Wizard of Odds Guaranteed Selections
COLLEGE INSIDER TOURNAMENT PLAY OF THE YEAR
Bradley -3
DR BOB
Monday College Opinions
BRADLEY (-3) over Oakland
Bradley has been much better at home under coach Jim Les (59-35-4 ATS) than they have been on the road (43-49 ATS) and the Braves apply to a decent 43-18 ATS post-season situation. My ratings favor the Braves by 3 ½ points over Oakland and I’ll lean with Bradley at -3 or less.
Stanford (+1) over WICHITA STATE
The Pac-10 isn’t getting a lot of respect from the oddsmakers and the public, but the Pac-10 has actually been an underrated conference this season. Pac 10 teams are 55% ATS in non-conference games this season and that number goes to 57% if you take out the Oregon schools (the two worst teams in the league). Stanford is 7-2 ATS in non-conference games this season and my ratings favor the Cardinal by 3 points in this game. Stanford struggled on the road, but I still get the Cardinal by 1 point using their road games against Wichita’s home games. I’ll lean with Stanford at -1 or better based on the line value.
Helmut
Davidson / Saint Marys-CA Over 143
Tonight’s game should be played at a up-tempo pace as both teams like to push at times. Both of these teams are also excellent on the offensive end with the Gael’s ranking #34 in the league in offensive efficiency and the Wildcat’s ranking #37. I believe this game will exceed 140 total possessions and when that number of possessions has been exceeded the Gael’s have played exceeded 70 points in 8/9 games and the Wildcat’s have exceeded 70 points in 18/20 games. The Wildcat’s have shot the ball very well from the field down the stretch with the last 4/5 games shooting >47% from the field. They did not protect the ball very well when facing South Carolina last game which kept the scoring down for them despite shooting very well. The Gaels have their superstar Mills back and look like a much better offensive team in the last two games putting up 85 points on Eastern Washington and 68 points on a tough Washington State team.
JB Sports
3* Bulls
2* Blazers
2* Suns
Mike Lineback
Washington Wizards
Opposite Action Plays
Creighton
KBHoops
NBA
5* Minnesota/Atlanta UNDER 195 **POD**
4* Orlando -6
3* Memphis +9.5
2* Bulls/Wizards UNDER 210
CBB
3* Vermont +1
2* Coll Of Charleston +4.5
BeatYourBookie
100* Play Vermont (+1.5) over Oregon State (NCAA)
Oregon State is 1-10 ATS when playing in the month of March
Oregon State is 0-3 ATS when playing as a favorite this season
Oregon State is 4-14 ATS coming off a game as a home underdog
Oregon State is 9-19 ATS in all home games the last 2 seasons
100* Play Belmont (+6) over Old Dominion (NCAA)
Old Dominion is 1-9 ATS when playing in the month of March
Old Dominion is 2-12 ATS in all tournament games the last 3 seasons
Old Dominion is 1-4 ATS as a home favorite of 6 points or less
Old Dominion is 5-12 ATS coming off a win this season
100* Play Northeastern (+8) over UTEP (NCAA)
Northeastern is 3-0 ATS when the total posted is between 130 and 139.5
Northeastern is 6-1 ATS after failing to cover the spread in 2 of the last 3 games
Northeastern is 5-1 ATS coming off an upset win as a road underdog
Other Hoops & Hockey Plays
50* Play Kentucky (+1.5) over Creighton (NCAA)
30* Play NY Knicks (+5.5) over Orlando (NBA)
30* Play Calgary (-105) over Detroit (NHL)
CALIFORNIA SPORTS
4* STANFORD
4* ST MARYS
3* Bradley
ATS LOCK CLUB
4 Units UTEP -7
3 Units Oregon St -1
Best Sports Picks
Stanford +1
Bradley -3
SMTM Sports Picks
2* Liberty -3
2* Red Wings -125
2* Under College of Charleston/Richmond 143
1* Vermont +1
1* St. Marys/Davidson Under 143 1/2
Seabass
50 Red Wings Under
50 LA Clippers
50 Heat
30 Richmond
30 UTEP
30 Davidson
30 VT
100 Stanford (Vegas Steam)
BIG AL
At 7 pm, our College Insider Tournament Game of the Year is on the Old Dominion Monarchs minus the points over Belmont, as ODU falls into a super 96-50 ATS system of mine. One of the things I like to do in the post-season is fade teams off upset wins, and another thing I like to do is play on teams off three or more pointspread losses. And when I can get a post-season matchup between a team off 3 ATS losses and a team off an upset win, then that's a 64% play (since 1991) to take the team off 3 ATS losses. And that's our situation tonight. Belmont checks in off a big upset win at Evansville (92-76), while Old Dominion has won 2 of 3, but failed to cover the spread in each of those games. In its first game of this tournament, played at home vs. The Citadel, ODU won 67-59 as a 10-point favorite. It now gets a second consecutive game at home, while Belmont must play a 2nd straight game on the road. That situation has historically favored the home team (29-20 ATS its last 49). Finally, its win at Evansville notwithstanding, Belmont has struggled when it "steps up in class" and plays a team from a major or mid-major conference as it has covered just 31% of the time dating back to 1990. College Insider Tourney Game of the Year on Old Dominion.
Blade,
I'm lookiing for Stew's NIT GOY??? Have you or anyone seen it??? He's a "capper" on pregame> 😀