Donald Tran
Matchup: Davidson at Winthrop
Prediction: Davidson -3.5
Chad Jordan
Match up: Houston at New Orleans
Prediction: Houston Rockets +4
Jennifer Barry
Matchup: Cal Santa Barbara at Utah State
Prediction: Utah State Aggies -5
Dunkel Index
Game 527-528: Pennsylvania at Dartmouth
Dunkel Ratings: Pennsylvania 42.586; Dartmouth 45.966
Dunkel Line: Dartmouth by 3 1/2
Vegas Line: Pennsylvania by 1
Dunkel Pick: Dartmouth (+1)
Game 529-530: Princeton at Harvard
Dunkel Ratings: Princeton 44.472; Harvard 46.603
Dunkel Line: Harvard by 2
Vegas Line: Harvard by 4 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Princeton (+4 1/2)
Game 531-532: Brown at Columbia
Dunkel Ratings: Brown 53.608; Columbia 54.264
Dunkel Line: Columbia by 1
Vegas Line: Pick
Dunkel Pick: Columbia
Game 533-534: Yale at Cornell
Dunkel Ratings: Yale 47.672; Cornell 58.072
Dunkel Line: Cornell by 10 1/2
Vegas Line: Cornell by 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cornell (-8 1/2)
Game 535-536: Davidson at Winthrop
Dunkel Ratings: Davidson 64.537; Winthrop 62.856
Dunkel Line: Davidson by 1 1/2
Vegas Line: Davidson by 3 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Winthrop (+3 1/2)
Game 537-538: UC-Santa Barbara at Utah State
Dunkel Ratings: UC-Santa Barbara 55.660; Utah State 61.196
Dunkel Line: Utah State by 5 1/2
Vegas Line: Utah State by 5
Dunkel Pick: Utah State (-5)
NBA
Game 501-502: Sacramento at Charlotte
Dunkel Ratings: Sacramento 119.030; Charlotte 111.570
Dunkel Line & Total: Sacramento by 7 1/2; 195 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Sacramento by 1; 204 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Sacramento (-1); Under
Game 503-504: New Jersey at Indiana
Dunkel Ratings: New Jersey 114.765; Indiana 115.786
Dunkel Line & Total: Indiana by 1; 200 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Indiana by 5; 199 1/2
Dunkel Pick: New Jersey (+5); Over
Game 505-506: Philadelphia at Orlando
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia 119.264; Orlando 123.797
Dunkel Line & Total: Orlando by 4 1/2; 202 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Orlando by 7; 203 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (+7); Under
Game 507-508: Washington at Cleveland
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 113.837; Cleveland 120.994
Dunkel Line & Total: Cleveland by 7; 204 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
Game 509-510: Toronto at New York
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto 124.479; New York 116.420
Dunkel Line & Total: Toronto by 8; 195
Vegas Line & Total: Toronto by 5 1/2; 198 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (-5 1/2); Under
Game 511-512: Denver at Chicago
Dunkel Ratings: Denver 119.571; Chicago 119.077
Dunkel Line & Total: Even; 197
Vegas Line & Total: Denver by 2 1/2; 208 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago (+2 1/2); Under
Game 513-514: Houston at New Orleans
Dunkel Ratings: Houston 122.334; New Orleans 127.072
Dunkel Line & Total: New Orleans by 5; 190
Vegas Line & Total: New Orleans by 4; 186 1/2
Dunkel Pick: New Orleans (-4); Over
Game 515-516: Milwaukee at Detroit
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee 110.060; Detroit 127.835
Dunkel Line & Total: Detroit by 18; 182
Vegas Line & Total: Detroit by 12; 187 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-12); Under
Game 517-518: Dallas at Memphis
Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 117.514; Memphis 115.349
Dunkel Line & Total: Dallas by 2; 194 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
Game 519-520: Utah at LA Clippers
Dunkel Ratings: Utah 125.581; LA Clippers 118.548
Dunkel Line & Total: Utah by 7; 196
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
Game 521-522: Portland at Seattle
Dunkel Ratings: Portland 113.194; Seattle 115.756
Dunkel Line & Total: Seattle by 2 1/2; 191
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
Game 523-524: Boston at Phoenix
Dunkel Ratings: Boston 121.213; Phoenix 125.344
Dunkel Line & Total: Phoenix by 4; 225
Vegas Line & Total: Phoenix by 1; 218
Dunkel Pick: Phoenix (-1); Over
Game 525-526: Atlanta at Golden State
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta 111.739; Golden State 124.889
Dunkel Line & Total: Golden State by 13; 234
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
Priceless Picks
1 Unit on Utah State -4.5
Utah State is yet to lose at home this season, sitting at 14-0 on its home floor. This trend easily continues tonight against UC Santa Barbara. Utah State has won 5 of the last 6 home matchups and 11 of the last 15 overall meetings in this series. Santa Barbara is only 3-11 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%) over the last 3 seasons, 4-12 ATS after having won 4 of their last 5 games over the last 2 seasons, and 1-7 ATS after allowing 60 points or less this season. Utah State has the big edge at home.
Locksmith Sports
1 Unit on Harvard -4
Home court means everything for Harvard in this matchup as the Princeton Tigers are 0-12 on the road this season. Princeton won at its place in the first meeting this season and you will see the Crimson return the favor tonight as we so often do in these Ivy League contests. Princeton is losing by an average of 12.3ppg on the road this season. The Tigers are 1-10 ATS on Friday nights over the last 2 seasons, 2-13 ATS after having lost 5 or 6 of their last 7 games over the last 2 seasons, and 3-12 ATS off a loss against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons. Princeton is 0-6 ATS versus poor teams which are outscored by their opponents by 4+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons and 1-11 ATS versus poor defensive teams with a shooting pct. defense of >=45% after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons. Take Harvard at home.
Arthur Ralph
Utah State
ROCKDEMANSPORTS
NHL
AVALANCHE -OVER 5.5
ROCKETMAN SPORTS
3* Indiana -4 1/2
John Ryan
Davidson vs. Winthrop
Play: Winthrop Play
Winthrop should be favored Ai Simulator 3* graded play on Winthrop – AiS shows a 74% probability that Winthrop will lose this game by 3 or fewer points. AiS also shows a 90% probability that Winthrop will get 14 or more turnovers in this game. Note that Winthrop is 6-0 ATS when they force 14 to 18 turnovers in a game over the last 3 seasons. Winthrop is actually playing their first lined game of the year and this in and of itself offers up a strong opportunity as the public does not see the potential of this team. The following money line system reflects Winthrop’s potential to win this game SU and has produced a 118-56 68% record and made 66 units in profits since 2002. Play on a home team versus the money line after scoring 80 points or more and is now facing an opponent after scoring 40 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games. Take Winthrop.
InfoPlays
3* on Toronto Raptors -5.5
The Raptors and Knicks are headed in opposite directions and it’s not about to change tonight. The Knicks just got blown out of the water by the 76ers of all teams by 40 points. Toronto doesn’t mess around with the worst teams in this league and they rarely have letdowns. The Raptors are 30-15 ATS when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) over the last 3 seasons. The Knicks have not done well on little rest over the last few seasons. New York is 4-17 ATS in home games when playing their 3rd game in 4 days over the last 2 seasons. New York is 1-13 ATS after a game committing 23 or more turnovers over the last 3 seasons. Toronto will capitalize on these mistakes tonight. Bet Toronto on the road.
Marco D'Angelo
Bucks/Pistons UNDER 187.5
Matty O'Shea
Denver Nuggets -2.5
Ben Burns
Blazers/Sonics UNDER 189
JWhip
Winthrop +3
JB
Wizards +3
RINKPLAY SPORTS
2* Colorado Avalanche & Phoenix Coyotes Over
Black Widow Sports
1* on Sacramento Kings -1
Sacramento will run away with this one tonight. The Charlotte Bobcats are reeling, losing 8 out of their last 9 games overall. The Kings have won both games after the All-Star break with a great road win at Portland and a dominant home win over Atlanta, both by double-digits. Charlotte scored just 65 points in a 20-point loss to the San Antonio Spurs their last time out. Charlotte is 1-10 ATS when playing 6 or less games in 14 days this season. The Kings own a 14-point win over Charlotte in their only meeting of the season. You can expect another double-digit blood bath here when the Kings get done with the Bobcats. Take Sacramento and lay the points.
IRON HORSE
10* Orlando Magic
Ryan NHL
5* Calagry Flames
Dave Malinsky comp 4* play
GAME: Boston Celtics @ Phoenix Suns
PICK: under
Offered at: 217.5
REASON FOR PICK: 4* BOSTON/PHOENIX Under
We cashed an easy 4* ticket with the Lakers against Phoenix Wednesday night in the first game of the “SunShaq” era, and now can step in again while the betting markets struggle to adjust the categories. This time it is the Total that is in the wrong place. That explosive offensive showcase on Wednesday (both teams shot over 50 percent) helps to set us up with a very high line for a game that will be played mostly in the half-court, and also feature some actual defense.
After playing the best defense in the NBA through the All Star break, the Celtics got caught up in a pair of track meets at Denver and Golden State this week, and paid the price accordingly. That wounded the ego of a team that brings a lot of pride to the defensive end of the court, and we are reading the kind of comments that mean a lot in that regard. First, from Kevin Garnett - ”If you look at how we've won games, we've stopped the easy buckets, we've stopped all the nonsense on the backdoor cuts. There was none of that [the past two games]. Now, we're in situations where teams are not only getting a lot of fast-break points but a lot of free throws. We have to continue to be aggressive and minimize those things."
From Ray Allen - "Out West they are going to score points, they are going to get the ball up and down the floor. We knew it in both games. We have to recognize it and we have to get back. Right now, these two games are a slap in the face.”
From Paul Pierce - “We know we can score, but that kind of game really doesn’t play to our strength, because we’re a defensive team. We can run, but we prefer to keep the score down some and play in the lower 100s. We just have to clean some things up defensively and do a better job of keeping teams out of the fast break.”
And from Doc Rivers - “That’s not the way we want to play. We are a better defensive team than we’ve played, but I was talking about that before the break, too. I thought our offense bailed us out (in) four or five games before the break, and we kind of fell into that fool’s gold that your offense is going to win. We’re never going to win a title, a conference or anything else just being an offensive team. We’re just not doing our jobs, and it’s a lot of little things. We’re better than that.”
Tonight anticipate the Celtics to put a premium on managing tempo and transition defense, especially after Rivers gave them yesterday off from practice to study film and focus on technique, which guarantees fresh legs. And what makes this one particularly interesting is that a lot of the defensive matchups are favorable. For Boston Kendrick Perkins has the muscle to not be pushed around by Shaq; Kevin Garnett has the experience and savvy to slow Amare Stoudemire down a bit; and Rajon Rondo has the tenacity to make Steve Nash work extra hard to create openings. Meanwhile for the Suns there is the confidence of knowing that O’Neal is taking up a lot of room in the paint, while Grant Hill can match up to Paul Pierce (quicker players have bothered Hill this season but Pierce does not play that way at this stage), and Raja Bell is not a bad match against Ray Allen. We are not talking about lock-downs here, but rather some individual matchups that can keep this from getting anywhere near the track meet that is being called for.
WINNING POINTS
***BEST BET
Houston over *New Orleans by 6
HOUSTON 98-92.
***BEST BET
*Detroit over Milwaukee by 21
DETROIT 104-83.
***BEST BET
*Golden State over Atlanta by 20
GOLDEN STATE 121-101.
Black Magic Sports
1 Unit on Indiana Pacers -5
Indiana has been struggling, but they won’t fall to the New Jersey Nets who are now playing without Jason Kidd. Kidd’s replacement, Devin Harris, is sidelined for two weeks due to injury so New Jersey doesn’t have a true point guard playing tonight. New Jersey is 3-13 ATS versus good 3 point shooting teams - making more than 36% of their attempts this season. New Jersey is 0-10 ATS after playing a game as a home underdog this season. The Nets have never covered the spread in this spot this season. Cash in with Indiana as the favorite.