Sunday 3/14/21 thread for free handicapping service plays and expert predictions for NBA, MLB & NCAAB games
Larry Hartstein
OHIO ST. @ ILLINOIS | 03/14 | 3:30 PM EDT
ILLINOIS -5.5
ANALYSIS: The Illini outclassed Iowa on Saturday for their sixth straight win. They're 11-3 ATS in their past 14 games (13-1 SU). One big key has been the development of freshman guard Andre Curbelo, who's averaging 14.4 points over his last five games. Ohio State has won three tight games in three days and could run out of gas here. Lay the points with the surging Illini.
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Stephen Oh
LOYOLA-MD. @ COLGATE | 03/14 | 12:00 PM EDT
COLGATE -9.5
ANALYSIS: Colgate has been on fire in the Patriot League Tournament. In two tournament games, the Raiders have averaged 91.0 points and won by 19.0 a game. In the semifinal, they broke a Patriot League single-game tournament scoring record with 105 points in a victory over Bucknell. And on Sunday they play for a NCAA Tournament bid against Loyola at home. Everything points to Colgate. My model has the Raiders covering 70 percent of the time and winning by 17.
PORTLAND @ MINNESOTA | 03/14 | 8:00 PM EDT
PORTLAND -5
ANALYSIS: These teams played on Saturday night, and the Blazers won by four (and just missed covering) despite Minnesota shooting 51.9 percent and outrebounding Portland by 21. When the Timberwolves regress toward the mean on Sunday, Portland should get an easy cover. My simulations say the Blazers cover 64 percent of the time and win by 11 so you're getting strong value at this number.
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Kenny White
LSU @ ALABAMA | 03/14 | 1:00 PM EDT
LSU +5.5
ANALYSIS: This is a revenge game for LSU. The Crimson Tide beat the Tigers both times during the regular season, by 30 points at LSU and by 18 at Alabama. LSU is on a 7-2 run straight up and ATS since the last meeting. I think you will see a vastly improved Tigers team in this matchup. Alabama has played well at home this year, going 9-4 ATS, but the Crimson Tide are 6-9 ATS away from home. My numbers have Alabama by two.
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PickWise Sports NHL
3* Minnesota -190
1* Minnesota under 5.5
2* Dallas -135
1* Dallas Over 5.5
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John Morrison Tony Chau Champ
NBA System
San Antonio Spurs {A** bet-
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Root
Reserve Houston
Pinnacle Alabama
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XS Sports Picks Sunday
Alabama Under 157.5 (1pm)
Houston Under 136.5 (3:15pm)
Illinois -6 (3:30pm)
Illinois Over 148.5 (3:30pm)
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XS Sports Picks Sunday
Golden State +6.5 (4pm)
Minnesota +5 (8pm)
Chicago -3.5 (9pm)
LA Clippers -6 (9pm)
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XS Sports Picks Sunday
$3000 Minnesota -1.5 +135 (2pm)
$3000 Carolina -1.5 +111 (5pm)
$3000 Carolina Over 5.5 -116 (5pm)
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XS Sports Picks Sunday (NCAA FB)
Murry State -4.5 (2:30pm)
Murry State Under 48 (2:30pm)
SE Missouri State -5.5 (3pm)
SE Missouri State Over 46.5 (3pm)
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Mike Barner
MIAMI @ ORLANDO | 03/14 | 7:00 PM EDT
MIAMI -6.5
ANALYSIS: The bad news for the Heat is that Bam Adebayo (knee) will miss his fourth straight game. The good news is, they won each of the three previous contests he's missed, including an eight-point triumph versus Orlando. The Magic have just been decimated by injuries, leaving them without Evan Fournier (groin), Aaron Gordon (ankle) and Cole Anthony (ribs) for this contest. On top of that, Terrence Ross (knee) is listed as questionable. This game could get out of hand in a hurry.
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Gus Augustine
40 Dime
Winner # 11 of 16
Big 10 Bankroll Builder
Illinois -5.5
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Worlds Worst Picker
Illinois
LSU
Fade is:
Ohio St
Alabama
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Larry Hartstein
MIAMI @ ORLANDO | 03/14 | 7:00 PM EDT
MIAMI -7.5
ANALYSIS: Five of Orlando's top six scorers won't be available, and as a result the Magic are playing guys out of position. Even without Bam Adebayo, the Heat are rolling. They've won nine of 10 (8-2 ATS). Look for Miami to cover its sixth straight road game.
LOYOLA-MD. @ COLGATE | 03/14 | 12:00 PM EDT
LOYOLA-MD. +10
ANALYSIS: Colgate embarrassed me last week when I was on Bucknell, but I'm going to go against the Raiders again at this price. The Greyhounds are not the same team that started 1-7. Cam Spencer's return -- he's 6 of 12 from deep in the four games he's played while averaging 11.8 points -- and Santi's Aldama's emerging dominance should enable Loyola to be competitive. Especially if the Greyhounds succeed in making this a slower-paced game. Take the points.
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Chris Jordan
Top-Rated
1000♦
Atlantic 10 Tournament
Game of the Year
St Bonaventure
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College Basketball(Bob Balfe)
3:15 PM EST
Rotation #
Houston -13.5 over Cincinnati
Houston crushed Cincinnati in the earlier matchup this year. The status of Keith Williams is unknown, but if I had to guess it would be he doesn’t play. This makes it next to impossible to Cincinnati to put the ball in the bucket. I am not a fan of high spreads, but in this case over the course of 40 minutes the Cougars should pull away. Houston is a better team across the board and after a close call last night will not take the Bearcats for granted. Look for the Cougars to grab mostly every rebound and to dominate on the offensive and defensive ends. This team is well coached and will go on a big run or two at some point to put this away. Take Houston.
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Ben Burns
PUCK-LINE ANNIHILATOR!
Arizona Puck Line (+1 1/2)
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Big AL
SEC GOY Alabama
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Matt Fargo
10* A-10 Tournament Game of the Year
ST Bonaventure
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Scott Spreitzer
Stars -125 (7U)
Tottenham +180 (3U)
Blaney/Bowman -145 (5U)
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National Sports Service Picks
Picks For 03/14/21
5* St. Bonaventure -2.5 over V.C.U. (NCAAB)
3* Alabama -5.5 over L.S.U. (NCAAB)
3* Boston/Houston UNDER 224 (NBA
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Insider Sports Report
Premier Picks® For 03/14/21
4* Cincinnati/Houston UNDER 138 (NCAAB)
Range: 140 to 136
3* St. Bonaventure -2.5 over V.C.U. (NCAAB)
Range: -1 to -5
3* Toronto +3.5 over Chicago (NBA)
Range: +5.5 to +1.5
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Sean Murphy
10* NBA BLOWOUT GAME OF THE MONTH
Hawks
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Tim Michael
10 Rockets
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IC
5 - St. Bonvaenture -2.5 over VCU (Sunday @ 1pm est)
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Oskeim Sports
Game: (653) LSU at (654) Alabama
Date/Time: Mar 14 2021 1:00 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 5%
Play: LSU +6.5 (-110)
My math model only favors Alabama by 3.44 points in this game and the Crimson Tide will be without the services of Joshua Primo, who suffered a left MCL sprain in Saturday's win over Tennessee. Primo is averaging 8.1 points and 3.4 rebounds in 22:32 minutes per game this season and his absence will strain an already-thin Alabama bench. Indeed, the Tide are 134th in the nation in bench minutes and will be playing their third game in three days.
LSU owns one of the nation's best perimeter defenses and takes excellent care of the ball. The Tigers also possess a potent attack that is ranked 8th nationally in points per game (82.2) and 56th in field goal percentage (46.60). Finally, LSU is ranked 52nd in the country in free throw percentage (74.87), which is important in what could be an extremely competitive affair. Grab the points with the Tigers and invest with confidence.
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Big Al
SLAPSHOT CLUB: NHL ELITE INFO WINNER
Dallas Stars
NCAA Basketball Selections for Sunday, Mar. 14
3* Alabama -6.5, 1 pm
3*Houston -13, 3:15 pm
NHL Selections for Sunday, Mar. 14
1*Stars -121, 5:05 pm
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Kenny White
OHIO ST. @ ILLINOIS | 03/14 | 3:30 PM EDT
ILLINOIS -6
ANALYSIS: These teams split their regular season meetings, winning on each other's home court. Illinois is third best in the conference in offense and second in defense in points per possession. Ohio State ranks second in offense but is just 10th on defense. The key to this game is that the Buckeyes are playing their fourth game in four days. They are also coming off a big win over their top rival, Michigan. I don't think they will have any legs left, and Illinois will run up and down the court at will.
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Al Demarco
Raise the Bar 20-Dime
Alabama
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Kirby Maxwell
40 DIME
College Hoops
Winner # 33 of 54
( - and 7 of 10 - )
SEC CHAMPIONSHIP LINE LOCK
Alabama
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Kyle Akins
L.A. CLIPPERS @ NEW ORLEANS | 03/14 | 9:00 PM EDT
L.A. CLIPPERS -6
ANALYSIS: Los Angeles was locked in coming out of the All-Star Break, and with a few days' rest against a team of interest, expect the same strong effort. New Orleans is coming off a monster 116-82 home victory over Cleveland, which shot a brutal 34.1 percent from the field. The Pelicans are 0-7 ATS following a win in which their opponent shot under 35 percent. New Orleans cleaned up as a result, posting a 51-33 advantage on the glass. The Pelicans are 0-7 ATS after they had more than 60 percent of the total rebounds in their previous game.
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Mitchell Newman
75 DIME
Winner # 23 of 31
(- and 18 of 23 -)
Atlantic Ten Championship Lock
Bonaventure
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Trace Adams
Colgate
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Chris Jordan
Top-Rated
1000♦
Atlantic 10 Tournament
Game of the Year
St. Bonaventure
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Accu Picks
NBA
3* #559 Utah -6.5
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Bob Valentino
Top-Rated
100 DIME
College Winner # 22 of 28
( - and 15 of 18 - )
Big Ten Championship Lock
Illinois
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Tommy Brunson
75 DIME
Winner # 10 of 13
SEC Dead Mortal Lock
Alabama
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Eric Schroeder
FIRST
100 Dime
- Max Wager -
College Basketball
Release of the Season
AAC Game of the Year
Cincinnati
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Worlds Worst Picker
Cincinnati
St Bonaventure
We play
Houston
Va. Comm
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Ralph Michaels
2% [CBB] (651) Va Commonwealth at (652) St. Bonaventure
Time: 1:00 PM EDT Total Under 128.0 (-110)
Analysis: 2% UNDER 128 VCU/St Bonny's
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Mar 14
3% [CBB] (653) LSU at (654) Alabama
Time: 1:00 PM EDT LSU +6.5 (-110)
Analysis: All-Access note: CBB play 2 of 2
3% LSU +6.5 Alabama
Bama won by 18 and 30 points this season and that's the situation I like for the dog n the Championship game. Tide shooting only 41.3% the L5 games and LSU with a better D shooting % in that span as well!
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
5% [NBA] (573) Los Angeles Clippers at (574) New Orleans Pelicans
Time: 9:05 PM EDT Total Over 232.0 (-110)
Analysis: #573/#574 5% OVER 232 LA Clippers/ New Orleans 8:05 PM
The Pelicans have been the top Over team by far going 21-3-3 O/U (87.5% to the Over) their last 27 games. Yes, the Pelicans did go Under their last game and they held Cleveland to 82 points but that came the game after and embarrassing no-show 30 point loss in which their head coach ripped them. "Those kinds of games are feel-good games for teams when everybody plays," Van Gundy said. "It's a fun night for a team when everyone gets in the game, gets to play, and gets to be a part of it." After he emptied the bench after 3Q. The Clippers are 11-4 O/U as a Fav and 14-6 O;U vs teams with a losing record. While the toal is high at 232 it should actually be higher.....but remember linesmakers do not need the put the line where it should be but instead they put it where they get equal action on both sides. In fact since 2016 NBA totals of 231 or higher are 57.4% to the Over. Pelicans are 7-1 O/U when the total is 230 or higher with the only non-cover by 1 point
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Ben Burns
PUCK-LINE ANNIHILATOR!
Arizona Puck Line (+1 1/2)
NCAAB
LSU +6.5
St. Bon -2 (GOM)
Ohio St. vs Illinois UNDER 150.5 (Blue Chip)
NBA
OKC +6.5 (Top Gun)
LA Clippers vs NO UNDER 236.5 (March BOB)
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Scott Spreitzer
Warriors +6.5 (3U)
Pelicans +5.5 (3U)
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IC
4 - New Orleans +6
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