DAVE COKIN
BROOKLYN NETS AT CHARLOTTE HORNETS
PLAY: BROOKLYN NETS +3.5
I’m not suggesting that this strategy works for everyone, but one of my tendencies over the years has been to try and get in a zone with a team. If I make a good read on a squad, I’ll frequently look to stay with that team in some fashion until I’m proven wrong one way or the other.
The Brooklyn Nets got me a payday on Monday as I went against them and backed the Celtics. Obviously, this doesn’t take place all the time, but as it happens, I pretty much nailed that game in terms of how almost everything played out.
Coming out of that game, I immediately circled tonight’s clash with Charlotte as a potential play on spot for Brooklyn. The Nets have been very competitive taking to the road following a home loss and I still believe there’s a real effort being made from this entry’s vets to try and grab one of those two bottom playoff rungs in the less than loaded Eastern Conference.
I also like the idea of going against Charlotte. The Hornets have been mostly just plain lousy lately and they’re also not at all a team that shows much fortitude off a bad game. Check out the Hornets ledger for the season in the next game following a double digit defeat. Let’s just say it’s not a pretty picture.
No word as of now on the status of Jefferson or Zeller for the Hornets this evening. I’m basically taking the stance that it doesn’t matter as far as my play is concerned. What’s more meaningful to me is how badly this team is playing for the most part. Charlotte is 2-6 over its last eight outings. That’s clearly not good, but what’s worse is the ugly factor involved. The Hornets offense has been mostly atrocious, with two games in that group where they couldn’t even put 70 points on the board.
I see this as a good bounce back opportunity for a Brooklyn team that while not sizzling by any means, has at least been showing some recent life. I’ll grab the available points with the Nets is what looks like a winnable spot tonight.
Jim Feist
Sacramento Kings vs. Phoenix Suns
Play: Phoenix Suns -8
an't trust the defenseless Kings anywhere, on a 16-35-2 ATS run overall. Sacramento is 25th in the NBA in field goal shooting defense, plus 29th in points allowed. The Kings are 5-17 ATS in their last 22 road games. Phoenix is home and hungry, off a 98-92 victory over the Dallas Mavericks on Sunday night. Eric Bledsoe had 20 points, nine assists and six rebounds for the Suns. Morris added 19 points and 13 rebounds. The Mavericks had two field goals in the final 7:14. Phoenix is on a 4-0 ATS run and 4-1 ATS at home. And the Kings are 5-11 ATS in the last 16 meetings in Phoenix.
Cajun Sports
Clippers vs. Knicks
Play: Under 197
The LA Clippers travel to the Big Apple for a game against the hometown New York Knicks on Wednesday evening. The LA Clippers coming off at least two home victories and now faces a non-conference foe are 10-22-1 UNDER if they are installed as a favorite in that situation they are 6-16 UNDER. The Clippers coming off back-to-back wins as a favorite and now find themselves installed as a non-conference favorite they have gone Under at a rate of 29-47-1 UNDER. The Knicks are in a similar situation as far as the total, when they are coming off three straight up losses and are now installed as a non-conference underdog they have gone Under at a rate of 18-36-3 UNDER. If the Knicks lost as an underdog in their last two games and are now non-conference underdogs their games have gone Under at a rate of 17-31-2 UNDER and if the current game is in the 13 to 16 point range they have gone 7-18-1 UNDER. We will take this game to fall well below the posted total.
Rob Vinciletti
Indiana Pacers vs. Washington Wizards
Play: Indiana Pacers +3.5
Hump day card has the College Basket Ball Game of the Month from a Powerful N.I.T. Quarterfinal system and the NBA Card is led by a 5* NBA Blowout system. Tuesday top 6* side cashes in on Miami Florida. Free NBA dog system below. The Free NBA System is on the Indiana Pacers. Game 755 at 7:05 eastern. The Pacers fit a nice dog system here tonight as they travel to Washington. We are looking to play on NBA rested road dogs that are off a home spread loss by at least 7 points and scored 90 or more if they are taking on a team that scored 90 or less and failed to cover the spread as a 10 or more point road dog , like Washington in their last game. Washington returns home after getting pasted in back to back nights by Sacramento and Golden St. Things dont figure to get easier as the Pacers have home loss revenge tonight and have covered 5 of the last 7 as a road dog of 3 or less. The Wizards are 4-13 ats after allowing 105 or more points and 1-5 to the spread off 3 or more road games.
Marc Lawrence
Miami Heat vs. Boston Celtics
Play: Boston Celtics -3½
Edges - Celtics: 15-6 ATS in this series, including 7-2 ATS home. Heat: 0-7 ATS with no rest in this series; and 8-16 ATS versus foe off SU underdog win, including 0-4 ATS with no rest. With the Heat in off a triple revenge battle with the Bucks last night, and the Celtics 10-4 SU and 10-3-1 ATS home off a SUATS win this season, we recommend a 1-unit play on Boston.
Ian Hudson
Lauren Davis vs. Sesil Karatantcheva
Play: Lauren Davis -135
Lauren Davis stands at 61 in the current world rankings which means she is 59 places ahead of the player she meets in this match. She won two matches in Miami in 2013 while Karatantcheva has no winning form at the venue. Davis recorded by far the better results outdoors on hardcourts in 2014 though her opponent has marginally better form this season but overall the selection is the better player.
Bryan Power
Oklahoma City vs. San Antonio
Pick: Oklahoma City
When did the Thunder all off a sudden become undervalued? Contrary to popular belief, they've mainly been overvalued (in my eyes) much of the season, playing w/o Kevin Durant. But for some, they cashed last night, and counting that as an ATS win, they're now 6-1 ATS L7. Take the points here in an ESPN matchup.
Like OKC, San Antonio played last night. Unlike the Thunder, they lost. I played the Under in the defending champs' visit to Dallas and it cashed as did the Mavs (as 3.5 pt dogs), who won the game 101-94. These teams have met only once this season, back on Christmas, and it was the Thunder winning in San Antonio, 114-106 as 6.5-pt dogs.
So, neither team really has an edge when it comes to the schedule, but in terms of the line my own personal power ratings indicate this line should be closer to -4. Oklahoma City scored 127 points in last night's win over the Lakers despite the absences of Durant and Serge Ibaka. Would it be a surprise if Spurs HC Greg Popovich rested players here? Whether he does or not is irrelevant, I rate this matchup as a toss-up.
Mr Vegas
Heat at Celtics
Play: Under
Boston is playing some defense while making this playoff run, off a road game holding Brooklyn to 91 points and 36% shooting. The Nets were 1-of-17 from long range! Boston is 5-0 under the total against a team with a losing record. Miami is in town 27th in the NBA in scoring, with no Chris Bosh, preferring a slower pave while ranked 3rd in the NBA in points allowed. Miami is 21-9 under the total on the road and on a 4-1 run under the total overall.
Wunderdog
Houston @ New Orleans
Pick: New Orleans +2
The New Orleans Pelicans are in a must-win situation if they want to keep their faint playoff hopes alive as they trail the Oklahoma City Thunder by 3.5 games for the #8 and final playoff spot in the Western Conference. New Orleans did not help their cause as they are coming off a three game road trip, having gone 0-3. Houston is playing well, but three of their last four opponents were below .500 and New Orleans is 23-12 at home on the season. The Pelicans fit a situation that plays on marginal winning home teams off at least two road losses against a team better than .500 that has gone 62-34 ATS.