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Friday Service Picks and Consensus Reports

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(@mvbski)
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Rocketman NBA

5* Utah Jazz -6

Utah is scoring 105.9 points per game overall this year and 103.8 points per game on the road this season. Utah has lost 5 games in a row while Portland has won 5 games in a row but Vegas has installed the Jazz as a road favorite in this one. Seems like you would only be crazy to take Utah tonight. Count us as one of the crazy ones as the Jazz are better than the Blazers in my opinion. Utah is 106-78 ATS after 1 away game when the line is 4 to 5 1/2. We'll play Utah for 5 units tonight! Thanks and good luck, Rocky

4* Milwaukee Bucks +13

Milwaukee is 27-13 SU overall vs Boston since 1996. Milwaukee is 5-2 SU and ATS overall vs Boston last 3 years including 3-1 SU and ATS at Boston last 3 seasons. Milwaukee is 11-3 ATS last 14 meetings in this series. We'll play Milwaukee for 4 units tonight! Thanks and good luck, Rocky

3* Golden State Warriors -6.5

Golden State is 51-30 ATS last 3 years against good offensive teams scoring 99 points per game or more. LA Lakers are allowing 102.2 points per game overall this year and 105.3 points per game on the road this season. Golden State is 7-2 ATS last 9 against NBA Pacific. LA Lakers are 79-110 ATS on the road when the line is 4 to 5 1/2. We'll play Golden State for 3 units tonight! Thanks and good luck, Rocky

3* Dallas Mavericks -8

Dallas is 34-15 ATS vs division opponents last 3 years. Dallas is 179-130 ATS since 1996 after playing a non conference game. Dallas is scoring 102.2 points per game overall this year and 107.2 points per game at home this year. Dallas is 22-5 SU and 18-8 ATS overall vs New Orleans since 1996 including 12-1 SU and 9-4 ATS at home vs New Orleans since 1996. We'll play Dallas for 3 units tonight! Thanks and good luck, Rocky

 
Posted : December 14, 2007 3:31 pm
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WAYNE ROOT

Chairman - Cavs
Millionaire - Drake

 
Posted : December 14, 2007 4:19 pm
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Rocketman Sports 3* NHL play Friday

3* Buffalo

Washington is 2-7 last 3 years and 1-7 this year at home when the total is 5 1/2. Washington is 4-17 last 3 years after playing 3 consecutive home games. Washington is 2-10 this year when playing against a team with a losing record. Buffalo is 8-2 SU and ATS overall vs Washington last 3 years including 4-1 SU and ATS at Washington last 3 seasons. Buffalo is 7-1 last 8 against Eastern Conference opponents. Buffalo is 21-7 last 28 games against Southeast opponents. Buffalo is 12-2 last 14 meetings in this series. We'll play Buffalo for 3 units tonight! Thanks and good luck, Rocky

 
Posted : December 14, 2007 4:20 pm
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Joe Wiz

Portland +5 (his website)
Orlando -4.5 (usafreepics)

record 3-10 last 13

 
Posted : December 14, 2007 4:20 pm
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Big Al

NBA 3 game pack

Pacers
Mavs
Warriors

 
Posted : December 14, 2007 4:21 pm
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Wolkosky Milan

317-253-13 last one hundred eleven days
0-2 Yesterday

Today:

10* CHICAGO -9½
10* DALLAS -8
10* ATL/DET OVER 187

 
Posted : December 14, 2007 4:22 pm
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Marco D'Angelo | NBA Sides Triple-Dime Bet
UTA -5.5 vs POR

Analysis: OK tonight we have a quick Revenge situation in the NBA as UTAH travels Portland seeking revenge for losing at home Tuesday Night to Portland. When Utah played Portland on Tuesday it was a bad scheduling spot as Utah just returned home from Playing San Antonio and Dallas and was playing Phoenix at Phoenix the very next night. This was a classic sandwich situation as Utah played Portland sandwiched in between the 3 Best teams in the NBA. They weren't mentally prepared to play Portland. Tonight however Portland gets all of Utah's attention and this will result in an easy UTAH WIN. I expect UTAH to win this game by 10-13 Points. TAKE UTAH as MARCO'S 7* NBA HIGH ROLLER BLOWOUT and make them a TRIPLE DIME PLAY.

 
Posted : December 14, 2007 4:22 pm
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IndianCowboy

Sport: NBA Basketball
Game: Sacramento Kings @ Philadelphia 76ers - Friday December 14, 2007 7:00 pm
Detail: IC'S FRIDAY NIGHT NBA PLAY OF THE DAY!
Pick: 3 units (Play of the Day) TOTAL: Over 190 (-109)

The bottom line is that the Kings are coming off a terrible shooting performance in the 3rd and 4th quarters against the Celtics, a team that they scored 45 points in the first half against which shows a lot about the offensive prowess of this team despite the fact that they are without Bibby or Martin. This team put up 45 points in the first half against a Celtic team at Boston which many teams find it very difficult to do. Yet, this team was horrible in the second half and they will have that in my mind when they play against the Sixers today who are averaging more than a 100 points a ballgame in their last 5 games. The Sixers are in the midst of their longest winning streak of the season and that is in part to better shooting and that will likely continue today. The over is 7-1 when the Kings are small underdogs of less than 5 points and the last 4 games have gone over for the Sixers.

Sport: College Basketball
Game: Drake @ Iowa Hawkeyes - Friday December 14, 2007 8:05 pm
Pick: 3 units (Normal) ATS: Drake -2 (-110)

More Picks to come. Total of: Doing Research now. Will Update with Number of Picks soon. My research talks about this pick in good detail but the bottom line is I think there is great value in Drake today. This team is 8-1 for a reason and their sole loss comes to St. Mary's in a hard fought ballgame they lost on the road. They play a Iowa State team that is about 125 spots below St. Mary's in the power rankings as this Iowa team simply does not have a great offensive balance whatsoever. I have Drake 80 points higher than Wake who defeated Iowa on the road 56-47. I think Drake learned a lot from St. Mary's and will be very competitive today and I can see them winning this game by double-digits. Once again, Iowa is likely to keep this game close in the early goings, but I think Drake will simply be too strong as they have a far balanced offense as they have several threats as compared to Iowa who has to claw and scratch for every bucket they get.

Sport: NBA Basketball
Game: Milwaukee Bucks @ Boston Celtics - Friday December 14, 2007 7:30 pm
Pick: 3 units (Normal) TOTAL: Under 189.5 (-110)

The Celtics are still the #1 defense in the league holding opponents to around 88 points a game and this is no accident. Combine that with the fact that Bucks will look to play a bit better defense on the road today as they realize that they must if they have any chance of competing with this team because they likely cannot offensively. More importantly though, the unders in Boston have been a great wager as the under is 7-1-1 in Celtic home games, 6-1 when the Celtics are favored by 10 or more and the under is 4-1 when the Bucks are underdogs and do not perform as well when they are expected to lose the ballgame in relation to their point total. The celtics typically play the under when they are heavy favorites at home and today is no exception.

 
Posted : December 14, 2007 4:23 pm
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Brandon Lang
FRIDAY

5-DIME
Pacers
Timberwolves
Cavaliers

PACERS – T.J. Ford is expected to miss another game tonight, and that can't be good in facing against the Pacers, who will be in search of revenge from a Nov. 16 loss in the teams' first clash of the season. Ford played a pivotal role in that game, and without him, the Raptors will suffer terribly. On the other end of the court, Jamal Tinsley is trying desperately to keep the focus on him and the basketball court – not last Sunday's shooting in downtown Indianapolis. He looked strong Wednesday night in pouring in 18 points and dishing out eight assists in a 117-102 win over Chicago. Indiana has won eight of its last 10 home games against Toronto, while it's covered four of its last five overall. Also, in this series, the home team is 4-0 ATS the last four meetings, while the favorite has covered four of five.

TIMBERWOLVES - Seattle, just 3-9 on the road, will play its fourth road game in six nights and should be a tad lethargic for this game. I know the Sonics seem to be settling into a groove offensively, and have finally found some support for Kevin Durant, but this is a game they'll obviously come in overconfident for, and will struggle down the stretch. The Wolves are in triple revenge, and by isolating Durant tonight, double-teaming him and keeping him from taking high-percentage shots, we're going to see Seattle's cast become frustrated throughout the night. Lay the low chalk in this one, as the home team is the right play.

CAVALIERS - The Nets won the first matchup, 100-79, Dec. 4 in Cleveland, but let's not forget it was one of those games the Cavs were without LeBron James. And make no mistake, he's back and ready to negate the losing streak his team endured. Despite the loss 10 days ago, the Cavaliers have beaten New Jersey in four of the past six, while the Nets have lost four straight and are now 4-6 in their past 10. The Nets are also riding dismal runs of 4-9 SU and 2-11 ATS at home, so Cleveland's confidence should be high for this one. This is the first of back-to-back games for the Cavs, who play Philadelphia in Cleveland on Saturday, and this season the Cavaliers are 4-2 on the first night of back-to-backs this season – including a perfect 2-0 on the road.

 
Posted : December 14, 2007 5:10 pm
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ATS LOCK

6 units Cleveland -3
4 units New Orleans +9
4 units Orlando -4.5

ATS FINANCIAL
4 units Philly -4.5
3 units Detroit -9.5

 
Posted : December 14, 2007 5:11 pm
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SEBASTIAN

NCAA
10 Drake

NBA
10 Indiana
10 Orlando
20 Cleveland
20 Milwaukee Under

NHL
10 Atlanta

 
Posted : December 14, 2007 5:11 pm
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WILL SYKE'S IS NOW 21-11 ON FREE PLAYS

FOR TODAY: La Lakers VS Warriors

***1ST EVER 3 UNIT COMPLIMENTARY

MAJOR TRENDS
*Warriors are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games as a home favorite of 5.0-10.5
*Warriors are 22-8 ATS in their last 30 games as a favorite of 5.0-10.5.
*Warriors are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS loss.

COUNTER TRENDS
*Lakers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. NBA Pacific, BUT Warriors are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 vs. NBA Pacific.
*Lakers are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game, BUT Warriors are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.
*Lakers are 4-0 ATS at Golden State, BUT Warriors are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games as a home favorite of 5.0-10.5.

FINAL THOUGHTS: I circled this game as soon as the Warriors lost to the Lakers . Why you ask? Because the Warriors are very good when losing on the road and scoring more than 100 points, then playing them on a revenge game at home. Which was a money making 4-1 ATS last year, and already cashing in once this year with the Clippers. I'm excited for today's Maui Experts.com play because we find the the Warriors in the same spot, and in even a better situation against the Lakers where they're coming off back to back where the lakers are 2-2 ATS. While the Warriors are in a comfortable spot at 9-2 with 1 days rest. The Warriors are also coming back from a disappointing loss on the road against the Trailblazers losing by 10 points. In all honesty this was going to be my first NBA GOY this season if the Lakers covered their spread last night, but they came up short due to random shots by the Spurs in the last seconds having the Lakers lose the cover by 1/2 point. Don't get me wrong this play is still strong as is, but we could of gotten a better line if the Lakers would have covered that spread. Don't get psyched on how well the Lakers played last night, they're in a horrible situation today which puts the Warriors in a beautiful revenge spot. The public is slighly favoring the Lakers but that's what Vegas wants you to think, so they can psyche you out, they'll do that more by giving them more points tonight, so lets catch them early before the line starts moving. Don't get psyched by the points tonight, stick with Sykes and you won't be psyched.

Warriors -6

 
Posted : December 14, 2007 5:14 pm
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Matty O'Shea | NBA Sides
triple-dime bet PHI -4.5 vs SAC

Analysis: The 76ers are riding a season-high 4-game winning streak while the Kings own the NBA's worst road record at 0-9. There has been a new attitude in Philadelphia since GM Billy King was fired on December 4th and replaced with Ed Stefanski. The turnaround started almost immediately, as the Sixers played Boston tough in a 113-103 loss before winning 4 straight by an average of nearly 14 points per game. Now they host a broken Sacramento team that is struggling to find an identity without leading scorer Kevin Martin, who is suffering from a hamstring injury. The Kings are averaging just 89.5 points in 4 games without Martin and should struggle again here against the 5th-best defensive team in the league. I simply expect another inspired effort by the home team in this spot, so I'm playing the 76ers as my Triple Dime Biggest NBA Bet O' the Week.

 
Posted : December 14, 2007 5:15 pm
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C & P Experts 12/14/07

Cbb: Drake -2

Nba: Portland +6

(4-1-1 Nba)

(12-5-1 Run)

 
Posted : December 14, 2007 5:36 pm
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Drew Gordon goes 2-0 yesterday
Friday Picks:

1. 200,000* Grizzlies
2. 50,000* Cavaliers
3. 50,000* Drake

1. Grizzlies- Got to love the Griz in this spot, as the Clippers come in limping, with 3 of their guards (Ross questionable, Cassell & Livingston out) and their best player overall (Brand) out tonight. You just don't gut a team of its best playmaker, best distributor, backcourt depth, and expect to go on the road and compete, even against Memphis.

The Grizzlies may only have 6 SU wins on the season, but their 6-4 ATS in Memphis, and play much better basketball there. True, they've lost 5 straight, but 3 of those 5 were on the road, and a fourth was against a surging Pistons team... So let's not get too carried away. Memphis finds itself in the perfect position to break out of their slump, facing an equally struggling Clippers squad.

Match up-wise, the injuries have decimated this Clippers ability to run an effective offense. They're averaging 94 ppg on 43% shooting, and you can't convince me that Brevin Knight or Dan Dickau are the answer to their problems. Both of those players are defensive liabilties, and the Grizzlies backcourt will be sure to take advantage.
In the frontcourt, although Gasol is questionable, all reports are that he will give it a go tonight, between him and Rudy Gay, the Grizzlies should have little trouble reaching their 109 ppg average at home. Clippers will not be able to keep pace with this Grizzlies offense, even if Memphis defense is suspect... They're just not that good on the road, period.

Finally, expect Memphis to take advantage of a short-handed Clippers squad that will be busy looking ahead to their match up with the rival Lakers Sunday. Keeping focus at 6-15 Memphis will be next to impossible, and in the end, it'll show in the boxscore, as the Grizzlies run the Clippers right off their court tonight.

Take the Grizzlies BIG over the LA Clippers as your top-rated play of the day.

2. Cavaliers- The return of King James means the Cavs can get back to their winning ways, after losing 6 straight in his absence. They got a nice win against the Pacers Wednesday to snap the skid, and I expect they'll build off that effort with another strong showing tonight against the struggling Nets.

Speaking of struggling, things are amiss in New Jersey, as the news Jason Kidd wanted to play alongside Lebron, not against him, effectively ruined this team chemistry. Although the injury to Krstic is important, the Nets still have no excuse for their recent play, losers of 5 of their last 6, including getting beaten badly by a short-handed Clippers squad in their last one.

The Cavaliers on the other hand, can easily trace their success to James' success, and the fact he's should be back in the starting lineup tonight will give a huge moral boost to his struggling team made up of role players. The Cavs couldn't break 93 points in the 6 games prior to James return, but as soon as he was back, they dropped 118 on Indiana... Get the picture?!

Bottom line, the Cavaliers get back to their winning ways behind their superstar in this one. James will be itching for a big performance tonight, while the Nets continue their tail-spin as Kidd continues to wish he was a Cavalier.

Take the Cavaliers over the Nets in this NBA match up.

3. Drake- While there's no question the Bulldogs are taking a big step up in competition tonight at Iowa, they're more than equipped to deal with a Hawkeyes squad thats clearly rebuilding this season under first year head coach Lickliter.
Drake got their first win in 27 meetings against Iowa last season, beating them 75-59 in a signal of things to come. While Iowa will be more competitive on their home floor, it still doesn't make up for the Hawkeyes biggest flaw: lack of offense, plain and simple.

Hawkeyes are averaging 56 ppg on 41% shooting over their last 5 games, and its no wonder they went 2-3 SU & 1-4 ATS over that span! That includes some match ups against some real forgiving defenses, yet Iowa simply could not get their offense rolling, and I expect they'll have similar troubles against a good, but not great Drake defense tonight.

Speaking of Drake, one thing they can do is score points, averaging 81 ppg on 43% shooting over their last 5 games - all wins. In fact, they've won 7 straight games, and are playing solid basketball on both ends of the floor. They've also got several strong match ups to exploit tonight, but none bigger than in the frontcourt, where Cox (11 ppg 8 rebounds/game) and Heemskerk (.761 field goal %) should dominate Iowa's Cole and Looby.

Bottom line, while this will be a challenge for the Bulldogs on the road, they're are more than up for this version of the Hawkeyes. Iowa is clearly struggling under coach Lickliter's system, and until they get the kinks worked out, they will remain vulnerable to high-octane teams like Drake.

Take Drake over Iowa in this college hoops match up.

 
Posted : December 14, 2007 6:14 pm
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