SPORTS WAGERSFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Boston +111 over N.Y. RANGERSFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Talent wise, the Rangers have plenty but they seem to be missing something with the intangibles in the early going. After two games, the Rangers looked slower and sloppier than both of its opponents and one of them were these Bruins. The consequence of being a step behind your opponent is that is leads to penalties and the Rangers have had to kill 12 of them in their two games. Coach John Torterella insists on mixing up his lines and that's not working either.
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The Bruins are 2-0 out of the gate with wins over the Rangers and Jets. They out-shot (34-21) and out-chanced the Rangers by a wide margin in the opener while manhandling them physically. The B's look very sharp and they're playing with confidence while the Rangers and prized free agent Rick Nash are suddenly feeling a little pressure after an 0-2 start. It's early and two games are a small sample but the Rangers are going to have to show us a lot more before getting endorsed at a near pick’em against a quality opponent like this one.
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Toronto +187 over PITTSBURGHFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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OT included. The Penguins don't need a lot of introduction. They're a true contender and they haven't disappointed with a 2-0 start. However, the two teams they've defeated are a combined 0-5. The loss of Jordan Staal and Zbynek Michalek is significant while not adding anyone to compensate. Marc Andre Fleury has been extremely inconsistent over the past couple of years and that makes the Penguins a little too risky spotting a tag like this one. Toronto has played well against the Penguins with one win in three tries last year and with all games being decided by a goal and one Pittsburgh win coming in OT.
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Toronto has played two strong games. They were clearly the superior team against Buffalo and deserved better but ran into a super-hot Ryan Miller. Perhaps the best news for the Maple Leafs is that Ben Scrivens looks solid in net and coach Randy Carlyle is not going to mess with that right now. The Leafs have played six periods of hockey and have not been outplayed in any of them. The Buds are also likely to see the return of Jake Gardiner here, who was playing up to Dec. 8 with the Marlies before suffering a mild concussion. He practiced with the team yesterday and insists he's ready to go. First among all rookie defencemen in both points and minutes last season, Gardiner is a huge talent that can quickly move or pass the puck out of the zone to create offense. Things are coming together nicely for the Leafs and they're certainly worthy of consideration at this lucrative price.
Jimmy BoydFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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North Carolina -10½FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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I like how the Tar Heels have been playing lately, winning by ten over Maryland on Saturday in a game that wasn't even that close and beating Florida State on the road as three point underdogs. This is a talented team that just needed to come together a little bit, and I think the victory over the Seminoles was the catalyst that is going to lead them to a strong second half of the season. Georgia Tech on the other hand is going nowhere. They have lost four straight to open up SEC play and five in a row against the spread. The Yellow Jackets lost their two road games to NC State and Duke by double digits, and while the Tar Heels are a step below those two teams, they aren't far off.
Alf MusketaFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Phoenix at SacramentoFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Play: UnderFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The Phoenix Suns should be ready to play the Sacramento Kings tonight coming off a six day rest period; their largest break of the season. From a scheduling and handicapping point of view, Sacramento is now playing its fourth game in five days and three games more than Phoenix during that six day break, which should translate into a rested and ready Suns team poised for a top notch effort.
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After a dismal 2-13 record over the course of a month and a half, the Suns front office decided to shake things up. In comes new head coach Lindsey Hunter. Hunter, who was the player development director, replaced Alvin Gentry who seemed to have lost control of his team as they dropped to the bottom of the Pacific Division. Since taking over the team Hunter has run long practices and made public that this team will now emphasize defense. "I'm a defensive guy," Hunter said. "That's the identity that we're going to try to create, is being a tough, nasty, defensive-minded team, and we'll go from there."
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Sacramento is a team with a 25-16-1 record to the over. However, three of their last four games have gone under the total. With Phoenix's new approach combined with the fact that the Suns have not broken the 100-point barrier in their last 10 games and the offense may be rusty due to the break, we'll make a recommendation on the under.
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Detroit Pistons at Chicago Bulls
Play: Chicago BullsFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The (16-25) Detroit Pistons of the Eastern Conference Central division will take on the (24-16) Chicago Bulls also of the Eastern Conference Central in 2013 NBA action. Chicago Beat Detroit 108-104 in the first meeting between the teams earler this season. The Bulls are also 4-1 Against The spread their last 5 vs. Detroit. The Pistons will be on the road for the first time in 6 games. Chicago is 3-3 ATS their last 6 NBA games at home. Chicago gets the home cover.
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Pittsburgh Penguins -1.5 +146FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The Toronto Maple Leafs started the season with a 2-1 win in Montreal and then went home to lose to Buffalo 2-1 in their home opener on Monday night. Toronto actually looked better in the game that they lost, but they didn't capitalize on scoring opportunities including power plays. The Pittsburgh Penguins have gotten off to a hot start with two road wins in Philadelphia (3-1) and New York (6-3). They now come home to play in their home opener in front of what should be an electric crowd. The Penguins have managed 9 goals in 2 games with Crosby only putting up 1 assist. James Neal has 3 goals while Malkin has 4 assists. Note that the Penguins led the Eastern Conference in home wins going 29-10-2 last season at home. The Maple Leafs were 17-21-3 on the road. Marc-Andre Fleury will most likely make his second start of the season, and he allowed just 1 goal against in his first start. Take note that the Maple Leafs are just 5-16 in their last 21 vs a team with a winning record and 8-23 in their last 31 games overall. The Penguins are 46-19 in their last 65 games playing on 2 days rest, and 19-7 in their last 26 home games dating back to last year. Surprisingly the Leafs split 4 games with Pittsburgh last season, and both of Pittsburgh's wins were by 1 goal, but I expect a big Penguins win in their home opener against a much less talented Maple Leafs squad. When Pittsburgh shows up to play they should be able to take care of the weaker Eastern Conference opponents, and tonight I think we see that in their home opener coming off two big road wins.
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Vancouver Canucks -1.5 +192FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Calgary has started off the year with two losses at home. Their home opener was a disappointing 4-1 loss against San Jose, and then Monday they came back from down 3-0 to tie the game up with Anaheim before losing another tough one 5-4. Vancouver has had similar problems, although they do have a single point with their latest 3-2 shootout loss to Edmonton at home. They dropped their home opener to Anaheim 7-3. The Canucks are going missing some key players to injury, but they have a very deep squad and should be able to get through it. The Canucks went 27-10-4 at home last season, while the Flames were just 14-17-10 on the road. Last season these two teams split their 6 meetings, with Vancouver winning by 4 goals in their first two meetings and then later by just one goal in overtime. Cory Schneider is getting the start tonight for Vancouver, and I expect a big bounce back game from him as now it looks like him and Luongo are battling for starts for the time being. Miika Kiprusoff hasn't had a hot start either with a .830 SV% so it will be interesting to see how he does tonight as well. Note that the Flames are 8-20 in their last 28 road games, 3-10 in their last 13 vs Western Conference opponents, and 1-5 in their last 6 divisional games. The Canucks are 50-18 in their last 68 vs divisional opponents and 6-2 in their last 8 home games vs the Flames. Although the Canucks didn't have as much success against Calgary last season, they are 10-4 in their last 14 meetings with the Flames. Right now I have the Flames as one of the weaker Western Conference teams and, although the Canucks are winless, I still have them as one of the best teams in the West. I think Vancouver finally shows up to play and they get a big win at home. At +192 I will take Vancouver to win by a few tonight.
WunderdogFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Minnesota at NorthwesternFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: Minnesota -8.5FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Northwestern may be a pesky team sometimes, as they showed vs. Indiana. But, they can also be blown out because the talent level isn't up to Big-10 standards. That was on display vs. Iowa and Michigan at home, losing by a combined 48 points. The Wildcats also have an outside the conference hoe loss with a 20-point stumble to Maryland. This Minnesota team is 15-3 and is equally capable of throwing the dagger of another 20+ point loss for the Wildcats. The Golden Gophers are coming off of two tough losses to Indiana, and Michigan, so they are going to come ready to play here. The Gophers have a serious road pedigree at 14-3 ATS in their last 17, they also have the moxie, and the reason to win big here. Go with Minnesota.
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Penn State at Indiana
Play: Penn StateFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The simulator shows a high probability that PSU will lose this game by fewer than 24 points. No upset bid here, but this is just too many points to be giving a pesky Lions squad, who will be catching the Hoosiers napping. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 31-9 ATS mark for a remarkable 78% winners since 1997. Play against favorites of 10 or more points that are an explosive offensive team scoring >=78 PPG and now facing a struggling offensive team averaging <=63 PPG after 15+ games and after allowing 60 points or less in the previous game. Indiana was poised to blowout Northwestern, but had to hang on to just get a 67-59 win. Indiana will be looking ahead to the big showdown Sunday when they host the Michigan State Spartans so it stands to reason that Indiana will not be nearly as focused tonight. I also believe that if Indiana gets out to a 15+ point lead, the coaches will use the bench players in this situation. First, it gives the starters much needed rest at this point of the season and give the bench players more game experience, both of whcih make yeams better come Tournament time. Take Penn State.
Teddy CoversFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Texas A&M vs. Louisiana State
Pick: Texas A&MFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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LSU is an injury riddled mess right now, and their home court isn’t strong enough to overcome their many weaknesses.
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The Tigers will be without starting guard Corban Collins tonight (concussion), and may not have senior guard Charles Carmouche either (knee). That leaves a team with very limited depth severely depleted tonight.
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LSU head coach Johnny Jones: “We'll have to use our timeouts in a fashion so our guys can have an opportunity to get breaks with a short bench. One thing we don't want them to do is rest on the floor and take plays off. That's very dangerous at this level. That's something that we're conscious of with the depletion.” Don’t expect the Tigers to have timeouts left for the latter stages of the game here, a big disadvantage in this pick ‘em game.
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The Tigers are the lone remaining winless team in SEC Conference play for one primary reason – they’re not very good! They don’t shoot well, they don’t defend well, they don’t hit free throws and they have turnover problems on offense. That’s a bad quartet of attributes for any team, let alone a very short handed one!
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Texas A&M has won SU and ATS at Kentucky and at Houston already this season, and they’re hungry and focused off Saturday’s one point heartbreaker at Alabama. Expect another road victory here! Take Texas A&M
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Creighton -12FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Bad spot for Drake Catching the Blue Jays off a tough loss at Wichita State Saturday, missing the cover by a half point, I had them! Anyway Creighton already pounded Drake at home by 30 this year and Drake got got hammered Saturday by 30 at Northern Iowa. The Fav in this series is 13-5 ATS and Drake has managed just 3 covers in their last 11 games, and are allowing 79 ppg their last 5 games, damn near what Creighton averages on offense., BLOWOUT. I understand also Creighton in a bad mood and are ready to pounce here. In 17 lined games this year, Creighton has covered 12 of them!
Greg ShakerFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Cleveland St +2FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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This play is about as cut and dry as it gets with a Distinct advantage here for the home team. Neither squad is much to write home about but Cleveland State has beaten Loy Chicago 9 straight times and appears to have their number. They are also 7-1 here at home and the stats prove out that they love this court and everything about it. Shooting percentages are way up here, they have stronger rebounding and they get to the Free Stripe more readily. It appears that Loyola's season is on a downward trend losing 4 straight before beating Chicago State in OT. Fellas, Chicago State is not that good. Off 2 losses on the road expect our guys to be focused tonight and get a win here.
GoodFella
Houston -2
Excellent value on the "recently struggling" Rockets at HOME here, laying just 2 points. Of course the Nuggets are "streaking" as they are 7-3 L/10, while these Rockets are just 3-7 L/10 SU. I have to back to these Rockets at HOME as I we are getting a couple pts of value here. I have the Rockets winning by 5-6 pts tonight.
SpartanFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Oregon -10FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Long time observer of Oregon head coach Dana Altman. Have watched him come up through the ranks since his days long ago as head coach at Moberly Jr. College where he built the Greyhounds into a JUCO powerhouse. Altman has his Ducks hitting on all cylinders right now, just ask UCLA who were the latest victims. I don't look for Oregon to let off the gas here tonight against the Cougars. The Ducks are a spotless 5-0 in league play for the first time since since the 70's. I say lay the points and enjoy what shapes up as a nice, no drama winner for us. The best kind.
King CreoleFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Cleveland St +2FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The RAMBLERS of Loyola-Chicago come into this game having lost BOTH meetings to Cleveland State last season. So they play this one with Double-REVENGE. But so far this season, that extra motivation has meant SQUAT when playing off a SU loss in your last game. So yes, sometimes it's much more profitable to play AGAINST that Revenge.
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5-17 ATS this season: All Conference ROAD teams playing with 'LSR2' (last season DOUBLE revenge) and also off a SU and ATS loss (Loyola-Chicago). Bring in an opponent ALSO off a SU loss in their last game (like CLEVELAND STATE), and the results improve to a PERFECT 0-7 ATS. So FADE the Ramblers on Wednesday... and play ON the VIKINGS!
Andre GomesFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Raptors / Heat Over 196FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Miami is super rested for this game, as they haven't played over the last 5 days, while Toronto had 2 days off to prepare this game. The Heat won't have any problems in scoring near the basket today. Toronto hasn't been protecting the rim well by allowing 66% FG this season, 71% FG on their last 10 games and 75% FG on their last 5 games! The fact that the Raptors have been playing shorthanded on the frontcourt doesn't help them at all and Miami will then have a big edge on this area every time Lebron James or Dwayne Wade penetrate into the basket tonight. Every time Toronto faces teams that like to attack on transition, they aren't capable of having good defensive numbers. Charlotte scored 15 fast break points against them, Milwaukee scored 17 and even Philadelphia scored 16! No wonder that Toronto is just #17 on transition defense by allowing 1.15 PPP this season, while they are clearly on regression on this area right now, as they allowed 1.20 PPP on their last 10 games and 1.39 PPP on their last 5 games! Therefore, Miami's offense has a great spot for a big offensive performance tonight.
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Regarding the Raptors's offense, Toronto is likely to play small ball tonight and Aaron Gray will barely play tonight, as he isn't needed on this game due to Miami's small ball lineups. Toronto's offense has been improving lately and on their last 12 games, they have averaged an offensive rating of 113.8, when they averaged just 105.5 on their first 29 games of the season! They have improved a lot on pick and rolls since Kyle Lowry came back and the combinations between their guards and Amir Johnson/Ed Davis is very interesting. Besides that, Toronto has been having good numbers on offensive rebounds and they will have an edge in here against the Heat. I believe Miami's mindset for tonight will be to win via shootout, therefore I'll be taking the Over in here.
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5 UNIT PLAYFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Philadelphia/ Milwaukee Under 196: Earlier this year these teams put up 201, but prior to that game, not one of their previous 9 meetings saw more than 190 points scored in a game. The Sixers are having a real tough time scoring right now, as they have averaged just 89.8 ppg (Regulation) in their last 9 games overall and just 83 ppg in their last 4 on the road. Overall this year Philly has averaged just 90.1 ppg on the road, with their road games putting up just 186 ppg. Milwaukee do play a bit of an uptempo game and they do average 98 ppg at home, but coming off a west coast trip they may not be willing to play an uptempo game in this one They do allow 97.9 ppg at home, but the Sixers just don't have the offense to come close to that mark. Philly allows just 95.1 ppg on the road and even if Milwaukee were to hit 98 points in this one I just don't expect more than 91 or 92 from Philly. This one should be played in the 180's. KEY TREND--- The Bucks are 0-14-2 OU (-10.3 ppg) since March 20, 2012 with at least a day of rest after a win in which Monta Ellis was not the Bucks’ high scorer.
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3 UNIT PLAYFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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POWER ANGLE PLAYFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Oklahoma City/ LA Clippers Under 200;I don't always pay attention to sportsbook spy, but this one spot I have too. 92% of the public is on the over, yet the line came down to 200. Yes the thunder have payed 3 high scoring games in a row, but 2 were vs Denver and 1 was vs Dallas and neither of those teams play good defense, plus two of those games went to OT. Despite those last 2 games, the Thunder has allowed just 85.5 ppg (regulation) in their last 7 games, while on the road they have allowed 97.8 ppg on 42.9% shooting. Make no mistake this is a good defensive team. The Clippers have also played sold defense this year, especially at home, where they allow just 92 ppg. Overall they are 4th in points allowed (93 ppg) and 4th in defensive FG% (43%). This is a huge game for both, so i will not expect a wide open run an gun game. Both teams play good defense and should keep this one in the low 190's at nest. POWER ANGLE FOR THIS PLAY--- This is a wild one. The Thunder are 0-14 OU (-13.0 ppg) since December 06, 2010 on the road when at least one team is rested after winning the previous matchup at home in which Kevin Durant had more turnovers than assists.