Monday 2/28/22 free thread for handicapping and expert predictions for NCAAB, NBA & NHL games.
Ralph Michael's
5% nba Memphis over 234
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The Prez
(39) Toronto Maple Leafs at (40) Washington Capitals
4% Total Over 6.0 (-120). Line is good to 6.5 -110 - no analysis with this play.
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TeamRonaldinho
Ireland Premier Div.
UC Dublin – Shelbourne
Shelbourne Over 1.5 @ 2.10
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totalgoalsvip
SPAIN LaLiga2
Malaga – Cartagena
2 or 3 goals
Odds : 2.00
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UndertTicket
Dep. Riestra – Atletico Atlanta : Under 2.5 @ 1.45
Alvarado – Agropecuario : Under 2.5 @ 1.40
Total Odds : 2.03
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Max Gorenstein
NEW MEXICO @ FRESNO ST. | 02/28 | 10:00 PM EST
UNDER 134.5
ANALYSIS: This number is way too high. Their first matchup was played at a very slow pace and only had 125 points. These teams have been cashing the Under recently as the Under has cashed in each of the Lobos last five games and in each of the Bulldogs last seven games. The Bulldogs will control the pace throughout the game. The average Fresno State game has just 123.4 points. I am expecting this game to be played very slowly and for the Under to cash easily.
+898 31-20-1 IN LAST 52 CBB O/U PICKS
2:02 AM
BAYLOR @ TEXAS | 02/28 | 9:00 PM EST
OVER 135
ANALYSIS: Even with their elite defense, the Over has cashed in five of the Longhorns last six games, including a game against the Bears that went over the total by 12 points. The Bears offense was able to do whatever they wanted against the number five scoring defense and they should be able to do that again. I am expecting both offenses to be able to put up points and for this game to explode over the total.
+898 31-20-1 IN LAST 52 CBB O/U PICKS
1:58 AM
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Stephen Oh
TORONTO @ WASHINGTON | 02/28 | 7:30 PM EST
TORONTO -130
ANALYSIS: My model says the Maple Leafs win in well over 60 percent of the simulations, so you're getting strong value with them at this number. Toronto has answered a three-game skid with a pair of victories in which it scored a total of 13 goals. The Capitals have suffered back-to-back losses, producing just one tally in each defeat. Washington also has lost five straight at home, scoring fewer than two goals in three of the setbacks. Look for the Maple Leafs to post their third consecutive victory.
+315 3-0 IN LAST 3 NHL PICKS
+1357 22-10 IN LAST 32 WAS ML PICKS
YESTERDAY 5:50 PM
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Larry Hartstein
CCSU @ FDU | 02/28 | 7:00 PM EST
FDU -3.5
ANALYSIS: FDU is playing its best basketball of the season. In their last two home games, the Knights have knocked off NEC No. 2 seed Wagner and No. 6 seed Sacred Heart. Their final regular-season game was a 7-point loss at No. 3 seed LIU. FDU has covered four of its last five. While these teams split in the regular-season, ShotQuality data had the Knights winning both "fairly easily," per insider Jordan Majewski. The Rothman Center in Hackensack, N.J., should be jumping tonight as the Knights' last home game drew a record-setting crowd. Lay the points.
+1712 38-19-2 IN LAST 59 CBB PICKS
+90 2-1 IN LAST 3 CCTST ATS PICKS
9:12 AM
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Chip Patterson
BAYLOR @ TEXAS | 02/28 | 9:00 PM EST
TEXAS +1.5
ANALYSIS: Baylor picked up one of its best wins of the season coming back from a 13-point deficit to beat Kansas handily at home, proving that it can overcome the many injuries that have plagued the Bears all season. But there's an opportunity for a letdown and the larger trends still point towards Baylor falling short of their number. The Bears have failed to cover in 4 of their last 5 road games and 6 of their last 9 overall, and while Texas has its own ATS woes recently I think they can steal a win on Senior Night agains the in-state rival.
+250 8-5-1 IN LAST 14 CBB ATS PICKS
11:31 AM
SYRACUSE @ N. CAROLINA | 02/28 | 7:00 PM EST
UNDER 156
ANALYSIS: North Carolina and Syracuse are two of the 40 best three-point shooting teams in the country and have been profitable for over bettors on the season as a whole. But Monday night provides an opportunity to gain an edge with situational trends that duck the high-flying expectations. UNC overs are 10-3 on the road but just 7-8-1 at home and Syracuse overs are 10-5 at home and 5-9 on the road. With UNC at home, Syracuse on the road and both teams just two days separated from (very different) Saturday results, I think there's value in a contrarian under play.
11:24 AM
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R & R Totals
(867) San Diego State at (868) Wyoming
4% Total Over 129.5 (-110). play is good to 133.
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Pure Lock
10* Hofstra -5
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Kelso Sturgeon
25* Miami Heat
15* Fairleigh Dickinson
15* Baylor
15* Wyoming
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Tony Mejia
5% Twolves -3
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Scott Spreitzer
3* Texas Tech -12
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Greg Peterson 2/28
North Carolina -7.5 vs Syracuse
Northwestern +10.5 vs Iowa
Kansas State +12.5 vs Texas Tech
Baylor vs Texas Under 135.5
Washington +10.5 vs UCLA
Updated Record 282-237-12
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Tomas Sports
Wyoming +2
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UNDERDOG SPORTSLINE (44-28 this Season)
Washington +10.5
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VSiN Hosts & Guests
FOLLOW THE MONEY
Mitch Moss
Duke to Win National Championship 14/1
Arkansas to Make Final Four 14/1
Texas Tech to Make Final Four 6/1
LA Kings Win Pacific Division 22/1
Pauly Howard
Memphis Grizzlies to Win Western Conference 12/1
New York Rangers to Win Eastern Conference 15/1
A NUMBERS GAME
Gill Alexander
Viktoriya Tomova +101 over Parry
Magdalena French +102 over Osorio Serrano
THE LOMBARDI LINE
Will Hill
Baylor -1.5 vs. Texas
Wyoming +1.5 vs. San Diego State
Syracuse +7.5 vs. North Carolina
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Doug Upstone
NBA
2U Miami -4 over Chicago
Season: 56 - 60 / -19.3U
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IC
NCAAB -$10,670 (68-81)
5 Unit Take Washington State -8 over Oregon State (Monday @ 11pm est)
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Root
Chairman’s— Memphis -8.5
Reserve— Iowa -10.5
Gold Standard— Texas Tech -12.5
Pinnacle— Wyoming +2
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Scott Spreitzer
4 Raptors -4
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SHARP TOTALS CLUB (73-49 This Season)
2* Texas Tech Over 133
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3 Rivers Sports
CBB
3* #868 Wyoming +2
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Pickswise Sports
NBA 3* Best Bets
Raptors [ML]
Raptors/Nets Over
NBA 2* Plays
Pacers
Timberwolves
Bulls/Heat Over
CBB 2* Plays
Iowa
Iowa/Northwestern Over
Baylor [ML]
Texas Tech/Kansas State Under
Oregon State/Washington State Under
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The Whale
Super Platinums to Win $150
NBA
5pm 560 Over 238 on Bucks
5pm 1558 Over 121.5 on Memphis
5pm 561 Over 227 on Kings
NHL
430pm 38 Over 6.5 on New Jersey
430pm 39 Over 6 on Toronto
730pm 42 Over 5.5 on Kings
Super Platinums to Win $125
NCAAB
4pm 862 North Carolina -8.5
4pm 866 Fordham money line -130
4pm 866 Under 138.5 on Fordham
6pm 873 Over 134.5 on Texas
6pm 871 Over 133.5 on Kansas State
8pm 877 Washington State -8.5
8pm 879 UCLA -8.5
NBA Two Team Parlays Bet $80
5pm 1558 Over 121.5 on Memphis
5pm 1561 Over 227 on Kings
NHL Two Team Parlays Bet $70
430pm 38 Over 6.5 on New Jersey
430pm 39 Over 6 on Toronto
NCAAB Two Team Parlay Bet $60
4pm 862 North Carolina -8.5
4pm 866 Fordham money line -130
6pm 873 Over 134.5 on Texas
6pm 871 Over 133.5 on Kansas State
8pm 877 Washington State -8.5
8pm 879 UCLA -8.5
NBA Round Robin 2's and a 3 for $20 a way for $80
5pm 560 Over 238 on Bucks
5pm 1558 Over 121.5 on Memphis
5pm 561 Over 227 on Kings
NHL Round Robin 2's and a 3 for $20 a way for $80
430pm 38 Over 6.5 on New Jersey
430pm 39 Over 6 on Toronto
730pm 42 Over 5.5 on Kings
NCAAB Round Robins 2's and a 3 for $15 a way for $60 each
4pm 862 North Carolina -8.5
4pm 866 Fordham money line -130
6pm 873 Over 134.5 on Texas
6pm 871 Over 133.5 on Kansas State
8pm 877 Washington State -8.5
8pm 879 UCLA -8.5
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newworldinsiders
TEXAS INSIDER: Alcorn St +7.5
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Justin Perri
CCSU @ FDU | 02/28 | 7:00 PM EST
FDU -3
ANALYSIS: It might as well be March, because today someone's season ends. FDU plays host to CCSU in the opening battle between the 8 and 9 seeds in the NEC. Here's the thing, if you remove forfeits from the season this game shouldn't be happening. FDU lost a game to a forfeit and CCSU won a game because of one. Therefore, FDU has a better true conference record to me. It doesnt hurt that Central Conn went to FDU a month ago and got whooped by 20 either. I give the edge to the home team here in New Jersey and see a big win as a more probable outcome than a single possesion victory. Lay the 3 points now to avoid the hook because it could get bought back to 3.5 later today.
11:13 AM
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Larry Hartstein
NEW MEXICO @ FRESNO ST. | 02/28 | 10:00 PM EST
FRESNO ST. -10
ANALYSIS: This is a quick turnaround for New Mexico, which edged Air Force on Saturday. Fresno State has been resting and prepping since destroying Air Force last Tuesday. This is the Bulldogs' final regular-season home game, While they've struggled versus top-tier Mountain West teams, they've largely dominated opponents behind them in the standings. Fresno State ranks third nationally in scoring defense (57.4 ppg) and should clamp down at home tonight.
+1712 38-19-2 IN LAST 59 CBB PICKS
+90 2-1 IN LAST 3 FRESNO ATS PICKS
1:44 PM
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Zack Cimini
MD.-E. SHORE @ MORGAN ST. | 02/28 | 8:00 PM EST
MORGAN ST. -3.5
ANALYSIS: For the first time this season, Morgan State has a great opportunity to post its first three-game winning streak. The Bears have won three of their last four games, and the one loss was a 68-66 decision against formidable Howard. Expect Morgan State to avenge a 79-72 loss against Maryland-Eastern Shore on Jan. 31.
+190 3-1 IN LAST 4 CBB PICKS
12:09 PM
MASSACHUSETTS @ FORDHAM | 02/28 | 7:00 PM EST
FORDHAM -2
ANALYSIS: A surprising ATS home winning streak in February lies with Fordham. The Rams are 4-0 ATS on their own floor this month, including victories over La Salle, George Mason and Rhode Island. They also covered as underdogs in a six-point loss to VCU. Expect the Rams to continue their success against UMass, which ranks 333rd in the country in scoring defense.
+190 3-1 IN LAST 4 CBB PICKS
+91 2-1 IN LAST 3 UMASS ATS PICKS
12:06 PM
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John Bollman
VANCOUVER @ NEW JERSEY | 02/28 | 7:30 PM EST
NEW JERSEY -125
ANALYSIS: Canucks are playing the second game of a back-to-back, and they are 2-5 straight up in the second game of a back-to-back this season. The Devils are playing much better as of late winning 3 of their last 6 games, but they’ve beaten good teams like the Penguins and Blues in those wins and lost to good teams like the Lightning and Penguins in the losses. That third loss was against the Blackhawks, but it was on the back end of a back-to-back. The Canucks have been on a roll lately winning 7 of their last 10 games now after last night’s win, however two of those losses have been in the second game of a back-to-back. Backup goalie Jaroslav Halak should be starting after Thatcher Demko started last night. The Devils are pretty much healthy in terms of skaters after getting key players like Dougie Hamilton and Jesper Bratt back. Take the Devils at home.
+550 15-7 IN LAST 22 NJ ML PICKS
10:33 AM
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Micah Roberts
MASSACHUSETTS @ FORDHAM | 02/28 | 7:00 PM EST
FORDHAM -130
ANALYSIS: This is about one team being ice cold and another gaining momentum as the Atlantic 10 Tournament nears. UMass has lost four of its last six games and didn’t cover in any of those. Fordham’s two losses in its last five came against A-10 elites Davidson and VCU. It covered in four of those five. I’m on Fordham to win at home, so I'll take the money line.
+380 6-2 IN LAST 8 CBB PICKS
11:44 AM
BAYLOR @ TEXAS | 02/28 | 9:00 PM EST
BAYLOR -125
ANALYSIS: All three of Baylor's road losses have come in its last nine games, but I just saw the Bears bury Texas, 80-63, 16 days ago in Waco. The Longhorns are 3-6 against ranked teams and haven’t covered the number in their last three games. Baylor has won its last three and come off an 80-70 win against Kansas in which the Jayhawks made only 24-of-70 shots (34.3 percent). Baylor to win on the moneyline.
+380 6-2 IN LAST 8 CBB PICKS
11:00 AM
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Mike Barner
CHARLOTTE @ MILWAUKEE | 02/28 | 8:00 PM EST
CHARLOTTE +10.5
ANALYSIS: The Bucks have been stuck in a bit of a funk lately. They have lost four of their last five games, with three of those losses coming at home. Their only win during that stretch came over the rebuilding Pacers. Overall, they are now 11-21 ATS at home. The Hornets have played them tough in three previous meetings this season, winning both games in Charlotte, while losing the game in Milwaukee by only two points. I think Milwaukee wins this game, but don’t be surprised if the Hornets keep things relatively close.
+1415 89-68-2 IN LAST 159 NBA PICKS
+431 23-17 IN LAST 40 MIL ATS PICKS
+1184 24-11 IN LAST 35 CHA ATS PICKS
3:37 PM
MINNESOTA @ CLEVELAND | 02/28 | 7:00 PM EST
MINNESOTA -3
ANALYSIS: The Cavaliers remain decimated at guard with Darius Garland (back), Caris LeVert (foot) and Rajon Rondo (toe) all out. Despite their blowout loss at the hands of the 76ers on Friday, the Timberwolves have been playing well lately, recently earning wins over the Grizzlies and Hornets. Even their loss against the 76ers had to be taken with a grain of salt since it was the second game of a back-to-back set. They are well rested and much healthier than the Cavaliers are, so I’ll take them to cover on the road.
+1415 89-68-2 IN LAST 159 NBA PICKS
+660 11-4 IN LAST 15 CLE ATS PICKS
+942 26-15 IN LAST 41 MIN ATS PICKS
3:31 PM
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Mario Rojas
854 Brooklyn +4
856 Miami over 222
861 Syracuse +8.5
874 Texas +1.5
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Ziti sports
We are back after a couple days off.
COLLEGE HOOPS
Texas Tech -13 -110 Kansas State (9:00 PM)
Washington +8.5 -110 UCLA (11:00 PM)
UMass vs. Fordham UNDER 139 -110 (7:00 PM)
NBA
Orlando Magic -2.5 -110 Indiana Pacers (7:10 PM)
Charlotte Hornets vs Milwaukee Bucks UNDER 238.5 -110 (8:10 PM)
NHL
Toronto Maple Leafs -130 Washington Capitals (7:35 PM)
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Joseph D'Amico
10 unit GOM Baylor ML
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John Ryan
5 Unit GOM Minnesota-1.5
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Ben Burns
3 Heat under
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CleInsiderSports
NBA
Bulls/Heat O222
Raptors/Nets O217
Spurs/Grizzlies O238
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Brandon lang
50 dime nba moneymaker
Cavaliers +3
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