Wunderdog
Dallas at Houston
Pick: Houston -3
The Houston Rockets have a score to settle with the Dallas Mavericks. The Mavs handed the Rockets a 10-point loss earlier in the season in Houston. The loss was the largest of the season the Rockets have suffered at home. Their other five losses total just 14 points, so it shows you just how good they have been at home. The Mavs have lost some games by huge amounts on the road against good teams. They lost by 28 each to Utah, and Phoenix, and 24 to Boston, so they certainly show the ability to be part of a blowout against a motivated team, which the Rockets will be tonight. Houston gets the call here.
Dave Price
1 Unit on Atlanta Hawks +5
The Hawks are catching too many tonight. The Blazers are just 3-3 in their last 6 games and just 1-5 ATS. The Blazers won by just 4 points as an 11.5-point favorite against a lowly Memphis team last time out and it will struggle to win this game against a very athletic Hawks team. Right off the bat, one has to like the points here since Portland is just 3-14 ATS as a home favorite of 3.5 to 6 points over the last 3 seasons and 10-24 ATS as a home favorite of 6 points or less over the last 3 seasons period. The Hawks have been strong in the underdog role at 16-7 ATS as an underdog this season. Each of the last 3 meetings have been decided by 2 points or less and I'm expecting another close one here so I'll gladly take the points.
Vegas Experts
Orlando Magic at Charlotte Bobcats
We aren't going to fall for this trap. It might be a short number for the division leading road favorite, but the Bobcats are on a major roll right now having covered five straight. That includes an ATS win in an OT SU loss to Orlando Tuesday night. That cover extended Charlotte's ATS record within division play to 10-1 this season. The Magic are off a terrible loss to New Orleans and we find them at 2-12 ATS since 1996 off a loss by 30 or more. Take the points.
Play on: Charlotte
Dwayne Bryant
Yale +5.5 vs Cornell
Big revenge game for Yale after getting blown out 64-36 at Cornell three weeks ago. That loss to Cornell started a pattern of alternating wins and losses by Yale. Coming off a tough home loss to Penn, I expect the Bulldogs to bounce back tonight.If we just look at both teams' season results, Cornell is clearly the better team. I prefer to look at each team's performances on the road and at home. When we look at Cornell's road outings and Yale's home games, it paints a different picture.Cornell is just 3-6 SU on the road, while Yale is 5-2 SU at home. Yale actually holds edges in points scored, points allowed, FG %, and FG% allowed.They also hold the edge in one critical area -- rebound margin. On the road this season, Cornell owns a rebound margin of -2.1 rebounds per game. At home this season, Yale owns a tremendous rebound margin of +8.9 rebounds per game.Cornell is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a home winning percentage of greater than .600. On the flip side, Yale is a PERFECT 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games as a home underdog AND 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU loss.From a series perspective, the home team is 8-1 ATS in the last 9 meetings and Cornell is 1-5 ATS in the last 6 meetings at Yale.
Add it all up and I'll take the points with what I feel is a live home dog tonight. Take Yale +5.5.
MTI Sports
Denver Nuggets at Chicago Bulls
Prediction: Chicago Bulls
The Nuggets are 0-10 ATS (-10.2 ppg) since November 21, 2007 with at most one day of rest when they have won and covered their last three games.Consider the Bulls.
Jeff Alexander
1 Unit on Oklahoma City +9
The Suns have crushed the Clippers each of the past two games as they turn back to their run and gun style, but that was the Clippers. The Thunder have clearly turned a corner behind the confident Kevin Durant and are no longer a pushover. Just within the last couple weeks, the Thunder have played the Nuggets to a 1-point game, beaten the Blazers, played the Lakers to a 7-point game, and the Hornets to a 2-point game. All of those teams have better records than Phoenix so we won't take the bait here. The Underdog is an unbeaten 5-0-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings and the Thunder are 20-6 ATS in their last 26 games as an underdog. We'll take the points tonight.
Michael Cannon
Orlando at CHARLOTTE +2
The UCLA Bruins just squeeze by the number and we take home another free winner last night!
Take the Bobcats plus the small number tonight over the Magic.
I know the public is probably going to be all over Orlando tonight after the monster game Dwight Howard had his last time out against the Bobcats.
But I don’t see that happening again simply because Charlotte’s Emeka Okafor will have better success against Howard tonight.
Okafor was in foul trouble in the last meeting, but I like him to learn from that and stay in the game tonight.
Larry Brown is also going to have a better gameplan tonight, so I’m not real worried about this small number.
The Bobcats continue to learn under Brown and it’s these types of lines that you have to be careful of. At first glance you would think this is a gift for Orlando, but the Magic are coming off a blowout loss at New Orleans and you have to wonder about their consistency right now.
Take the Bobcats as the small home dog as they get it done over the Magic.
2♦ CHARLOTTE
Drew Gordon
Denver -2' at CHICAGO
Interesting spot here for the Nuggets, who have not only been playing well, but also get to visit a much different looking Bulls team tonight. Chicago was a big player before the deadline, and while their moves are a positive step forward, these first couple games will be marred by plenty of confusion. Its going to take time for Brad Miller and company to get accustomed to the new system and their new teammates. Note, according to local reports, IF any of the new Bulls play tonight, it'll only be Miller and Salmons, so the Bulls will be short-handed.
Speaking of the Nuggets recent play, they've won 10 of their last 12 games SU, going 8-4 ATS over that span! More important to this particular match up, they've won 5 of their L6 road games (4-2 ATS), and are playing much better basketball on the road now that Billups has been fully integrated into their system. Sorry Bulls-backers, but new looking roster and the confusion that will ensue only makes it that much easier for the surging Nuggets tonight. Also of note, the Nuggets are an impressive 9-2 ATS in their last 11 meetings with the Bulls!
Critics of this play will argue that Chicago has been a cash-cow for their backers of late, going 8-1-1 ATS. However, 8 of those 10 games were on the road, going 1-1 SUATS at home over that span, including a SU loss to a very average Heat team, and a win over a struggling Pistons squad. I'm not exactly convinced by the Bulls recent play, which is a BIG reason they made so many moves before the trade deadline.
Bottom line, expect some disarray on the Bulls tonight, as they brought in a lot of new faces, and it going to take some time before they get competitive again. Nuggets on the other hand, are rolling and should continue to roll in this match up, as Billups and company shred a very beatable and short-handed Bulls defense tonight.
Take Denver over Chicago in this NBA match up.
3♦ DENVER
Matt Rivers
For Friday take the points with the Hornets.
Going against the Lakers lately has been equal to Suicide as Kobe and the fellas have been phenomenal and very well may be the best team in the NBA right now. But with that said who is going to guard Chris Paul tonight?
I just like this matchup with the visiting Hornets, whether Tyson Chandler is back or not. Sure Kobe, Gasol and the home squad are awesome and have the upside to pound anybody anywhere right now but to get an absolute superstar and a total mismatch with Paul against slower guys like Derek Fisher and others is a huge advantage for us and one that cannot be passed up.
The Hornets have been sketchy at times this season but they just whacked around Dwight Howard and the Magic and are a team that has had a ton of success out West and even with what has appeared to be underachieving at times New Orleans is still a very very good 32-30 on the season. Plus they have been decimated by injuries this season to David West, Chandler and Paul and still are 12 games above. 500.
At some point Phil Jackson's team has to slow down a bit without Andrew Bynum plugging up the middle and to get a price back like this with Paul is worth a small play for sure.
Jake Timlin
So far so good for the Suns under new their new head coach as Phoenix is back to their old ways thanks with Coach Gentry calling the shots. Well given that Phoenix is at home and going up against yet another weak team I look for the Suns to roll to yet another blowout thanks to their explosive offense. After all even though the Thunder have fared well in this series over the years due to the Suns ability to score just like they did against the Clippers by posting 140 points in two games I just don’t see Oklahoma City matching points tonight. Not when the Thunder allowing 106 ppg on the road as they have been outscored by an average of 9 ppg in their road games. Flat out, while the Thunder will get their points it won’t be enough to stay within 10 points of the Suns who must might go for 150 tonight. So with that lay the points in the desert as Phoenix rolls to a blowout win.
PICK: Phoenix Suns
Larry Ness
Illinois St. +3 vs Niagara
Tim Jankovich and his Redbirds were left out of last year's "Big Dance" despite 24 regular season wins and a RPI of 33. Illinois St can surely not count on an at-large bid this year either, as the team's RPI at the beginning of the week was 60. While Illinois St could get an at-large bid out of the MVC (nothing new with that), Niagara of the MAAC knows its only chance to 'go dancing' come mid-March is by winning its conference tourney. So how does that dynamic play here? Probably not all that much, although Illinois St must feel a loss here eliminates ANY chance of an at-large bid. The Redbirds have terrific perimeter game, as returning players Eldridge (14.0-6.1) and Holloway (10.1-4.0-2.9) have been joined by 6-5 Oregon transfer Oguchi (14.7-5.7) and JUCO point guard Phillips (11.6-2.4-3.5). Phillips has missed the last few games due to personal reasons and I'm not exactly sure what his status is but ISU is 3-0 SU and ATS in the games he's missed, as Shipley (an Austin Peay transfer) has played 29 minutes in a big road win at Drake (eight points) and 25 minutes in a home win over Wichita St (15 points), the last two. A pair of 6-8 players, Odiakosa (9.2-7.30 and Sampay (7.1-5.1), have made the loss of last year's best inside player, Anthony Slack (9.5-7.1), not hurt so bad. Niagara is 21-7 overall, including 12-4 in MAAC (tied for 2nd). The Purple Aces are 8-2 SU at home, losing to Akron back in December and in mid-January to a 12-15 Iona team. Niagara returned from a three-game road trip off a disappointing loss at Rider, in which the Broncs shot 54.8 percent, including 13-of-21 on threes. Last year's do-everything player, the 6-4 Charron Fisher (27.6 PPG and 9.5 RPG), is gone but Niagara does have the 6-10 Egemonye (12.6-7.), who may bother Odiakosa and Sampay inside. Niagara's strength though, is its perimeter people, led by returning players Lewis (16.4-4.7) and PG Nelson (7.6-4.6-5.3) plus two Big East transfers. Benn ('Nova) is averaging 13.8-8.9-3.0 and Garrison (U Conn) is averaging 10.2 PPG. However, I don't believe this group has much (if any) of an advantage over Illinois State's perimeter people. With at least a slim hope of an at-large bid still "on the table," I expect Illinois St to be very focused in this one and I want the points.
Andre Gomes
CHL +2.5 vs ORL
This is a big revenge game for the Bobcats and I expect them to work fine in this game. I know that Orlando is a very tough road opponent but even the tops teams have their bad moments (just look for the Celtics after the Christmas) and Orlando is struggling right now.
In the last game they were spanked by the Hornets 85-117 and they are 1-4 ATS L5 games. Actually I made a play on the Hornets by saying the following about the Magic: ?The Magic are struggling right now from the perimeter, in the last 3 games they shoot 6-20, 9-31 and 9-24 behind the arc. We are talking about 30%, 29% and 37 % from a team who need badly to make a huge number of treys to be competitive.? Well, the Magic made 13 for 33 behind the arc in that game with Lewis shooting 1-7 and Turkoglu 2-5 so I think we can say that the slump continues.
The Bobcats didn?t take advantage from this slump because unexplainable they allowed Dwight Howard to score 45 points for a 16-23 from the field performance. What the hell Larry Brown was thinking in not double teamed Howard in that game?! Surely this won?t happen tonight and the Magic will have a lot of problems to score once again.
The Bobcats meanwhile bounced back nicely against the Pacers at home and they can beat top teams at home right now because they are full healthy. Against the Pacers 6 players scored double digits points and they have multiple offensive weapons. Rafer Alston will not play tonight and the Magic have been constantly outplayed in the backcourt lately. Chris Paul made 36 points, 10 assists and 6 rebounds vs Magic and even Felton and D.J Augustin combined 33 points, 8 assists and 10 rebounds against them. Don?t forget that the Bobcats are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as a home underdog and I expect them to be ultra competitive tonight. Take the Bobcats in here.
just info -not recomending anything
accuscore (over 10,000 simulations) claims to be 11-2 last 13 dartmouth o/u
dart-57.9 penn-70.6 w/penn win83% straight up
claim 7-3 on yale o/u
corn-69.9 yale-63 w/corn w71%su
claim 9-3 spread winner in columbia games
col-59.1 brown-63.5 w/br w64%su
claim 15-8-2 last 7 days when away team is a 4-7.5 fav.
refer to yale o/u cornell is-4.5
harv-56.1 prince-63.7 w/prince w74%su
ill st-71.8 niag72.1 w/ill st w50.3%su
va comm-69.5 nev-67.8 w/vac w54.8%su they also have vac covering at 58.7%
Thanks tjboo640 nothing wrong with all the info you can get on a game your gonna bet.
Lots of people call these comp plays garbage but anytime you can get info you didn't have before makes you a bit closer to picking more winners on a consistent basis I think.
Thanks tjboo640 nothing wrong with all the info you can get on a game your gonna bet.
Lots of people call these comp plays garbage but anytime you can get info you didn't have before makes you a bit closer to picking more winners on a consistent basis I think.
I really love the comp plays,i don't thin they are garbage..You have to follow a system to be succesfull,i am on your thinking..