LAS VEGAS TECH REPORT (LVTR): DENVER NUGGETS vs LA LAKERS
Play: LA LAKERS -4
Lakers are on a 7-2 run ATS vs Denver. Nuggets are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games against the Pacific Division. Lakers are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games when their opponent has scored 100+ points in their last game played. Home team is 11-5 ATS in the last 16 meetings. Denver needed all they had and a late rally to beat cellar dweller Minnesota. They will need more effort if they think they can get away with that vs the Lakers who are surprisingly playing good defense as of late. Denver is still a medical ward of injuries as now Nene, Atkins, and Kenyon Martin maybe out for tonight's match up
Kelso
Chairman 10 units Orlando +2.5 v. Detroit
Best Bets
5 units Syracuse +12 @ Georgetown
4 units Texas -2.5 @ Ok State
3 units Pepperdine +8.5 @ S Clara
Rocketman Sports.
NBA - Detroit @ Orlando
Play On: 5* Detroit -2.5
Detroit is 7-0 ATS this year after a division game. Detroit is allowing only 90.1 points per game overall this year. Orlando is allowing 100.5 points per game overall this season. Detroit is 11-1 SU overall vs Orlando last 3 years. Detroit is 6-1 SU and 5-1 ATS at Orlando last 3 seasons. Pistons are 6-0-1 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning SU record. Pistons are 11-1 ATS in their last 12 games playing on 1 days rest. Pistons are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a road favorite of 0.5-4.5. Pistons are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. NBA Southeast. Pistons are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games following a SU loss. Pistons are 20-7-1 ATS in their last 28 games overall. Pistons are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite of 0.5-4.5. Pistons are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Pistons are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games as a road favorite. Magic are 2-5-2 ATS in their last 9 games vs. a team with a winning SU record. Magic are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Magic are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a SU win. Magic are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games playing on 1 days rest. Pistons are 10-2 ATS in the last 12 meetings in Orlando. Pistons are 5-2-2 ATS in the last 9 meetings. Road team is 14-3-3 ATS in the last 20 meetings.
We'll play Detroit for 5 units tonight
Pure Profit
Power Play...Portland (NBA)
Consensus...Cleveland Under
Money Move...Davidson
High Roller...San Diego
A-Play
Double Play...Miami Heat
Heavy Hitter...Orlando Magic
Major Shocker...Oklahoma State
Chip Shot...New York Knicks
John Ryan's NHL MONSTER Total Play of the Month
7* Nashville Over
Payday sports
Vancouver under
Opposite Action Plays
MARIST -3
Pacific Star
L. A. LAKERS -4.5
Lenny Stevens
10* Sonics
10* Oklahoma State
Big Al
Championship...Spurs
Line Mover...New Orleans Hornets
Blue Chip...Davidson
Special K
5* San Diego
IndianCowboy
Loyola Marymount Lions @ Saint Marys Ca
Pick: 3 unit(s) ATS: Saint Marys Ca -26
Winning 11 of 15 days (73%) and 14 of 20 days (70%) in January and 16 of 21 (76%) days overall. 18 of 25 POD (71%) doing 1 per day and the only handicapper in the nation that is above 60% in Basketball 2007 after a 150 plays and counting. 3 comp winners in a row going for 4th comp winner in a row today. Once again, the public sees a lot of points and jumps all over the jockstraps of a Loyola Marymount who is ranked in the top 30 in the nation. I want you to follow me closely here. This is the same situation for one of the other selections today. St. Mary's had a very tight ballgame against Pepperdine and I can promise you that their coach is furious for having such a tight ballgame with Pepperdine after Gonzaga blew out Pepperdine on the road. Now, this team played a 5 point game against St. Mary's and that infuriates the St. Mary's coaching staff likely. Hell, that is why this line is as high as it is as this St. Mary's team who is a top 20 team in the nation will be furiously looking to blow out someone out of the gym today and St. Mary's fits the bill. Sure, Loyola can come around for the backdoor here and no, that would not surprise me, but keep in mind that Loyola is just 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games as a road underdog and 3-13-2 ATS in their last 18 road games overall. This St. Mary's team beat a Santa Clara team 76-45 by 31 points who is a top 175 team and I certainly think they have the potential to hammer a team that is top 300 in the nation.
Game: Canisius Golden Griffins @ Siena Saints
Pick: 3 unit(s) ATS: Siena Saints -20.5 (-109) (Play of the Day)
I"ve always said that when you see 66% of the public on an underdog, shy away from it and favor the - the favorite as public underdogs that are heavily favored rarely do well. I've provided countless examples including the fact when the world was on the Pack on the road against Dallas as the Cowboys covered or when the Mavs were in Utah and the world was on Dallas and Utah ended up covering with relative ease - well, much is the same case today when the Saints play Canisius. Sure, Canisius beat Niagara at home and that was a very good effort on their part. But, keep in mind this team has been terrible - dismal - on the road and I believe they are likely in for a let down here. My spreadsheets are what has led me to have the success I continue to have in basketball and I have them as one of the worst 20 teams in the nation referring to Canisius. Siena is big-time folks as they are one of the top 100 teams in the nation. Sure, Canisius has a great deal of revenge from losing by 30 to this team at home but Siena has beat similarly ranked teams at home by 25 on average. I also like the line movement I have seen offshore. Yes, Canisius beat Niagara at home who is also a top 100 team, but don't forget that this team lost 51-102 to Rider, the same team that lost by 11 to St. Peters who is outside the top 300 and lost to Penn State 40-93 - a team that Siena is better than in my power rankings by a few spots. Canisius is in for a letdown here and given this team's propensity to get blown out and the public riding them so hard, I will take Siena here. Canisius is 0-6 ATS following an ATS cover showing their inconsistent play and this team is 1-7 ATS on the road while Siena is 4-0 ATS against teams with a losing straight up record meaning that they do well in a potential blowout game.
Game: Pepperdine @ Santa Clara Broncos
Pick: 3 unit(s) ATS: Pepperdine +9 (-110) (Normal)
I think Pepperdine finally showed some heart in their last game when they went on the road to lose by 5 points to St. Mary's who is a top 20 team in the nation in the power rankings. That came off the heels of getting blown out by Gonzaga and this team has just 4 wins on the year and desperately needs to win their 5th straight ballgame - do they do it today - no, but I do believe that this team has potential as they are ranked in the top 200 while Santa Clara is ranked in the top 175 and my spreadsheets show that as a 4 to 5 point win. Remember, Santa Clara also played St. Mary's and lost by 31 points a score of 45-76 - the same team that St. Mary's lost by 5 on the road to. Does this mean they are equally as good, no, but it does mean that Pepperdine has the potential to play on the road and the same caliber on any given day, just depends on who shows up. Santa Clara also lost to San Jose State by 3 who is a top 200 team so why not Pepperdine who is desperately looking for their 5th win and will play with additional confidence playing such a tight game with St. Mary's? St. Mary's is 0-4 ATS following a straight up win and the Waves of Pepperdine are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 ballgames as an underdog of 7 to 12 points.
Sebastian
10* Miami Heat
10* Syracuse
10* Oklahoma State
Dr. Bob
Monday Night NBA Opinion/Possible Best Bet
Cleveland (-3 ½) over MIAMI
The Heat are anything but hot, as they’ve lost 13 consecutive games while also being 2-17 ATS in their last 19 games. The return of Shaquille O’Neal was supposed to help but it is actually the loss of backup center Alonzo Mourning, who retired in mid-December, that has had the biggest impact. The Heat were actually a slightly better team when Mourning was on the floor than they were with O’Neal at the post and Miami was about 3 ½ points worse than an average team with Mourning backing up Shaq. Miami’s slide started when Mourning retired and the Heat are just 1-15 straight up and 3-14 ATS since that time, including 1-7 SU and ATS with O’Neal and Dwyane Wade playing. I rate the Heat at 7.0 points wore than an average team and they should be a 4 ½ point underdog in this game. Miami is only 1-15 ATS in their last 16 games when not an underdog of at least 7 points (0-11 ATS recently) and just 6-23 ATS in that price range for the season. The line is starting to catch up to them, so I’ll resist playing against Miami in a Best Bet unless the line goes down a bit more. I’ll take Cleveland in a 2-Star Best Bet at -3 points or less.