accuscore (over 10,000 sims per game)-these post are average score after sims
claim 15-8 accuracy on spread winner last 23 orlando road
orl-95.5 char-90 w/orl w64.5%su line orl-2
claim 62-37 sread winner when total is over 210
tor-107.2 nyk-109.2 w/nyk w60%su o/u 214
ind-106.7 minn-106.2 w/ind w50.6%su o/u 213
ok-110.5 pho-120 w/pho w76%su o/u234
their winners edge spotlight has
no-98.2 lal-103.8 w/lal w70%su-they have no covering 59.7% line no+8.5
on the college post for accuscore vac game is also winners edge spotlight
no claim
den-104.1 chi-99.9 w/den w60%su line den-2.5
accuscore sim is without amare st.
Black Widow Sports
1* on Columbia +3.5
Columbia is the better team in this match-up with Brown, and with home-court not really being much of an advantage in the Ivy League we’ll side with the underdog to get the cover Friday. Columbia is 10-12 on the season and they’ve gone 8-4 ATS in all lined games. On the road they have been very solid against the spread, going 5-2 ATS in 7 lined road games. Their opponent tonight, Brown, is just 7-15 on the season and 4-10 ATS in all lined games. At home they have been even worse, going just 1-4 ATS in five lined home contests. The difference between these teams has really showed up in conference play. Columbia is 5-3 in Ivy League contests. Brown is just 1-7 in conference play. There’s no way in hell this team should be favored tonight. Columbia is 16-1 ATS (+14.9 Units) in road games after allowing 60 points or less 2 straight games since 1997. Columbia has won 5 of their last 6 games overall, holding their last two opponents to under 60 points. We’ll take this trend and ride with it as we back the much better team from the Ivy League Friday. Take Columbia and the points.
John Ryan
Va Commonwealth vs. Nevada
Play: Va Commonwealth 1.5
Ai Simulator 3* graded play on VA Commonwealth as they travel face Nevada slated to start at 9:00 EST. VAC is the bubble team ranking 67th in RPI and a win here would certainly help their bid for an invitation. VAC is already winning the CAA Conference and has a 1 game lead over George Mason and Northeastern. So with the Conference Championship well in hand it still would not hurt them to win out and also be eligible for an at-large berth as well. I truly do not see Nevada having any chance to get a berth despite that they are 2nd in WAC Conference play. They are so far behind the talent and execution of the conference leader Utah State that an upset is highly unlikely. They host Utah State on the 23rd, but even a win would not be enough at this point in the season. Supporting this graded play is a system that has gone 124-71 ATS for 64% since 2003. Play against a home team in non-conference games and off a win against a conference rival. Nevada is just 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons; 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in home games versus good shooting teams making >=45% of their shots over the last 2 seasons. Take VA Commonwealth.
New Orleans Hornets at Los Angeles Lakers
Prediction: Los Angeles Lakers
Ai Simulator 3* graded play on the Lakers as the host New Orleans slated to start at 10:35 EST. AiS shows a 73% probability that the Lakers will win this game by 10 or more points. Supporting this graded play is a system that has gone 44-13 ATS for 77% since 2003. Play against dogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points after 5 straight games allowing a shooting percentage of 42% or less facing an opponent after a game making 12 or more 3 point shots. Lakers have made it a solid point to play their best against the best this season. They are off a perfect 6-0 road trip and have won 9 of 10 games. Note that they are a solid 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) when playing against a good team posting a win percentage of 60% to 70% this season. The Lakers are playing incredibly solid team basketball exhibited by their high number of assists per game. Note that HC Jackson is 28-13 ATS (+13.7 Units) in home games after 2 straight games with 26 or more assists. Take the Lakers.
Mydreambet
Oklahoma City Thunder @ Phoenix Suns
Pick: Under 231,5
Tonight the Oklahoma City Thunder visit the Phoenix Suns at U.S. Airways Center. In this game the team the Phoenix Suns is given as favorite by Spread of -7.5, the line of total points in the meeting is situated on 231.5 points.
Looking at the lines of this game, obviously the highlight goes to the large number of points where the line total is located, this was due mainly to the last 2 games of the Phoenix Suns team which recorded a large number of points , these last 2 games were against the Los Angeles Clippers who, despite the good players that the team has, the team are probably more "ridiculous" to play in the NBA, not the least of application and requirement, the result was two games completely dominated Suns by the results of which were 140-100 and 142-119.
For tonight I believe that the scenario is quite different, and that the total number of points in the meeting does not reach such high numbers. To begin to lack the Suns team that was the best scorer of the team in recent games, that Amare Stoudamire is out for injury and probably for the rest of the season, the last game he hit 42 points and 11 bumps. I believe that with this lack of weight, the Phoenix Suns to make a game more cautious not to will be surprised by the Thunder team.
A team of Oklahoma City Thunder still doing their time in the bottom of the table in the West Division with a record of 13-41, and since then we can understand why a team with this record is not from the outset to achieve much given score on the other hand believe that this team defensively is applied 100% to not be "humiliated" the image of the Clippers last game against the Suns.
I believe this is a game completely for various reasons, and therefore the Under is the best bet for this game.