Saturday 3/6/21 thread for free handicapping service plays and expert predictions for NBA, MLB & NCAAB games.
Larry Hartstein
BUTLER @ CREIGHTON | 03/06 | 5:00 PM EST
BUTLER +12.5
ANALYSIS: Creighton is the superior team, but the Bluejays can't earn the top seed in the Big East Tournament, are without head coach Greg McDermott (suspension) and essentially have little to play for. Butler, which did rule out top guard Aaron Thompson for the season earlier this week, has played better of late in upsets of Seton Hall and Villanova. The Bulldogs stay within single digits in Omaha.
ILLINOIS @ OHIO ST. | 03/06 | 4:00 PM EST
OHIO ST. -2
ANALYSIS: This appears to be a great situational spot for the struggling Buckeyes as Illinois is off Tuesday's shocking blowout win at Michigan, due a letdown and most likely without star Ayo Dosunmu again. OSU won at Illinois 87-81 on Jan. 17 when Dosunmu was healthy. Give the 2 points.
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Matt Severance
ILLINOIS @ OHIO ST. | 03/06 | 4:00 PM EST
OHIO ST. -2
ANALYSIS: I'm 100 percent with Larry Hartstein on this one as it seems a sure-fire letdown game for the Illini off Tuesday's historic win (the school's highest-ranked road victory ever) at No. 2 Michigan. Thing is, Illinois can't win the Big Ten regular-season title and most likely will remain without All-American candidate Ayo Dosunmu. What's the motivation here? This is much more important for the Buckeyes, who once were considered a potential No. 1 NCAA Tournament seed candidate but have dropped three in a row and may not even get a first-round bye in the Big Ten Tournament.
VILLANOVA @ PROVIDENCE | 03/06 | 2:30 PM EST
PROVIDENCE +4
ANALYSIS: Villanova is clearly 4 points better than Providence but if this isn't a trap game for the Wildcats, I don't know what is. It's their first time taking the floor since losing star guard Collin Gillespie to a season-ending injury Wednesday (see news feed story). That probably ended any realistic chances the Cats had of winning a national title. They already have the Big East's top seed wrapped up, so why would Jay Wright even bother playing his other key guys heavy minutes here? The Friars will be fired up in their home finale.
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Stephen Oh
LSU @ MISSOURI | 03/06 | 3:00 PM EST
LSU +2
ANALYSIS: The wrong team is favored here. LSU has one of the most efficient offenses in the country, scoring 119.3 points per 100 possessions, which ranks seventh in the country. LSU also has won five straight games against Missouri and has the incentive of the No. 3 seed in the SEC Tournament at stake in this game. My simulations say LSU covers almost two-thirds of the time and wins by four, so you're getting good value at this number.
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Toby Maxtone-Smith
VegasInsider Soccer Handicaper (Red-Hot)
Borussia Dortmund vs Bayern Munich
TV: ABC - Time: 12:30pm
Best Bets;
Bayern Munich -160
Both Teams to Score - Yes - (-275)
Over 3.5 goals (-135)
Over 4.5 goals (+175)
Prop Bets:
Final Score 4-2 (+2200)
Anytime Goal Scorer - Leroy Sane (+270)
Anytime Goal Scorer - Joshua Kimmich (+600)
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Thom Cunningham
VegasInsider College Basketball
USC vs UCLA
TV: CBS - Time: 4:00pm
Best Bet - USC/UCLA Over 135 (BIG PLAY - Top Play of the Day)
Play #2
VegasInsider College Basketball
LSU vs Missouri
TV: SECN - Time: 3:00pm
Best Bet - Missouri -125 (Moneyline)
Play #3
VegasInsider College Basketball
Seton Hall vs St John's
TV: FS1 - Time: 7:00pm
Best Bet - St John's +1.5
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Tom Wilkinson
VegasInsider College Basketball
Duke vs North Carolina
TV; ESPN - Time; 6:00pm
Best Bet - North Carolina -145 (Moneyline)
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Michael Crosson
VegasInsider College Basketball Totals Club
CBB
LSU/Missouri Over 155 (BIG PLAY)
Duke/North Carolina Over 148 (BIG PLAY)
Illinois/Ohio State Under 151
Purdue/Indiana Over 134
Oklahoma State/West Virginia Over 148.5
Virginia/Louisville Over 121.5
Seton Hall/St John's Over 152.5
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David Schwab
VegasInsider College Basketball
Illinois vs Ohio State
TV: ESPN - Time: 4:00pm
Best Bet - Illinois +2.5
Play #2
VegasInsider College Basketball
Indiana vs Purdue
TV: TBD - Time: 2:00pm
Best Bet - Purdue -7
Play #3
VegasInsider College Basketball
Oklahoma State vs West Virginia
TV: TBD - Time: 2:00pm
Best Bet - West Virginia -7
Play #4
VegasInsider College Basketball
Virginia vs Louisville
TV: ESPN2 - Time: 4:00pm
Best Bet - Louisville +2.5
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David Schwab
VegasInsider College Basketball
Illinois vs Ohio State
TV: ESPN - Time: 4:00pm
Best Bet - Illinois +2.5
Play #2
VegasInsider College Basketball
Indiana vs Purdue
TV: TBD - Time: 2:00pm
Best Bet - Purdue -7
Play #3
VegasInsider College Basketball
Oklahoma State vs West Virginia
TV: TBD - Time: 2:00pm
Best Bet - West Virginia -7
Play #4
VegasInsider College Basketball
Virginia vs Louisville
TV: ESPN2 - Time: 4:00pm
Best Bet - Louisville +2.5
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XS Sports Picks
NCAA Last 70 Selections 46-24 (66%)
(Top Play) Ohio State -2 (4pm)
(Top Play) Arkansas -15.5 (5pm)
Louisville +2 (4pm)
Vanderbilt +8.5 (7pm)
Seton Hall -1.5 (7pm)
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Insider Sports
Premier Picks® For 03/06/21
4* Auburn -2 over Mississippi St. (NCAAB)
Range: -.5 to -4.5
3* Oklahoma St. +7 over West Virginia (NCAAB)
Range: +9 to +5
3* L.S.U./Missouri OVER 155.5 (NCAAB)
Range: 154 to 158
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31649
Jack Winningham
FL State
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Mike McClure
UFC 259 top picks
Amanda Nunes
Aljamain Sterling
Israel Adesanya
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Marty’s
Monchengladbach
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Kyle Anthony (WagerTalk) UFC bets:
4% Sterling
4% Adesanya
3% Brady
3% Cruz
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Gus Augustine
2nd Ever
+ 200 DIME +
+ Double Max Wager +
College Hoops Play of my Career
MISMATCH OF THE YEAR
Kansas State -4.5
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Big Al
Patriot GOY. Loyola Maryland
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Bob Balfe
730...coast.car -8/troy
830,,,app.st +3/texas st
10p,,,utah st -9/fresno
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Tom Fornelli
TEXAS A&M @ ARKANSAS | 03/06 | 5:00 PM EST
TEXAS A&M +15
ANALYSIS: It's been a rough season for Texas A&M as the Aggies enter the final weekend of the regular season at 8-8, and have gone only 2-7 in SEC play. But as bad as they've been, they haven't been a team that's been getting blown out by opponents thanks to a slow pace on offense, and solid defense. So when I see this spread, Arkansas is clearly the better team, but it feels like a bit too much to me. I like the Aggies to keep this one respectable.
+460 9-4 IN LAST 13 CBB ATS PICKS
+87 2-1 IN LAST 3 ARK ATS PICKS
10:22 AM
ILLINOIS @ OHIO ST. | 03/06 | 4:00 PM EST
OHIO ST. -2
ANALYSIS: There has been a consistent theme with the Illini following a big win this season. Illinois is coming off a surprise 23-point win over Michigan without Ayo Dosunmu. It's the fifth time Illinois has won a game by at least 20 points this season. The Illini are 1-4 ATS in the following game, with the lone cover coming against Chicago State in the team's second game of the season. Ohio State has performed very well against the Illini the last couple of years, with E.J. Liddell in particular finding success. I like the Buckeyes today, whether Illinois gets Ayo back or not.
+460 9-4 IN LAST 13 CBB ATS PICKS
+86 2-1 IN LAST 3 OHIOST ATS PICKS
10:18 AM
SAINT LOUIS @ ST. BONA. | 03/06 | 6:00 PM EST
UNDER 132
ANALYSIS: I've always found it profitable to target unders during conference tournament season when the two teams playing are playing for consecutive days. This is one spot that stands out to me on Saturday. The total is low, but it should be, as St. Bonaventure and St. Louis are both strong defensive teams. Also, while neither is poor offensively, I wouldn't call either one of these teams an excellent shooting team, either.
+460 9-4 IN LAST 13 CBB PICKS
10:13 AM
INDIANA ST. @ LOYOLA-CHI. | 03/06 | 1:05 PM EST
INDIANA ST. +11
ANALYSIS: Going a bit contrarian on this play, as Loyola is the well-known mid-major going against an Indiana State team that hasn't been relevant since Larry Bird was in uniform. Indiana State comes into this game playing well. The Sycamores have covered 11 of their last 15 games, a streak that began with an ATS split against this same Loyola squad. The Ramblers have covered only two of their last eight. I fully expect the Ramblers to move on and win this game, but the Sycamores stay within single-digits.
+460 9-4 IN LAST 13 CBB ATS PICKS
10:10 AM
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GIANNI THE GREEK
UFC : Aalon Cruz +150…($800) 5dimes at +152
UFC : Amanda Lemos -220…($800) via Pinnacle - 5dimes at -115
UFC : Over 3.5 (-125) Sterling-Yan…($600) via 5dimes
UFC : Jordan Espinosa -105…($600) via 5Dimes
UFC : Kyler Phillips +140…($600) 5Dimes at +142
UFC : Trevin Jones +200…($400) via 5Dimes
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Wayne Root
Gold standard St. Bonnies
Pinnacle Ohio st
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Donald Tran
10,000 Dime College Hoops Move
Minnesota Golden Gophers +3.5 over Rutgers
5,000 Dime Bonus
Navy Midshipmen -5.5 over Loyola Maryland
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National Sports Service Picks
Picks For 03/06/21
5* St. John's -1.5 over Seton Hall (NCAAB)
3* Northern Colorado +9.5 over Weber St. (NCAAB)
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Dave Essler
3* GOM
St Bonnie +2
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Bondi
Lock Mississippi
4 Purdue
3 Louisville
3 UCLA's
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Master Sports
CBB
3* #715/716 Loyola Marymount/Saint Mary's OVER 125
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GOLD SHEET**
Duke @ North Carolina
Over the total
Vanderbilt @ Mississippi
Over the total
Southeastern Louisiana @ New Orleans
Over the total
Davidson @ VA Commonwealth
VA Commonwealth
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Gabe Dupont
75 Dime
North Division
Underdog of the Week
Toronto PL
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Chris Jordan
600♦
Big Sky
Game of the Week
Utah Thunder birds -2.5
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Kirby Maxwell
80 DIME
College Hoops Winner
# 8 of 11
Atlantic 10
Tourney Game of the Year
St Bonnys +2
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Mitchell Newman
75 DIME
Winner # 18 of 24
(- and 13 of 16 -)
AAC Bankroll Builder Lock
Wichita State -11.5
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Bob Valentino
75 Dime
College Winner # 3 in a Row
Big East Rivalry Lock
St. Johns PK
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Trace Adams
Raise The Bar
1500♦
College Hoops Winner # 11 of 17
Big Twelve Dead Mortal Lock
WV -7
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Tommy Brunson
75 DIME
Winner # 6 of 7
ACC Must Play
WV -7
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Micah Roberts
SO. UTAH @ PORTLAND ST. | 03/06 | 3:05 PM EST
SO. UTAH -3.5
ANALYSIS: Southern Utah (18-3) is a well coached team that looks to earn its way into the NCAA Tournament for the first time since 2001, but the Thunderbirds still have business to finish: winning the regular-season finale today and the Big Sky Conference tourney next week. They’ve won eight straight, the last being Thursday at Portland State when they erased a deficit with a 16-0 run to take the lead at the half and win by 10. Southern Utah gets the cover.
+1289 37-22-1 IN LAST 60 CBB ATS PICKS
+98 2-1 IN LAST 3 PORTST ATS PICKS
11:27 AM
ETSU @ CHATTANOOGA | 03/06 | 2:30 PM EST
CHATTANOOGA +1
ANALYSIS: East Tennessee has lost three straight and five of its last six (1-5 ATS) with one of the losses coming at Chattanooga, 53-51, three weeks ago. Chattanooga has won six of its last eight (6-2 ATS) and is led by great guard play that helped the Mocs go 14-8 ATS this season. They are playing better right now, and the price is cheap. Chattanooga is the play.
+1289 37-22-1 IN LAST 60 CBB ATS PICKS
11:06 AM
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Karl Garrett
40 DIME
Winner # 5 in a Row
Late Night Bailout Lock
EDM Oilers
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Steve Budin
BROOKLYN COLLEGE BOYS
50 DIME
ACC Game of the Month
Fla St - 6.5
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Doug Upstone
(7U) - Louisville +2
(5U) - Drake -2
(4U) - Weber St -2
(4U) - Vanderbilt +8.5
(3U) - Utah -3.5
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Al Demarco
Raise the Bar 20-Dime
purdue -7
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Chuck OBrian
12th Ever
100 DIME
College Hoops Release of my Career
vcu -1.5
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