NHL PredictionsFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Anaheim Ducks -105FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The Anaheim Ducks won their third straight game on Monday night with a win at home vs the Sharks and are now 6-1-1 on the season. They are 2-0-1 on the road, with their lone road loss a shootout loss vs San Jose. Colorado is coming off a 3-2 loss at home vs Dallas, and are just 2-4 over their last 6 games. In those 4 losses the Avs scored just 3 goals. Colorado actually took 3 of their 4 meetings last season, but the Ducks have owned Colorado over the years. Anaheim is 20-8 in their last 28 meetings overall and 6-2 in their last 8 meetings in Colorado. Note that the Avs are just 1-4 in their last 5 vs a team with a winning % of .600 or higher. The Ducks haven't announced which goalie they will start tonight, but I like this play with either guy in net. Hiller is fighting to keep his #1 spot, as Viktor Fasth has looked great going 3-0 with a 1.30 GAA and .946 SV%. Seymon Varlamov is starting for Colorado and he is 3-5 with a 2.50 GAA and .915 SV%. The Ducks are rolling right now and look good in both ends of the rink. I'm on Anaheim tonight at nearly a pick'em price.
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Charlotte at ClevelandFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: Cleveland -5.5FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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With Kyrie Irving playing well, the Cavaliers have won six of their last nine and five of their last six. Irving put up 35 points vs. the Thunder in a big upset win on Saturday, showing what this team can do if Irving is playing to his potential. In come the Charlotte Bobcats who have won just 11 games this season, including five on the road. Since last season, Charlotte seems to struggle even more vs. expectations when facing another bad team. Over the past two seasons, the Bobcats are just 16-28 ATS vs. losing teams and 5-20 ATS vs. teams that allow 99+ points per game! Over that span they are 20-35 ATS as an underdog in the 3.5 to 9.5 point range. They really struggle vs. up-tempo teams like Cleveland (teams that attempt 83+ shots per game), going just 5-18 ATS vs. such teams since last season. Charlotte is coming off a rare ATS win and that's not a good sign for them as they are 2-14 ATS in their next game this season after covering the number. Take the Cavs to win and cover this number.
Charlie Sports
Marquette at South Florida
Play: South Florida
The (15-5) Marquette Golden Eagles of the Big East Conference will take on the (10-11) South Florida Bulls also on the Big East in 2013 NCAA Basketball action. Marquette is 18-8 Against The Spread their last 26 vs. The Big East. South Florida is 9-3 ATS their last 12 Basketball games played on Wednesday's. The Golden Eagles have beaten South Florida the last 5 meetings between the teams. South Florida gets the home cover.
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Los Angeles Clippers vs. Orlando Magic
Play: Orlando MagicFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Both of these teams are banged up but the Clippers have easily played worse basketball without their star Chris Paul and they could be without Blake Griffin tonight. I'd say with the Heat and Knicks coming up this weekend that they will most certainly rest Griffin. The Magic on the other hand have played well at home and are 41-18-2 ats in their last 61 games following a loss of 10+ points. The Clippers are 1-9-1 ats in their last 11 meetings. I expect the Magic to play some of their veterans that are day to day and for them to possibly win this game as the Clippers look ahead to a big weekend facing the top two teams in the East.
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Minnesota vs. Michigan StFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: UnderFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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I don't dabble in College Basketball totals too often, but this looks like a pretty decent spot to get involved in what should prove to be another in a long line of Big 10 slugfests.....
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Tubby Smith's Gophers won at home 76-63 on New Year's Eve over Tom Izzo's Spartans in what was the conference opener for both. Both teams came in to that first meeting after long layoffs due to the holidays. That's not the case here as we're in the thick of the conference schedule. In their previous two road games, losses at Northwestern and Wisconsin, Minnesota was held to just 48 and 44 points. Things figure to be no easier tonight at the Breslin Center where Michigan State is allowing just 55.9 points per game for the season and the Gophers have lost 13 straight times.
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Minnesota isn't too shabby on the defensive end themselves, holding foes to just 61 PPG on the year. Michigan State has lost just one time since falling to the Gophers, last week at Indiana, but along the way has been involved in some real low-scoring games such as a 49-47 win at Wisconsin on January 22nd. Izzo is dealing with injuries and thus a lack of depth. Ten of the last eleven meetings between the teams here in East Lansing have stayed Under the total.
Teddy CoversFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Iowa vs. WisconsinFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: IowaFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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My clients and I cashed a winner with Iowa as road underdogs at Ohio State last week, when the Hawkeyes rallied back from a 24 point deficit to make things verrrry interesting in the final minute in Columbus before falling short, despite an awful game from leading scorer Roy Devyn Marble.
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We cashed another winner supporting the Hawkeyes on Super Bowl Sunday as they led for extended stretches of the second half, an easy ‘wire-2-wire’ pointspread cover as double digit underdogs. And there’s absolutely no reason to think that the Hawkeyes won’t be able to cash another winning bet for us tonight as they travel to Madison to take on a Badgers team that the Hawkeyes have beaten in each of the last three meetings.
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Iowa hasn’t lost a game by ten points or more since getting blown out at Michigan on January 6th, hanging tough with quality Big 10 foes like the Ohio State, Michigan State, Minnesota and Wisconsin during that span. Their ball movement has been nothing short of outstanding of late with 50 assists on 60 made field goals over their last three ballgames. The Hawkeyes have the low post size and muscle to bang with the Badgers in the paint, with Aaron White, Adam Woodbury, Melsahn Basabe and Zach McCabe. White: “We’re going to go up there confident. We’re a pretty good rebounding team ourselves, especially now at this time we’ve got a big frontcourt that can match them.”
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Wisconsin is struggling to win games by margin. They haven’t won a single game by more than six points since January 12th, and have a 2-5 ATS mark in their last seven tries as home favorites. The Badgers Achilles heel is their free throw shooting. They don’t get to the line; averaging only 16 attempts per game in their last five contests. And when they get to the line, they don’t convert, hitting just 61% from the charity stripe for the season. That’s very bad news in this pointspread range, where free throws in the final minute often come into play. Take Iowa.
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Toronto -3FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The Celtics are off the nationally televised game with Miami, then faced Sacramento knowing they would be without Rondo the remainder of the year. The following game was against a very short handed Orlando team, followed by a nationally televised contest with the Clippers. Boston hosts the hated Lakers tomorrow. The Celtics beat Toronto by 18 points in the only meeting this year. Toronto has a renewed energy after trading for Rudy Gay. The Raptors have a full two days to prepare after the home loss to Miami and Toronto doesn't play again till Friday at Indiana. This is a great spot for the host and a very good time to play against a short handed Centics squad.
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Toronto -3FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Oddsmakers begging you to take the Celtics against a team who is 17-31 on the year SU and playing just .500 at home. As Lee Corso says, not so fast my friend! Boston is on a 4 game win streak including a win over the Clippers where they scored 106 points at home, and yet they are an underdog? CAN YOU SAY TRAP LINE? Boston has the Lakers and Nuggets on deck after this game, and this is a tough scheduling spot for them. The Raptors have dropped 7 out of their last 10 including a 15 point home setback to Miami on Sunday, but yet again they are favorites. I have seen this scenario hundreds times over my 21 career and more times than not I drank the kool aid with a sucker line and got my rear handed to me, so live and learn. Trade rumors swirling around Kevin Garnett for Boston, a big game on deck, and while all signs point to Boston as a take here, I say we play it contrarian and go with the Raptors at home with the return of Andrea Bargnani tonight into the lineup.
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WASHINGTON +4½ over New YorkFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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"We had to have these games and we approached it like that. We took care of business and now we go on the road for two." Those are the words of NY’s Carmelo Anthony after the Knicks were victorious in five straight at MSG. Reading between the lines conjures up the word ‘breather’ as there was no mention of maintaining the same intensity for this upcoming two-game trip. Why would there be? The Knicks haven’t lost to these Wizards in three years, including the most recent game in New York when the host Knicks rolled to a 108-87 win. That sets an appetizing table for us.
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The Wizards have upgraded their play, especially at home where they have won six of seven. It’s no fluke that the recent run coincided with the return of guard John Wall. The 3rd year player is the QB of his team and other contenders have found that out recently as Washington has turned away the Heat, Thunder and Clippers when they came calling. The recent play of Emeka Okafor, playing alongside Nene, has been a big contributor to the team’s improvement. Now, with plenty of motivation after being humiliated by this guest for too long, we expect another strong effort against a New York team that could get caught off guard. Upset alert is flashing.
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Charlotte +5½ over CLEVELANDFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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What a great win for the Cavaliers. As a 10-point pooch in its own barn, Cleveland welcomed the Thunder to town and played perhaps its best game of the year en route to a 5-point upset win. That has the masses jumping on board, as they are now asked to win by just six against the team with the NBA's fewest wins. It’s easier said than done. The Cavaliers are 14-34 for a reason. What commonly follows big wins are big letdowns and the books sense that here.
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Charlotte has dropped four in a row and seven of eight but a close look reveals the last four losses have occurred all on the road against Miami, Houston, San Antonio and Chicago. They played both Chicago and Miami close and stretches like that often have the lesser team well-prepped to play a team of equal value. The Bobcats are a very capable offensive group and should they catch the Cavaliers on an off-shooting night, a distinct possibility after an uncharacteristic performance, chances are they come out of here with a win or cover.
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Iowa +8 over WISCONSINFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The Badgers are not a team you want to be laying significant points with against quality clubs. They're often involved in low scoring games that barely reach 100 combined points. In three of Wisconsin's past eight games, we've seen scores of 49-47, 47-41 and 45-44. They're a tremendously tough defensive team but seldom do they defeat Big-10 foes by the allotted points being offered here. It gets better. After playing three ranked teams in Michigan State, Minnesota and Ohio State, Wisky will face a pair of non-ranks having played Illinois on Sunday and now the Hawkeyes before the Badgers will face three more ranked squads. This one screams letdown.
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Iowa is just 3-6 in the conference but it’s had so many close calls that they're accustomed to tight games. Included, was a pair of three-point losses to Minnesota and Michigan State and a four-point loss to Indiana. The Hawkeyes have also fared well against a couple of tough opponents in close games, including a four-point win over these same Badgers on January 19. Revenge, you say? We would agree if the Badgers didn't have such important games on deck that could ultimately decide their tournament fate. This one will not and with all these points being dangled, we’ll confidently step in.
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Rhode Island +8½ over MASSACHUSETTSFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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UMass has a much better record than these Rams but as we've pointed out on numerous occasions, won/loss records can be very deceiving. The Minutemen come in with a 4-3 conference mark and an overall record of 14-6. However, only one of their conference wins, over the 0-7 Duquesne Dukes, were by more than five points. UMass has not played the tougher portion of their conference schedule yet. The Minutemen have defeated a bunch of nobodies so far but their record has them priced in a misleading way.
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Throw in Rhode Island's 1-6 conference record and its 6-14 overall mark and you can easily see why the market has them in this range. We're buying. The Rams have played the 35th toughest schedule in Division I basketball. They opened the year with three of their first four games against Ohio State, Virginia Tech and Seton Hall. The Rams have also played both powers in the Atlantic-10, losing by 6 and 7 respectively to VCU and Butler. The Rams’ overall numbers in terms of key stats are skewed because of their difficult schedule. But make no mistake, they are as good or better than this host being battle tested and very capable of pulling the upset here.
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St. Bonaventure +11 over BUTLERFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The Bulldogs will get their ticket punched to the dance whether they win the Atlantic Conference or not. Butler has three notable wins over Gonzaga, Indiana and North Carolina. They're 18-4 overall and it seems inevitable that they'll play VCU for the A-10 championship. Butler may have caught lightning in a bottle during its non-conference slate but they were not a projected bracket team. Now ranked #14 and with no history against the Bonnies, a premium is required to wager on the Bulldogs here and that seldom comes recommended. Without any significant games upcoming, the Bulldogs are likely to be on cruise control until the March 2nd contest at VCU.
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St. Bonaventure had a really ugly stretch recently in which consecutive losses to North Carolina State, Iona, Colorado State and George Washington were by 19 points or more. Then something clicked for the Bonnies when the Rams of VCU came to town. St. Bonaventure played their hearts out, hit 11 of 25 three's and ended up losing 62-55. Since then, the Bonnies have a two-point loss to Xavier, a 10-point loss to Saint Louis and wins over Saint Joseph's, Temple and Duquesne. Outside of that aforementioned four-game stretch, they have not lost by the margin being offered here. The Bonnies have also played a tough schedule that ranks 82 out of 347 Division I teams and they figure to be the more amped up club here playing this perennial A-10 power for the very first time.
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Anaheim +105 over COLORADOFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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OT included. The Ducks offer up so much value as a dog here that they're simply a must play. Very quietly, these Ducks are 6-1-1 with wins already against San Jose, L.A. and Vancouver. They are completely dominating games for long stretches at a time but few are noticing because of the market they play in and the minimum coverage received. That works for us as this team is scary good.
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The Avalanche are not only getting outplayed on most nights, they have some serious injuries that include Gabriel Landeskog, Erik Johnson, Steve Downie and Ryan Wilson. Colorado’s best player, Ryan O'Reilly, has not even suited up yet as contract negotiations remain unsolved. The Avalanche has lost four of six and it should be five of six after a fortunate win over the Flames. The inferior Avalanche will now host a Ducks' team embarking on a six-game trip. Setting the tone, we can't imagine anything but a solid effort from Anaheim,
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Dallas +116 over EDMONTONFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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OT included. The Oilers are no longer a well kept secret. Bettors are now keen on the talent and speed of this up and coming squad. That said, the opposition is taking them seriously and there is enough film to focus in on their weaknesses. Edmonton has scored two goals or less in four straight. They've been bailed out a couple of times by solid goaltending but continue to get outshot by a wide margin, allowing 40 shots on net per game. Exciting doesn't always equate to wins.
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The Stars are more under the radar. They've played 10 of the toughest games in the league with three of their games against the pesky Coyotes. Dallas has a one goal loss to both St. Louis and Chicago, who are a combined 14-3, the latter in OT. Dallas is deep and dangerous. Michael Ryder, a three-time 30-goal man, including 35 last season is third on their RW depth chart. Jamie Benn has four goals in five games after his holdout. Throw in Jagomir Jagr, Loui Ericksson, Derek Roy, Brenden Morrow, Alex Goligoski and Trevor Daley among others and you can see how loaded this team really is. The Stars have gone unnoticed up to now so take the value while it's still available because it's not going to last.
Jack Jones
Philadelphia 76ers -2.5
The Indiana Pacers are the only team in the league that has to play a back-to-back-to-back situation this season. That will take place tonight as the Pacers will be playing their 3rd game in 3 days following home wins over the Bulls and Hawks the past two nights.
There's no question that Indiana's players will be fatigued heading into this one, and I really don't even expect them to show up. After all, the Pacers are just 10-16 away from home this season, scoring a mere 89.2 points/game.
Philadelphia comes in playing its best basketball of the season as it tries to make a push for that 8th and final playoff spot in the Eastern Conference. It has won three straight and four of five with its only loss coming by a mere three points (100-103) to Western Conference power Memphis.
All four of its wins during this stretch have come by 8 points or more, which includes a 97-80 home victory over the New York Knicks on January 26th. The biggest reason for the 76ers' turnaround has been defense. They are allowing just 81.6 points/game on 39.9% shooting in their last five contests.
Indiana is 0-9 ATS after a game giving up 5 or less offensive rebounds over the last 2 seasons. The Pacers are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. The 76ers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games. Philadelphia is 10-2-1 ATS in its last 13 games after allowing less than 75 points in its previous game. Bet the 76ers Wednesday.
Steve Janus
New Orleans Hornets -6
The Hornets have hit a bit of a wall lately, but this is a great spot to back New Orleans. Phoenix is coming off a big win at Memphis last night, but should struggle in the second game of a back-to-back set, especially on the road. The Suns road victory over the Grizzlies was just their 5th of the season, as they are a miserable 5-20 away from home.
While Phoenix could struggle to find the energy to keep it competitive, New Orleans is in desperate need of a win. The Hornets are coming off a five-game road trip and must go back on the road for three more after tonight's contest.
The key here is that the Hornets are playing on 3 days rest, where they are 12-3 ATS in their last 15. Phoenix on the other hand is just 4-9 over their last 13 on no rest and 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a win.
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Michigan State - over MinnesotaFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Michigan State survived a flat spot against Illinois last week and has had plenty of time to prepare for a huge game with Minnesota for Wednesday night. The Spartans opened the Big Ten season with a loss to the Gophers in Minneapolis, falling by 13 but that game featured a very misleading final as it was tight most of the way. Michigan State has won every home game this season with a perfect 13-0 mark and while there have been a few close calls this team has been impressive in the Big Ten season. Minnesota meanwhile has fallen from its strong preseason numbers, losing four of the last six in conference play and just squeaking by Iowa at home over the weekend. Minnesota has not looked in sync in recent weeks and this will be a very tough place to play for a team that has lost three out of four Big Ten road games. Michigan State has won eight of the last 10 meetings in this series and while the Gophers have a great ATS record on the road they will not be getting many points in this match-up. These teams have very similar offensive numbers but Michigan State is a slightly better shooting team, both from the floor and at the line and the Spartans also hold slight edges on defense. Michigan State has the size to battle Minnesota in the rebounding department and so far in the Big Ten season Keith Appling has outplayed Andre Hollins. Look for Michigan State to get a measure of revenge with a big win Wednesday night.
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Thunder -10.5 over WarriorsFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Golden State has an impressive offense, but no defense at all. This game could be a shootout, but there will come stretches where the Thunder do play defense and keep building on their lead. Its hard for teams to go on the road and win on just pure offense against the best of the best. Take the Thunder.
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Pacers 2.5 over SixersFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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When I look at this game I just don’t see the Sixers being a more talented team then Indiana. When these teams get together the Pacers seem to always hit them with a ton of 3’s. The Sixers play good defense, but Indiana’s is even better. This should be a good one, but I like the Pacers. Take Indiana.
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Arizona -10 over StanfordFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Arizona plays smothering defense at home and just shoots the ball much better than the Cardinals. This is a tough building to play in and I expect Arizona to be leading by a decent margin at the half only to run away with it on solid play on offense and defense in the 2nd half. Take Arizona.