David Chan
Utah Jazz +8
OVER 139.5 AL/MISS ST
Alex Smart
Purdue -4.5
LAS VEGAS TECH REPORT (LVTR)
LA LAKERS vs NEW ORLEANS OVER 208 (NBA)
PHILADELPHIA +3 (NBA)
UTAH vs ORLANDO OVER 117.5 ( ARENA FOOTBALL)
CHICAGO vs GRAND RAPIDS OVER 111 ( ARENA FOOTBALL)
Gator's NBA/CBB 70% Report
NBA
Thursday: Play Against NBA road teams in a game involving two teams with a winning percentage of 60% to 75%, in March games 36-9 ATS the last 5 seasons (80%) PLAY: Detroit -3
CBB:
Friday: Play Under CBB Neutral court teams where the total is 129.5 or less after one or more consecutive overs, in a game involving 2 teams outscoring their opponents by 8+ PPG in the 2nd half of the season 34-8 Under since 1997 (81.0%) PLAY: Wash St./Stanford UNDER 115
Arthur Ralph
Over Lakers/New Orleans
JB
Jazz
MTI
The Pacers are 0-15 ATS (-8.9 ppg) after a win at home in which Troy Murphy was not the Pacers' high scorer and the Mavericks are 8-0 ATS (12.9 ppg) when seeking revenge for a road loss in which Dirk Nowitzki had a double-double. Consider taking the Mavs.
BeatYourBookie.
NCAA Basketball
100* Oklahoma State (+7.5) over Texas
(12:30 P.M. EST)
Texas is 1-8 ATS when playing 2nd game in 8 days
Texas is 0-3 ATS over the last 3 games
Oklahoma State is 6-1 ATS over the last 7 games
50* Play Miami (pick) over Virginia Tech
(2:20 P.M. EST)
Miami is 10-2 ATS when playing on a Friday this season
Miami is 15-7 ATS in all games this season
Virginia Tech is 2-10 ATS when the line is between +3 to -3
Bonus NCAA Games
10* Play West Virginia (+2.5) over Georgetown
NBA Basketball
50* Play Houston (-12.5) over Charlotte
(8:30 P.M. EST)
Charlotte is 4-13 ATS vs. Southwest Division opponents
Charlotte is 4-13 ATS coming off a loss by 10 points or more
Charlotte is 9-18 ATS as a road underdog this season
Dave Malinsky 4* play
GAME: Utah Jazz @ Boston Celtics Mar 14, 2008 7:30PM
PICK: under
REASON FOR PICK: 4* UTAH/BOSTON Under
They have the wrong range here, but it is nothing new – the Celtics are still not being appreciated for their defensive work, despite the fact that we are this deep into the season. Absolutely no team in the NBA has been better on that end of the court, and in the current 10-0 run, the longest win streak for the franchise in 22 years, things are being taken to an even higher level. They have allowed just 38.0 percent shooting in that span, and Kevin Garnett acknowledges the key to the run - “Defensively, I think we are very fundamentally sound right now. We are connected and talking more than ever.”
Now that defense has both the proper preparation time and ample rest to be at their best tonight, having only had easy wins over the 76ers and Sonics over the last five days. And it also means playing it “their way” on offense, which means settling into a half-court flow. With Garnett, Paul Pierce and Ray Allen on hand, why not? They are comfortable taking the clock deep before shooting, knowing that the strategy also helps them to balance the floor and get back on defense. That particularly matters tonight, given the way that Deron Williams can create plays in the open court.
Note that these two shot 50.3 percent in their first meeting, including 15-33 from 3-point range, and could only reach a 202 in a Celtic win at Salt Lake City. That speaks volumes about how far out of line this one has been set. In a playoff atmosphere we do not expect the shooting to be anywhere near the first go-round, and that gives us plenty of room to work with.
Jeffersonsports
NCAA HOOPS
TULSA over 139.5
NBA
SAN ANTONIO UNDER 175.5
ER Sports
Play: Minnesota Timberwolves
Simply, two bad teams battle in Seattle tonight with the Timberwolves playing the Sonics. The Sonics face a rough spot, while returning home from a long and winding seven-game road trip. With little to zero home court edge nowadays in Seattle, this closely sets up as another road game for the Sonics. The Sonics were clearly out of gas, while short on depth to begin with as they allowed an average of almost 115 points in their last five games. Meanwhile, the Timberwolves are still trying, winning two of their last three games. They recently lost point guard Sebastian Telfair, and I like the move to Randy Foye able garner more minutes. They’ll be playing with revenge, while losing to the Sonics as a seven-point favorite on March 2. Finally, the Timberwolves should be able to dominate inside against an undersized front line for the Sonics. Al Jefferson and Craig Smith should be able to have their way on the inside, which is key to winning this game. The Sonics are out of gas, as the T’Wolves get the win.
DUKE
Best Bet* Tulsa (-2) for 3 Units
Tulsa/UTEP 7:00: Tulsa controls a 5-0 ATS run in this series and we'll stay on the Golden Hurricane here. Tulsa is continuing to get big production out of Jerome Jordan while Uzoh, Earls and Walls are stepping up big in supporting roles. Moreover, we like the way Tulsa's defense is improving (allowing 63.6 ppg last 5 games), which is vital in tourney play. On the other hand, UTEP has allowed 75 ppg in conference play; moreover, they've allowed 80.4 ppg over their last 5 games. And after UTEP scores 80+, they've had trouble (2-7 ATS). We'll jump on Tulsa here.
Purdue (-4) for 2 Units
Illinois/Purdue 6:30: Purdue HC Painter has the Boilermakers rolling in his second season and we'll look for Purdue to keep it rolling here. Purdue's defense, which is allowing a stingy 60.8 ppg, should suffocate an Illinois offense that has trouble working consistently well in a half-court set. The Boilermakers swept the season series and we don't see the Illini exacting revenge vs a still hungry Purdue squad that wants to shake their long drought of Big Ten Conference Tourney failure.
Kent State (-3') for 2 Units
Miami OH/Kent State 9:30: Kent State squashed the Redhawks twice during the regular season and should do more damage at what's now known as Quicken Loans Arena in Cleveland, where they have historically done very well. The Flashes are deeper and more prolific offensively than the Redhawks. And with Miami OH playing their 3rd game in as many days, they should gas out under interim HC Henderson, who doesn't have the tourney expertise Coles (heart condition leave) does, which is vital down the stretch in these tight games.
Nevada (+5) for 2 Units
Nevada/New Mexico State 10:15: New Mexico State may have the talent advantage but should come up on the short end in this tourney. Nevada covered both meetings this year and sport a 6-1 SU mark in this series; moreover, the Wolfpack sport a 6-1 ATS mark as a road dog of 3' to 6 points under HC Fox. New MX State controls a sluggish 2-3 ATS mark revenging a road loss; furthermore, NMS clanks free throws at 63.5% compared to Nevada's 72%. We'll take the points here.
Colorado (+9) for 2 Units
Colorado/Oklahoma 3:00: Back on February 9th in Colorado, the Buffaloes worked the Sooners 72-58 in what Sooners' HC Capel described as "the most embarrassing thing I've been a part of". The Buffaloes haven't forgotten that and will use it as motivation here after their double OT win over an overconfident Baylor team yesterday. The Buffaloes are 12-5 ATS in conference play and not an easy out. Colorado has a fine back-court in Roby and Hall, and now interior players: Jackson-Wilson and King-Stockton are finally showing awareness in Bzdelik's system by assisting on cutters and playing better defense. Oklahoma, on the other hand, is a mere 7-16 ATS in Big 12 action, 1-7 ATS in tournament action, and 0-2 ATS in this spread range on a neutral floor. As we mentioned yesterday, Big 12 Conference Tourney favorites' of 6 or more have been money burners (now 6-25 ATS) since 2002. We'll grab the points here.
EZ WINNERS NCAA EVENING GAMES
5 STAR: (563) PITTSBURGH (+2.5) over Marquette
(Risking $550 to win $500)
3 STAR: (562) WEST VIRGINIA (+3) over Georgetown
(Risking $330 to win $300)
3 STAR: (583) WASHINGTON STATE (+1.5) over Stanford
(Risking $330 to win $300)
2 STAR: (556) UTEP (+2) over Tulsa
(Risking $220 to win $200)
2 STAR: BOISE STATE (+3) over Utah State
(Risking $220 to win $200)
1 STAR: (535) GEORGIA TECH (+11) over Duke
(Risking $110 to win $100)
1 STAR: (537) CAL IRVINE (+3) Cal Santa Barbara
(Risking $110 to win $100)
1 STAR: (559) NC CHARLOTTE (+2.5) over Temple
(Risking $110 to win $100)
1 STAR: (535) MINNESOTA (+6) over Indiana
(Risking $110 to win $100)
1 STAR: (567) MIAMI-OHIO (+3.5) Kent State
(Risking $110 to win $100)
NBA
1 STAR: (520) SEATTLE (+2) over Minnesota
(Risking $110 to win $100)
Fairway Jay
New Orleans +1.5
CBB Big Drive: CS Northridge +3.5
CBB BYU -6
Winning Points Online NCAAB.
**PREFERRED
Alabama over Mississippi State by 4
Mississippi State doesn't get many turnovers and will make their share. Alabama always plays pretty good defense without fouling. Mississippi State's coaching staff wins no awards. They were probably expecting Florida, not the team they beat twice in the regular season, with a head coach Gottfried who has a major hate on MSU head coach Stansbury and staff. The Mississippi State point guard Jamont Gordon will vapor-lock as the pressure mounts. He can't elevate as well as other guards who try to penetrate. Alabama knows that as well as anyone else. Nobody needs to leave their feet to defend against him. His ability to score on the drive ain't that good. Defend the 3, make some, and win the game, probably a lower-scoring game than the posted Total of 141 would seem to suggest. ALABAMA, 69-65.
AJ Apollo
3* South Carolina +12.5 vs. Tennessee
3* West Virginia +3 vs. Georgetown
3* Minnesota +5.5 vs. Indiana
3* Miami Ohio +3.5 vs Kent State
3* Washington State ML +115 vs. Stanford