Young Guns
5* GOM Suns-2
3* Hawks
3* Memphis/Wash OVER
Indian cowboy
Raptors (POD) -9.5
Promos (automatic on POD selections): Winning 4 of 5 days, winning 17 of 24 days (71%), winning 18 of 25 days (72%) and 7-3 this week. 6 of 7 POD Winners and 21 of 28 POD Winners of late (75%) and 17-7 POD (71%) in January. Still 60% in Basketball 2007 after 166 plays:
There is good reason for this line to be this high as although the Raps come off a great win on the road against Boston and this could be a let down against Boston, I think otherwise as this team had the wood laid on them at Milwaukee back on November 6th. What people don't understand is that the NBA is like a network of puzzles, each selection and each pick stems off something that happened in the past. In essence, it is like a soap opera that feeds off each other and allows for motivation and easier wagers to hit down the road. For example what happens today, affects and sets up a wager for a month from now. This was similar to me taking the Hornets who had lost back to back games in the Rose Garden and were looking to avoid losing 3 in a row to the Blazers at home and they pulled out the double-digit win in the end. Similar to that, the Raptors got beat 112-85 and certainly that did not sit well with this team who is a very proud team and coached very well by Sam Mitchell - a coach whom I have personally during my mascot days here in Georgia. The bottom line is this, this is a good spot for the Raptors given the revenge angle and this team has the potential to blow out teams at home given by their 116-91 beating of Sacramento at home. Sure, the Bucks can squeak in for the cover here, but I'll take the Raps at the "Air" Arena tonight as the last time they got beat by the Bucks, they went on the road to beat them by 15 and now are at home with a single-digit spread - the Bucks are 0-5 ATS following a straight up win by 10 or more points showing their inconsistency and the Raptors are 10-1 ATS as home favorites of 5-10.5 points.
Knicks/Sixers Over 194.5
You might not want to keep up with this game simply because it is likely to give you heart burn with these 2 teams. However, there are a lot of positive trends that support the over here and I like the spot that both teams are in. First off, the Sixers come off a very disappointing loss at home to the Pistons at home by 8, a game they frankly should have covered but failed to do so. They put up less than 80 points in that game. The last few games my spreadsheet shows that the put up less than 85 points, they come back the following game with a differential of +10 putting up somewhere around 95 points. And, this does make sense considering against the Knicks both times they have put up 105 and 101 points this year. In fact, the last time these 2 teams played, the Knicks dropped just 77 points on the road at Philly and lost by 26 points and you can bet that this Knicks team will be fired up today. However, I don't trust the Knicks although I do expect them to win and cover here. The Knicks put up 93 against Boston at home who is a strong defensive team and dropped 111 at New Jersey and 105 against Washington at home. I have this game at 204 to 205 today and that 10 point differential is worth it for me to take the over here. I have this game at 104-100 Knicks. The over is 4-0 for the Knicks following a double-digit home loss and the over is 5-2 for the Sixers as a road dog of late.
Twolves +13
Sure, the Celtics can blow this team out, but I will "Gonad" up and take the Twolves today. There is a lot going on in this game including the fact that the Celtics do come off a loss and fired up. However, keep in mind what the Twolves have going for them here. They went on the road to Golden State and won outright - a team that they had played very close previously in several contests. They came back home and did not have a let down against the Suns who they beat as well - a game that I was on the over because I wanted to avoid the let down because I did predict they would be an active underdog which they were. Now, they go on the road to Boston, a team that is not in a good mood. However, what comprises the Twolf team? They are comprised of ex-Boston Celtics players. Remember, the likes of Gomes, Jefferson and others were once Celtics players that were traded for the Big Ticket. Now, these players come back home to prove the talent that they got rid of. Heck, Al Jefferson put up 39 points in his last contest against the Suns. I will take a shot here with the young Timberwolves here who have a lot of guys with a lot to prove and that incentive and motivation is enough for me to take a shot on them today. Professional sports are all about motivation, on any given night, anything can happen. The Twolves are 5-0 ATS against the Eastern Conference and 8-3 ATS when facing a team with a 60% home winning percentage meaning they get up for the better teams and the Celtics are 0-4 ATS as 11 points or greater home faves.
CALIFORNIA SPORTS
3*Denver Nuggets
3* Phoenix Suns
Dream Team
100* Niagara
25* Memphis and Nets
15* Rockets
L. Ness
20* Western Con GOM - Utah Jazz
Insider - Washington Wizards
Gold Medal Club
CBB
100* ST.Peters
NBA
100* Mavs
50* Sonics
Rocketman
5* TWolves
3* Kings
Seabass Inside Info
100* Hou +2