Thanks for posting plays bigdaveyt 😉
Rob "Gator" Gainous
BOS -7.5
LPW Sports Forecast
Purdue -5.0
Vernon Croy
Wisconsin -13.5
BusterPicks - Free Pick
Lakers -2
Ted Sevransky
TITLE: Friday Night Arena Parlay
REASON FOR PICK: Utah is the ultimate ‘Over’ team in the AFL this year, just like they were last year when they finished in the Top 5 in scoring and bottom five in points allowed. The Blaze defense has been horrible this year, giving up 66 and 63 points in their first two games, while allowing 18 touchdowns on 23 meaningful drives against them. But Utah’s offense looks just as potent as it did a year ago. Blaze quarterback Joe Germaine ranks among the league leaders in passing yards, completion percentage and touchdowns. Aaron Boone, Huey Whittaker and JJ McKelvey have helped the Blaze manage despite the loss of top notch receiver Siaha Burley in the offseason. Even the new kicker, Steve Azar, was perfect last week, nailing all seven of his extra point attempts.
Orlando, too, has all the makings of a serious ‘Over’ machine in 2008. Through two games, the Predators defense has allowed 16 touchdowns on 19 meaningful drives. They have zero interceptions, zero passes defenced and only one sack, suffering from terrible play both in the secondary and on the line of scrimmage. But the Orlando offense is clicking right now. QB Shane Stafford leads the league in passing yardage and completions. And the Predators are in desperation mode in their first home game following an 0-2 start. In fact, playoff teams from last year are 0-2 and can be expected to pull out all the stops with their offensive gameplan here. Expect a wild shootout between two teams in ‘must win’ situations, neither of whom can rely on their defense to get stops.
Take the Over. Current Line 117.5. Worth playing up to 121.
Bonus Side Opinion: Orlando is in no position to be laying a touchdown to anybody in the league right now. Head coach Jay Gruden seems to be on the verge of losing his team, making numerous bonehead clock management decisions and costing his team the game last week with an ill-advised two point conversion try at the end of regulation when an extra point would have sent the game into overtime. Utah is not going to stop scoring here, leaving the backdoor wide open late, if necessary. Bonus Side Opinion Take Utah. Current Line +5,worth playing down to +3.
Vegas Experts
Clippers opened a four-game East Coast swing Wednesday night with a 22-pt. loss in Orlando. They come here, play Washington Saturday night and finish in Minnesota Monday. The road has not been kind to the Clipps who are 8-20 S/U and 12-16 ATS away from Staples Center. At the end of a long, injury-plagued season don't expect them to put up much resistance in this one. Atlanta takes a big class drop after playing at Orlando Monday and hosting Houston Wednesday. It got two wins last year versus the Clipps, beating them here 86-74 and in L.A. 96-93. Good Luck - Robert Ross
Play on: Atlanta
No problem. I get a lot from this forum, just trying to give a little back.
Winners Edge
NBA
LA LAkers - 2 , 3 units ( Game of week )
Utah Jazz +7.5 , 2 units
CBB
Virginia Tech -1 , 2 units
Arkansas PK , 2 units
St Joes + 6 , 2 units
Brad Diamond Sports
Fan Appreciation NBA Game of the Week
Play on: 10* Houston (512)over Charlotte
How can you avoid the red hot Rockets who are on a consistent swing through the NBA regular season, while playing more effective offensive basketball without Yao in the lineup. Although the Rockets have won 5 straight in the series, they struggled in their last bout with the Bobbies, so I doubt you’ll see a letdown by Houston. The Rockets are a solid 11-1 ATS playing with only a day of rest and 13-3 ATS as a home chalk. Tough double digit number to beat, but Charlotte is a major liability defensively.
Top College Tourney Selection
BRAD DIAMOND SPORTS
Play on: 20* Ohio State (531) plus Michigan State @ 2:30 PM EST
Tough call in Big-10, but can’t help but go against “Sparty” in an obvious win situation. Realize this is a major revenge game for the Spartans off their 63-54 loss last week to Ohio State, but the underdog has covered 5 of 6 in this series. Plus, Michigan State is a horrid 6-14-1 ATS in conference. Ohio State has covered 4 of the last 5 in this series and will play with great emotion throughout. Take the points!
GOLD SHEET LATE TELEPHONE SERVICES
BASKETBALL LTS RELEASES FOR EARLY GAMES ON FRIDAY, MARCH 14
OHIO STATE +4½ over Michigan State
TENNESSEE -12 over South Carolina
Gamblers Data!
Toronto Raptors +9.5
Mr. A's
Utah at Boston, 7:30 PM Boston Celtics - 7
LA Lakers at New Orleans, 8:00 PM Los Angeles Lakers - 1½
Charlotte at Houston, 8:30 PM Houston Rockets - 11
Johnny Guild
Tennessee Volunteers - 12
Purdue Boilermakers - 5
The Green KIngs
Michigan St. -4
Georgetown -3
MONEYLOCK OF THE DAY
Diggers Pick: Michigan +13.5 Underdog game of the day
Juniors Pick: Indiana -5, Indian and Tennesse 4pt teaser
Hawkers Pick: Tennesse -12, Michigan/Wisconsin Over 119
PPP/ Gavazzi
5*Wisconsin
5*Tennessee
4*Texas
4*Oklahoma
3*Michigan St
3*Virginia Tech
3*Vandy
Dr Bob
Wisconsin (-13) over Michigan, 2-Stars at -14 or less.
Texas (-7 ½) over Oklahoma State, OPINION - 2-Star Best Bet at -7 or less only.
BEN BURNS
COLLEGE BASKETBALL
UNDER Florida State / UNC
Game: Florida State vs. North Carolina
Prediction: under Reason: I'm playing on Florida State and UNC to finish UNDER the number. We know that the Tar Heels are going to put up points. However, this is an awfully big number and I feel that the value lies with the UNDER. The Tar Heels were held to "only" 76 points last time out, in a game that fell well below the number. They've seen the UNDER go 2-1 in neutral court games this season and this afternoon they'll take on a Seminoles' squad which allowed a mere 60 points to Wake Forest yesterday. That game stayed below the UNDER which brought the UNDER to 4-2 their past six games. These teams finished 'over' the total at North Carolina 10 days ago. However, the UNDER remains a profitable 7-3 the last 10 times that the Seminoles were underdogs of greater than eight points. Its also worth noting that the earlier meeting this season stayed below the total, as did both meetings in 2007. Including yesterday's result, the Seminoles have now seen the UNDER go 6-2 their last eight neutral court games and 14-7 their last 21 neutral court games, which had a posted over/under line. Additionally, they've seen the UNDER go 15-6 the last 21 times that they faced an opponent which had defeated them on the road in the preivous meeting. This will mark the third time Seminoles have played two games in two days this season. The previous two times both resulted in low-scoring games (69-66 loss and 68-67 loss) which stayed below the number. Look for this afternoon's final combined score to be lower-scoring than expected once again. *Annihilator
INDIANA
Game: Minnesota vs. Indiana
Prediction: Indiana Reason: I'm laying the points with INDIANA. I'd like the Hoosiers in this matchup even if this was on a neutral court. Actually, technically tonight's game will be played on a neutral court. However, that neutral court just happens to be Conseco Fieldhouse, home of the Pacers and some 50 miles away from the Indiana campus. Obviously, there will be a heavy pro Indiana crowd. The Hoosiers have fallen out of favor with the betting public somewhat since the Kelvin Sampson 'situation' and due to the fact that they closed out the season by losing two of three games. Make no mistake though, this is an extremely tough team, one which is fully capable of winning this tournament. Indeed, Indiana led the Big Ten in scoring (76.1), free throw percentage (76.8), rebounding (37.9) and defensive rebounding (26.4) during the regular season. The Hoosiers boast a pair of all-conference first-team selections in Big Ten player of the year D.J. White and freshman of the year Eric Gordon. Those two combine for nearly 40 points per game while Armon Bassett and Jordan Crawford give them another pair of double-digit scorers. The Hoosiers don't lack confidence either. As Bassett had to say: "We think we can win the Big Ten (tournament) championship, still. Through all the ups and down we have been through we still think we should be one of the favorites to be playing on Sunday and win that thing." Its been a fairly impressive season for the Gophers as they've done well in the first year under Tubby Smith. That being said, they had to rally to beat lowly Northwestern yesterday and now face a rested, motivated and powerful Indiana team in a hostile environment. Its also worth noting that the Gophers could be without 6-foot-9 senior Spencer Tollackson after he suffered an ankle injury in the first half of yesterday's game. Even if he plays, Tollackson, who has been dealing with various nagging injuries for some time, can't be expected to be at 100%. That spells trouble as the Gophers could use all the big bodies they can get against the likes of White and co. Including the unlikely uspet loss at Penn State to close out the season, the Hoosiers have lost four times since January 31. They responded to each of the previous three losses by recording a double-digit victory in their next game. That includes an 80-61 victory over Michigan State (after losing to Wisconsin) and a 69-55 win over these same Gophers, after losing at Michigan State. Look for the Hooisers to "bounce back" once again, recording a convincing victory and advancing to an even big showdown in the next round. *Big 10 Tourny GOY
DOC'S
4 Unit Play.Take Over 131 in Oklahoma State vs. Texas
The Horns still have a lot to play for in this tournament, as a successful showing here could allow them to go to the Little Rock and Houston in the tournament. The Cowboys scored 76 points on Thursday and will allow Texas to reach 80 points on Friday, giving a clear edge to the over.
Erin Rynning
Illinois +4.5 playmaker
SD St +6.5
Big Al
Our 3 selections include Kent State, Cal Santa Barbara and Temple.
At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the UCSB Gauchos, as Cal Santa Barbara falls into two of my best systems which are 18-0 and 65-31 ATS since 1990, and also some other angles, which are 77-34, 55-21, and 38-21 ATS. Let's take a look at our 38-21 system. That angle plays on #1 seeds, off back-to-back wins, which got a bye into their conference's semi-final round, provided they're matched up against a foe off an upset win. UCSB came on strong at the end of the year to finish in the Big West Conference's top spot. The Gauchos won six straight conference games, and nine of their last ten to finish at 12-4 and earn the all-important bye into the Big West Semi-Finals. With Irvine in off an upset win over Pacific, we'll take the red-hot and rested Gauchos. Big West Conference Game of the Year on Cal Santa Barbara.
At 8:50 pm, our selection is on the Temple Owls minus the points over Charlotte, as Temple falls into the same 65-31 angle as does UCSB, as well as 173-97, 10-1, and 23-5 systems. Let's take a look at our 10-1, 91% angle. That goes against .500 or better foes off 3 straight upset wins, if they're matched up against a .775 (or worse) opponent in the Conference Tourney. With Charlotte in off 3 upset wins over UMass, and Rhode Island (twice), we'll fade the 49ers here, and lay the points. Take Temple.
At 9:20 pm, our selection is on the Kent Golden Flashes minus the points over Miami Ohio, as Kent falls into the same 65-31 ATS system of mine that also has UCSB and Temple. The details of that system will remain for my eyes only, but we also have other technical support on Kent. First, the Golden Flashes are terrific in the post-season, with a 21-7 ATS record since 1996, including a perfect 7-0 ATS record when installed as the #1 seed! And Kent State is also a superb 23-6 ATS vs. Miami-Ohio when not laying more than 8 points. Look for Kent to cover its seventh straight vs. Miami-Ohio tonight. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. And don't miss my other two 3-game packages.
Our 3 selections include Michigan State, Duke, and Memphis.
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Duke Blue Devils minus the points over Georgia Tech, as Duke falls into the same 71-30 ATS system as does Michigan State, as well as 23-5, 132-81, 33-9, and 63-29 ATS systems of mine. Let's take a look at our 33-9 ATS angle. Here, what we want to do is play on any Top 4-seeded team off a loss as a favorite in its last regular season game, if it's matched up against a double-revenging underdog priced from +4 to +11 points, and our underdog foe did not get blown out by 13 or more points in its last game. With the Yellow Jackets coming in off a win over Virginia, and Duke in off an upset loss to North Carolina, Mike Krzyzewski's men fall squarely into our 33-9 System. Take the Blue Devils in a blowout tonight.
At 2:30 pm, our selection is on the Michigan State Spartans minus the points over Ohio State, as MSU falls into 32-13 and 71-30 ATS Conference Tourney systems of mine. Also, Michigan State is a terrific 21-8 ATS since 1998 in post-season play when matched up against a foe off an ATS win. Take Tom Izzo's men to blow out Ohio State.
At 4:30 pm, our selection is on the Memphis Tigers minus the points over Southern Miss, as Memphis falls into 173-97, 30-5, and 127-68 ATS systems. Our 127-68 system, in particular, goes against double-revenging teams off back to back Straight-up wins. Memphis has won 9 in a row in this series, and will have the added benefit of playing in front of it home fans. And it's worth noting that the home team is 19-10-1 ATS since 1991 in this series, including 11-2 ATS since January 2002. Take the Tigers. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. And don't miss my other packages on this Friday, including my Big West Game of the Year.
Our 3 selections are Stanford, Georgetown, and Marquette.
At 7 pm, our selection is on Georgetown over WVU, as the Hoyas fall into 31-11, 65-31, 127-68, 124-42, and 170-96 ATS systems of mine. Also, John Thompson III's men are terrific when playing away from home. They're a solid 39-24 ATS including 25-14 ATS on road or neutral courts vs. Big East rivals. In contrast, West Virginia is poor vs. conference foes when playing outside of Morgantown, going 73-99 ATS. BIG EAST GAME OF THE YEAR ON THE HOYAS.
At 9:20 pm, our selection is on the Marquette Golden Eagles minus the points over Pittsburgh. Marquette falls into the 65-31 system of mine that applies to Georgetown, and also the 127-68 angle that applies to Stanford. Although I have great respect for the Pitt program, and its coach, Jamie Dixon, the fact remains that Marquette has been its nemesis over the years. The Golden Eagles have covered six of seven vs. the Panthers, including an 18-point blowout win in mid-February earlier this season. Finally, Marquette is a solid 28-10 ATS at home or on neutral courts vs. .700 (or better) foes off a straight-up win, if Marquette is also off a win. And, if Marquette is priced as a favorite, then our 28-10 stat zooms to 18-3 ATS. Take the Golden Eagles.
At 11:30 pm, our selection is on the Stanford Cardinal over Washington State, as Stanford falls into the same 127-68 ATS system of mine as does Georgetown, and this angle plays against certain revenging teams in the conference tourney which are off back to back wins. Stanford has won 23 of its last 26 meetings with Washington State, including both this season, and has covered five of the last six. Take the Cardinal tonight.
WINNINGPOINTS
FRIDAY
***BEST BET
*Miami over Orlando by 7
Dominating their division, the Magic are on cruise control awaiting the post-season. That means this is a dangerous spot, being Orlando’s only road contest during an eight-game span. The Magic have been hobbled at point guard. The Heat have the offense to take advantage with Dwayne Wade and Shawn Marion getting adjusted to one another. The Heat will take this game more serious because of the coaching rivalry between Pat Riley and his former assistant, Orlando coach Stan Van Gundy. There’s no love lost there. MIAMI 110-103
***BEST BET
*Chicago over Philadelphia by 15 The Bulls aren’t lacking for firepower with Ben Gordon, Luol Deng, Larry Hughes and Kirk Hinrich. It took a big trade and a coaching switch, but Chicago finally is primed to make a move. Dealing Ben Wallace was a morale boost. The 76ers have played seven of their last 10 on the road. They are off a physical matchup against the Pistons and have the Spurs on deck Saturday. CHICAGO 111-96
ERYN RYNNING
Los Angeles at New Orleans
Recommendation: Hornets
The Lakers hit the ‘Big Easy’ Friday night where they’ll battle the Hornets. Well, payback can be harsh, and you can expect the Hornets have this game circled in blood from the last time they met. That was January 9 when the Lakers walked into New Orleans and thoroughly embarrassed the Hornets, 109-80, again on the Hornets’ home court. The Hornets were in a tricky spot in that game after returning from a West Coast trip, and off two huge wins upsetting the Phoenix Suns and Golden State Warriors as an underdog. Actually, that game served as a wake up call for the Hornets as they went on to not only win but also cover an amazing nine games in a row. However, I’ve noticed they’ve mentioned that Lakers beating quite often since early January. With MVP candidate and point guard Chris Paul leading the way, they can matchup well with the Lakers. Yes, the Lakers continue to play high-end basketball, but the value should be there to try and fade them in this spot. Note, head coach Phil Jackson has talked about using some different combinations to ready themselves for the playoffs, which could discount their sharpness down the stretch of the season. Look for the Hornets to play with tremendous energy and get the convincing win, while they’ve also excelled on their newly found home court edge over the last two months. Take the Hornets.