SPORTS WAGERS
Florida +107 over COLORADO
After a fantastic start and being this year's biggest surprise in the first 30 games of the season, the Florida Panthers have fallen back under the radar scope with just five wins in their past 16 games and one win in their past five contests. A closer look reveals that those past five have come against the Rangers, Devils, Pens, Canucks and Bruins, arguably five of the top teams in the league and the Panthers didn't look a bit out of place. They won once and took two others to OT. All season long, the Panthers have fared well against lesser opponents and the same should hold true here. The Avalanche are going backwards. They have some nice parts in place and the future looks bright but they're a playoff bubble team at best. Colorado's goaltending and defense are average and now they're having problems scoring. The Avs have lost four of five and have scored just six times in those five games. They've played seven of their past eight on the road and return home after a 6-1 beatdown in Phoenix after three consecutive away. The Panthers have been home for three straight, affording us a rested and superior team in a favorable spot against an exhausted and reeling host. Play: Florida +107 (Risking 2 units).
VEGAS EXPERTS
Northwestern at Wisconsin
Play: Wisconsin
Northwestern takes on Wisonsin and they are getting a decent amount of points but shoudl really struggle to cover this ten point spread. Wisconsin is coming off back to back wins over Nebraska and Purdue and will make it three in a row tonight. They are 8-4 ATS at home against Northwestern and 22-11 ATS off a home win. This is going to be an easy matchup for Wisonsin.
SPORTS WAGERS
San Diego State +9 over NEW MEXICO
If this is the sucker play of the day, then so be it. Oddsmakers are giving a bit too much credit to the Lobos at “the Pit”, where NMU rarely loses. Also factoring into this line is SDSU's poor record over the years at this venue, which has seen them lose 25 of the last 33 games here. However, the Aztecs have won three straight over New Mexico and 10 of the past 13. Both teams come in with identical 15-2 records. The difference is that the Aztecs have lost to two ranked teams, Baylor and Creighton while the Lobos have lost to Santa Clara and New Mexico State. Overall, SDSU has had a tougher schedule that has seen them play UNLV, Cal and Arizona while New Mexico will play its first game this year against a ranked opponent. The Lobos are good and the Pit is so tough on opponents but this one is far too close to give the Aztecs this much weight. SDSU should be well rested and prepared, having been off since Saturday. This is a big game for both teams and one that is likely to come down to the wire. Play: #819 San Diego State +9 (Risking 2.1 units to win 2).
We're also playing the following games:
NEBRASKA +140 over Indiana
Play: #754 Nebraska +140 (Risking 2 units).
HOFSTRA +162 over Drexel
Play:#756 +162 (Risking 2 units).
WUNDERDOG
St. John's at South Florida
Pick: St. John's +6.5
The St. John's Red Storm have slipped below the .500 mark as they have lost four of their last five games. That may look ominously dark against them, but all four losses were to ranked teams and the win came against Cincinnati who is 14-4 on the season. The Johnies also have a loss to Texas A&M and Kentucky, so they have certainly played a powerhouse schedule. South Florida is off a big come from behind home win vs. Seton Hall as they trailed by 10 with five minutes to play and stormed back for the win. That should leave them a bit flat here for this one. Play on St. John's to at least hang close.
Jack Jones
Kansas State -5
The Kansas State Wildcats are showing solid value tonight as a small home favorite over the Texas Longhorns. Given how these teams have fared home and away, it's easy to see why I'm backing the Wildcats to get the job done in Manhattan Wednesday.
Kansas State is 7-1 at home this season. The Wildcats are scoring 77.0 points/game and allowing just 60.2 points/game, outscoring opponents by a whopping 16.8 points/game. That includes a dominant 75-59 victory over previously unbeaten Missouri on 1/7. Their lone home loss came to then-unbeaten Baylor by a final of 73-75 on 1/10.
Texas has been overrated all season in the eyes of oddsmakers and the betting public. The Longhorns are just 3-9 ATS in all games this year. Texas is 1-5 SU & 1-5 ATS on the road this season, giving up a ridiculous 79.8 points/game and 46.9 percent shooting away from home. This is a young Longhorns team that is going through some growing pains, especially on the road.
Kansas State has gone 3-1 SU & 3-1 ATS in their last four meetings with Texas. The Longhorns are just 2-10 ATS in their last 12 after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games. The Wildcats are 34-17 ATS in their last 51 January home games. Kansas State is 11-3 ATS in their last 14 home games following a road game. Bet Kansas State Wednesday.
Steve Janus
Minnesota Timberwolves -8.5
Minnesota isn't exactly a team I would normally lay 8.5-points on, but with the Pistons coming to town I can't pass up, especially with Detroit playing the second of back-to-back road games.
Detroit has won just one road game all season, and that came against a bad Charlotte team. In their six losses they Pistons have lost every game by at least 9 points. While Minnesota is just 3-5 at home, two of those wins came against the Mavericks and Spurs.
Not only are the Pistons playing the second game of a back-to-back set on the road, but this is their fourth road and fifth game overall in the last week.
Detroit comes in off two straight losses, and are a miserable 3-12 ATS in road games after 2 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons. Not to mention the Pistons are just 1-10 ATS in their last 11 games as a road underdog of 5.0-10.5.
Minnesota comes in of a 13-point win and cover against the Kings at home. The Timberwolves are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games overall, 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games following a ATS win, and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
Jimmy Boyd
1 Unit Southern Illinois -2.5
Motivated by a blowout loss at Creighton last game, and further fueled by a 5-game losing streak to Drake, expect Southern Illinois to take care of business at home this evening.
Drake hasn't been the same team away from home where it is just 2-6 SU and ATS this season. In fact, the Bulldogs, who are coming off a 17-point win over Illinois State, are 0-7 ATS in road games following a win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons. Amazingly, Drake has lost by an average score of 85.4 to 56.6 in this situation.
Southern Illinois has quietly won 3 of its last 4 at home with the lone loss during this stretch coming to a Wichita State, which is currently tied with Creighton atop the conference. It is worth noting that SIU covered the spread in each of those 4 home games. They've covered the number in 8 of their last 12 overall, and I like them to get come through again this evening.
Hollywood Sports
Raptors at Celtics
Prediction: Under
Boston (4-8) lost their fifth game in a row on Monday with their 97-88 loss to Oklahoma City -- and the Celtics have seen the Under go 4-0-1 in their last 5 games after a loss. The Celtics now host a Raptors team that is 2-6 on the road this season -- and Boston has played 5 of their last 6 home games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage on the road below 40%. Boston is scoring only 87.3 PPG at home this season -- but they are allowing only 87.0 PPG so don't be afraid about the low Total for this situation. Additionally, the Under is a decisive 13-3-1 in the Celtics' last 17 games when favored in the 5-10.5 point range. Toronto (4-10) lost their fifth game in a row as well after their 93-84 loss at Atlanta on Monday -- and the Under is 5-1-1 in the Raptors' last 7 games coming after a loss. The Raptors now will be playing their third game in a row away from home where they are scoring a mere 83.0 PPG on low 41.9% shooting from the field. The Under is 4-0-1 in Toronto's last 5 games on the road. The Raptors have also played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total against a team with a winning percentage below 40%. And the Under is 4-1-1 in Toronto's last 6 games Under the Total as an underdog in the 5-10.5 point range. Overwhelming team trends here make the Under a solid play.
MTi Sports
Nuggets at 76ers
Prediction: Over
The 76ers are 9-0 OU (+12.6 ppg) with at most one day of rest after a game at home in which they scored more than 30% of their points from the three-point line. The Nuggets are 7-0-1 OU (+6.2 ppg) with no rest after a double-digit road win in which they scored more than 30% of their points from the three-point line. Also, the Sixers are 6-0 OU (12.5 ppg) with at least a day of rest after a win in which Elton Brand scored fewer than 10 points and The Nuggets are 7-0 OU (15.5 ppg) on the road with no rest after a win on the road in which Nene took fewer than 10 shots.
NHL PREDICTIONS
Chicago Blackhawks -½ -132
Not much is looking good for the Buffalo Sabres, who are playing their 3rd game of a 7 game road trip that could almost already take them out of the Eastern Conference playoff picture if they play like they have been lately. The Sabres have lost the first two of the road trip 4-2 against the Islanders and 5-0 against Detroit. The Sabres now have just 1 win in their last 11 road games, and have won just 7 of their last 26 overall. Buffalo now sits with a 19-21-5 record. The Blackhawks have won 3 of their last 4 games after a 4 game losing streak. Their only loss in their last 4 games came in overtime in Detroit. Wins have come at home against Columbus, Minnesota and their latest victory over the Sharks. The Sabres are averaging just 1.20 goals per game over their last 5 and just 1.80 goals per game on the road this season (while giving up over 3 per game on the road). That isn't good news for the Sabres going up against the Blackhawks, as Chicago is averaging 3.42 goals per game at home this season, and 3.60 goals/game in their last 5. Note that Chicago's last 8 home victories were all won in regulation, and the Blackhawks are 8-2 in their last 10 games as a home favorite of -201 or more. Tonight I'm taking one of the leagues better home teams against the NHL's current worst road team, who are slumping all together. I'll take Chicago to win in regulation, as I don't want to lay the chalk on the moneyline.
Anaheim -130 & Phoenix / Anaheim Over 5.5
Although the Coyotes have kept games close they have won just 3 of their last 12 overall. Phoenix ended a 3 game losing streak with a big 6-1 win over the Avalanche on Monday but head right back on the road to face a hot Anaheim team. The Coyotes are 12-10-4 on the road this season, but are winless in their last 5 road games. The Ducks have won 5 of their last 6 games overall, with their only loss a 1-0 OT loss in Calgary where they outshot the Flames. The Ducks have enjoyed wins of 2, 3, 3, 5, and 2 goals against the Islanders, Blue Jackets, Stars, Oilers, and their biggest victory in Vancouver on Sunday. Anaheim is averaging 4.20 goals per game over their last 5 games. At home the Ducks are 10-12-1 on the season. Take note that both of these two teams can score goals, with the Coyotes averaging 2.54 goals per game on the road, and the Ducks averaging 3 goals per game at home. Anaheim is allowing 3.05 goals against per game on the season, and an even higher 3.22 goals against per game at home. These two teams have met 3 times this season, with Phoenix taking the first two but the Ducks winning the latest (a December 14th 4-1 victory at home). 2 of the 3 went OVER the posted total, and the OVER is 4-1 in these two teams last 5 meetings. We know that Anaheim can struggle with their defensive play, but with the way they've been scoring during this streak I think they continue to win. We should see a higher scoring Ducks win tonight and I think we have value on the side and total tonight. Take the Ducks and the OVER.
Jeff Scott Sports
5 UNIT PLAY
POWER ANGLE PLAY
Wichita State -2.5 over Northern Iowa: Well this play is really backed by a solid Angle, listed below. The Shockers come in at 15-3 on they year and have been impressive in their 5 true road games, going 5-0, while outscoring those teams by 14 ppg. Wichita state has also gone 6-1 in the conference and have outscored their foes by 13.2 ppg. Yes two of those wins were by 39 and 37 points over Bradley, but that is a telling bit of info as the Panthers lost at Bradley in their last game. The Panthers had a real good start to their year, but have been inconsistent of late. In their last 8 games the Panthers have gone just 3-5, which has included home losses to Evansville and Ohio and a 1 point home win over Missouri State, plus that road loss to a bad Bradley team.This is not a team that is playing at all well right now, while the Shockers come in having won 6 in a row and they won't let this Panther squad stop the streak here. I say Shockers by 7+. POWER ANGLE FOR THIS PLAY--- Play against home teams as an underdog or pick off a loss to a conference rival as a favorite of 6 points or more against opponent off a win against a conference rival. This play is 34-5 the last 5 seasons.
4 UNIT PLAY
POWER ANGLE PLAY
Georgia State/ Northeastern Over 118.5: Been burned a couple times taking an over in a Georgia State game, but I feel good about this one. Georgia State has been pretty good on offense this year as they have averaged 69.1 ppg overall and 66.3 ppg on the road. Overall NE has allowed 65.4 ppg, while at home they have allowed 63.4 ppg. and that fits in to what Georgia State has been doing on offense, so I expect at least 63 out of them. The panthers come in off a game in which they allowed just 42 points to a pathetic Townson team, but in their two previous games they did allow 61 points in each one and that is good news as NE comes in averaging 62.2 ppg at home and 65 ppg in their last 4 overall. I do expect a tight game in this one and that also means a lot of FT's at the end, plus possibly OT. Neither team is great froo the FT line overall, but NE does hit 75% of their FT's at home, while their opponents have hit 84% of their FT's on the Huskies home court. Still not sure of the relevance of that stat, but it looked good. LOL. I look for about 125 in this one. POWER ANGLE FOR THIS PLAY--- Play Over - All teams where the total is 119.5 or less (GEORGIA ST) - off 2 or more consecutive home wins if they have won 60-80% or more of their games on the season. This play is 38-15 the last 5 seasons.
3 UNIT PLAYS
Indiana/ Nebraska Under 130.5: I have gone the other way with so many Nebraska games and have lost them all. LOL. Watch this will be one time when they go over. Really I don't think so. This team is not a great team, but one thing they do very well is slow the game down. and they have slowed the pace effectively in every game this year. Nebraska games have averaged just 122.4 ppg on the year, while their Big 10 games have averaged just 112.4 ppg. The Huskers have averaged just 50.7 ppg in Big 10 pay, while the Hoosiers have allowed 76.7 ppg in conference play, but putting up 70 points is really not the Huskers game, as they have done it just twice in their last 12 games, while averaging just 56.3 ppg over that stretch. The Hoosiers can score a ton (80.8 ppg), but their average has come down in Big 10 play (72.8 ppg), while Nebraska comes in allowing just 60.7 ppg at home and 61.7 ppg in Conference play. Nebraska just won't let this game get into a track meet and that will make both defenses really look good in this one. I expect the low 120's at best here. KEY TREND--- NEBRASKA is 14-5 UNDER (+8.5 Units) in home games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game over the last 3 seasons. An average of 127.9 ppg were scored in this situation.
Texas/ Kansas State Under 136: Google News Play. Gonna look for a low scoring game in this one. Defensive intensity is what Frank Martin is looking at in his team after allowing the Sooners to hit 54.9% of their shots and I expect the to have a better showing tonight vs a Texas team that has averaged just 60 ppg on the road and 65.8 ppg in conference play. KSU has had problems in conference play, allowing 70.8 ppg, but overall this unit has allowed just 63.9 ppg on 39.1 % shooting. KSU has been excellent on offense overall as they have averaged 74.8 ppg, but in Big 12 play they have averaged just 67.5 ppg and will be facing a tough defensive minded Longhorn squad that has allowed just 64.1 ppg on 38.7% shooting overall, while in the Big 12 they have allowed just 65.2 ppg. Both teams will look to their defense first tonight and neither team is a predominantly running squad so that will also keep the scoring down. I expect this one to struggle to hit 130.
UTEP -6 over East Carolina: East Carolina may be 9-7 on the year, but they have started Conference USA play at 0-3 and it won't get any easier for them tonight. The Pirates are just 1-3 in true road games this year and they are 0-3 in three trips here, losing by an average of 22 ppg in the three games. The Miners have played well at home this year as they are 6-3 and have held their opponents to just 57.4 ppg on 44.0 shooting on their home floor. The Pirates have averaged 69.8 ppg on the road this year, but they are a weak shooting team, hitting just 40.3% of their shots overall, including 41.7% on the road road, while their road 3pt shooting is abysmal at 28.3%. The Miners may be averaging just 64.4 ppg on the year, but they are 42nd in the nation in shooting at 47.5%. They have been shooting even better in their last 5 games, hitting 51.4% of their shots for 65.5 ppg, while at home they have averaged 63.7 ppg on 47% shooting, including 38.2% from long range. I don't feel the the Pirates have been playing good enough defense to stop the Miners tonight. Overall the Pirates have allowed 66.5 ppg overall, but on that number grows to 69.8 ppg, while their last 4 vs Division 1 teams they have allowed a whopping 78.3 ppg. The Miners have the ability to stop the Pirates in this one, while ECU's weak defensive play of late will be it's downfall as UTEP puts more than enough points on the board to get a solid DD win.
NEW MEXICO -10.5 over San Diego State: (Added). Google Play. SDSU is 16th in the country and just beat UNLV which was ranked 12th in the country and now they take to the road vs an unranked team and yet they are DD dogs. Hmmmm. Yes the Aztecs are ranked and have won 8 in a row, but none of those teams, including UNLV are nearly as strong as the Lobos are at home. In SDSU's last 10 games they have beaten 3 NL teams, Elon and UC Irvine, struggled with San Diego, won 3 other games by 2 points or less and lost at home to Creighton, so much of their resume is not that really impressive. Ken Pom hasn't been fooled by the play of the Aztecs as he has them ranked 71st, while the Lobos are 12th. and what's more impressive about the rankings is that the Lobo's have played the weaker SOS (248-228). The Lobos come in having won 13 in arow and have won by 19.2 ppg over that stretch, while at home they have gone 8-1 and have outscored those foes by 21.3 ppg. SDSU has been living the good life, but they will get a dose of reality tonight in the Pit vs a fired up bunch of Lobo's that is looking for a bit of revenge after dropping the last 2 home games in this series. I'll grab the Lobo's for a big win here.
2 UNIT PLAYS
UAB/ Rice Under 123.5: RICE is 14-3 UNDER after scoring 50 points or less since 1997, while UAB is 11-1 UNDER after scoring 25 points or less in the first half last game over the last 2 seasons.
NC WILMINGTON -3 over James Madison: JAMES MADISON is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) after failing to cover the spread in 4 or more consecutive games since 1997. The Seahawks have played well at home this year and it should continue to night.
Lasalle/ Temple Over 144.5: TEMPLE is 11-1 OVER when playing against a team with a winning record this season, while LASALLE is 12-4 OVER after a game where they failed to cover the spread over the last 2 seasons.
1 UNIT PLAY
Connecticut/ Cincinnati Over 130: CONNECTICUT is 18-7 OVER in home games after 2 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 37% or less since 1997.
TCU +19 over UNLV: (Added) Play against Home favorites of 10 to 19.5 points off a close road loss by 3 points or less, playing only their 2nd game in 8 days. This play is 31-8 the last 5 seasons.
Jeff Scott Sports
3 UNIT PLAYS
Phoenix/ NY Knicks Under 198.5: Their used to be a time when an OU line of 215 was still too low in a Knicks/ Suns home hame, but this is a NBA this year. The Suns are having problems scoring of late as they have averaged just 92.8 ppg in their last 5 games, while on the road they have put up just 91.7 ppg. Now they get to face a Knicks squad that went out and got some pieces to help at the defensive end and it's starting to pay dividends. The Knicks are 17th in the league in points allowed (95.2 ppg), but in their last 5 games they have allowed just 93.2 ppg. The new pieces this team went out and got hasn't really helped them on the offensive end as last year they were 2nd in the league in scoring (106.5 ppg), while they come into this one 17th in scoring (93.9 ppg). The Knicks also shot better last year (45.7 %) than this year (41.7 %), by a pretty wide margin. The Knicks have really struggled to score of late as they have averaged just 88 ppg in their last 5 games so the fact that the Suns are allowing 106 ppg in their last 5 isn't really a concern as I just don't see the Knicks offense going crazy in this one. Last year Knick home games averaged 214.3 ppg, but in the new NBA that number has dropped to 191.7 ppg. A 22.6 ppp drop. Are you serious? Go low in this one. KEY TRENDS--- PHOENIX is 8-1 UNDER when the total is between 190 and 199.5 points this season, while NEW YORK is 23-10 UNDER when the total is between 190 and 199.5 points over the last 3 seasons.
ATLANTA -1.5 over Portland: The Hawks come in playing very good ball as they are 10-5 on the year and have won 4 in a row at home, including a 15 point win over the Bulls. Portland is not better than the Bulls. The Hawks are 6-1 at home this year and have outscored their opponents by an average of 10.6 ppg on their home floor. Portland has had a good start to their year, but they are just 2-4 on the road, compared to 6-1 at home. The Trailblazers have had problems scoring on the road (90 ppg) and it won't get any easier vs an Atlanta team that has allowed just 92.4 ppg at home. Atlanta has not had problems scoring at home ads they have averaged 103 ppg there and should be able to put some points up vs a Portland team that has allowed 97.4 ppg in their last 5 games. Bottom line is that Atlanta is te better team here, especially at home and they should have little trouble disposing of the Blazers team that is playing it's 4th in a row on the road.
POWER ANGLE PLAY
Oklahoma City -10.5 over WASHINGTON: The Thunder are off a big win in Boston, but they have had a day off since that game so i really don't see a let down here. They also don't have any big games on deck as after this game they have 3 more of the worst teams on deck, so I expect them to be fully focused here. Washington is the worst team in the league at 1-12 SU, while going 3-10 ATS overall and 1-6 ATS at home. The Wizards are 28th in scoring (86.2 ppg), 29th in FG% (41%), 27th in 3pt FG% (28%) and even 26th in FT% (71.4%) this team just can score from any where on the court. They also haven't been good on defense, ranking 24th in points allowed (98.1 ppg) and 27th in 3pt defense (37.4%). It won't get easier for the Wizards tonight as the Thunder have been effective at both ends of the floor. OKC is 5th in scoring (100.3 ppg), 5th in FG% (46.8%), 8th in 3pt% (37.2% and 1st in FT% (81.3%). on defense they have allowed 95.1 ppg (16th), but they are 6th in defensive FG% (42.7%) and 4th in 3pt defense (29.3%). The Wizards haven't beaten the Thunder since a 104-95 home win Dec. 27, 2008 - the first matchup between the teams after Oklahoma City relocated from Seattle, while Durant, who grew up in the Washington, D.C. area, is averaging 31.1 points in seven games against the Wizards - his highest mark against any team. This should be an easy win for the Thunder here. POWER ANGLE FOR THIS PLAY--- Play against home underdogs that are playing 6 or more games in 10 days, if they are a terrible team (<=25%) playing a team with a winning record. This play is 48-19 the last 5 seasons.
2 UNIT PLAYS
MINNESOTA -8.5 over Detroit: DETROIT is 1-8 ATS versus teams who make 6 or more 3 point shots/game on the season this season and 3-15 ATS in road games after having lost 4 of their last 5 games over the last 3 seasons.
Orlando/ San Antonio Over 196.5: SAN ANTONIO is 19-8 OVER in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons and 17-5 OVER as a road underdog over the last 2 seasons.
1 UNIT PLAY
Indiana/ Sacramento Over 188.5: SACRAMENTO is 23-12 OVER in home games after playing a game as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
John Ryan
Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Washington Wizards
Play: Washington Wizards +11½
5* graded play on the Washington Wizards as they host the Oklahoma City Thunder set to start at 7:05 PM ET. My proprietary sports handicapping database and simulator shows a high probability that Washington will lose this game by fewer than 10 or fewer points. Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a record of 65-33 ATS for 66% winners since 1996. Play against favorites that are solid 3-point shooting teams making >=36.5% of their shots and now facing a poor 3- point shooting defense allowing >=36.5% shooting and is an average rebounding team posting a +/-3 rebound per game differential facing a struggling rebounding team getting <=5.5 fewer rebounds per game than opponent. What this system describes is a strong team playing a weak team at home and that the line consistently gets exaggerated by the public. This is a pure contrarian play and one that the public is squarely on Oklahoma City. Of course, the public does not lose all the time, but when they are showing a bit of irrational exuberance and my model shows that the ‘ugly’ dog has a high probability of making the game close, it makes for a solid opportunity to wager. Given this situation I also recommend an optional 2* Money Line play on Washington. Hard to take all of this in, of course, but that is the call for this game. Take Washington.
Jeff Alexander
1 Unit Wisconsin -10
The Badgers have rebounded from a 3-game losing streak with back-to-back wins over Purdue and Nebraska. Now, they're ready to hammer a Northwestern team they have owned. Wiscy has won 13 in a row at home in this series by an average of 17.5 points, and it won't take the Wildcats lightly after watching them upset Michigan State last time out. The favorite is 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings, and the Badgers are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games as a home favorite of 7.0-12.5 points. We'll take Wisconsin.
Dave Price
1 Unit Northern Iowa +2.5
The N. Iowa Panthers are an impressive 6-0 ATS when matched up against good offensive teams scoring 77 points or more per game over the last 2 seasons. The Panthers have defeated these teams by an average of 4.3 points while holding them to just 60.0 ppg. The underdog is 12-5 ATS in the last 17 meetings between these two teams, and the Panthers are 24-9 ATS in their last 33 games as an underdog. Take the points.