Notifications
Clear all

Friday Service Plays

44 Posts
2 Users
0 Reactions
2,897 Views
(@blade)
Posts: 318493
Illustrious Member
Topic starter
 

Brian Hansen

Tampa Bay Lightning at Vancouver Canucks
Prediction: Under

Vancouver is coming off a long road trip in which it went 6-2 and I look for it to concentrate from their goal out tonight as Tampa rolls into town. Tampa has seen the total go under the number in 9 of 12 games when playing with 2 days rest while the Canucks have seen it go under the number in 10 of 14 games after a non-conference game; play on the UNDER!

 
Posted : February 27, 2009 9:04 am
(@blade)
Posts: 318493
Illustrious Member
Topic starter
 

Matt Fargo

Illinois-Chicago at Loyola Chicago
Prediction: Loyola Chicago

This is one of those rivalry games that you do not hear much about because it is from a smaller conference. The Ramblers are the home underdogs and have no reason to be in that role. Actually there is one reason and it is historical which does mean much in this type of game. That historical part id that the Flames have covered seven straight in this series which includes six outright wins with one of those taking place back in December by 14 points at home. That means it is revenge time once again for Loyola-Chicago who looks to also avenge a home loss against the Flames from last season. Of the last 10 meetings, two have gone into overtime while five others have been decided by six points or fewer so for the most part this has been a closely contested series despite the recent domination from Illinois-Chicago. Both teams come into this game at identical 6-11 records within the Horizon League so there is nothing more pressing for the Flames in this one that would cause them to be road chalk. The game is big for both sides however as playoff seedings are on the line. Loyola needs a win here and needs Youngstown St. to lose to Valparaiso on Saturday to secure a first-round home game, which would then be played against Youngstown St. A victory at Butler made Loyola the only Horizon League team to own victories over each of the conference's top two teams (Butler and Green Bay) which are certainly pretty impressive. Seventy points has been the benchmark for success when it comes to the Ramblers' offense the last few seasons. A year ago, Loyola went 7-0 when totaling at least 70 points. In fact, dating back to the 2006-07 season, Loyola has won 19 of its last 23 contests when it reaches the 70-point plateau, and is 7-3 when doing so this year. Improved efficiency at the offensive end of the floor has helped fuel Loyola to its last eight victories as they are averaging 73.5 ppg, 10 points more than their season average, while draining shots at a 49 percent clip. Conversely, when the Ramblers surrender 70 or more points this season, they are 0-13. The good news is that the Flames are not averaging even close to that when playing on the road, tallying just 64.8 ppg and topping the 70-point mark only four times in 14 games away from home. Long range shooting has also been an added bonus to the recent success for the Ramblers. In the first 16 outings of the year, the Ramblers shot only 29 percent from three-point territory but over the last 14 games, Loyola has vastly improved by hitting 34 percent of its tries from beyond the arc. Look for the Ramblers to get their revenge tonight in a great spot and get halfway to the prize of getting home conference tournament game. 3* Loyola-Chicago Ramblers

 
Posted : February 27, 2009 9:05 am
(@blade)
Posts: 318493
Illustrious Member
Topic starter
 

Dennis Macklin

Chicago Bulls at Washington Wizards
Prediction: Over

The Bulls have seen the over go 9-2 in their L11 while the Wiz are 11-1 over in their L12. Safe to say that the prominent theme here is lack of defense. Strangely enough, seven of the last nine inthe series have gone under but not much worried about that here as both teams completely different from last meeting Jan 9th. Techs in the matchup aspect of the game all favor an up and down scorefest. Didn't get any favors from Vegas with the number but barring ice cold shooting nights by one or both teams, this one should comfortably get over the total.

 
Posted : February 27, 2009 9:21 am
(@blade)
Posts: 318493
Illustrious Member
Topic starter
 

Greg Shaker

Cornell Big Red at Dartmouth Big Green
Play: Dartmouth +9.5

I dated a woman who graduated from Harvard in the Top 1% of her class for a very long time. While her intellectual capacities were extraordinary, she lacked what it took to be a capatible mate for me because of her less than average bedroom performance. I was able to whip her into shape and she became reasonable material but she just never got it. Understanding the world economy and the current tax structure was just not that important to me at the time. The fact is, she was not able to adjust to the situation at hand, and she lost a good man because of it. That is why I like Dartmouth tonight. The Big Green are more now than just a lot of little white guys running around the court right now. They have been able to adjust and they are playing much better basketball because of that. They have won their last 2 of 3 contests outright as 8, 11.5, and 20 point underdogs. They have covered them all, including a 3 point OT loss at Cornell. The most impressive thing is that they have done that while playing on the road. I am not altogether sure about that E = MC Squared thing, but I do know that 2+2=4. They are hitting their free throw shots at a much better clip, they are shooting better from the court, they are rebounding better. They also have been stellar here at home on lined games at 4-1 ATS. I know that Cornell is the Cream of the Crop in this conference, but some of their games have been iffy when they travel, and in fact, they have been slightly outscored overall. The Big Green is a Sexy Team right now. I will grab these points.

 
Posted : February 27, 2009 9:22 am
(@blade)
Posts: 318493
Illustrious Member
Topic starter
 

Dwayne Bryant

Dartmouth +9.5 vs Cornell

Cornell is 18-8 on the season, while Dartmouth is just 8-16. But don't let the records fool you. Cornell leads the Ivy League with an 8-2 conference mark, but Dartmouth is only two games behind at 6-4.These two met at Cornell just 13 days ago. Cornell was installed as a 20-point favorite, but needed OT to beat Dartmouth, 79-76. In that game, Cornell shot better from the field and 3-point range, were +1 in rebounds, and converted more free throws and for a higher percentage. Yet they still needed OT to beat the 20-point road dog. That doesn't bode well for Cornell now that the scene shifts to Dartmouth.Since that narrow win over Dartmouth, Cornell lost by 12 as a favorite at Yale and blew out Ivy doormat, Brown. I'm not impressed. Cornell is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a SU win of more than 20 points and 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games following an ATS win. The Big Red are also just 4-7 SU on the road this season.On the flip side, Dartmouth has won five of their last seven SU and they're 5-1 ATS in that span. Since that loss at Cornell, the Big Green have pulled off upset road wins at Penn and Princeton. Hanging tough at Cornell has clearly given Dartmouth confidence and they have been playing very well recently.Dartmouth is 7-1 ATS in their last 8 home games and 12-2 ATS in their last 14 vs. Ivy League foes. The Big Green are also 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a home underdog and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a road winning percentage of less than .400.I also looked at each team's home and road stats. I found these two teams to be very similar in all areas with the exception of free-throw percentage, where Cornell is clearly better. But I'd need more than that to lay near double digits.Add it all up and I do not think their last meeting was a fluke. I think Dartmouth hangs tough again and I wouldn't be the least bit surprised to see Dartmouth win the game outright. I'll take the points with Dartmouth tonight.

 
Posted : February 27, 2009 9:23 am
(@undefeated77)
Posts: 655
Prominent Member
 

Free Selection from Totals4U
Friday's free selection: Milwaukee/New Orleans under 200 1/2

================================================

EZWINNERS.COM - FREE SELECTION

Game: Los Angeles Lakers @ Denver Nuggets

(867) Los Angeles Lakers -2.5

The Lakers have owned this series winning the last nine meetings
between these two teams and LA is 8-1 against the spread in those
games. The Nuggets have not fared very well as a small home
underdog as they are 0-5 against the spread in their last five home
games as an underdog of 4.5 points or less. The Lakers did play
last night against the Suns, but LA is 10-4 against the spread this
season in the second night of back to backs. Lay the points!

2009 Free Selections Record 33-24 (57.9%)

====================================================

ON FIRE 12-2-1 OVER 87% LAST 15 500*'s AS THURS 500* CBB
WINS ON WISC GREEN BAY!! = paid picks

Charlie's Sports - free pick (below)

nba. Philadelphia-3 @ Knicks. Facing the New York Knicks seems to
bring out the best in the Philadelphia 76ers.Philadelphia tries to sweep
the season series with New York for the first time in 23 years tonight
when it concludes a four-game road trip, 76ers cover+3.

====================================================

NATIONAL SPORTS ADVISORS

FREE COLLEGE BASKETBALL PICKS
Yale @ Penn
Time: 7:00 PM EST
Pick: Yale +3

=====================================================

Sports Betting Laugh Corner 😀

Bankroll Busting Bankruptcy System :'(

Now 6 wins and 5 crappy losses ??? 😡

Today I want you to mortgage your
home and place it all on Toronto
after buying two points for juice
eating and lock system protection !!! :rolleyes:

=====================================================

 
Posted : February 27, 2009 9:28 am
(@blade)
Posts: 318493
Illustrious Member
Topic starter
 

Karl Garrett

Milwaukee +9 at NEW ORLEANS

Underdog NBA play tonight on Milwaukee, as the G-Man is not sold on the Hornets minus the points these days, especially at minus near double-digits.

New Orleans has been grinding away lately, and while they do bring a two game winning streak into this on, the Hornets have failed both of them minus the points.

In fact, New Orleans has failed 3 in a row against the spread, and are on a 2-6 spread dive their last 8 games overall!

For the year, the Hornets are just 13-15-1 in their nest against the math, while Milwaukee sports a positive 17-13-2 spread mark away from home this year.

The Bucks are 4-3 both straight up, and against the spread their last 7 games, and they did cover the last series meeting against New Orleans, losing by 4 as the 6-point dog.

Deja Vu all over again tonight, as New Orleans gets the outright, but Milwaukee gets the cover.

Take the Bucks plus the points.

2♦ MILWAUKEE

 
Posted : February 27, 2009 9:28 am
(@blade)
Posts: 318493
Illustrious Member
Topic starter
 

Sports Gambling Hotline

Philadelphia +2' at NEW YORK

We are currently on a 16-6-2 free play run the last 24 days!

The Sixers rebounded from their last second loss at New Jersey on Monday, as they beat the Wizards 106-98 on Wednesday to stop their 4-game slide.

We like Philly to notch another win tonight in the Big Apple as they take on a New York team that has only won 3 of their last 11 games straight up.

Series numbers dictate the play tonight, as Philadelphia has won ALL 3 season series meetings this year, and have now won 4 in a row against the Knickerbockers, and 8 of the last 9 overall, while covering in 7 of those 9 tilts.

New York likes to push the pace, and that plays right into the hands of the 76ers who have had better results this year when playing at an uptempo.

Look for this one to see both teams cracking the century-mark, and in the end Philadelphia to come out on top.

Play on the 76ers at the Garden tonight.

4♦ PHILADELPHIA

 
Posted : February 27, 2009 9:29 am
(@blade)
Posts: 318493
Illustrious Member
Topic starter
 

LT Profits

Yale +3

The Yale Bulldogs are still in contention for the Ivy League title at 6-4 inside the conference, two games behind Cornell, and we feel that motivation will be enough to pull the mini-upset when they visit the Pennsylvania Quakers this evening.

This is also a revenge spot for Yale after losing at home to Penn two weeks ago, but that is the only Bulldogs loss both straight up and against the spread in their last four games. In fact, Yale has been rather bettor-friendly all season, going 8-5 ATS in all games that have had a posted line.

Yale has been winning with defense, as they are allowing just 63.0 points per game, and that unit has not been much worse on the road, where they are allowing 64.3 points. Comparatively, Penn is allowing an unacceptable 74.3 points per game at home on 45.2 percent shooting.

The Quakers were expected to compete for the Ivy title as they usually do, but they are just 4-5 inside the conference despite being toughened by a brutal non-conference schedule. They have lost two straight games to basically drop out of contention, and most disconcerting is the fact that both losses came here at home, where they are now a woeful 2-9 SU this season.

A case can be made that the wrong team is favored here, so we will gladly take the points with the better and more motivated team, especially in a revenge role.

Pick: Yale +3

 
Posted : February 27, 2009 9:34 am
(@blade)
Posts: 318493
Illustrious Member
Topic starter
 

Tom Freese

La Lakers at Denver

The Lakers are 20-8 ATS when playing with no rest and they are 10-4 ATS their last 14 games overall. Los Angeles is 8-2 ATS their last 10 road games and they are 7-1 ATS their last 8 road games vs. winning teams. Denver is 2-6 ATS their last 8 games as underdogs and they are 2-6 ATS on Friday. The Nuggets are 0-4 ATS their last 4 games overall and they are 2-8 ATS their last 10 games with the Lakers. PLAY ON LA LAKERS -

 
Posted : February 27, 2009 9:35 am
(@blade)
Posts: 318493
Illustrious Member
Topic starter
 

Vegas Experts

LA Lakers at Denver

We know the old handicapping axiom about playing without rest in Denver, but this number is way too short considering the difference between the Lakers and every other team out West. Los Angeles has dominated this head to head series, winning and covering 10 of the last 13 meetings. The Nuggets have failed to cash in four straight games, mainly because they are playing no defense (allowing nearly 115 PPG). Bad news against the NBA's best offense.

Play on: LA Lakers

 
Posted : February 27, 2009 9:49 am
(@blade)
Posts: 318493
Illustrious Member
Topic starter
 

DUNKEL

Cornell at Dartmouth
Cornell hits the road against at Dartmouth team that is 8-2 ATS against conference opponents and 5-1 ATS at home. The Big Green are the pick (+10) according to Dunkel, which has Cornell favored by only 5 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Dartmouth (+10).

Game 877-878: Cornell at Dartmouth
Dunkel Ratings: Cornell 56.953; Dartmouth 51.411
Dunkel Line: Cornell by 5 1/2
Vegas Line: Cornell by 10
Dunkel Pick: Dartmouth (+10)

Game 879-880: Columbia at Harvard
Dunkel Ratings: Columbia 47.842; Harvard 49.396
Dunkel Line: Harvard by 1 1/2
Vegas Line: Harvard by 5
Dunkel Pick: Columbia (+5)

Game 881-882: Brown at Princeton
Dunkel Ratings: Brown 45.643; Princeton 50.822
Dunkel Line: Princeton by 5
Vegas Line: Princeton by 6
Dunkel Pick: Brown (+6)

Game 883-884: Yale at Pennsylvania
Dunkel Ratings: Yale 49.619; Pennsylvania 54.831
Dunkel Line: Pennsylvania by 5
Vegas Line: Pennsylvania by 3
Dunkel Pick: Pennsylvania (-3)

Game 885-886: Illinois-Chicago at Loyola-Chicago
Dunkel Ratings: Illinois-Chicago 57.630; Loyola-Chicago 50.277
Dunkel Line: Illinois-Chicago by 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Illinois-Chicago by 2 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Illinois-Chicago (-2 1/2)

Game 887-888: Siena at Niagara
Dunkel Ratings: Siena 60.471; Niagara 63.668
Dunkel Line: Niagara by 3
Vegas Line: Niagara by 2 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Niagara (-2 1/2)

Game 889-890: Iona at St. Peter's
Dunkel Ratings: Iona 51.306; St. Peter's 50.943
Dunkel Line: Even
Vegas Line: Iona by 2
Dunkel Pick: St. Peter's (+2)

Game 891-892: Marist at Canisius
Dunkel Ratings: Marist 43.692; Canisius 52.862
Dunkel Line: Canisius by 9
Vegas Line: Canisius by 4 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Canisius (-4 1/2)

Game 893-894: Manhattan at Fairfield
Dunkel Ratings: Manhattan 52.457; Fairfield 52.018
Dunkel Line: Even
Vegas Line: Fairfield by 3
Dunkel Pick: Manhattan (+3)

 
Posted : February 27, 2009 10:39 am
(@blade)
Posts: 318493
Illustrious Member
Topic starter
 

Nite Owl Sports

Manhattan Jaspers @ Fairfield Stags
2 units: Manhattan Jaspers +136

While most college hoops cappers take friday off to catch their breath and "re-group" for a busy Saturday after a hectic Wed and Thursday with the typical "avalanche" of college hoops games on those two days, Friday has been one of our most productive days over the last few years, because it features a full slate of games with "soft" lines played in the under the radar Metro Atlantic Conference, which has been a virtual ATM machine for us over last few years. And there are two reasons for our success in this conference -- one reason is that there are some strong conference trends which seem to "play out" every year in the Metro Atlantic, and the second is that with the line makers concentrating mostly on the typical large "card" of Friday NBA games and the "crush" of college hoops games on Sat, and knowing that these Friday college hoops games will generate very little betting action because they get very little attention from bettors, many of the lines for these games are simply "soft" or inaccurate, like this one.

In the Metro Atlantic the middle rung teams (such as Manhattan and Fairfield in this match-up) tend to be pretty evenly matched, and they play in mostly small arenas in front of fairly small crowds, the result of which is that small road dogs of 2-5 points have had a good deal of success not only ATS but also (by victorious these games SU) vs the money line as well. In this game our pick, Manhattan, has a better conf record (9-7 vs 8-8) than its opponent, and is 3-1 SU away (all as dogs) vs the teams in the middle and bottom of the conference, plus road wins at non-con teams of the same level, with a 15 point bracket buster win at W&M on Sat and an early season 6 point win at American Conf leader Binghamton (20-8). And jaspers have not only won their last 3 such games SU, they are one of only 3 teams in the conference (the other two being conf "powers" Siena and Niagara) with a victorious SU record (7-5) on the road. Moreover, they are 2-1 SU in their L3 games at Fairfield.

And speaking of Fairfield, the Stags don't look too formidable, as they have lost 7 of their last 10 games, and are just 2-2 SU as light home faves vs middle rung teams of the conf plus their 5 point bracket buster home loss (as 1.5 point faves) Sat to a CAA Hofstra team comparable to Manhattan.

So take Manhattan and these generous money line odds of +135, risking two units to win 2.7 units for us at the pay window when jaspers win on the court.

 
Posted : February 27, 2009 10:45 am
(@blade)
Posts: 318493
Illustrious Member
Topic starter
 

Jimmy Boyd

1 Unit on Siena +2.5

The public likes the favorite in this matchup, but I feel strongly that Siena is the better team on any floor any night of the week. Siena dominated Niagara 82-65 a month ago as a 5.5-point favorite at home. Siena is 5-1 SU and ATS in the last L6 overall meetings. It is on a perfect 8-0 ATS run at Niagara and on a 15-4 ATS run in this series since 1997. Siena is as dangerous a dog as you'll find, the problem is we don't get the Saints in that role to often so we will look to capitalize when we do. Siena is 6-0 ATS as a road underdog of 3 points or less or pick over the last 3 seasons, winning by an average score of 81.2 to 72.3 in these spots. Bet Siena tonight.

 
Posted : February 27, 2009 11:10 am
(@blade)
Posts: 318493
Illustrious Member
Topic starter
 

Craig Trapp

Philadelphia 76ers vs. New York Knicks
Play: Over 213½

Really like the over in this matchup. The Knicks have been scoring at will lately going over in there last 8 home games. The last two times these teams played in Madison Square garden the total was 226. Nate Robinson since winning the dunk contest is almost averaging 30 pts per game. Tough matchup for PHI and think Robinson will lead the Knicks again to a large scoring night. PHI since Brand went down to injury have went back to playing more wide open offense and trying to get more points with easier fast break points. SCORE NYK 115 - PHI 112

 
Posted : February 27, 2009 11:11 am
Page 2 / 3
Share: