Thursday 3/30/23 thread for free handicapping service plays and expert predictions for MLB, NCAAB, NBA & NHL games
SPARTAN
9-Arizona+155
__________________
Big Al
NIT UAB ML
__________________
R&R TOTALS
*TOP PLAY* NCAA-B: Take #665 UAB v #666 North Texas OVER (127½ -110) (9:30 PM EST) at Mirage
TOP CBB Over-Under
*TOP PLAY* MLB: Take #987 Phillies v #988 Rangers OVER (6½ -115) (4:05 PM EST) at William Hill
TOP MLB Over-Under
__________________
Las Vegas Cris
4% Detroit Tigers Under 70
3% Washington under 60.5
3% Toronto under 93
1% Astros Most season wins +550
2% Astros Most AL Wins +230
0.5% Ryan Pressly MLB SAVES LEADER
0.5% Esteury Ruiz +1000 MLB STOLEN BASE LEADER
1% Judge +600 MLB HOME RUN LEADER
1% Rodriguez over Soto HOMERUN H2H PROP
0.5% Tampa Bay to win the AL EAST (+375)
2% Phillies under 83.5
2% Seattle under 87.5 wins
2% CWS under 82.5
2% SD to win the NL West (+130)
1% Yoshida ROY MLB ROOKIE OF THE YEAR (AL) +600
__________________
Andrew McInnis
4% Atlanta Braves at Washington Nationals
Atlanta Braves Total Over 4.5 (-125) M Fried (LHP), P Corbin (LHP) Must Start
__________________
Dave Cokin
MLB
5* Milwaukee Brewers Under 85.5 Wins
__________________
BEN BURNS
Game: (965) Pittsburgh Pirates at (966) Cincinnati Reds
Date/Time: Mar 30 2023 4:10 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: DraftKings
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Cincinnati Reds -135 Listed Pitchers Must Start
__________________
under2goals
ROMANIA: LIGA 2 – CHAMPIONSHIP GROUP
Otelul – Steaua
Under 2.5
__________________
totalgoalsvip
GERMANY: JUNIOREN BUNDESLIGA PLAY OFFS
Walldorf U19 – Freiburg U19
Over 3.5
__________________
bet-my-ticket
Sakaryaspor – Eyupspor : Over 2 @ 1.50
Jaguares de Cordoba – Llaneros : Over 1.5 @ 1.45
Total Odds : 2.17
__________________
Tokyo Brandon
Game: (975) Detroit Tigers at (976) Tampa Bay Rays
Date/Time: Mar 30 2023 3:10 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 5%
Play: Total Under 6.5 (+102) E Rodriguez (LHP), S Mcclanahan (LHP) Must Start
Chip Chirimbes
MLB Opening Day Megabucks Winner
Texas Rangers ML
__________________
Ziti sports
MLB
MLB 03/30 1:05 PM
(986) New York Yankees -174
MLB 03/30 4:05 PM
(987) Philadelphia Phillies +124
MLB 03/30 4:10 PM
(977) Minnesota Twins -150
MLB 03/30 2:10 PM
(973) Baltimore Orioles vs. (974) Boston Red Sox +9 un -110
MLB 03/30 10:07 PM
(981) Los Angeles Angels vs. (982) Oakland Athletics +7 ov -112
NBA
NBA 03/30 7:30 PM
(549) Boston Celtics vs. (550) Milwaukee Bucks +236 ov -110
COLLEGE HOOPS
CBK 03/30 9:30 PM
(666) North Texas +2 (-110)
NHL
NHL 03/30 7:07 PM
(6) New Jersey Devils -132
NHL 03/30 10:37 PM
(22) San Jose Sharks +150
NHL 03/30 8:37 PM
(15) St. Louis Blues vs. (16) Chicago Blackhawks +6.5 un -120
__________________
Winners and whiners
David Delano
MLB OPENING DAY BEST BET (BREWERS VS CUBS)
(MLB) Milwaukee vs. Chi Cubs, 03/30/2023 2:20 PM
Money Line: 128.00, Chi Cubs (Home)
MLB OPENING DAY (WHITE SOX VS ASTROS)
(MLB) Chi White Sox vs. Houston, 03/30/2023 7:08 PM
Money Line: -150.00, Houston (Home)
Houston has won 10 straight Opening Day games
NBA NEW ORLEANS VS DENVER
(NBA) New Orleans vs. Denver, 03/30/2023 10:00 PM
Point Spread: 9.00 | -110.00, New Orleans (Away)
Bookmaker: sportsbetting
1.5% on Pelicans
Mason folz
MASON FOLZ'S THURSDAY NIGHT BEST BET
(NHL) Florida vs. Montreal, 03/30/2023 7:00 PM
Total: 6.50 | -120.00, Over
Bookmaker: TopBet
WASHINGTON CAPITALS VS. TAMPA BAY LIGHTING OVER 6
(NHL) Washington vs. Tampa Bay, 03/30/2023 7:00 PM
Total: 6.00 | -120.00, Over
Bookmaker: TopBet
NEW ORLEANS PELICANS +9
(NBA) New Orleans vs. Denver, 03/30/2023 10:00 PM
Point Spread: 9.00 | -110.00, New Orleans (Away)
Bookmaker: sportsbetting
Michael briggs
BOSTON VS. MILWAUKEE (OVER 236.5)
(NBA) Boston vs. Milwaukee, 03/30/2023 7:30 PM
Total: 236.50 | -110.00, Over
Pick included in subscriptions:
NEW ORLEANS VS. DENVER (UNDER 231.5)
(NBA) New Orleans vs. Denver, 03/30/2023 10:00 PM
Total: 231.50 | -110.00, Under
Neto roblas
NBA BEST BET BOSTON/MILWAUKEE UNDER 236.5
(NBA) Boston vs. Milwaukee, 03/30/2023 7:30 PM
Total: 236.50 | -110.00, Under
__________________
Guaranteedpickstoday
4000. Mets
3000 breeers
2000. Orioles
1000 Oakland +11/2
5000. Bucks
__________________
Offshore picks
TODAY'S PICKS (Thursday, March 30, 2023)
MLB) 4:10 PM EST - TORONTO BLUE JAYS VS. ST. LOUIS CARDINALS
PICK- BLUE JAYS -115 (-115) - RISK 1 UNITS
MLB) 7:05 PM EST - CHICAGO WHITE SOX VS. HOUSTON ASTROS
PICK- UNDER 7 (-110) - RISK 3 UNITS
NBA) 7:35 PM EST - BOSTON CELTICS VS. MILWAUKEE BUCKS
PICK- BUCKS -3.5 (-110) - RISK 4 UNITS
NBA) 10:05 PM EST - NEW ORLEANS PELICANS VS. DENVER NUGGETS
PICK- OVER THE TOTAL (-110) - RISK 2 UNITS
__________________
Ashley's army members
angels -1.5
angels / as over 7
ashley's champagne room
dbacks +1.5 | dbacks/dodgers under 7.5
__________________
GRIFFIN WARNER
MLB
10-seattle-110
Cbb
10-uab-2
Or 3 units each however u wanna do it
__________________
R&R TOTALS
*TOP PLAY* NBA: Take #549 Celtics v #550 Bucks UNDER (236½ -110) (7:30 PM EST) at Mirage
TOP NBA Over-Under
*TOP PLAY* NHL: Take #7 Blue Jackets v #8 Bruins OVER (6½ -116) (7:07 PM EST) at linepros
TOP NHL Over-Under
__________________
Drew Martin
5% [MLB] Kansas City Royals under 69.5 Season Wins
Time: 4:10 PM EDT Kansas City Royals under 69.5 Season Wins
Analysis: Right off the top we are looking to take advantage of the MLB "rules" changes for this upcoming season. In our opinion change is the best way to win in sports betting and using change in the landscape of 2023 should be profitable on the bases. Schedule change is at the top of the list and the Central division teams, particularly those that are not projected to have solid 2023 campaigns is what we are hammering.
The Royals have a dismal pitching staff for both the starting and relief sides of the equation and a low strikeout rate. The no shifting new rule will hurt Kansis City as well due to the lack of swing and miss arms. KC had 65 wins last season and this year projects worse by our numbers. Highly doubt this team gets to 70 wins on the season. bet under- Let's cash!
Betting Line Provider: MGM
Mar 30 Drew Martin 3% [MLB] Cincinnati Reds under 66 season wins
Time: 7:10 PM EDT Cincinnati Reds under 66 season wins
Analysis: Same theme as the KC under, we are looking to take advantage of the MLB "rules" changes for this upcoming season. In our opinion change is the best way to win in sports betting and using change in the landscape of 2023 should be profitable on the bases. Schedule change is at the top of the list and the central division teams, particularly those that are not projected to have solid 2023 campaigns is what we are hammering.
Cincinnati has a top heavy rotation of Greene, Lodolo and Ashcraft. After that it is a big drop-off and a bullpen that might compete for the worst in baseball by the end of summer. Great American Ball Park is one of the most hitter friendly park's in MLB and with likely a short leash with the young arms at the top of the rotation and a lack of depth after, possible recipe for disaster. The Reds offensively did not do enough over the offseason to improve from last year. Long season in the Queen City, flirt with 100 losses. Bet under- Let's cash!
Betting Line Provider: Caesars
Mar 30 Drew Martin 3% [MLB] San Diego Padres Over 93.5 Season Wins
Time: 10:10 PM EDT San Diego Padres Over 93.5 Season Wins
Analysis: Padres owner and private equity tycoon Peter Seidler did not hold back spending big dollars, signing Xander Boggerts to an 11 year $280 million dollar contract. Also, remember the Padres pulled off one of the biggest trades of the decade by acquiring Juan Soto last year, setting up the heart of the lineup: Tatis, Soto, Machado and Bogaerts. The most feared quartet of hitters in MLB for 2023. The South Korean, Ha-Seong Kim, who had over an .830 OPS for six straight years in the KBO, who enters his age 27 season (young for Asian League prospect) is projected to bat leadoff.
Last season the Friars finished a game short of 90 wins, at (89-73) and went on an impressive postseason run all the way to the National League Championship series. This year the season win total sits at 93.5 and the World Series futures market is priced in the (+1000) range.
Dominant pitching staff with the top three of the rotation, Darvish, Musgrove, Snell. Bullpen dynamics are always a tough spring training handicap, although Josh Hader in the closer role, following Suarez and Garcia makes for a sizzling 7, 8, 9 inning shut the door pen setup. To “bet on” the sexy offseason squad does come with a downside. Usually the public intrigue brings a tax in the betting markets, however the Padres have triple digit win possibilities in 2023. We recommend a wager on the over 93 wins for the Padres.
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Mar 30 Drew Martin 3% [MLB] (989) Toronto Blue Jays at (990) St. Louis Cardinals
Time: 4:10 PM EDT Toronto Blue Jays -108 A Manoah (RHP) Must Start
__________________
Action pro system mlb
Expert Picks for Thursday, March 30th
Atlanta Braves vs. Washington Nationals
I don’t see value on either side of the moneyline or the total, but I project slight value on the Braves‘ F5 (first five innings) team total. I modeled that number at 2.7 and would bet Over 2.5 at any plus-money price.
San Francisco Giants vs. New York Yankees
I projected the Yankees as -192 favorites (65.8% implied), and I would bet their moneyline up to -180 (64.3% implied) at a 1.5% edge compared to my number, about as low as I will entertain an edge for a straight moneyline wager.
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Chicago Cubs
I projected this total closer to 7, and the line is sitting at 7.5, juiced to -115 and most books, but at -110 at one (BetRivers). Technically, my edge for an Under bet would trigger at -109, but if the market moves to a consensus 7.5 (-110), I would consider betting a small Under.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Texas Rangers
start), I projected the Rangers‘ F5 moneyline at -166, and would bet them up to -155.
New York Mets vs. Miami Marlins
I projected the Marlins right around even money in both halves of Thursday’s matchup. As a result, I would look to bet the Fish at +107 on the F5 moneyline and +112 on the full game line.
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Reds
projected the F5 total in this matchup at 3.94, and I would bet F5 Under 4.5 to -127.
Moreover, the Pirates are the superior defensive and baserunning team; and I would bet Pittsburgh’s moneyline at +120 or better.
Toronto Blue Jays vs. St. Louis Cardinals
Still, both lineups are extremely deep on offense, too; and I like the F5 Over 3.5 at -125 or better in this matchup (projected 3.93).
Chicago White Sox vs. Houston Astros
Bet the White Sox F5 moneyline down to +110 and look to add their full game moneyline starting at +140.
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
The Diamondbacks are my favorite underdog bet for Thursday, at +150 or better (projected +138).
__________________
5 STAR BALLER
Atlanta Braves -1.5
__________________
Power Play Wins
Minnesota Twins -150
__________________
BEST SPORTS CAPPER
NHL Boston Bruins -1.5
__________________
Jack Jones
20* MLB No-Doubt Rout B-L-O-W-O-U-T
Atlanta Braves -1.5
__________________
Goodfella
2* UAB ML
__________________
Totals Guru
Pirates vs. Reds O 8
Angels vs A's O 6.5
Diamondbacks vs. Dodgers O 7
UAB vs. North Texas O 127
Panthers vs. Canadiens O 6.5
Blue Jackets vs. Bruins U 6.5
__________________
Tampa sports opening day winner
san fran +1.5 & m.line
__________________
XS Sports Picks
CBB:
5* North Texas +2 (940pm)
3* North Texas ML +115 (940pm)
NBA:
1* Denver Over 227 (10pm)
MLB:
1* Philadelphia +122 (4pm)
2* St Louis -103 (4pm)
3* Seattle -105 (10pm)
__________________