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Game 1 Trends

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ORLANDO (70 - 30) at LA LAKERS (77 - 23)

Top Trends for this game.
ORLANDO is 16-33 ATS (-20.3 Units) in road games after 3 or more consecutive overs since 1996.
LA LAKERS are 108-92 ATS (+6.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ORLANDO is 61-40 ATS (+17.0 Units) in all games this season.
ORLANDO is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) as an underdog this season.
ORLANDO is 32-19 ATS (+11.1 Units) in road games this season.
ORLANDO is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in a road game where where the total is between 200 and 204.5 points over the last 2 seasons.
ORLANDO is 10-0 ATS (+10.0 Units) against Pacific division opponents this season.
ORLANDO is 21-9 ATS (+11.1 Units) in non-conference games this season.
ORLANDO is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in road games after a win by 10 points or more this season.
ORLANDO is 31-18 ATS (+11.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
ORLANDO is 31-14 ATS (+15.6 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
ORLANDO is 4-2 against the spread versus LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
LA LAKERS is 3-3 straight up against ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 
Posted : June 4, 2009 6:12 am
(@blade)
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NBA Finals

Orlando at LA Lakers

Orlando:
10-0 ATS vs. Pacific Division
13-5 ATS Away off DD win

LA Lakers:
25-14 Under in playoff games
26-13 Under off DD road win

 
Posted : June 4, 2009 6:12 am
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Posts: 318493
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ORLANDO vs. LA LAKERS

Orlando is 4-2 ATS in their last 6 games when playing on the road against LA Lakers
Orlando is 4-7-1 ATS in their last 12 games when playing on the road against LA Lakers
LA Lakers are 18-7 SU in their last 25 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of the LA Lakers last 10 games

 
Posted : June 4, 2009 6:14 am
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Orlando Magic vs. Los Angeles Lakers

Dwight Howard poured in 40 points and grabbed 14 rebounds for a double-double as the Magic dominated the Cavaliers 103-90 to win the Eastern Conference title last time out.

The Magic covered the slight 2-point spread in that contest, while the combined score pushed the posted total of 193.

Kobe Bryant poured in a game-high 35 points as the Lakers defeated the Nuggets 119-92 last Friday to win the Western Conference title.

The Lakers won that game as 5.5-point underdogs, while the combined score made it OVER the posted over/under (209.5).

Team records:
Orlando: 59-23 SU, 49-32-1 ATS
Los Angeles: 65-17 SU, 42-39-1 ATS

Orlando most recently:
When playing on Thursday are 5-5
Before playing LA Lakers are 5-5
After playing Cleveland are 6-4
After a win are 6-4

Los Angeles most recently:
When playing on Thursday are 8-2
Before playing Orlando are 2-8
After playing Denver are 6-4
After a win are 4-6

A few trends to consider:
Orlando is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Orlando's last 6 games
Orlando is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games when playing LA Lakers
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Orlando's last 5 games when playing on the road against LA Lakers
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of the LA Lakers last 5 games at home
LA Lakers are 14-2 SU in their last 16 games at home
LA Lakers are 10-2 SU in their last 12 games when playing at home against Orlando
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of the LA Lakers last 10 games

Next up:
Orlando at LA Lakers, Sunday, June 7

 
Posted : June 4, 2009 6:15 am
(@blade)
Posts: 318493
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Tips and Trends

Orlando Magic at Los Angeles Lakers

Magic: No team has ever beaten three 60-win teams in the same postseason. Superman doesn't mind his role as Underdog. "We've always been overlooked," Dwight Howard said. "We were overlooked in the first series against Philly. We were overlooked against Boston. We were overlooked against the Cavs, and we're still overlooked. We don't want to be a team that everybody picks to win, because I think as a young team, once everybody starts saying, 'OK, you're this or you're that,' sometimes you tend to forget what got you there. Everybody picking against us motivates us. It drives us to do something greater."

The Underdog is 6-0 ATS in the last 6 meetings.
The Magic are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games playing on 3 or more days rest.

Key Injuries - G Jameer Nelson (shoulder) is QUESTIONABLE.

PROJECTED SCORE: 98

Lakers (-6, O/U 206): Los Angeles would seem to have everything - history, experience, star power, coaching, A-List celebrities - over Orlando. The Lakers have won 14 titles. Orlando, 0. The Lakers have won 61 finals games. Orlando, 0. Los Angeles coach Phil Jackson has nine championship rings. "They've beaten us three of the last four times," Kobe Bryant said. "So we're very, very concerned." "We're upset about losing in the finals," forward Pau Gasol said. "We should have given it a better shot than we did. It didn't happen, and now we're here again and we can give it a much better shot and really get it done."

The Lakers are 1-10-1 ATS in their last 12 NBA Championship games.
The Under is 7-0 in the Lakers' last 7 playoff games as a favorite.

Key Injuries - NONE

PROJECTED SCORE: 104 (UNDER - Total Play of the Day)

 
Posted : June 4, 2009 10:28 am
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Posts: 318493
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ORLANDO (Active NBA Systems)

Playoff underdogs have flopped in recent seasons when coming off an extended

break.

Play AGAINST a Playoff underdog with a TOTAL of 214 points or

less off 4+ days rest.

SU: 9-0 (13.1) ATS: 9-0 (6.8)

Off a series-clinching win hitting more than 10 bombs, playoff underdogs have been

very competitive.

Play ON a Playoff Game 1 underdog of 11 points or less off a

Playoff game making 11+ 3-pointers.

SU: 5-6 (-0.3) ATS: 10-0-1 (6.0)

Favorites and small underdogs playing with double-revenge, have found Playoffs

series opener a tough place to get even.

Play ON a Playoff Game 1 team (not a favorite of 5+ points)

with a TOTAL over 175 points vs. an opponent with less than 6 days rest seeking

revenge for SU losses in the last 2 matchups (not trailing by 8+ points after 1

quarter in both games).

SU: 11-1 (9.5) ATS: 12-0 (13.6)

Favorites and small underdogs playing with double-revenge, have found Playoffs

series opener a tough place to get even.

Play ON a Playoff Game 1 team (not a favorite of 8+ points)

off a series-clinching SU win against an opponent with a better regular season record

than the current opponent with 2+ days rest.

SU: 7-0 (10.9) ATS: 7-0 (7.1)

LA LAKERS (Active NBA Systems)

Home teams have got off to a great start in the NBA Finals in recent seasons.

Play ON a Playoff Game 1 Finals Round home team with a

TOTAL over 169 points.

SU: 5-0 (11.2) ATS: 5-0 (5.7)

After a Playoff victory hitting most of their free throws, teams have seen their luck

run out in their next post-season game.

Play AGAINST a Playoff team (not a favorite of 12+ points)

off a Playoff SU win shooting 94%+ free throws and without a rest advantage of 4+

days vs. an opponent without a rest advantage of 4+ days.

SU: 7-0 (14.6) ATS: 7-0 (11.9)

 
Posted : June 4, 2009 5:37 pm
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