-5)

Game 729-730: Ohio at Ball State (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Ohio 59.307; Ball State 53.134
Dunkel Line: Ohio by 6
Vegas Line: Ohio by 10 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Ball State (+10 1/2)

Game 731-732: Miami (OH) at Toledo (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami (OH) 47.112; Toledo 52.781
Dunkel Line: Toledo by 5 1/2
Vegas Line: Toledo by 8
Dunkel Pick: Miami (OH) (+8)

Game 733-734: Kent State at Western Michigan (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kent State 53.103; Western Michigan 62.794
Dunkel Line: Western Michigan by 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Western Michigan by 6
Dunkel Pick: Western Michigan (-6)

Game 735-736: Buffalo at Eastern Michigan (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Buffalo 52.706; Eastern Michigan 49.311
Dunkel Line: Buffalo by 3 1/2
Vegas Line: Buffalo by 1
Dunkel Pick: Buffalo (-1)

Game 737-738: Georgia State at NC-Wilmington (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Georgia State 53.599; NC-Wilmington 52.172
Dunkel Line: Georgia State by 1 1/2
Vegas Line: Georgia State by 4
Dunkel Pick: NC-Wilmington (+4)

Game 739-740: George Washington at Duquesne (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: George Washington 58.437; Duquesne 55.251
Dunkel Line: George Washington by 3
Vegas Line: George Washington by 4
Dunkel Pick: Duquesne (+4)

Game 741-742: St. Joseph's at Dayton (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Joseph's 60.613; Dayton 61.243
Dunkel Line: Dayton by 1
Vegas Line: Dayton by 4 1/2
Dunkel Pick: St. Joseph's (+4 1/2)

Game 743-744: Rhode Island at Massachusetts (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Rhode Island 54.166; Massachusetts 64.389
Dunkel Line: Massachusetts by 10
Vegas Line: Massachusetts by 8
Dunkel Pick: Massachusetts (-8)

Game 745-746: Northeastern at Hofstra (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Northeastern 56.751; Hofstra 50.523
Dunkel Line: Northeastern by 6
Vegas Line: Northeastern by 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Hofstra (+8 1/2)

Game 747-748: St. Bonaventure at Butler (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Bonaventure 58.755; Butler 70.536
Dunkel Line: Butler by 12
Vegas Line: Butler by 11
Dunkel Pick: Butler (-11)

Game 749-750: Minnesota at Michigan State (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 71.076; Michigan State 73.726
Dunkel Line: Michigan State by 2 1/2; 127
Vegas Line: Michigan State by 4; 131
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+4); Under

Game 751-752: Baylor at Oklahoma State (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Baylor 69.736; Oklahoma State 71.259
Dunkel Line: Oklahoma State by 1 1/2; 140
Vegas Line: Oklahoma State by 7; 137
Dunkel Pick: Baylor (+7); Over

Game 753-754: Connecticut at St. John's (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Connecticut 66.879; St. John's 61.969
Dunkel Line: Connecticut by 5; 135
Vegas Line: Connecticut by 1; 131 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Connecticut (-1); Over

Game 755-756: Southern Mississippi at Central Florida (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Southern Mississippi 66.872; Central Florida 62.504
Dunkel Line: Southern Mississippi by 4 1/2
Vegas Line: Southern Mississippi by 2
Dunkel Pick: Southern Mississippi (-2)

Game 757-758: Cincinnati at Providence (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati 68.708; Providence 63.238
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 5 1/2
Vegas Line: Cincinnati by 4
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (-4)

Game 759-760: Charlotte at Temple (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Charlotte 55.795; Temple 64.919
Dunkel Line: Temple by 9
Vegas Line: Temple by 10
Dunkel Pick: Charlotte (+10)

Game 761-762: Delaware at Towson (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Delaware 53.746; Towson 51.404
Dunkel Line: Delaware by 2 1/2
Vegas Line: Delaware by 1
Dunkel Pick: Delaware (-1)

Game 763-764: Marquette at South Florida (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Marquette 65.423; South Florida 63.274
Dunkel Line: Marquette by 2; 118
Vegas Line: Marquette by 4; 121
Dunkel Pick: South Florida (+4); Under

Game 765-766: William & Mary at James Madison (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: William & Mary 49.035; James Madison 52.049
Dunkel Line: James Madison by 3
Vegas Line: James Madison by 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: William & Mary (+6 1/2)

Game 767-768: Louisville at Rutgers (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Louisville 74.110; Rutgers 62.424
Dunkel Line: Louisville by 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Louisville by 10 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Rutgers (+10 1/2)

Game 769-770: St. Louis at Fordham (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis 68.319; Fordham 53.301
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 15; 128
Vegas Line: St. Louis by 13 1/2; 133 1/2
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-13 1/2); Under

Game 771-772: UAB at Tulsa (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UAB 54.683; Tulsa 55.400
Dunkel Line: Tulsa by 1
Vegas Line: Tulsa by 3 1/2
Dunkel Pick: UAB (+3 1/2)

Game 773-774: Memphis at SMU (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Memphis 65.741; SMU 59.508
Dunkel Line: Memphis by 6
Vegas Line: Memphis by 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: SMU (+8 1/2)

Game 775-776: Marshall at Tulane (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Marshall 53.758; Tulane 58.300
Dunkel Line: Tulane by 4 1/2
Vegas Line: Tulane by 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Marshall (+5 1/2)

Game 777-778: Bowling Green at Northern Illinois (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Bowling Green 51.525; Northern Illinois 48.570
Dunkel Line: Bowling Green by 3
Vegas Line: Bowling Green by 2 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Bowling Green (-2 1/2)

Game 779-780: Vanderbilt at LSU (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Vanderbilt 56.399; LSU 63.860
Dunkel Line: LSU by 7 1/2
Vegas Line: LSU by 6
Dunkel Pick: LSU (-6)

Game 781-782: Alabama at Auburn (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Alabama 62.920; Auburn 61.786
Dunkel Line: Alabama by 1
Vegas Line: Alabama by 3
Dunkel Pick: Auburn (+3)

Game 783-784: Georgia at Tennessee (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Georgia 59.920; Tennessee 64.003
Dunkel Line: Tennessee by 4
Vegas Line: Tennessee by 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Georgia (+6 1/2)

Game 785-786: Illinois State at Drake (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Illinois State 59.355; Drake 61.502
Dunkel Line: Drake by 2
Vegas Line: Illinois State by 2 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Drake (+2 1/2)

Game 787-788: UNLV at Fresno State (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UNLV 68.033; Fresno State 58.228
Dunkel Line: UNLV by 10
Vegas Line: UNLV by 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: UNLV (-7 1/2)

Game 789-790: Air Force at New Mexico (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Air Force 59.664; New Mexico 71.248
Dunkel Line: New Mexico by 11 1/2
Vegas Line: New Mexico by 10
Dunkel Pick: New Mexico (-10)

Game 791-792: Mississippi State at Mississippi (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Mississippi State 50.699; Mississippi 66.623
Dunkel Line: Mississippi by 16
Vegas Line: Mississippi by 17 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Mississippi State (+17 1/2)

Game 793-794: Rice at UTEP (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Rice 46.228; UTEP 64.010
Dunkel Line: UTEP by 18
Vegas Line: UTEP by 16
Dunkel Pick: UTEP (-16)

Game 795-796: Kansas at TCU (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas 70.993; TCU 54.069
Dunkel Line: Kansas by 17; 112
Vegas Line: Kansas by 18 1/2; 115 1/2
Dunkel Pick: TCU (+18 1/2); Under

Game 797-798: Iowa at Wisconsin (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Iowa 65.851; Wisconsin 75.576
Dunkel Line: Wisconsin by 9 1/2; 120
Vegas Line: Wisconsin by 8; 124 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Wisconsin (-8); Under

Game 799-800: Utah at Oregon State (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Utah 54.346; Oregon State 62.613
Dunkel Line: Oregon State by 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Oregon State by 6
Dunkel Pick: Oregon State (-6)

Game 801-802: Colorado State at Nevada (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado State 70.540; Nevada 61.234
Dunkel Line: Colorado State by 9 1/2; 131
Vegas Line: Colorado State by 7 1/2; 135 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Colorado State (-7 1/2); Under

Game 803-804: Boise State at San Diego State (11:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boise State 59.363; San Diego State 70.811
Dunkel Line: San Diego State by 11 1/2
Vegas Line: San Diego State by 9
Dunkel Pick: San Diego State (-9)

Game 805-806: Stanford at Arizona (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Stanford 63.206; Arizona 75.416
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 12; 133
Vegas Line: Arizona by 10; 137 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (-10); Under

 
Posted : February 5, 2013 10:39 pm
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David ChanFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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New York vs. WashingtonFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: WashingtonFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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New York is 31-15 SU and 25-20-1 ATS; it's coming off a 99-85 win over Detroit as a 10 point fav on the 4th. It's interesting to note thought that New York is just 1-4 ATS this year as a road fav of 3.5 to 6 points this season.
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Washington is 12-35 SU and 28-17-2 ATS; it's coming off a 98-90 win over the Clippers as a 3 point underdog on the 4th.
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Not only is Washington 14-9 ATS in front of the home town crowd, but it's also 10-6 ATS this year vs. good offensive teams that score 99-plus points per contest.
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To say this is a "revenge game" would be a bit of an understatement as Washington has lost ten straight in the series.
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The Wizards have won six of seven at home though, and I believe have the firepower to catch the complacent Knicks off guard; consider a second look at the home side in this one!

 
Posted : February 5, 2013 10:40 pm
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Marc LawrenceFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Boston vs. TorontoFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: TorontoFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The slumping Raptors will look to capitalize on their success at home this season, where they are 14-9-1 ATS, when they host the Celtics in Toronto Wednesday night. The games sets up particularly well for the Raptors with Boston entering off a stirring revenge home win over the Clippers on Super Bowl Sunday, while Toronto checks in off a 15-point home loss against Miami the same day. That sets the table tonight as the Raptors are a commanding 25-11 SU and 25-9-2 ATS at home when seeking revenge in games off a home loss, including 5-0 ATS when playing off a home loss of 15 or more points. With the Celtics eyeing up the Lakers back in Beantown tomorrow night, the host becomes the play here tonight. We recommend a 1-unit play on Toronto.

 
Posted : February 5, 2013 10:41 pm
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Jim FeistFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Phoenix Suns at New Orleans HornetsFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: New Orleans HornetsFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Phoenix is in a tough spot, the second of a back to back road spot after playing at Memphis last night. This team is 19th in the NBA in points scored and 23rd in points allowed and playing poorly, both straight up and against the number. 3 games ago they were favored at home over Dallas and lost by double digits, giving up 109 points. New Orleans is undervalued, on an 11-5 ATS run, plus the Hornets are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 vs. the Western Conference. While Phoenix has to play last night, New Orleans has had 3 full days off! And the Hornets are 12-3 ATS in their last 15 games playing on 3 or more days rest. Play the Hornets!

 
Posted : February 5, 2013 10:42 pm
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Rob Vinciletti

UAB vs. Tulsa
Play: Tulsa

Tulsa is laying just a few points here in this one. However they have solid solid angles in their favorite here tonight as we note they are 8-0 after allowing 80 or more points in their last game and have won and covered the last 3 times as a home favorite of 3 or less points. In game off a conference loss they have rebounded nicely winning 10 of 14. They have also handled losing teams well winning 5 of 6. Tonight they take on a UAB teams that has dropped 13 of 16 vs winning teams and lost and failed to cover 4 of the last 5 games off a conference loss. On Wednesdays they are 1-5 ats and have lost 3 of the last 4 here at Tulsa. Lay the small number here with Tulsa.

 
Posted : February 6, 2013 11:04 am
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Bruce MarshallFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Northeastern vs. HofstraFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: NortheasternFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Though Hofstra held its own for a while (and even flourished vs. the pointspread for a bit) following its rash of early-season suspensions that sidelined key contributors frosh star F Jimmy Hall and Hawaii transfer G Shaquille Stokes, those resultant manpower shortages have begun to catch up with the Pride. Hofstra has exceeded 60 points just once since mid-December and now appears to be in a real nosedive (six SU losses and three spread setbacks in a row). CAA leader Northeastern will be on its toes after its narrow escape in Boston back on Jan. 16. Worth noting the Huskies’ 4-0 SU and spread mark on the CAA trail this season. NE is unique among this season’s Colonial entries because it can actually shoot the ball somewhat straight (a CAA -best 45.2% FGs), with a well-balanced lineup featuring four DD scorers, led by Gs Joel Smith & Jonathan Lee (combining for 30 ppg).

 
Posted : February 6, 2013 11:05 am
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Art AronsonFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Boston vs. TorontoFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: TorontoFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The Raps are coming off a tough loss to the Miami Heat but still I think they bounce back and get a nice win here. It is always a big game when the Celtics come to town and I expect the Raps to be ready.
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True the Celtics have been on roll lately but it’s no coincidence that the four game win streak has come at home where the team is much more potent. A trip to Toronto should prove be a lot tougher without star Rajon Rondo.
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The Raptors are 14-10 ATS this year and 7-5 ATS as the favorite.

Toronto has played two tough opponents after a blockbuster trade that brought Rudy Gay to the team. A few games under belt should be only good thing here as they host a storied franchise in the Celtics who always generate attention.
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The Celtics are indeed on a nice win streak here but they have yet to play on the road without star Rondo. Even with Rondo, the Celtics are 7-14 SU on the road this year and 6-13 ATS.

The Celtics have lost its last three games on the road and have allowed 99.9 points a game against while only putting up 93.6 themselves.
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The Raptors may have lost to Celtics in Boston its last game out but did manage a nice 84-74 victory as the four point underdog.

 
Posted : February 6, 2013 11:06 am
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JR O'DonnellFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Northeastern -8FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Line currently @ -8 and we have this baby power rated @ -18 ... Northeastern punches in @ 14-8, 9-1 CAA and is off to one of its best conference starts in program history and has won 9 of its last 10 games. The Senior Guard J Lee sets the table and has a super motor for the Huskies .... Road team is 7-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings.

 
Posted : February 6, 2013 11:07 am
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Andre GomesFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Knicks / Wizards Over 191.5FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The Knicks are back! Raymond Felton returned on the Knicks's game at Philadelphia and their offense was pathetic in that game by scoring just 80 points. However, since that game, the Knicks have torched their opponents with some incredible offensive numbers: 126.2, 139.3, 111.8, 133.4 and 118.5 offensive ratings on their last 5 games! In these games, the Knicks attempted an average of 34.6 treys per game, something that might look insane, but they converted 43.9% of them! With Felton back, the Knicks's ball movement improved dramatically, especially in the connection with their frontcourt. If at the start of the season, Tyson Chandler was having a lot easy plays to catch and dunk with Felton, now it's Amare Stoudemire who has been a beast lately with 8-14 FG, 10-10 FG, 5-10 FG, 7-7 FG, 6-9 FG and 8-13 FG on the team's last six games, for a combined of 44-63 (70%) FG! Defensively, the Knicks looked good, but they have also been facing some favorable matchups, as Orlando, Milwaukee, Sacramento and Detroit aren't exactly good offensive teams, so their recent defensive numbers are a bit overrated in my opinion.
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The Wizards had the "prize" of facing the Clippers without their best two players in Chris Paul and Blake Griffin. They took advantage of that and defeated the LA team by 98-90. The most important part of this win was Washington's offense that was coming from three starting games where they had an offensive rating lower than 100 (points per 100 possessions). This time, the Wizards had a 106.5 offensive rating! They were really sharp early on the game and started the game with 8-9 FG! The Wizards's ball movement was great and Garrett Temple was the surprising offensive contributor in the team's early run. Washington would end the game with 27 assists and just 13 turnovers! It was a balanced effort from them, as they had five players in double digits points and eight players had at least one assists! Defensively, the Wizards forced 20 turnovers to the Clippers and they also limited well the Clippers's inside game, as the LA team scored just 28 points in the paint, on a game where the Clippers's frontcourt offense had a unimpressive unit of DeAndre Jordan, Lamar Odom and Ronny Turiaf! Therefore, we can'y really take a lot of conclusions on Washington's defense from this game. However, as long as Washington manages to be a decent offensive team, they can be competitive, as they have a very underrated defense.
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Not only the Knicks are shooting great behind the line - L5 games they are shooting 43.9% 3pts while attempting almost 35 treys per game but they are scoring well inside as well - I have them shooting almost 70% FG at the rim with both Chandler and Stoudemire getting easy dunks and/or layups.
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The Wizards defense has been pretty decent all season long and even great lately but I think that it will be tough for them to shutdown this Knicks' offensive power. In the L6 games the Wizards def. rates = 97.10 which is great but let's not forget that they faced the shorthanded Bulls; the Kings; the 76ers; the Grizzlies; the Spurs who scored 51 pts in the first half against them but faded away in second half due to Duncan's injury and a Clippers team who were playing without Chris Paul and Blake Griffin. Their defense was great indeed but they had some pretty good favorable matchups during this recent span.
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The issue in this contest is to find out if the Wizards will be able to score at a decent rate or not.
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They are coming from a nice offensive balanced game against the Clippers in the last game. The key for such solid offensive game was obviously related with their good transition game - 19 fast break points w/ 9-15 FG in transition! The good news for them is that the Knicks aren't a good defensive transition team, they are ranked just #22 allowing 1.16 PPP & L10 games = 1.19 PPP! Even the big, slow footed Pistons' team was able to score 22 fast break points against the Knicks in the last game so I expect the Wizards to be focused in exploring this glaring weakness of the Knicks defense and push up the pace of the game every time they can. John Wall has to own the matchup vs. Felton / Kidd / Prigioni as he is too fast for the Knicks' PG's.
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The last time these two teams faced each other, the Wizards didn't have John Wall and they ended up scoring just 87 points w/ just 2 fast break points! I can guarantee you that this will not happen tonight!
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I expect this contest to have a good tempo due to WAS's style of play and game plan while the Knicks offense are simply red hot.

 
Posted : February 6, 2013 11:09 am
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Utah -5.5FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The Bucks exerted a lot of energy in blowing a 17-point lead last night at Denver. Now the Bucks have to play for the fourth time in six days and second in two nights in high altitude facing Utah.
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Milwaukee has failed to cover during 10 of its last 11 visits to Salt Lake City. I don't see that pattern changing here.
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The Jazz have won nine of their last 10 home games. They traditionally have a huge home-court advantage and that hasn't changed this season. Utah has covered 61 percent of its games at EnergySolutions Arena.
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The tired Bucks are going to have problems matching up against Utah's tall and physical front line, especially matching up against Al Jefferson and Paul Millsap. The Bucks have lost 14 of 21 times when giving up at least 46 points in the paint.
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Utah is holding foes to 89 points a game during its last three home contests. The Bucks have been held under 90 points 12 times this season. They are 0-12 straight-up and ATS in those games.
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The Bucks have become more high energy since Jim Boylan replaced defensive-minded Scott Skiles. Milwaukee relies heavily on its backcourt tandem of Monta Ellis and Brandon Jennings for its offense. Those two, along with the rest of Milwaukee's players, though, figure to have tired legs. The Bucks are just 4-11 ATS when playing with no rest.

 
Posted : February 6, 2013 11:10 am
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Matt FargoFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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James Madison -6½FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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James Madison had its four-game winning streak snapped at home against George Mason on Saturday but I expect the Dukes to bounce back huge here tonight. The loss put them into a four-way tie for third place in the CAA , a game behind Delaware for second place and two and a half games behind Northeastern for the top spot in the Colonial. This is the third straight home game for James Madison which is 8-3 at the Convocation Center and it needs to grab this game with three of the next four games coming on the road two of which are at Delaware and Northeastern. William & Mary meanwhile is coming off a win Saturday at home against 2-7 Hofstra in a revenge situation to move to 3-7 in the conference. The Tribe have won two of their last three games which snapped an eight-game losing streak but both of those wins came on their home floor. They have dropped seven straight road games and their three wins on the highway were at Liberty, High Point and Radford which are all out of the Big South Conference and ranked 301st, 224th and 294th respectively. James Madison has been able to take care of business this season against bad teams as it is 10-2 ATS against teams with a losing record and it is a perfect 6-0 ATS when favored by three or more points. William & Mary meanwhile is 0-6 ATS as a single digit underdog on the year while going 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games following a win.

 
Posted : February 6, 2013 11:12 am
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Jimmy BoydFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Philadelphia 76ers -2½FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The Pacers are in a rare situation of playing their third game in three nights. This is tough for any team to overcome, but you also have to couple in the fact that Indiana is coming off a stretch of playing Miami, Chicago, and Atlanta but will now take on a sub. 500 team in the finale. This not only is a troubling scheduling spot, but is a prime situation for a letdown.
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Indiana is 20-3 at home this year, but they are only 10-16 on the road, being outscored by 3 ppg. Philadelphia has been awful on the road but at home they are a respectable 15-11.
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The Sixers have been playing well. They have won three in a row and five of their last seven at home with the two losses coming to San Antonio and Memphis by a combined eight points. I think in a normal situation they would keep this game close, but with the Pacers in as tough of a spot as they are, it makes it that much better.

 
Posted : February 6, 2013 11:13 am
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Chase DiamondFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Oklahoma State Cowboys -7FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The Baylor Bears travel to Stillwater, Oklahoma to take on the newly ranked Oklahoma State Cowboys. Baylor enters this contest at 14-7 overall and 5-3 in league play. Oklahoma State sports a 15-5 record and 5-3 in league play as well. The action tips at 7 PM in a key conference game for both teams.
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Baylor enters this game struggling a bit after dropping their last two contests. Their latest defeat was against Iowa State in a game that saw the Cyclones pull away late to seal the win. Baylor will need big things from senior leading scorer Pierre Jackson (19.1 ppg) to stay in the game with Oklahoma State. The Bears will also depend on 7 foot 1 inch freshman Isaiah Austin who leads the conference in rebounding. He rips down 9.4 boards a game.
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Oklahoma State comes into this contest after a huge win in Kansas. That win ended a 33 game home winning streak for Kansas and pushed Oklahoma State’s win streak to 3. The win also helped the Cowboys crack the top 25 as they currently sit ranked at 22. Markel Brown, the Cowboys leading scorer at 15.5 points per game, had a sparkling 28 points against Kansas. He will look to keep that play going against Baylor, especially after struggling against them in their first meeting. Super talented freshman Marcus Smart also poured in 25 points in the 85-80 win versus Kansas.
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What can we expect to happen on Wednesday night? Well, there is no doubt about this game being extremely important for both teams. Both teams are currently tied for fourth in the Big 12. Oklahoma State is a young team but seems to be gelling right now. Baylor on the other hand is talented but just seems to be in a funk right now. There may be some concern of a hangover effect for Oklahoma State backers after their big win against Kansas. However, keep in mind, this Baylor team beat the Cowboys earlier this season. The Cowboys won’t be looking past this Bears team. They will be focused and ready to play.

 
Posted : February 6, 2013 11:14 am
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Delaware at TowsonFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: DelawareFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Second meeting between Delaware and Towson, with the Tigers coming out on top the first time around by a 69-66 count. Maybe I should say somehow coming out on top, as it's a game the Tigers probably should not have won. But that's exactly what they did, mostly thanks to a great night shooting their two-point FG's, hitting 23/34. Towson is definitely one of the better stories this season. They currently 12-12, which might not seem like a major accomplishment. But after finishing 1-31 last year, it's pretty impressive. Delaware is also at .500, but the Blue Hens are a disappointment with all five starters back from last year's 18-14 entry. The good news for Delaware is that they've played well lately, and come into this rematch with three consecutive wins and covers. I don't see a great deal of difference between these teams, but I have the Blue Hens as the slightly higher rated squad. My tendency in rematches between comparable entries is to back the avenger, and while this is sure no slam dunk, I like Delaware to even the score with a close win and cover tonight.

 
Posted : February 6, 2013 11:17 am
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