MONDAY PREMIUM SERVICE PLAYS

Maddux Sports

Basketball

3 units on Atlanta +7

3 units on College of Charleston +2.5

Hockey

2 units on Dallas +145

SportsDose

Atlanta @ Utah
Take Utah -7

We are jumping all over this game as we love the Jazz. They are playing insane basketball, taking no prisoners crushing anyone who challenges them. 4 straight wins against the Lakers, Grizzlies, Celtics, and Hornets. 3 of those 4 teams are pretty damn good, don't ya think? Atlanta are going to walk into Utah tonight in stun disbelief as the Jazz are firing on all cylinders. The Hawks lost to Portland by 10 on Friday, and Utah are playing better than Portland. East meets West tonight and Utah are going to dominate. Take the Jazz.

Western Carolina @ Wofford
Take Wofford -3

Wofford come into this game playing hot, winning 4 of their last 5 games. Western Carolina on the other hand have lost 3 of their last 5, having trouble finding a consistent level to play at. One of these losses came as a 6 point favorite! They lost to The Citadel at home as they were favored by 6. As we all can infer, they are not playing quality basketball. Western Carolina took the earlier matchup this season, winning 65-77 but let us not forget that they were the home team. Since that game, these two teams have started playing differently. This game caps off a 3 game road trip for Western Carolina, and they lost the first one to Elon and struggled with UNC-Greensboro (who are a horrid 4-20) before beating them by 13. Wofford will take down Western Carolina tonight, so take them as they are playing hot and are at home.

Brandon Lang

25-Dime Louisville

FREE - Kansas

Las Vegas Sport Picks

NBA:

1* 76ers-1
2* Pacers/Knicks over 224
4* Warriors/Clippers over 228

NCAA:

1* Murray St. -2

NHL:

Pass

igz1 sports

CBB
3* Louisville -1.5
3* Wofford -3

NBA
3* Boston vs Denver Over 198.5

Billy Coleman

5* NBA GOM PHIL

Trace Fields

4.5* OKL

Bell's Best Bets

NBA:
Denver + 2

NCAAB:
Oklahoma - 4

NHL:
San Jose Over 5.5

BEN BURNS

MAIN EVENT

I'm taking the points with GEORGETOWN.

As you're probably aware, Louisville has the higher ranking and is also currently the much "hotter" team. However, everyone else is aware of the same thing and as result, I believe that we're getting excellent value with what should be an absolutely desperate Georgetown squad. Despite the recent struggles, the Hoyas are more talented than many believe. Keep in mind that they crushed Maryland (Terps are 17-9 and just beat UNC) by 27 points earlier in the year and followed that up by knocking off highly ranked Memphis, which is now 24-3. While those were both non-conference victories, the Hoyas also won outright at Connecticut in conference play. They did beat both Providence and Syracuse here, while also recently taking the Orange to overtime on the road. That said, this is their last chance for a "signature victory" in conference play on their homecourt. That's because their next two games are on the road and their final home game comes vs. lowly Depaul. A win here would really go a long way. The Cardinals are not to be taken lightly and the Hoyas are going to need to be at their best to beat them. However, they are beatable, having lost two games by double-digits already this month. That includes a 90-57 defeat vs. a talented but struggling Notre Dame team, a game also featured on ESPN. I had the Irish in that game and I feel that the Hoyas will also seize the opportunity to get back on track by beating a top tier team in front of the national audience. *Main Event

ABSOLUTE A.T.S. MISMATCH!

I'm taking the points with SACRAMENTO.

The Hornets have the much better record on the season. However, its the Kings who have been the more profitable team in recent days. With Saturday's blowout loss at Utah, the Hornets are now a poor 4-8 ATS their last dozen games, going 2-4 ATS their last six. They're also just 1-5 SU/ATS their last six on the road. Conversely, the Kings have managed to go 4-2 ATS their last six games. Looking at their last six home games and we find that only one of them resulted in a loss of greater than seven points. The Kings have always given the Hornets problems. Listed as double-digit underdogs, they traveled to New Orleans back in November and scored the outright upset. The following month, in another game at New Orleans, they lost but covered. The fact that the Kings have given the Hornets some trouble this season isn't all that surprising. Sacramento scores a lot of points (99.3 per game overall and 101 here at home) and New Orleans has struggled against high-scoring teams. In fact, the Hornets are just 8-14 ATS (9-13 SU!) in 22 games against teams which average 99 or more points. Looking at the games in this series played here at Sacramento and we find the Kings at a profitable 16-2 SU and 13-4-1 ATS in 18 meetings, dating back to 1994. Note that the Hornets' only two victories during that stretch both came by seven points or less. Since relocation to New Orleans, the Hornets have traveled to Sacramento nine times. The Kings were 8-1 SU and 7-1-1 ATS in those games. The Kings, 13-9 ATS off a double-digit loss, are 11-3-2 ATS (13-3 SU!) the last 16 times that they played a home game with an over/under line ranging from 200 to 204.5. They're also an excellent 18-8 ATS the last 26 times that they were underdogs in the 6.5 to nine point range. I expect the Kings, who have now had some time to adjust to their new players, to improve on those stats and continue their homecourt success in this series.

BEST BET

I'm taking the points with ATLANTA.

Off four straight impressive home wins, the majority of the betting public will be quick to back Utah again tonight. However, the Jazz haven't always been that profitable under coach Jerry Sloan in the later games of an extended homestand and I expect them to have their hands full. Saturday's cover vs. New Orleans notwithstanding, the Jazz are still just 5-12 ATS the last few seasons after having played three or more consecutive home games. Looking back further and we find the Jazz at a money-burning 49-71-1 ATS their last 121 in that situation. Saturday's game was a good spot for the Jazz. That's because they were catching New Orleans off an overtime game vs. the Lakers the previous day. That was a very tough loss for the Hornets, as they should have wrapped it up in regulation. However, the Jazz won't have that luxury tonight, as Atlanta hasn't played since Friday. I also believe that the Jazz could be ripe for an emotional letdown, due to the recent death of team owner Larry Miller. The game vs. the Hornets was the first since Miller's passing and naturally, there were a lot of emotions. Give the Jazz credit for responding with a victory. However, I believe that doing it twice in a row will prove to be much more difficult. Sloan had this to say of the last game: "Sometimes emanations and everything get involved and everybody handles it a little differently. We made it through a tough time today..." The Hawks have admittedly had some real trouble vs. the Jazz in the past and it's true that they haven't won here at Utah for ages. However, they covered the spread in their last visit here, a six point loss exactly one year ago - Feb. 23rd, 2008. They had also defeated the Jazz (at Atlanta) in their previous meeting, which had snapped a long losing streak in the series. In other words, the gap between the teams isn't nearly what it once was. Indeed, despite dealing with some key injuries, the Hawks are comfortably in fourth in the East. They've now gotten healthier and they bring an almost identical overall record into tonight's game as Utah does. This year's Hawks have been excellent in the underdog role. Despite recent pointspread losses at Portland and LA, they're still a profitable 16-8 ATS when getting points. That includes a profitable 6-1 ATS mark as road underdogs in the 6.5 to 9 point range. I expect them to deliver a huge effort and earn at least another cover this evening. *Best Bet

Keith Fredrick

New Orleans at Sacramento
Pick: New Orleans -7.5

Hornets have had some real sting in the role of away favorite winning 9 straight games while going a very nice 7-2 ATS. On the other hand Kings have not been very regal as in the role of home dog they have only gone 2-13 SU & 4-11 ATS.

Stephen Nover

Philadelphia at New Jersey
Play: Philadelphia -2

Both teams are in desperate need of a victory. The 76ers were hot going into the All-Star break, but are 0-3 since the break. New Jersey has lost five in a row.The 76ers are the better team, though. They have double-revenge for two home losses, have a strong track record playing at New Jersey and are a superior rebounding club.The Nets edged the 76ers, 85-83, on Jan. 31 after Philadelphia blew a 12-point fourth quarter lead.The Nets are averaging 10 fewer rebounds per game than their opponents during their losing streak. The 76ers are a top-10 rebounding club.The Nets aren't playing much defense, allowing an average of 111.3 points in their past three games.The Nets rely on Devin Harris and Vince Carter to do their offensive damage. But Harris is shooting 40 percent from the floor in his last 12 games, while Carter is making just 39 percent of his shots from the field during the past 11 games.The 76ers have covered in each of their last six visits to the Nets. The road team is 13-3 against the spread in this series.

MTi Sports

Golden State at LA Clippers
Play: Under 228

In their last game the Warriors shot 56.3% from the field and dusted the Thunder 133-120. This has the OU line jacked up here, but the Warriors are 0-8 OU (-13.9 ppg) as a favorite with at most one day of rest after a game at home in which they shot at least 55% from the field. Also, Golden St is 0-7 OU (-10.7 ppg) as a road favorite with at most one day of rest after a win in which they had at least 12 steals and 0-5 OU (-16.1 ppg) after a win in which they controlled 40% or less of the available rebounds, staying under by an average of 16.1 ppg.Golden State is already 2-0 vs the Clips this season, winning 121-103 and 107-92. The OU line in the first game was 202. It was 215 in their second meeting and here it is 228. The line is going up when it should be going down. Golden St plays it close to the vest when playing a team they have beaten. Specifically, the Warriors are 0-8 OU (-12.9 ppg) as a road favorite and when facing a team they beat in their previous two match-ups of the season.Perhaps more importantly, the Warriors are 0-4 OU as a road favorite vs any team they beat four straight, staying under by an average of a whopping 23.6 ppg. if this game was at home, or if they were playing a good team, they would push the pace. On the road, vs a team they can beat, they will take fewer risks with the ball and not play to the crowd. There’s plenty of room under this jacked-up number.

MTi’s FORECAST: Golden St 108 LA CLIPPERS 102

Vegas Sports Experts

10* Take Western Carolina (+3) over Wofford (NCAA Power Play)

Wofford
• 1-7 ATS as a home favorite of 3 points or less
• 2-7 ATS in home games when the total posted is between 140 and 144.5
• 0-5 ATS when revenging a loss by 10 points or more

10* Take Indiana (+6) over New York (NBA Power Play)

New York
• 2-7 SU over the last 9 games
• 0-4 SU & ATS vs. Indiana at home
• 8-16 SU in home games when the total posted is greater than 210 points

Bonus Pays
5* Take Georgetown (+1.5) over Louisville (NCAA)
5* Take Dallas (+145) over San Jose (NHL)

Winning Angle

Play Georgetown (+1.5) over Louisville* (Top NCAA Play)

Georgetown has won 14 of the last 15 games after forcing 8 or less turnovers in the last game and they are only allowing an average of 60 points a game on defense at home this season.

Play Charleston (+2.5) over Chattanooga* (Bonus NCAA Play)

NBA Hoops
Play Atlanta (+7) over Utah (NBA Top Play)

NHL
Play Dallas (+145) over San Jose* (NHL Bonus Play)