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Free Picks: Service Plays for Wednesday, March 3,2010

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SPORTS ADVISORS

COLLEGE BASKETBALL

(20) Temple (24-5, 18-11 ATS) at Saint Louis (19-9, 14-8-1 ATS)

Two of the hottest teams in the Atlantic 10 get together when the Owls make the trip to Chaifetz Arena to face Saint Louis.

Temple has won five in a row and seven of its last eight, going 6-2 ATS in that stretch, and it leads the A-10 with a 12-2 SU mark (9-5 ATS). On Sunday at LaSalle, the Owls rolled 65-53 as a 7½-point favorite. Temple isn’t an offensive powerhouse, averaging 65.5 ppg on 42.9 percent shooting, but the Owls are quite effective on defense, ranking sixth nationally in points allowed (57.0 ppg), ninth in field-goal defense (37.9 percent shooting) and fifth in three-point defense (28.1 percent).

Saint Louis has also won seven of its last eight, cashing in the last seven in a row to move up to fourth in the A-10. The Billikens lost to Xavier 73-71 as a 4½-point home pup last Wednesday, then bounced back to beat Duquesne 69-59 Saturday as a 4½-point home chalk. Rick Majerus’ troops are outscoring visitors by more than 10 ppg on the year (67.8-57.7), shooting 46.7 percent at home and allowing just 38.9 percent.

Temple is 3-1 SU and ATS in four meetings since Saint Louis joined the A-10 in the 2005-06 season, with the Owls’ victories coming in the last three clashes. Last year, Temple rolled 65-40 at home as an 11½-point favorite, and two years ago in the Gateway City, the Owls snuck out with a 54-53 overtime win as a one-point underdog. The SU winner cashed in all four contests, and the favorite is 3-1 ATS in those games.

The Owls are on ATS rolls of 4-1 overall, 4-1 on Wednesday, 36-14-1 in the A-10 and 36-17-1 against winning teams, but they’ve gone just 2-5 ATS in their last seven on the highway. Meanwhile, along with their current 7-0 ATS run, the Billikens are on pointspread sprees of 6-0 after a SU win, 16-5 after a spread cover, 4-0 at home, 4-0 against winning teams and 21-6 in conference play.

Temple is on “over” streaks of 4-1 on the road, 4-1 on Wednesday, 4-1 after a spread-cover and 5-2 after a SU win, and the over for Saint Louis is on runs of 13-4 on Wednesday and 15-6 at Chaifetz Arena. In this rivalry, though, the under his hit in three of four meetings, including the last two in a row.

ATS ADVANTAGE: SAINT LOUIS and OVER

(5) Kansas State (24-4, 16-6-1 ATS) at (2) Kansas (27-2, 10-15-1 ATS)

The Jayhawks, who have already wrapped a share of their sixth straight Big 12 regular-season crown, brace for surging Kansas State as this in-state rivalry resumes at Allen Fieldhouse.

Kansas won its first 14 games of the season, stubbed its toe at Tennessee, then plowed through its first 13 conference contests before coming up short at Oklahoma State on Saturday in an 85-77 setback as a six-point favorite. The Jayhawks rank in the Top 10 nationally in scoring (82.4 ppg, fourth), field-goal shooting (48.9 percent shooting, ninth), and three-point shooting (40 percent, ninth). Defensively, Bill Self’s squad allows just 63.9 ppg on 37.6 percent shooting (fourth).

Kansas has won 58 consecutive games at Allen Fieldhouse, the longest active home winning streak in the nation. This year, the Jayhawks are 17-0 in Lawrence, averaging 87.1 ppg on exactly 50 percent shooting (41.5 percent from three-point land), while yielding 62.1 ppg on 36.5 percent shooting.

Kansas State has peeled off seven straight wins, all in the Big 12, since dropping an 81-79 overtime thriller to Kansas as a 3½-point home pup on Jan. 30. The second-place Wildcats have won six straight Big 12 road games (4-1-1 ATS) and are coming off Saturday’s 63-53 home win over Missouri laying 6½-points Saturday. K-State is also explosive offensively, averaging 80.4 ppg (ninth) while allowing 68.0. On the road, the Wildcats actually average a shade more at 80.9 ppg, while giving up 71.6.

K-State’s last-second spread-cover a few weeks back ended a 3-0 SU and ATS run by Kansas in this rivalry. Still, the Jayhawks are 17-6 ATS in the last 23 contests (all as the favorite), and the home team is on a 4-1 ATS uptick.

The Jayhawks sport positive ATS streaks of 5-0-1 after a SU loss, 18-7-2 on Wednesday and 22-9-1 against teams with a win percentage above .600, but they also own ATS slides of 0-5 overall (all in the Big 12), 0-4 at home and 9-19 at home against teams with a winning road record. The Wildcats are 2-6 ATS in their last eight Wednesday starts, but are otherwise on ATS upswings of 15-5-1 overall, 4-1 after a SU win, 11-4-1 after a spread-cover, 4-1 in the Big 12 and 13-4-1 against winning teams.

The over for Kansas is on runs of 5-0 after a SU loss and 5-0 against winning teams, and the over for K-State is on stretches of 5-0 against winning teams, 5-0 on Wednesday and 7-3-1 on the road. Also, in this rivalry, the total has gone high in the last five clashes. However, the under is 3-1-1 in the Wildcats’ last five outings.

ATS ADVANTAGE: KANSAS and OVER

(4) Duke (25-4, 17-9-2 ATS) at (22) Maryland (21-7, 15-9 ATS)

The Blue Devils aim to hold off Maryland for first place in the ACC when these longtime rivals clash at the Comcast Center.

Duke has won its last eight games (4-2-2 ATS), six of them by double digits, to put itself in position for a No. 1 seed in the NCAA Tournament. On Sunday at Virginia, the Blue Devils rolled 67-49 as a 9½-point chalk, winning their 10th straight ACC game while ending an 0-1-2 ATS hiccup. Duke is outscoring its opponents by more than 17 ppg on average (79.2-61.7) and has the nation’s No. 1 three-point defense (26.7 percent shooting allowed). On the road, though, the Devils average just a bucket more than their foes (69.4-67.6).

Maryland is on a five-game winning streak (4-1) ATS and has won seven of its last eight, all in the ACC. The Terrapins needed double overtime to knock off Virginia on Saturday and keep their surge going, notching a 104-100 victory as a 1½-point road underdog. Maryland is averaging 80.0 ppg (12th) while holding opponents to 67.2 ppg on 38 percent shooting (11th), and at home, the Terps are outscoring visitors by more than 20 ppg (84.3-63.5) while boasting a shooting edge of 50.3 percent to 37.5 percent.

Duke is 12-2 SU (9-3-2 ATS) in the ACC, and Maryland is 11-3 SU and ATS.

Last month, Duke rolled to a 77-56 home victory laying 9½ points against Maryland for its sixth consecutive win in this rivalry (4-1-1 ATS, all as a favorite), including SU and ATS victories on its last two trips to College Park. The SU winner is 12-1-1 ATS in the last 13 clashes.

The Blue Devils are on pointspread runs of 3-1-2 overall, 3-0-2 in the ACC, 4-1-1 on Wednesday and 9-4-2 against teams with a win percentage above .600. The Terps are on ATS tears of 12-3 overall, 6-1 at home, 4-1 against winning teams, 20-7 in the ACC, 8-3 after a SU win, 7-3 after a spread-cover and 37-12-2 on Wednesday.

Duke is on a bundle of “under” streaks, including 6-1 overall, 5-0 against winning teams, 27-10 in the ACC, 6-1 after a SU win, 24-11 after a spread-cover and 12-5 on Wednesday. The under for Maryland is on surges of 5-0 against winning teams and 26-9 on Wednesday, and in this rivalry, the total has stayed low in five consecutive meetings. However, Maryland is on “over” runs of 4-1 overall (all in the ACC), 15-5-1 in College Park and 4-0 against teams with a win percentage above .600.

ATS ADVANTAGE: MARYLAND

Oklahoma State (20-8, 13-8-1 ATS) at (23) Texas A&M (20-8, 16-8 ATS)

The Cowboys, coming off their giant-killing win over Kansas, will try to avoid the letdown as they head to College Station’s Reed Arena for a big 12 battle with Texas A&M.

Oklahoma State has followed an 0-3 SU and ATS slide by winning four of its last five SU and ATS, all in the Big 12, and none bigger than Saturday’s 85-77 victory over the top-ranked Jayhawks as a six-point home pup. During their current surge, the Cowboys are averaging 78.4 ppg on 49.3 percent shooting, while giving up 72.2 ppg on 41.4 percent shooting. However, on the road this year, the Pokes have been outscored by an average of about seven ppg (75.4-68.7), shooting just 39.9 percent. Oklahoma State is 2-5 SU and ATS in Big 12 roadies, with the winner covering the spread in all seven games.

Texas A&M has followed a 4-0 SU and ATS run by alternating SU wins and losses over its last four games, though the Aggies cashed in all eight contests. On Saturday, they hammered Texas 74-58 as a one-point home favorite. In College Station this season, A&M is 13-1 SU and 7-4 ATS in lined action, averaging 73.6 ppg on 45.2 percent shooting, while giving up just 58.9 ppg on 39.8 percent shooting. The Aggies are 6-1 (5-2 ATS) when hosting conference rivals, the only loss coming to then-No. 1 Kansas (59-54, cashing as a 6½-point underdog)

The Aggies’ four games prior to the Texas contest (three on the road, one at home) were all decided by four points or less.

Oklahoma State is 3-1 SU and ATS in the last four meetings in this rivalry, including a 76-69 win as a 5½-point home favorite on Jan. 27. In fact, the Cowboys are the last team to cover the spread against A&M. The road team is 11-5 ATS in the last 16 clashes, the Cowboys have cashed in six of their last eight trips to College Station, the favorite is on a 4-1 ATS roll and the SU winner has cashed in eight straight meetings.

The Cowboys are 2-6 ATS in their last eight roadies, but they sport positive pointspread streaks of 24-9-1 overall, 4-1 in the Big 12, 4-1 against winning teams, 16-6 after a spread-cover and 18-7-1 following a SU win. Along with their current 8-0 ATS surge, the Aggies are on spread-covering sprees of 37-18 overall, 4-0 at home, 5-0 after a SU win, 7-0 against winning teams, 20-7 in the Big 12 and 9-4 on Wednesday.

Oklahoma State is on “under” runs of 8-1 against winning teams, 9-3 after a SU win and 7-3 following a spread-cover, and A&M is on “under” tears of 5-0 overall (all in the Big 12), 7-2 at home and 7-1 against teams above .500. Finally, these teams topped the total in their meeting earlier this season, ending an 8-0 “under” run in this rivalry, with the last five in a row in College Station staying low.

ATS ADVANTAGE: UNDER

NBA

Memphis (30-30, 32-27-1 ATS) at New Orleans (31-30, 30-30-1 ATS)

Two Southwest Division rivals hoping to get back into the Western Conference playoff race hook up at New Orleans Arena, where the Hornets host the Grizzlies.

Memphis continued its recent inconsistent play with Monday’s 103-93 loss to the Blazers as a 1½-point home underdog. The Grizzlies have now alternated SU wins and losses in their last nine games, but shockingly they’ve won four straight road contests (4-0 ATS) during this stretch. In fact, the road team is a perfect 10-0 in Memphis’ last 10 outings (9-1 ATS). Once one of the top pointspread teams in the NBA, the Grizzlies have failed to cover in 10 of their last 16 games.

New Orleans has dropped four of its last five, including the last two to Southwest Division foes (108-100 loss at Dallas on Sunday, pushing as an eight-point road underdog; 106-92 home loss to San Antonio on Monday as a three-point home pup). Monday’s defeat to the Spurs snapped the Hornets’ three-game SU and ATS home winning streak. Still, they’re 4-2 SU and ATS in their last six at New Orleans Arena.

The Hornets have dominated this divisional rivalry, winning 12 of the last 13 meetings (7-5-1 ATS), including the last three in a row (2-1 ATS). However, both battles this season were nail-biters, with New Orleans prevailing 113-111 as a 3½-point home favorite on Jan. 20 and 109-102 in overtime as a 7½-point road underdog 10 days later. Neither squad has cashed in consecutive meetings in the last eight head-to-head matchups.

Memphis has failed to cover in four of its last five Western Conference contests and six of eight against opponents with a winning record, but it does carry a trio of 4-0 ATS streaks: on the road, on Wednesday and following a SU defeat. The Hornets are on ATS runs of 7-3-1 overall, 6-0-1 after a day off and 5-2 after a non-cover, but they’re also 1-4-1 ATS in their last six against Western Conference foes and 2-5 ATS in their last seven after a double-digit home loss.

The Grizzlies are on “over” runs of 12-5 on the road and 7-3 versus winning teams, while Memphis carries “over” trends of 13-6 overall, 7-3 in Western Conference games, 4-1 against the Southwest Division, 5-2 on Wednesday, 9-2 after a SU defeat and 6-1 following a non-cover. Finally, 13 of the last 16 meetings in this rivalry have hurdled the posted total, including seven of the last eight in the Big Easy.

ATS ADVANTAGE: OVER

Oklahoma City (36-23, 35-24 ATS) at Denver (39-21, 27-29-4 ATS)

The Thunder start a three-game Western Conference road trip with a stop at the Pepsi Center, where the Nuggets will try to put the brakes on a two-game slide in this Northwest Division clash.

Oklahoma City ripped off nine consecutive victories from Jan. 29-Feb. 21, then dropped consecutive games last week to Phoenix at home (104-102) and San Antonio on the road (95-87). But Kevin Durant and Co. have since gotten back on track with three straight home wins over the TWolves (109-92 as a 9½-point home favorite on Friday), Raptors (119-99 as an 8½-point home chalk on Sunday) and Kings (113-107 as a 10 ½-point favorite last night).

With Tuesday’s non-cover, Oklahoma City is now just 2-5 ATS in its last seven games, but it was favored in six of those contests.

Denver followed up Sunday’s 95-89 loss at the Lakers (pushing as a six-point underdog) with Monday’s 101-85 loss at Phoenix (falling way short as a 2½-point underdog). Prior to those two contests, the Nuggets had been held under 90 points just twice in their first 58 games. George Karl’s club is playing .500 ball since Feb. 3, going 6-6 SU (5-5-2 ATS).

Prior to losing at San Antonio last Wednesday, the Thunder had won five straight road games (3-2 ATS). For the season, they’re 17-12 SU and 19-10 ATS on the highway. Meanwhile, the Nuggets – who begin a three-game homestand tonight – have won 25 of 30 contests at the Pepsi Center, but they’re just 15-14-1 ATS.

Oklahoma City has cashed in seven straight meetings with the Nuggets, the first six as an underdog – including a 102-93 loss in Denver as a 10-point pup on Dec. 14. In the rematch on Dec. 29 in Oklahoma, the Thunder cruised 101-84 as a two-point favorite, holding the Nuggets to a season-low point total.

Also in this rivalry, the home team has won the last four meetings in a row, the first three of which were in Denver. The Thunder franchise has lost six straight games at the Pepsi Center (3-3 ATS).

Oklahoma City is on ATS runs of 15-6 on the road, 5-1 as an underdog (all on the road), 10-1 as a ‘dog of five to 10½ points, 7-0 as a road pup in that price range, 5-2 when playing on back-to-back nights and 11-2 versus winning teams. The only negative for the Thunder: They’ve failed to cash in five of six on Wednesday (including last week’s loss at San Antonio).

Denver is 10-4 ATS in its last 14 Wednesday contests and 36-14-2 ATS in its last 52 as a favorite of five to 10½ points, but it has failed to cover in its last four divisional battles (0-2-2 ATS)

The under is on runs of 6-1 for the Thunder in divisional games and 6-2 when Denver is playing on one day of rest. Conversely, Oklahoma City has topped the total in seven of nine against winning teams, five of seven when playing the second night of a back-to-back and 25 of 33 as a ‘dog of five to 10½ points, while the Nuggets sport “over” streaks of 6-2 at home (all as a favorite), 10-4 when laying points anywhere and 8-2 on Wednesday.

Finally, the over is 9-2 in the last 11 meetings between these rivals, including 4-1 in the last five in Denver.

ATS ADVANTAGE: OKLAHOMA CITY and OVER

 
Posted : March 3, 2010 7:24 am
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Marc Lawrence

Charlotte Bobcats at Boston Celtics
Prediction: Charlotte Bobcats

Meet the Dallas Mavericks of the Eastern Conference: the Boston Celtics. Like the Mavs, the Celts have been money burners all season. And, just like Dallas, the burning has taken place at home. Even the lowly Nets (10-18-1) have more ATS home wins than the Celtics (6-20-1) this season. From an ATS standpoint, Larry Brown?s Bobcats certainly haven?t been fazed by the Boston mystique. Since 2005, Charlotte owns an impressive 12-4 ATS series advantage, including 7-1 ATS at the famed Garden. The road number tightens to a perfect 3-0 ATS when the Bobcats arrive with same-season revenge. The visitors also catch the Celtics in the middle of a classic revenge sandwich. The ?Three Amigos? are coming off a revenge showdown in Motown where they are a sorry 14-27-1 ATS at home after playing with the Pistons. The Celts will also be looking to make amends for a 98-97 home loss they suffered to Philly back in December. Their 0-5 ATS mark before dueling with the Sixers suggests they just may be looking past these pesky Bobcats. That would be a mistake.

 
Posted : March 3, 2010 8:28 am
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VEGAS EXPERTS

Phoenix Suns at LA Clippers

Something is, without question, "rotten in Denmark" when it comes to this line as the red-hot Suns, winners of seven in a row against the spread, are favored by just three points on the road vs. the lowly Clippers. Not going to fall for the oddsmakers trap here as LA is playing with revenge for seven straight losses in the series and just upset Utah.

Play on: LA Clippers

 
Posted : March 3, 2010 8:28 am
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Frank Jordan

Phoenix Suns vs. Los Angeles Clippers
Play: Phoenix Suns -3.5

Phoenix is coming off a big win over Denver and are up to 5th in the conference with wins in 7 of their last 10 games. The LA Clippers are 10 games under .500, but have played well at home with an 18-12 record. Look for Phoenix to be too much for the Clippers to handle as Nash and Stoudemire squash them. Play Phoenix

 
Posted : March 3, 2010 8:30 am
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Charlie Scott

Duke vs. Maryland
Play: Under 148

I made this total 140 and feel that Duke will control the pace of the game. Duke likes to slow the offense down, work for good shots, play hard on defense and have the total score be in the 130's low 140's. Duke does NOT want to get into a full court game with Maryland. When these 2 teams played earlier in the season Duke won easy 77-56, expect the pace tonight to be similar.

 
Posted : March 3, 2010 8:31 am
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Craig Trapp

Kansas State vs. Kansas
Play: Kansas St +9.5

Kansas St is one of the top teams in the country and oh by the way they are top 5 team ATS as well going 16-6 ATS. This game will be another close game just as the earlier game was in Manhattan. Don't be surprise that Pullen and Clemente dominate the ball taking the shot clock down on most possessions. A much lower scoring game than KU would like will keep this one close as KU prevails in a very close one. KU is not good ATS in recent games going 2-8 ATS in last 10 games. Tonight you will see the trends hold true in a very good game.

 
Posted : March 3, 2010 8:31 am
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Sam Martin

Duke at Maryland
Prediction: Duke

This game looks like a trap, and we really like Maryland on their home court, but Duke is playing really well right now and are looking at a #1 seed in the NCAA Tournament. And what would normally be a look ahead spot for Duke with North Carolina up next just isnt the case this year with the Tar Heels having a down year. The Blue Devils have won eight straight, including a 21-point win over this Maryland team in that stretch. And with Maryland losing the rebounding battle in eight of their last nine games, we think the Blue Devils can sneak out of here a winner tonight. 5* Play on Duke.

 
Posted : March 3, 2010 8:32 am
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Hollywood Sports

Indiana at Purdue
Play: Purdue

Illinois (18-11) looks to avenge a 72-53 drubbing to Ohio State at home on February 14th. That game began a four-game run where the Illini lost three of those games culminating in an upset loss at home to Minnesota last Saturday. But it remains relevant to note that Illinois has covered five of their last seven games. And the Illini have covered four of their last five games coming off a loss. Illinois has been solid on the road this season as they are 6-4 in true road games while also earning a 5-3 mark in Big 10 play which includes a big win in Madison against Wisconsin. Illinois' defense holds their home hosts to just 37.1% shooting from the field which should help keep them within single digits in this game. Illinois has covered their last five road games as an underdog in the 7-12.5 point range while they have also covered their last four road games against a team with a winning record at home. Ohio State (23-7) enters this game off a 66-55 win over Michigan as a 12.5-point favorite. However, the Buckeyes have failed to cover their last four home games as a favorite. Expect a good Illinois teams that needs another signature win in March to be on the safe side of the March Madness bubble to keep this game close. Take the points with Illinois.

 
Posted : March 3, 2010 8:32 am
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Jim Feist

Golden State Warriors vs. Orlando Magic
Play: Orlando Magic -14½

The Orlando Magic have so many offensive weapons that can kill an opponent, both inside and out. But did you realize they are playing defense? Orlando allows .438% shooting by opponents, best in the East and second best in the NBA. All of which is bad news for a bad Golden State team 3,000 miles from home. The Warriors play their second straight road game in two nights on this 5-game trip. They have the worst defense in the league, allowing 110 ppg. They could care less about this one in a tired spot, while Orlando is fighting to maintain a two-game lead over Atlanta for first place. A terrible situational spot for the visitors. Play the Magic.

 
Posted : March 3, 2010 8:33 am
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EZWINNERS

Temple Owls -3

St. Louis has been the surprise of the Atlantic 10 conference this year and the Billikens have been playing very well coming into this game as winners of seven out of their last eight games, but I don't like this match up against the top team in the conference the Temple Owls. The Owls play suffocating defense and they are ten players deep which will wear down this St. Louis team that doesn't have much quality depth. St. Louis also lacks an inside offensive presence and asking the guards to score the majority of the points against this Temple defense is a tough task. The Owls have a wealth of scoring options with Ryan Brooks, Lavoy Allen, Juan Fernandez and the emergence of 6-4 sophomore Ramone Moore and should prove to be too much for St. Louis to handle. Lay the points.

 
Posted : March 3, 2010 8:33 am
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Brad Diamond Sports

UMass + over LaSalle

Since when do the Explorers deserve being booked as a chalk against anyone in conference? Oh, sure, they do play at home in that Gola Band Box with a short group of fans. But, I guess the lines makers expect a frolicking event this time around as senior night is the happening at 20th & Olney Avenues in Philadelphia. No matter, this season LaSalle had a solid chance of winning 20 games. Don’t laugh. They had three senior starters lost that accumulated over 2,000 points. Still, the critical deficit on this team is the lack of a PG, Green is a 2 or 3, pending the level of competition. UMass is still trying to grab a playoff spot in conference and the Minutemen show with long-time REVENGE against the so-so LaSalle program. With LaSalle 1-7 ATS off a SU loss, 1-9 ATS in the Atlanic-10 and 0-5 ATS home versus a club with a negative road mark, it sure looks like the visitor will grab the cash. Just one final note, UMass is 8-2 ATS on the road and 6-1 ATS versus losing basketball groups.

 
Posted : March 3, 2010 8:36 am
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James Patrick

Temple vs. St. Louis

The Billikens are a solid (21-6) ATS the past (27) Atlantic 10 games and (11-4) ATS in Wednesday action. Look out St. Louis because here come the 1st place Owls but every Wise Man knows you are not going to cash many winning tickets going against St. Louis at home in their new arena. We smell an upset in the Atlantic 10 Conference here. Big Game James Patrick's selection in Wednesday action is St. Louis Billikens.

 
Posted : March 3, 2010 8:37 am
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DUNKEL INDEX

Oklahoma City at Denver
The Nuggets look to bounce back from a 101-85 loss at Phoenix and build on their 3-0-1 ATS record in their last 4 games following an ATS loss. Denver is the pick (-6) according to Dunkel, which has the Nuggets favored by 7 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Denver (-6)

Game 701-702: Golden State at Orlando
Dunkel Ratings: Golden State 113.955; Orlando 128.085
Dunkel Line & Total: Orlando by 14; 219
Vegas Line & Total: Orlando by 14 1/2; 214 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Golden State (+14 1/2); Over

Game 703-704: Philadelphia at Atlanta
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia 116.452; Atlanta 122.042
Dunkel Line & Total: Atlanta by 5 1/2; 195
Vegas Line & Total: Atlanta by 9; 197 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (+9); Under

Game 705-706: Cleveland at New Jersey
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland 125.219; New Jersey 112.423
Dunkel Line & Total: Cleveland by 13; 198
Vegas Line & Total: Cleveland by 10 1/2; 197
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (-10 1/2); Over

Game 707-708: Charlotte at Boston
Dunkel Ratings: Charlotte 115.287; Boston 118.278
Dunkel Line & Total: Boston by 3; 184
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 709-710: Detroit at New York
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 112.595; New York 115.488
Dunkel Line & Total: New York by 3; 207
Vegas Line & Total: New York by 3 1/2; 204 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (+3 1/2); Over

Game 711-712: Washington at Milwaukee
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 114.239; Milwaukee 127.191
Dunkel Line & Total: Milwaukee by 13; 194
Vegas Line & Total: Milwaukee by 10; 193 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (-10); Over

Game 713-714: Memphis at New Orleans
Dunkel Ratings: Memphis 115.752; New Orleans 121.948
Dunkel Line & Total: New Orleans by 6; 207
Vegas Line & Total: New Orleans by 2; 203
Dunkel Pick: New Orleans (-2); Over

Game 715-716: Minnesota at Dallas
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 113.520; Dallas 124.513
Dunkel Line & Total: Dallas by 11; 199
Vegas Line & Total: Dallas by 13 1/2; 201 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+13 1/2); Under

Game 717-718: Sacramento at Houston
Dunkel Ratings: Sacramento 111.343; Houston 118.086
Dunkel Line & Total: Houston by 6 1/2; 206
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 719-720: Oklahoma City at Denver
Dunkel Ratings: Oklahoma City 118.963; Denver 126.333
Dunkel Line & Total: Denver by 7 1/2; 202
Vegas Line & Total: Denver by 6; 207
Dunkel Pick: Denver (-6); Under

Game 721-722: Indiana at Portland
Dunkel Ratings: Indiana 115.777; Portland 125.899
Dunkel Line & Total: Portland by 10; 200
Vegas Line & Total: Portland by 9; 202 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Portland (-9); Under

Game 723-724: Phoenix at LA Clippers
Dunkel Ratings: Phoenix 122.640; LA Clippers 113.622
Dunkel Line & Total: Phoenix by 9; 207
Vegas Line & Total: Phoenix by 3 1/2; 211
Dunkel Pick: Phoenix (-3 1/2); Under

NCAAB

Oklahoma State at Texas A&M
The Aggies look to build on their 7-0 ATS record in their last 7 games against teams with a winning SU record. Texas A&M is the pick (-6) according to Dunkel, which has the Aggies favored by 9 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Texas A&M (-6)

Game 725-726: Memphis at UAB
Dunkel Ratings: Memphis 60.847; UAB 66.434
Dunkel Line: UAB by 5 1/2
Vegas Line: UAB by 2 1/2
Dunkel Pick: UAB (-2 1/2)

Game 727-728: Alabama at South Carolina
Dunkel Ratings: Alabama 62.466; South Carolina 66.021
Dunkel Line: South Carolina by 3 1/2
Vegas Line: South Carolina by 2 1/2
Dunkel Pick: South Carolina (-2 1/2)

Game 729-730: Charlotte at Rhode Island
Dunkel Ratings: Charlotte 57.499; Rhode Island 63.632
Dunkel Line: Rhode Island by 6
Vegas Line: Rhode Island by 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Charlotte (+7 1/2)

Game 733-734: Connecticut at Notre Dame
Dunkel Ratings: Connecticut 70.193; Notre Dame 67.959
Dunkel Line: Connecticut by 2
Vegas Line: Notre Dame by 1 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Connecticut (+1 1/2)

Game 735-736: NC State at Virginia Tech
Dunkel Ratings: NC State 65.447; Virginia Tech 70.417
Dunkel Line: Virginia Tech by 5
Vegas Line: Virginia Tech by 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NC State (+8 1/2)

Game 737-738: Arkansas at Tennessee
Dunkel Ratings: Arkansas 60.012; Tennessee 72.335
Dunkel Line: Tennessee by 12 1/2
Vegas Line: Tennessee by 11 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tennessee (-11 1/2)

Game 739-740: Wake Forest at Florida State
Dunkel Ratings: Wake Forest 69.688; Florida State 70.638
Dunkel Line: Florida State by 1
Vegas Line: Florida State by 7
Dunkel Pick: Wake Forest (+7)

Game 741-742: St. Joseph's at George Washington
Dunkel Ratings: St. Joseph's 52.121; George Washington 60.860
Dunkel Line: George Washington by 8 1/2
Vegas Line: George Washington by 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: St. Joseph's (+9 1/2)

Game 743-744: Xavier at Fordham
Dunkel Ratings: Xavier 68.621; Fordham 48.405
Dunkel Line: Xavier by 20
Vegas Line: Xavier by 22
Dunkel Pick: Fordham (+22)

Game 745-746: Massachusetts at LaSalle
Dunkel Ratings: Massachusetts 52.368; LaSalle 56.016
Dunkel Line: LaSalle by 3 1/2
Vegas Line: LaSalle by 4 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Massachusetts (+4 1/2)

Game 747-748: Duquesne at St. Bonaventure
Dunkel Ratings: Duquesne 55.439; St. Bonaventure 56.657
Dunkel Line: St. Bonaventure by 2
Vegas Line: St. Bonaventure by 1
Dunkel Pick: St. Bonaventure (-1)

Game 749-750: Temple at St. Louis
Dunkel Ratings: Temple 66.004; St. Louis 63.190
Dunkel Line: Temple by 3
Vegas Line: Temple by 3 1/2
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (+3 1/2)

Game 751-752: Kansas State at Kansas
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas State 72.037; Kansas 81.929
Dunkel Line: Kansas by 10
Vegas Line: Kansas by 9
Dunkel Pick: Kansas (-9)

Game 753-754: Mississippi State at Auburn
Dunkel Ratings: Mississippi State 66.241; Auburn 65.146
Dunkel Line: Mississippi State by 1
Vegas Line: Mississippi State by 2 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Auburn (+2 1/2)

Game 755-756: Kentucky at Georgia
Dunkel Ratings: Kentucky 74.897; Georgia 66.551
Dunkel Line: Kentucky by 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Kentucky by 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Kentucky (-7 1/2)

Game 757-758: Rice at Houston
Dunkel Ratings: Rice 49.222; Houston 62.184
Dunkel Line: Houston by 13
Vegas Line: Houston by 14 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Rice (+14 1/2)

Game 759-760: SMU at Tulsa
Dunkel Ratings: SMU 57.331; Tulsa 64.207
Dunkel Line: Tulsa by 7
Vegas Line: Tulsa by 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: SMU (+9 1/2)

Game 761-762: TCU at New Mexico
Dunkel Ratings: TCU 53.162; New Mexico 72.677
Dunkel Line: New Mexico by 19 1/2
Vegas Line: New Mexico by 16
Dunkel Pick: New Mexico (-16)

Game 763-764: BYU at Utah
Dunkel Ratings: BYU 71.233; Utah 63.574
Dunkel Line: BYU by 7 1/2
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 765-766: Duke at Maryland
Dunkel Ratings: Duke 76.441; Maryland 77.076
Dunkel Line: Maryland by 1
Vegas Line: Duke by 1
Dunkel Pick: Maryland (+1)

Game 767-768: Virginia at Boston College
Dunkel Ratings: Virginia 64.120; Boston College 67.544
Dunkel Line: Boston College by 3 1/2
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 769-770: Oklahoma State at Texas A&M
Dunkel Ratings: Oklahoma State 66.550; Texas A&M 75.879
Dunkel Line: Texas A&M by 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Texas A&M by 6
Dunkel Pick: Texas A&M (-6)

Game 771-772: UC-Irvine at UC-Santa Barbara
Dunkel Ratings: UC-Irvine 46.669; UC-Santa Barbara 58.395
Dunkel Line: UC-Santa Barbara by 11 1/2
Vegas Line: UC-Santa Barbara by 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: UC-Santa Barbara (-8 1/2)

Game 773-774: Colorado State at San Diego State
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado State 54.276; San Diego State 72.081
Dunkel Line: San Diego State by 18
Vegas Line: San Diego State by 14
Dunkel Pick: San Diego State (-14)

Game 775-776: Indiana at Purdue
Dunkel Ratings: Indiana 56.043; Purdue 75.058
Dunkel Line: Purdue by 19
Vegas Line: Purdue by 18 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Purdue (-18 1/2)

Game 515-516: Iowa at Wisconsin
Dunkel Ratings: Iowa 62.245; Wisconsin 73.947
Dunkel Line: Wisconsin by 11 1/2
Vegas Line: Wisconsin by 17 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Iowa (+17 1/2)

Game 779-780: Kennesaw State vs. Lipscomb
Dunkel Ratings: Kennesaw State 40.584; Lipscomb 53.412
Dunkel Line: Lipscomb by 13
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 781-782: North Florida vs. Jacksonville
Dunkel Ratings: North Florida 41.977; Jacksonville 55.329
Dunkel Line: Jacksonville by 13 1/2
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 785-786: Army at Lehigh
Dunkel Ratings: Army 41.442; Lehigh 56.774
Dunkel Line: Lehigh by 15 1/2
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 787-788: Navy at American
Dunkel Ratings: Navy 47.813; American 47.774
Dunkel Line: Even
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 789-790: Colgate at Lafayette
Dunkel Ratings: Colgate 41.673; Lafayette 56.272
Dunkel Line: Lafayette by 14 1/2
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 791-792: Holy Cross at Bucknell
Dunkel Ratings: Holy Cross 46.473; Bucknell 55.980
Dunkel Line: Bucknell by 9 1/2
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

NHL

Minnesota at Calgary
The Wild look to build on their 6-0 record in their last 6 games against the Northwest Division. Minnesota is the pick (+130) according to Dunkel, which has the Wild favored by 1/2 a goal. Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+130)

Game 51-52: Washington at Buffalo
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 12.049; Buffalo 10.666
Dunkel Line & Total: Washington by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line & Total: Washington (-135); 6
Dunkel Pick: Washington (-135); Over

Game 53-54: Philadelphia at Florida
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia 10.408; Florida 11.012
Dunkel Line & Total: Florida by 1/2; 4 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Philadelphia (-140); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Florida (+120); Under

Game 55-56: Vancouver at Detroit
Dunkel Ratings: Vancouver 11.573; Detroit 13.037
Dunkel Line & Total: Detroit by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Detroit (-145); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-145); Over

Game 57-58: Edmonton at Chicago
Dunkel Ratings: Edmonton 10.249; Chicago 12.391
Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Chicago (-380); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago (-380); Under

Game 59-60: Minnesota at Calgary
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 11.891; Calgary 11.512
Dunkel Line & Total: Minnesota by 1/2; 5 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Calgary (-150); 5
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+130); Over

Game 61-62: Colorado at Anaheim
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado 11.118; Anaheim 13.111
Dunkel Line & Total: Anaheim by 2; 6 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Anaheim (-140); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Anaheim (-140); Over

 
Posted : March 3, 2010 8:42 am
(@blade)
Posts: 318493
Illustrious Member
Topic starter
 

Tom Freese

Colorado St at San Diego St.

Colorado is 15-13 overall and they are 6-8 in League Play. Guard Dorian Green scores 12.4 points a game. Forward Andy Ogide scores 11.7 points and 6.5 rebounds a game. Forward Travis Franklin scores 10.6 points a game. No other players score more than 8.6 points a game. The Rams score just 66.4 points a game while shooting just 68% from the foul line. The Rams are 3-7 ATS their last 10 road games and they are 1-6 ATS their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning record. San Diego St is 20-8 overall and they are 9-5 in Conference Play. Forward Kawii Leonard scores 12.4 points and 9.5 rebounds a game. Forward Malcolm Thomas scores 10.9 points a game while shooting 40% from behind the arc. Forward Billy White scores 10.5 points a game. Guard D.J Gay scores 10.4 points a game. The Aztecs score 71.5 points a game and they shoot 47% from the floor. San Diego St is 11-4 ATS their last 15 games as home favorites and they are 6-2 ATS their last 8 games overall. PLAY ON SAN DIEGO ST -

 
Posted : March 3, 2010 10:46 am
(@blade)
Posts: 318493
Illustrious Member
Topic starter
 

MATT FARGO

Connecticut @ Notre Dame
PICK: Notre Dame -1.5

The Big East Conference has certainly lived up to its billing this season. The parity has been sensational once again with Syracuse being the only team that has pretty much dominated from start to finish. Five teams are separated by a game and a half in the middle of the pack and two of those teams square off tonight in South Bend. Just a short while ago, Connecticut was on the outside of the NCAA Tournament bubble but with three straight wins including victories against West Virginia and Villanova, the Huskies have snuck inside the group of 65. However a loss at home against Louisville in their last game has the questions coming up again about whether they should be in or not. As of right now, the projections still have Connecticut in but it is not by much. The home portion of the schedule is done and the Huskies will now have to win out on the road to keep their position and that is not going to be easy. They are 2-6 on the road this season and both of those wins came in their last two home games, including that game against Villanova but consistency remains an issue. While Connecticut has been up and down, Notre Dame has had the same type of season and it is also making a strong statement to make it into the NCAA Tournament. Three straight losses in the middle of February likely had the Irish destined for the NIT but back-to-back wins over Pittsburgh and Georgetown, the latter being a road thrashing on Saturday, has them knocking on the door. Notre Dame is 16-3 at home this season and this is the final home game of the year and for the careers of five seniors including Luke Harangody who is likely out for the remainder of the year. The fact that Notre Dame has held it together while he has been absent shows a lot about this team and it will not be going out without a fight. In this matchup, Notre Dame has advantages in several important statistical categories including offensive efficiency, overall efficiency, offensive shooting, free throw shooting and assist/turnover ratio. That final category is important all the time, but even more so during the tournament and let’s face it, this is an early tournament game. The Irish have an assist/turnover ratio of 1.70 which is easily the best in the country and in home games, that rises to 1.91 which is almost unheard of in the college game. Conversely, the Huskies have a ratio of 0.75 in road games and that disparity is enormous. This is also a revenge game for the Irish who lost in Storrs by 12 points and that one was due to free throw shooting as Connecticut went to the line 15 more times, making 13 more of its attempts. Don’t be surprised to see a reversal of that here. Play on home teams with a winning percentage between .600 and .800 that have covered the spread in two or more straight games with a line that is between +3 to -3 and now playing a team with a winning record below .600. This situation is 31-9 ATS (77.5 percent) since 1997. 3* Notre Dame Fighting Irish

 
Posted : March 3, 2010 10:48 am
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