Free Picks: Service Plays for Wednesday January, 9

Hollywood SportsFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Memphis at Golden StateFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Prediction: UnderFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Golden State (22-11) gets back to the court after their 115-89 loss in Los Angeles to the Clippers on Saturday and they have played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total after having at least three days of rest. Memphis (22-10) comes off their 113-81 win at Sacramento as a 4-point favorite on Monday and they have played 21 of their last 29 games Under the Total after a point spread win. The Warriors have also played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total on the road. Take the Under.

Matt FargoFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Virginia vs. Wake ForestFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Play: Wake ForestFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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After winning three straight games, Wake Forest got thumped by Duke over the weekend, losing by 18 points. Still, it covered the large number and the Demon Deacons, sitting at 7-6 overall ,are still flying under the radar as they are 7-3-1 against the number and they have been best in this role, going 6-2 ATS as underdogs. Wake Forest is 5-2 at home with disappointing losses against Nebraska and Seton Hall but at the same time it does have a solid home win against Xavier. The Demon Deacons have been a great bounceback team as well as they are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games coming off a loss by 15 or more points and that loss against Duke has helped even more with this number. Virginia meanwhile is coming off a big win at home against North Carolina on Sunday so the Cavaliers will be out trying to avoid a letdown and that will be difficult to do, especially playing on the road. Virginia has played only two true road games this season, going 1-1 in those contests and has not played on an opponents floor in over five weeks so the adjustment could be a tough one. Additionally, the Cavaliers have a more daunting road game at Clemson on Saturday. Virginia won by 24 points in the lone meeting a year ago and that beatdown is still fresh in the minds of the Wake Forest players. Om top of that, Virginia has lost its last eight games to the Demon Deacons at Joel Coliseum, a streak that dates back to 2000. The Demon Deacons have covered five straight meetings at home in this series and they are 4-1 ATS in their last five home games against teams with a losing road record.

Steve MerrilFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Memphis Grizzlies vs. Golden State WarriorsFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Play: Golden State WarriorsFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Two of the better teams in the Western Conference face off tonight as the Warriors stand 22-11 SU this year, while the Grizzlies are 22-10 SU. The situation tonight favors the Warriors at home on their strong home court with revenge, laying the short number. Golden State is 11-4 SU at home this season and has three days of rest since their blowout loss versus Clippers last Saturday. That was a tough spot for Golden State as the Clippers were playing with double-revenge after having just lost at Golden State by 21 points in the previous game. The Warriors should bounce back tonight as they are now playing with revenge from a 104-94 home loss earlier this season on November 2nd. Golden State is now a better team than they were early in the season and they are catching Memphis in a tough scheduling situation tonight as the Grizzlies are playing their 3rd road game in 4 nights and overall their 5th road game in the past 6 games during a 10-day span.

Ray MonohanFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Georgia Tech vs. NC StateFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Play: NC StateFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The ACC is going to be down this year. Carolina isn’t Carolina and some of the middle tier programs are in a bad cycle. One of those program is Georgia Tech. Don’t be fooled by their 10-3 record to date: They lost their ACC opener to Miami by 13 points at home and their only win of note is against St. Mary’s. The talent just isn’t there like it has been in the past. They have tried to overcome through a staunch commitment to defense but against a strong offensive team like N.C. State they will have trouble containing them. The Wolfpack are a perfect 8-0 at home and even though they are just 4-2 ATS 6 of those wins have been by double digits.

Charlie ScottFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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UNLV vs. New MexicoFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Play: UNLVFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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UNLV although loaded with talent, has struggled at times this Year on the offensive end taking bad shots and creating some stupid turnovers. However, They seem to improve the more games they play and only have 2 losses on the Season. A couple of weeks ago UNLV lost at North Carolina at the same line +2.5. New Mexico is No North Carolina. New Mexico has a very good Point Guard and erratic shooting guards, while their big men are servicable, but not as polished as UNLV's. New Mexico could come out slow as they have Not played a game since their loss at St Louis DEC 31. UNLV is the better Team, with alot more talent getting Points.

Rob VincilettiFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Los Angeles Lakers vs. San Antonio Spurs
Play: San Antonio Spurs
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The Spurs are a large favorite here. However, Road dogs getting 5 or more points, like the Lakers with no rest that were road dogs of 5 or more last night are 0-10 straight up and 0-9-1 to the spread, vs an opponent like the Spurs that scored 90 or less as a road favorite of 5 or more in their last game if the total is 190 or higher. The Lakers were shelled last night in Houston and may get drilled here again tonight as they catch an angry Spurs team off a bad loss to the Hornets. In fact all team going into San Antonio with no rest off a road game are 0-8 straight up and to the spread with every loss by double digits. The Spurs are 6-1 ats at home after scoring 90 or less as a road favorite and should win this one with no problems. Had the line been 10 or less we would have rated this one. However for the free play we will lay the points.

Ben BurnsFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Milwaukee vs. ChicagoFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: ChicagoFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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My last complimentary play saw underdog Washington upset OKC. Today, let's look at a favorite which appears to be in a solid spot.
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The Bucks got the "post Skiles" era off to a winning start last night. However, I expect them to find the going considerably tougher here.
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Jim Boylan is now coaching Milwaukee. You may recall that the Bulls also fired Skiles a few years back. Ironically, they replaced him with Boylan ...
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Naturally, Boylan would like to beat his former team. The Bucks are a dismal 1-6-1 ATS when playing the second of back-to-back games though. They'll face a Bulls team which had yesterday off and which has won three straight.
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The last time that the Bucks played the second of b2b games, they lost by 15. Before that, they lost by two. Prior to that, it was a 12 point loss, when laying eight. Before that, it was a 10-point loss and before that, they lost by 26.
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Going back further finds Milwaukee at 6-13-1 ATS (6-14 SU) the last 20 times that it played the second of back to back games.
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These teams split a home and home series back in November, the road team winning each game. The Bulls are still 3-2 ATS (4-1 SU) the last five times that they were a series host though, going 21-12 ATS (25-8 SU) in games here over the long-term.
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Even with the earlier split in this series, the Bulls are still a dominating 27-15 ATS (37-5 SU) against divisional opponents the past couple of seasons. Consider laying the points.

Jesse SchuleFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Philadelphia vs. TorontoFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: TorontoFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The Sixers are north of the border tonight, taking on the Raptors just 24 hours later, on the back end of their fourth consecutive back to back. That's right, the Sixers have had to play on consecutive nights four times in less than two weeks.
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"I have never experienced a road trip like this where it's three back-to-backs in a row and we played some of the best teams in the league and even before that we started off with Brooklyn," said leading scorer Jrue Holiday. "It was tough, but as a team we grew from it."
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The Raptors have had a couple days off after losing back to back games at home. Toronto had won eight of nine prior to losing to Sacramento, as they failed to contain DeMarcus Cousins. Then they ran into the Oklahoma City Thunder, losing 104-92 on Sunday. They have an excellent opportunity to get back on track tonight against a weary Philly team.
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Philadelphia has been terrible in December, with a record of 2-11 on the road, and allowing opponents to score an average of just shy of 100 points per game.
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Since Andrea Bargnani went down with an injury, DeMar DeRozan has really stepped up, leading the team in scoring averaging over 18 points per game. He's enjoyed even more success in recent meetings with the Sixers, averaging 21.5 points per game against Philly this season.
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The Sixers won't have a lot of fight in them tonight, and you can expect the Raptors to take advantage of that.
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Take Toronto to win and cover.

Bruce MarshallFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Dayton vs. VCUFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: VCUFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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"Shaka Ball” is difficult enough for foes used to dealing with VCU’s full-court pressure tactics. But regional insiders expect that the Rams’ many new opponents in the A-10 will have no idea what hit them in their first go-around vs. Shaka Smart’s troops. Pressure will be on Dayton Gs Kevin Dillard & Vee Sanford just to get the ball across time line at Richmond, and Shaka’s bench (goes 10 deep) will continue to send waves at the Flyers. Well-balanced Rams (four double-digit scorers led by G Treveon Graham’s 15 ppg) suggest VCU eventually pulls away in Richmond.

Marc LawrenceFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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UAB vs. Central FloridaFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: UABFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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After winning 92 games over the previous four seasons, the Blazers finished below .500 (15-16) in the 2011-2012 campaign and we know why: they took three standing 8-counts against the Knights last season alone, including a season-ending 10-point loss in the C-USA tourney. However, our database feels it’s the Blazers who will get in the first punch this year as they are 9-2 ATS as dogs with last-season tourney revenge, including 8-0 ATS versus sub .800 opposition. That’s a ‘technical’ knockout in our books and ties in nicely to UCF’s 0-2 ATS mark versus a foe seeking last-season tourney payback. The Knights are also just 1-4-1 ATS as home chalk of 7 or more points versus a conference foe with revenge and 4-8 ATS as conference home favorites off a previous home game. With that we recommend a 1-unit play on UAB.

David ChanFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Utah vs. CharlotteFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: OverFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Utah is 18-18 SU and 17-18-1 ATS. The O/U is 16-19-1. It's coming off a 100-94 win over Dallas on the 7th, the total staying below the posted number of 198.5 in that one. With injuries to starters Marvin Williams and Mo Williams, Utah's bench has come up big.
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The trio of Gordon Hayward, Derrick Favors and Alec Burks is averaging 44 PPG during a 3-1 stretch in January; they'd combine for 53 vs. the Mavs, led by Hayward's 27.
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Note that Utah has seen the total go "over" the number in five of nine non-conference games.
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Charlotte is 9-24 SU and 13-20 ATS. The O/U is 18-14-1. It's coming off a 108-101 win at Detroit on the 6th, the total sailing above the posted number of 194 in that one.
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After an 0-18 stretch, the Bobcats have won two of their last three.
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Kemba Walker has been leading the way, and had 20 points in the win over the Pistons.
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The Bobcats though will be plenty motivated here, and will look to duplicate the winning formula vs. the Pistons as they try and avoid a ninth straight loss in front of the home town crowd.
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You'll want to keep your eyes on Bismack Biyombo who had 10 points and a career-high 17 boards on Sunday.
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Note that Charlotte has in fact seen the total go "over" the number in three of five as a home dog in the 3.5 to 6 point range.
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Both teams are coming off big wins, and I believe each will push the pace of this contest; consider a second look at the over in this matchup!

SPORTS WAGERSFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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CHARLOTTE +171 over UtahFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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After a 1-15 December in which the Bobcats allowed a league-worse 106 per game, Mile Dunlap appears to have done some patch work and the results have been much better. Charlotte’s last three games against Chicago, Cleveland and Detroit resulted in two victories with only loss being by two points against the Cavs. They held the Bulls to 81 points and Detroit to 96 before winning in OT. If the ‘Cats’ defense can continue to perform better they will become semi-frequent visitors to win the column once again.
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The Jazz have won three of four but we’re not buying it, as two wins came at home and the road win was at Phoenix. The injury to Mo Williams hasn’t been felt in the win column yet but it will. The Jazz are now strikingly shallow with starter Mo Williams out at least six weeks. Utah's only other options are veterans Jamaal Tinsley and Earl Watson, who are both bench players at best. The Jazz have won just seven of 21 road games and could surely lose this one too.
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NEW ORLEANS +137 over HoustonFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The Rockets hosted the Lakers last night and while they won by 13, that game was intense throughout. The Rockets trailed most of the way until late in the third quarter and it just wasn’t as easy as the final score suggests. With that 13-point win and current five-game winning streak, the Rockets stock is a bit too high and that presents this good fade opportunity.
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The Hornets are on the verge of something really good. Getting Eric Gordon back has been huge, as he can dish and score and they can now decrease the minutes of Austin Rivers. The Hornets defense is rock solid and getting better with Anthony Davis leading the way. They’re also starting to pick it up on offense. New Orleans is coming off back-to-back wins over Dallas and San Antonio. They went into Houston last week and trailed by a point with three minutes to go. The venue now switches and these confident hosts are in a good spot to pull the upset against a non-rested squad that pays little attention to defense and is coming off win over the Lakers.

SPORTS WAGERSFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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UTEP +5 over TULANEFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Tulane is 10-0 at home this season and leads the league in scoring defense, allowing 56.7 points per game. The Green Wave is now 12-3 overall and they’re a seemingly cheap price here against the 6-6 Miners. However, a close look reveals once again that W/L records before conference play begins can be grossly deceiving. Tulane has played one of the easiest non-conference schedules in the country. Its SOS ranks 324th in the nation. The Green Waves’ victories have all come against marshmallows. They’ve played just four games against clubs over .500 and lost three of them including one to a weak Cornhuskers club. Its lone win against a team above .500 was a three-point home victory over another weak team, the Alabama Crimson Tide. There’s a price to pay for scheduling games against junk and that debt will likely be paid here.
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Meanwhile, the Miners have played the seventh-toughest schedule in the country. UTEP is 6-6 overall with the combined record of the six teams that beat them being 64-18, led by Arizona (14-0), Colorado State (13-2) and UNLV (13-2). They also played Vandy, Oregon, Oklahoma and Clemson. When the Miners played common opponent Nebraska, they buried them by 16 (Tulane lost to Nebraska). UTEP is as battle tested and prepped for conference play as any team in America and not only can they stay within this range, they can win this one outright.
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WAKE FOREST +6½ over VirginiaFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The Cavaliers come in 11-3 overall and 1-0 in conference play after beating UNC to open it. A nice win it was but not one that is going to entice us to lay road points. Virginia’s SOS (strength of schedule) ranks 290th out of 341 Division I teams. They’ve already lost to George Mason, Old Dominion and Delaware while defeating a lot of poor clubs. UV is 10-0 at home but just 1-1 on the road and 0-2 on a neutral court. The Cavs defense gives them a chance but the offense might be the ACC’s worst and that makes them too risky spotting road points.
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Wake is just 7-6 overall and 0-1 in league play after a predictable loss to Duke. Still, they lost by just six to UConn earlier in the year and prior to losing to the Dukies, they beat Xavier by seven. The Deacs have now won four of five and while their two-year ACC funk is still in play for at least another year, Wake will win some conference games. This is one of those possible wins and the points being offered gives us plenty more security.

Jimmy BoydFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Dallas Mavericks +10.5
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You couldn't get two teams headed in more opposite directions, but that has given us a little bit of value in the Mavs here tonight.
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A couple of systems support our play that say to go against favorites of 10 points or more off a cover by 18 or more points in their previous game. These teams follow those blowouts up by going just 71-114 ATS (38.4%). Another one says to take double digit underdogs on the road that have failed to cover in their last two games provided they have won less than 40% of their games and their opponent has a winning record. These teams are 147-91 (61.8%) since 1996.
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Dallas has lost three in a row but have started to play better now that Dirk can log 30 minutes a game. He's put in 29 minutes, 34, and 32 the last three and the Mavs might have lost each, but they were all by less than 10 and included games at Miami and at Utah.