Matt Rivers
Let's get to a free play for Wednesday, and it will be the tried-and-true Philadelphia 76ers to cover yet another home game this evening versus the New Jersey Nets.
Hard to knock what Philly is doing at home this year, as the 76ers are a righteous 8-1 both straight up and against the spread at the Wells Fargo center this season, and all eight of those victories have come by double-digits.
No reason to expect anything different tonight, as New Jersey is just 5-13 straight up this year, and they come into this meeting tonight having lost eight straight to the 76ers, and five in a row against the spread versus the Sixers.
With the proof right in front of you in black-and-white, no reason to buck Philadelphia even if the linemakers are starting to catch on to their home court prowess.
Lay way, as Philly makes it a 9-1 home mark both straight up and against the spread.
4♦ PHILADELPHIA
Dom Chambers
For my free selection, let’s take a look at Maryland as a home underdog to cover against Duke.
Duke is coming off a rare home loss and now goes on the road to face Maryland.
Duke, without a doubt, is the better team here, but to lay double digits on the road is a tough thing to cover.
The Terrapins are 10-1 straight up at home. They are coming off two road loses, but being home may be the boost they need.
Maryland plays enough defense to make things tough for Duke. They hold teams to 32 percent shooting from three-point range. Duke shoots 40 percent from three-point range. If Maryland can limit Duke, that would be a big edge for Maryland
Duke is 7-2 on the road, but only 3-6 ATS.
Take Maryland.
2♦ MARYLAND
Free NBA Play for 1/25: Charlotte Bobcats/Washington Wizards UNDER 194.5 Points (5Dimes, Bookmaker). This mark is set a little too high for this matchup. Both of these clubs are shooting well below the NBA average from the floor. The Bobcats enter this game averaging 90 points/game on 42.9% from the floor, while the Wizards average 88.6 points/game on just 41.4% from the floor. Sure, neither teams defense has anything to bring to the table tonight. But we'll expect both defensive numbers to look one notch better after this game is over. The under has cashed in seven of the last nine times they've faced each other, and five of the last six times they've played in Washington. And even those unders came on much lower posted totals. Going back all the way to 2009, only once in ten games have they scored a combined total greater than 194.5 and that game was played in Charlotte on 3/26/2010. We expect to see more of the same tonight. The under is 5-1 in the Bobcats last 6 games playing on 0 days rest,7-2 in their last 9 vs. losing teams, and 5-0 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400. The under is also 6-1 in the Wizards last 7 vs losing teams, and 5-1 in their last 6 as the home chalk. Play the under here. Our Free Picks are now 150-80-1, 6-0 L6. Sign up today to receive all of our free releases via email.
Jimmy Boyd
1 Unit San Antonio Spurs -4.5
The Spurs have been a tremendous wager at home this season and in this series. The Spurs are 9-1 SU and 6-4 ATS at home where they are winning by an average of 11.6 points. The Spurs are 13-0 SU and 12-1 ATS in their last 13 at home versus the Hawks. Those 13 wins have come by 14, 15, 29, 22, 13, 39, 16, 24, 14, 15, 6, 15, and 16 points for an average winning margin of 18.3 points. The Hawks, who have been inconsistent on the road, are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog of 4.5 points or less. The Spurs have played back-to-back games on the road since enduring their first home loss Friday, and you can bet that loss isn't sitting well with a team that went 36-5 at home last season. We'll lay the points.
SPORTS WAGERS
CLEVELAND +136 over New York
Anthony Carmelo returned to the Knicks lineup last night and as a 5-point choice over the Bobcats in Charlotte, the Knicks won 111-78. In 29 minutes, Melo had one point and 11 boards. Prior to that, the Knicks had lost six straight with four of those being at home. One blowout win in its last seven games has New York favored on the road with the exact same problems they had when Carmelo was injured. Under Mike D'Antoni, the defense is weak and they have no true point guard. Those are two glaring weaknesses at any level of basketball. While the big-3 of Amar’e Stoudemire, Anthony and Tyson Chandler will get them wins, the offense still ranks 22nd in efficiency. D'Antoni is trying to run the same offense he ran with Phoenix when Steve Nash was winning MVP awards. Big difference running it with Nash in his prime than with Toney Douglas, Mike Bibby or a raw Iman Shumpert. The Cavs played in Miami last night and lost by seven. Prior to that, they played Atlanta and Chicago. In that game against Chicago on Friday night, they were a 5½-point dog at home and got smoked by 39. That was their last home game. Cleveland takes a big step down in class here against New York. The Cavaliers have played just five home games all year (11 on road) and they're 2-3 in those games. They're just a half game behind the Knicks, who have played nine home and eight away. After losing its last two home games, the latter by 39 and not winning at home since Jan 3, expect the Cavs to get it together tonight against this vulnerable visitor. Play: Cleveland +136 (Risking 2 units).
New Jersey +11½ over PHILADELPHIA
The Nets were a 13½-point dog in Chicago just two nights ago and while Philaldelphia's 12-5 record puts them on par with the Bulls, its talent does not. To be sure, the 76ers are a well-balanced team, ranking among the league's top three in both offensive and defensive efficiency. However, based on who they've beaten, the 76ers still cannot yet be considered elite or on the same level as Chicago or Miami, especially with center Spencer Hawes on the rack. Philadelphia has yet to play a team with a top-10 offense and has played just five teams in the top-16 in offensive efficiency: Portland, Utah, Golden State, Phoenix and Miami. Against the Heat, the 76ers lost by 21. Three of Philly's last five wins have come against the 2-15 Wizards. So, with an easy schedule and numerous blowouts the 76ers numbers are skewed and as a result, they're slightly overvalued here. If there's such a thing as winning too easy, the 76ers are gulity and there's a price to pay for breezing. The Nets have just five wins in 18 games. Among their past 10 opponents are Miami, Atlanta, Oklahoma City, Chicago and road games at the Clippers, Jazz, Suns and Nuggets. An 8-point loss in Denver, a 10-point loss at the Clip Joint, an 11-point loss to Miami and a five point loss to Atlanta reveals that many of those games were decided by less than the points being offered here. The Nets have still won three of its last seven and they could really catch a complacent 76ers team off-guard and stay well within this range. Play: New Jersey +11½ (Risking 2.12 units to win 2).
Passing NHL
SPORTS WAGERS
BYU +127 over VIRGINIA TECH
Great spot for the Cougars to come in here and leave victorious. Va. Tech will take a one-game break from tough ACC competition after its biggest win of the year over #17 Virginia on Sunday. They have Maryland and Duke on deck and those games are much more important than this one. The Hokies are just 12-7 on the year with a whole bunch of wins over weak opponents. That 47-45 win over Virginia was its first ACC win of the year and it was a hard fought and emotional one. BYU plays in the lesser known West Coast Conference. That conference has three strong and potential tournament teams in Gonzaga, Saint Mary's and BYU. The Cougars might be the best of them all. They're ranked 4th in the nation in points with 80 per game, 17th in rebounding, fourth in assists and 19th in FG percentage. Those are some serious late January numbers and it's not like the Cougars haven't played anyone. Aside from WCC competition, they've also faced Nevada, Wisconsin and Baylor. Teams from smaller conference always get amped to play the “big boys” and BYU catches an average Hokies club at precisely the right time. Play: #769 BYU +127 (Risking 2 units).
We're also playing the following games:
DePaul +9½ over RUTGERS Pinnacle
Play: DePaul +9½ (Risking 2.02 units to win 2).
ST. JOSEPH'S -2 over Dayton Pinnacle
Play St. Joseph's -2 (Risking 2.16 units to win 2).
Hollywood Sports
Hornets at Thunder
Prediction: Under
New Orleans (3-14) have now lost eight straight games after their 104-102 loss to San Antonio on Monday. The Hornets have played 5 straight games Under the Total after allowing at least 100 points in their last game. New Orleans has also played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60%. And in their last 7 road games as an underdog of 11 or more points, the Hornets have played 6 of these contests Under the Total. Oklahoma City (14-3) has won two in a row after their 99-79 win over -- and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a win. The Thunder have also played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total against teams with a losing record. And in their last 10 games at home as a favorite of eleven or more points, Oklahoma City has played 7 of these games Under the Total. Trust the complementary team trends in this one and take the Under.
Dave Price
1 Unit Oklahoma State +9.5
Oklahoma State will be fired up for 2nd ranked Missouri, who finds itself in a letdown spot following Saturday's big upset win at Baylor. I won't hesitate to side with the home team here as the Tigers are 18-39 ATS in their last 57 road games, and the Cowboys are 34-16-2 ATS in their last 52 home games. Plus, the underdog is 8-2 ATS in the last 10 meetings in this series. Take the points.
Jeff Alexander
1 Unit Seton Hall -7
Notre Dame upset Syracuse at home Saturday, but it hasn't been the same team on the road. In fact, it is 1-7 SU and ATS when playing away from home this season, losing those games by an average of 11.5 points. After back-to-back road games, Seton Hall will be happy to be home, where it is 10-0 SU and 6-1 ATS this season with an average winning margin of 14.5 points. The Pirates are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite of 7.0-12.5 points. We'll take Seton Hall.
Black Widow
1* Timberwolves/Mavericks OVER 184
The Dallas Mavericks are more of an up-tempo team now without Dirk Nowitzki on the floor. I look for this game to be fast-paced tonight between the Mavs and Minnesota Timberwolves in Dallas. The Timberwolves hvae been a solid offensive team this year, scoring 95.0 points/game. They are allowing 94.6 points/game, combining with their opponents for 189.6 points/game on average. As you can see, that number is over five points more than the posted total tonight, providing us with some nice line value here. Dallas will look to run more now that they don't have to run their offense through Dirk, which forces them to play at a slower tempo when he's on the floor. Dallas and Minnesota have combined to score 186 or more points in six of their last seven meetings. I fully expect this one to finish with 186-plus tonight as well. Take the OVER 184 points here.
Jack Jones
Sacramento Kings +6
The Sacramento Kings are certainly off to a slow start this season. A big reason for that is the fact that the Kings have played the toughest schedule in the NBA thus far. Because of this, the Kings will be showing solid value in the upcoming weeks. This is a better team than their record would indicate.
The Denver Nuggets are off to a solid 12-5 start this season. Because of their fast start, this team is a big overvalued right now. The Nuggets are one of the worst defensive teams in the league. They yield 100.0 points/game overall, including 102.4 points/game and 45.9 percent shooting on the road. Their defensive effort makes it tough for Denver to blow teams out.
Sacramento has clearly played their best basketball at home this season. The Kings are 4-3 SU & 4-3 ATS on their home court. That includes impressive home wins over the Lakers and Pacers. The Kings have played three straight road games, and eight of their last nine on the road. You can bet this team is excited to be returning home tonight. The home team is 7-2-2 ATS in the last 11 meetings in this series. Bet Sacramento Wednesday.
Steve Janus
Toronto Raptors +10.5
The Utah Jazz are simply laying too many points against the Raptors tonight. Utah is getting plenty of action from the public thanks to their impressive 7-3 record against the spread at home, but the oddsmakers have adjusted.
In Utah's 10 home games they haven't been favored by more than 8-points. They are outscoring opponents by just 8 points a game at home this season.I can't see them being all that excited to play a Toronto team that has one win in their last nine games. However, the Raptors just got back their biggest offensive weapon in forward Andrea Bargnani, who scored 36-points in the Raptors 99-96 win at Phoenix last night.
Believe it or not the Raptors have been a strong play as a road underdog against a strong home team. They are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. As good as Utah has been, they aren't great as a home favorite. The Jazz are just 5-11 ATS in their last 16 games as a home favorite of 5.0-10.5.
Larry Ness
Tulane -4.5
Wednesday night SMU visits Tulane in C-USA. SMU head coach Matt Doherty declared that the SMU basketball program was "officially turned around" after his Mustangs won three games in the CBI tourney last year to finish 20-15. Matt may have been "overstating" just a little but he meant well. He lost the 6-9 Dia (18.3-9.6) from LY's team but he's got a pretty good nucleus. The 6-8 Nydkundi (16.8-5.4) leads in scoring and rebounding and now that he's eligible (since mid-Dec), 6-7 Texas transfer Williams (7.4-3.9) joins him up front. Those two start plus two more freshman, the 6-8 Cunningham (4.1-3.6) plus the finally healthy 6-7 Smith (4.1-3.1), also get minutes. The backcourt is led by sophomore Samarrippas (7.0-4.1 APG) and Nevada transfer Giles (11.1) plus 6-6 freshman swingman Jones (8.1). As I mentioned earlier, Doherty was overstating but the 10-9 Mustangs are no longer 'doormats!' Tulane has fought through two key injuries to the 7-0 Burha (7.2-5.1) who was lost in mid-December and then to the team's best player, Timmons (17.0-8.2 LY). Timmons' Achilles' injury was a season-ending one and the 6-5 "do-everything" player who was averaging 13.6-5.2-2.9 was hurt on January 7. Fellow guards Tarrant (12.8-4.0-2.9) and Callahan (11.3-3.1) are now the core of this team, surrounded by the 6-7 Davis (10.6-9.4), a NC St transfer, plus 6-9 freshman Drye (3.4-3.1). Drye comes off the bench and has begun to "step up" in the three games since Timmons has been out (7.0-7.3 in that span). Tulane is 13-6 (10-2 at home) and had gotten used to playing without the 7-0 Burha but the loss of Timmons could be seen as a major blow. However, this team has remained competitive. The Green Wave lost 71-67 in OT vs Southern Miss in the game in which Timmons injured his Achilles', then lost 50-49 to Rice and just 60-56 at Tulsa, before winning 66-58 at home over UTEP, despite shooting only 5-of-17 on threes. Tarrant had 22 points in the win and freshman Drye 13 & 7 off the bench. That 66 points is just a 'hair' under what the team has averaged (69.9) in its 12 home games (remember, 10-2 SU). Tulane won here last year 79-70 and I don't expect it to be any closer this time around. Sorry Matt!
Jeff Scott Sports
4 UNIT PLAY
Philadelphia/ New Jersey Under 191: Defense is the name of the game for the Sixers this year and boy have they played it well. Philly comes in allowing just 88 ppg on 42.4% shooting, including just 27.2% from long range, while at home they have allowed just 82.7 ppg on 41% shooting, including a mere 22.4% from long range. Tonight i don't expect the Sixers to have many problems stopping a Nets squad that is 23rd in scoring (91.8 ppg) and 28th in shooting (41.6%). New Jersey also comes in scoring just 88.7 ppg in their last 3 and just 92.7 ppg on the road. Defense has been a problem for the Nets as they rank 27th in points allowed (99.5 ppg), 30th in FG% defense (49.1%) and 30th in 3pt defense (42.6%), but they have done slightly better of late, allowing just 96.4 ppg in their last 5 games. The Sixers have done very well at the offensive end this year, putting up 99.6 ppg overall and 101.3 ppg at home, but those numbers have come down a bit in their last 5 games as they have averaged just 96.6 ppg over that stretch and last night they put up just 103 points on a Washington team that had allowed 107.3 ppg in their previous 6 games. 103 points is about the most I expect from the Sixers tonight, while i just can't see the Net's putting more than 85 points on the board in this one. Sixer home games have averaged just 184 ppg and that's just about what I expect tonight.
3 UNIT PLAYS
DALLAS -6 over Minnesota: The defending champs have been playing well this year and they have won their last 2 games without Dirk. The Mavs have won 7 in a row at home, with each win coming by at least 6 points, while overall they have outscored their home opponents by 9.8 ppg (16.9 ppg when they win). Defense has been key for this team as they have allowed just 88.3 ppg (4th) on 41.7% shooting (4th) overall, while at home they have allowed just 87.3 ppg on 40.9% shooting. The Defense has needed to step it up as they have averaged just 91.9 ppg on offense this year. The Mavs will be without Dirk once again, but Shawn Marion has made it easier for Nowitzki to take his time getting back, averaging 19.3 points over his last four contests. The T-Wolves shave some injury problems of their own, with Micheal Beasley and Jose Barea out, while Wesley Johnson and Martell Johnson questionable for tonight's game. Hard enough to be the Mavs with a full deck, but will be very hard for Minnesota to hang in this one short-handed. Tonight will be a special night for the Mavericks, who will receive their rings in a pregame ceremony. They raised the championship banner before a season-opening loss to Miami. The second celebration was planned since J.J. Barea, a key reserve on the championship squad, is returning to Dallas for the first time since signing a four-year contract with Minnesota before this season. Dallas will also look for a bit of payback after losing by 17 at Minnesota on Jan. 1st. Dallas just has too much for Minnesota in this one even without Nowitzki and they should take this one by DD.
New York/ Cleveland Under 195.5: Both teams played last night, so tired legs may be an issue here. The Knicks had a fine offensive showing as they put 111 points on the board vs a bad Charlotte team, but im not expecting them to do it 2 games in a row. O I know they put up 114 points on Denver the other night, but only 98 in regulation. In their last 4 games when playing the 2nd of BB nights they have averaged just 91.5 ppg (Regulation Only) and they have been held to 93 points or less in 7 of their last 9 games. The Knicks made the moves in the offense to bring a better defensive presence to the team and they have struggled some in that department, but they did hold a weak Charlotte offense to just 78 points last night and they have allowed just 91.9 ppg on the road this year. Cleveland is 17th in scoring (94.2 ppg) and 20th in shooting (43.1%), but 28th in FT's (70.2%). The Cavs come in really struggling at the offensive end as they have scored just 87.3 ppg in their last 4 games. Despite what the Knicks have done in their last 2 games I don't see them doing it here. The Cavs offense is just a mess right now and they turn the ball over far too many times to think it will change vs a NY team that looks ready to play some real defense this year. This game should hit the mid 180's at best. KEY TREND--- NEW YORK is 16-3 UNDER in road games in January games over the last 3 seasons.
POWER ANGLE PLAY
Lakers/ Clippers Under 186.5: Google Play. The Lakers are not a team that likes to run and they really have had problems scoring this year, as they have averaged just 92.3 ppg overall and have hit the century mark just once this whole season, while they have averaged just 87.7 ppg in their last 3 and they are the worst 3pt shooting team in the league (25.6%) Defense though has not been a problem for this team as they have allowed just 90.5 ppg on 40.4% shotting overall, while at home, where they use blackout lighting to create a different backdrop for shooters, they have allowed just 88.5 ppg on 40.2% shooting. Here's a good example of how that lighting affects teams. Both teams play in the same building, but in the Clippers 7 games as the home team they have hit 44.1% of their field goals and 36.7% of their threes, but just 41.5% of their shots and 29.8% of their threes in their last 6 games as a visitor. The Clippers have struggled to score on the road as they have averaged just 92.8 ppg on 41.5% shooting overall and 29.1% from long range. The recent offensive struggles by the Lakers, coupled with their strong defensive play at home should keep the scoring down in this one. POWER ANGLE FOR THIS PLAY--- Play Under - Home teams where the total is between 180 and 189.5 points if they are a poor three point shooting team (=36.5%). This play is 3312 since 1996.
2 UNIT PLAY
Charlotte/ Washington Over 193: A couple of struggling offenses should breakout vs two very bad defensive teams. Play Over - All teams where the total is between 190 and 199.5 points - in a game involving two poor defensive teams (45.5-47.5%), after a game where a team (CHARLOTTE) made 35% of their shots or worse. This Play is 22-4 since 1996.
1 UNIT PLAY
New York -3 over CLEVELAND: The Knicks are the better team here and just have too much for this Cavs team. NEW YORK is 17-6 ATS in road games after a game where they covered the spread over the last 2 seasons.
Jeff Scott Sports
5 UNIT PLAY
POWER ANGLE PLAY
Southern Miss -3.5 over EAST CAROLINA: Ok Tell me what im missing here. in the last 5 meetings between these teams Southern Miss has gone 6-0 and has won each game by at least 7 points, and 5 of the wins have been by double digits. Now Southern Miss comes in at 17-3 on the year and 4-1 in the conference, while East Carolina has an 0-5 conference mark. So I ask you what makes Vegas think that ECU has closed the gap from the last few years where they have tasted DD defeats in 5 of the 6 between these teams, especially with a team that isn't much better than the past editions, while Southern Miss is clearly better than last year? And yes im aware of the fact that Southern Miss's 5 conference ganes have been decided by 5 poi nts or less, but I still don't see how the line should be this low. ECU has allowed 76.2 ppg in Conference USA action, and they have been outscored by 8.6 ppg in their conference games, while the Golden Eagles have allowed just 64 ppg in their conference games. Big , big edge to the Golden Eagles there. The Offense are about even in conference play, but I just don't see ECU scoring enough to keep this one close. The Last time these teams met Southern Miss won by just 2 points, but i look for them to make adjustments and win this one easily behind their various array of offensive weapons (5 DD Scorers). POWER ANGLE FOR THIS PLAY--- Play against home teams as an underdog or pick off a road loss against a conference rival vs an opponent off 2 consecutive close wins by 5 or less over a conference rival. This play is 44-14 since 1997.
4 UNIT PLAY
Georgia State/ Drexel Over 114.5: Started out 0-3 in when picking totals in Georgia State games, but have come back to win my last 2. Clearly both of these teams have made their money at the defensive end this year as Drexel comes in allowing just 54.8 ppg overall and 53.8 ppg at home, while GSU has allowed just 58.2 ppg on the year, but their are signs that the offenses could have a good showing in this one. GSU comes in averaging 69 ppg and 66.1 ppg on they road, while they have scored at least 57 points in each of their last 5 games and that is a big number here. Drexel is the favorite at home and on a roll so I expect them to win the game outright and that means that if GUS scored 57 points Drexel should hit at least 58. Without a calculator I can see that that's 115 points. Drexel has average just 63.1 ppg overall, but in their last 5 they have put up 66 ppg, while at home they have averaged 66.5 ppg and have hit 44.3% of their long range shots at home. That 44.3% from long range is nice considering the fact that GSU allows teams to hit 36.4% of their threes on the road. Both of these teams have the ability on offense to score some points, even vs two of the tougher defensive units in the nation. The key here is 57 points. as losng as GSU hits that mark I don't see how this one doesn't go Over. I really don't see how it doesn't go Over anyway and I will expect about 125 in this one.
3 UNIT PLAYS
Missouri -8.5 over OKLAHOMA STATE: Google Play (Lost Last 6No) Letdown Huh? Actually I don't expect it to happen. Yes the Tigers are off a big win in Waco over the weekend, but I expect that Frank Haith will have his team ready to play this one. OSU is has lost their last 3 games in a row and one of those games was a 41 point loss to the same Baylor team that Missouri just beat on the road. Hmmmm. Missouri is averaging 77.5 on 49.2% shooting in conference play, while outscoring conference foes by 10 ppg. OSU doesn't nearly have that kind of firepower as they have averaged just 63.2 ppg on a mere 40.45 shooting, they have been outscored by 7.7 ppg in Big 12 action, but most of that is due to the 41 point loss to Baylor. OSU is not a very good team overall and will not be able to match the speed or quickness of Missouri's guards in this one. The Cowboys have the height advantage in this one, but so did Baylor as Missouri proved that their quickness can beat size any day. I look for the winning to continue by the Tigers as they take this one by double digits. KEY TRENDS---MISSOURI is 8-2 ATS versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of <=42% this season and 11-2 ATS after having won 6 or 7 of their last 8 games over the last 2 seasons.
Auburn/ Arkansas Under 134: I might have rated this a bit higher had Arknasas SEC games (149.4 ppg) had not been that high scoring, but as it is i still like this play alot. A big reason for the high scoring games the Hogs have been in is the fact that they have allowed 76.2 ppg in their SEC games this year, but that will not happen tonight. First of all, Auburn plays a slow down brand of ball at the offensive end and secondly they just can't score. Auburn comes in averaging just 55.6 ppg on 36.8% shooting in their SEC games, while on the road this year they have averaged just 54.6 ppg on 37.3% shooting. They just don't have the firepower to outscore teams, which is another reason for them to slow the game.Let's also note that Arkansas holds teams to just 63.6 ppg on 36.9% shooting at home. Due to their pace the Tigers have done pretty well at the defensive end as they have allowed teams 64.3 ppg on 40.3% shooting overall and just 63.6 ppg on 40.9% shooting with in the confines of the SEC. Now they will have a tough time containing Arkansas tonight as the Hogs have put up 69 ppg at home, but that number has dipped some in the SEC, where they have averaged just 73.2 ppg. The Hogs will look to run for much of the game, but Auburn will slow the game down enough for this one to come in Under the total. KEY TRENDS--- ARKANSAS is 31-13 UNDER in home games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%) since 1997, while AUBURN is 9-2 UNDER when playing only their 2nd game in 8 days over the last 2 seasons.
2 UNIT PLAYS
George Mason -4 over HOFSTRA: HOFSTRA is 2-13 ATS in home games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%) over the last 3 seasons, while GEORGE MASON is 18-5 ATS after 2 consecutive conference games over the last 2 seasons. George mason is rolling and they are 8-1 in the CAA, while outscoring opponents by 9 ppg. Hofstra is just 1-8 in CAA play and has been outscored by 6 ppg. the Patriots keep it rolling with a solid win tonight.
Kansas State/ Texas Tech Over 135: KANSAS ST is 13-4 OVER in road games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game over the last 3 seasons and 26-12 OVER after 2 straight games where opponent was called for 22 or more fouls since 1997.
1 UNIT PLAY
Duke/ Maryland Under 149.5: DUKE is 9-0 UNDER (+9.0 Units) vs. teams who are called for 3+ less fouls/game than their opponents after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons and 11-3 UNDER (+7.7 Units) in road games after failing to cover 2 of their last 3 against the spread over the last 3 seasons.