Brandon Lang
MONDAY
5 DIME PLAYS
Suns
Jazz
St.Mary's
Free Pick - Louisville
Mighty Quinn
Louisville +2
Cappers Access
Marq
Kansas
Joe Wiz
La Tech
Redzone Sports
San Diego
Scott Spreitzer
Twolves
Jimmy the Moose
Toronto Raptors at Miami Heat
The Raptors are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games as a favorite of 0.5 to 10.5. Toronto is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games as a favorite. In their last 13 road games vs. a team with a losing home record the Raptors are 9-4 at the window. Miami is 6-24 ATS in their last 30 home games. In their last 16 games as a dog they are 3-12-1 ATS. The Heat are a 14-38-3 ATS in their last 55 games vs. Eastern Conference opponents. The Raptors are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 trips to Miami. The Raptors are 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings overall.
Marc Lawrence
Game: New Orleans Hornets at Utah Jazz
Prediction: New Orleans Hornets
Note: Hornets take to the road off back-to-back upset losses with 28-point same season loss revenge against Utah tonight. Revenge is the key factor in this contest for New Orleans as they are 15-5-2 ATS when looking to avenge a defeat against the Jazz, including 6-0-2 ATS when Utah is off a pair of wins in its last two games. With the Jazz looking dead ahead to a revenge game at Denver on Wednesday night, look for the Hornets to get back on the win track here tonight.
Tom Freese
Game: New Orleans Hornets at Utah Jazz
Prediction: over
Reason: New Orleans is 20-6 OVER when playing with two days of rest and they are 7-1 OVER their last 8 games vs. winning teams. The Hornets are 25-11 OVER their last 36 games in the second half of the season. Utah is in a 28-7 ATS System that says to Play OVER on home teams when the Total is 200 to 209.5 if they force if they are off a game where they had 10 or less turnovers than their opponent. The Jazz are 50-23 OVER off a double digit win. PLAY ON 'OVER'
Ben Burns
Game: Pittsburgh Penguins at New Jersey Devils
Prediction: New Jersey Devils
Reason: The Penguins upset the Devils here last week and they also won 5-0 when the teams met here in November. That 5-0 loss marks the Devils' worst loss in the short history at the new Prudential Center. The Devils haven't forgotten and I expect them to avenge those losses tonight. Both teams are coming off convincing victories on Saturday night. The Penguins defeated Carolina by a score of 4-1, while the Devils knocked off the Kings by a 6-3 count. Note that the Devils, who are 5-0 after playing a non-conference opponent, are a profitable 40-22 (+13.8) the past few seasons when coming off a game in which they scored four or more goals. Conversely, during the same stretch, Pittsburgh is 39-47 (-6.2) after scoring four or more goals the previous game. These teams are in a dogfight in the competitive Atlantic division. Catching the Penguins still without their star Sidney Crosby, I expect the revenge-minded Devils to earn an important two points and leap-frog their guests in the standings, improving to 12-5 the last 17 series meetings. Consider laying the price with New Jersey.
Brian Gabrielle
NBA New Orleans vs. Utah
Take Utah Jazz
Utah is looking for their winning streak to go to 9 games today against a road team that has lost 2 straight. Hornets are a good team but appear to be in a slump right now. Utah is 20-3 at home while the Hornets are 16-6 on the road. One of the best spreads you will see Utah have this year at home. Take the side on the Jazz.
Locksmith Sports
1 Unit on San Diego -3.5
Pepperdine is awful. The Wave have lost 5 of their last 6 and 9 of 12 heading into this one. They have lost 5 of their last 7 lined games ATS. San Diego is riding a 4-game winning streak and has covered the number in 4 of its last 5 games. San Diego is 7-0 ATS in road games when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons and 16-4 ATS in road lined games over the last 2 seasons. Pepperdine is 6-15 ATS against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons and 1-8 ATS in home games after having lost 2 of their last 3 games over the last 2 seasons. San Diego has really taken this SoCal rivalry over going 5-1 SU and ATS in the matchup the past 3 seasons. Lay the points tonight.
John Ryan
Louisiana Tech vs. Fresno State
Ai Simulator 3* graded play on Louisiana Tech - Supporting this graded play is a system that has gone 34-10 ATS for 77% since 2002. Play on dogs of 10 or more points after allowing 40 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games and is now facing an opponent after a loss by 10 points or more. Tech is coming off 3 straight losses to conference opponents primarily due to weak defense and not getting enough turnovers in these games. Yet, this poor play actually puts them into a strong role for this game against FSU since FSU is the type of team that more times than not struggles against inferior opponents. Note that FSU is 0-8 ATS versus teams who average 6 or less steals/game on the season after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons. Take L-Tech.
Alex Smart College Hoops Comp Selection
Game: Missouri vs. Kansas
Prediction: over
Kansas enters into this tilt averaging 85.9 PPG on their own home floor this season, while Missouri their visiting inter conference foes have allowed an average of 82.2 PPG on the road. Needless to say I can see the Jayhawks putting a boatload of points on the board, and for a very capable Missouri offense, that averages 79.7 PPG to reciprocate ,with a run and gun effort of their own or be blown off the court . Everything points to this being an all out offensive slug feast. Final notes & Key Trends:Kansas enters into this tilt having gone over in 11 straight home games against conference opponents.
Play Over
Wunderdog Comp
Houston at Minnesota
Pick: Game Total UNDER 189 -110
The suddenly hot T-Wolves, who had five wins as of January 8, have added five more to the win column in their last seven. After allowing 100+ points in 9-of-10 games, the T-Wolves have suddenly discovered defense, as they have held their last five opponents to an average of just 85.6 points per game. Minnesota has averaged just 94 ppg on the season, but the last five defensive efforts have also curtailed scoring as they have scored just 91.2 ppg in their last five. Houston knows a little about playing defense themselves as they bring the No. 5 rated NBA defense to Minnesota that also allows only 43.7% shooting - second best in the NBA. See this one low-scoring with the T-Wolves feeling good and finally defending against a defensive-minded Houston team.
EZ Winners
NCAA
1 STAR: (721) VILLANOVA (+4.5) over St. Josephs
(Risking $110 to win $100)
NBA
1 STAR: (712) UTAH (-3) over New Orleans
(Risking $110 to win $100)
COMPS
NICK JONES
New Orleans/Utah OVER 203
Las Vegas Sports Advisors
Orlando -3.5
Bob Harvey Sports
Coll Charleston -16
ARTHUR RALPH
Gonzaga
RED ZONE
SAN DIEGO
POINTWISE
KANSAS over Missouri RATING: 2
BIG AL
Santa Clara -11.5 over Portland
RAZOR SHARP
MONDAY: CHICAGO Pick'em over Seattle
MIKE WYNN
Portland -3 Over Denver
TOTALS 4 U
DENVER/PORTLAND UNDER 203 1/2
THE VEGAS STEAMLINE
Miami +7.5 over Toronto
HUDDLE UP
SIENNA -5
HD'S ACTIONLINE
Geo. Southern -3
BIG TIME SPORTS
NEW ORLEANS / UTAH OVER 203
#1 SPORTS
CHARLOTTE BOBCATS + 14
LT Profits
Toronto Raptors @ Miami Heat o191.5
The Toronto Raptors have been a good Over team all season, and while the Miami Heat are offensively challenged, their porous defense will do its part to push this game Over the total.
The Over is a wallet filling 15-8, 65.2 percent in all Toronto road games this season with an average combined score in those games of 194.9 points, a figure good enough to go Over this total. Moreover, the last five Raptors games overall have averaged a whopping 209.2 points, with the Over going 4-1 in those games. Finally, the Over is 4-0 in the last four Toronto road games.
Now granted, the Heat are only averaging 93.0 points per game overall. However, the Miami Over has still managed to go 23-21-2, thanks to a poor defense that is generously allowing 100.1 points per contest. Also, we actually think Miami is capable of scoring more points tonight vs. a Toronto defense that has not exactly been stifling people lately.
Add this all up, and we see this game ending up in the vicinity of 200 points.
NBA Free Pick: Raptors, Heat Over 191.5
Louisiana Tech @ Fresno State u130.0
The Louisiana Tech Bulldogs are truly one of the worst teams in the country, and with the opponents, the Fresno State Bulldogs, doing most of the scoring tonight, that should make it hard for this game to go Over the total.
Louisiana Tech is averaging 58.2 points per game on a poor 39.4 percent shooting overall, but as bad as those numbers are, they have been ever worse on the road where they average just 54.4 points while hitting a pathetic 38.4 percent from the field. The first meeting between these schools in Ruston this season went easily Under in a 61-44 Fresno triumph.
In fact, the Under is now 4-1 in the last five head-to-head meetings. Fresno State is not exactly tearing things up right now either, losing four of their last five games. In the three regulation time losses during this stretch, the most points the scored is 67. A duplicate effort here would basically ensure a safe Under.
We look for a carbon copy of the first meeting between the teams this season.
CBB Free Pick: Louisiana Tech, Fresno State Under 130
Ted Sevransky
New Orleans Hornets @ Utah Jazz o202.0
Utah and New Orleans are a pair of excellent offensive teams. The Jazz spread the ball around the floor, with big men that can hit from the perimeter and little guys like who can drive to the basket. That offensive gameplan should work quite well against the Hornets, a team that likes to keep their big men packed in the paint on the defensive side of the court. It certainly worked well in the first meeting between these two teams, a 28 point Jazz victory, and it’s worked for the Warriors and Kings, New Orleans’ last two opponents, who poured in 112 and 116 points respectively against the Hornets. We can expect Jerry Sloan to keep the Jazz pushing the pace and spread out on the floor, two factors that play against the Hornets strength’s defensively.
But the Hornets are more than capable of trading points with the Jazz, thanks to their own ability to penetrate and create good looks near the basket. Point guard Chris Paul is playing at an MVP level, and we can project that his ability to penetrate the paint will allow the Hornets to get more than their fair share of good looks at the basket, while providing plenty of opportunities to score points with the clock stopped, from the foul line. Look for New Orleans’ current run of seven Overs in their last nine games to continue this evening. Take the Over.
MATT RIVERS
For Monday take the Heat at home
The Heat are gutless and as horrific and underachieving as any team that I have ever seen but this is a bit much for even them to be getting at home. With Dwyane Wade at least on the court Miami at home certainly can hang with a good but far from great Raptor team. Don't get me wrong I really do like Chris Bosh a lot and Toronto is extremely capable as they are a talented bunch with quality pieces like Jose Calderon, Andrea Bargnani, Anthony Parker and others but on the road I do not see them just winning this thing going away.
The Heat have got to start winning some games as Wade is still half a stud and even without Shaq there is enough here to string together something before the season is over. Obviously the playoffs were out of reach months ago and Miami has only pride to play for but in South Beach against a team that is not an elite squad I'll take my chances on this home dog for sure
Toronto was embarassed in that last game at home by the tired Lakers and should not do a complete 180 today.
TONY WESTON
At first glance I thought my eyes were playing tricks on me. The line set for this Nuggets-Blazers game is absolutely ridiculous. But, that?s OK. We can just take advantage of it.
The Portland Trailblazers have lost five straight games ATS coming into tonight?s game and haven?t won a game ATS since getting a win over the Atlanta Hawks on Jan. 21.
The Nuggets, on the other hand, have gone 5-1 ATS their L6 games and after the return of Carmelo Anthony to the lineup on Saturday, Denver looks better than it has all year.
Melo had 25 points in that game Saturday, while Allen Iverson added 24 and reserve Linas Kleiza added 23.
Offensively, the Nuggets are starting to get rolling, having incrementally scored more points in each of their L4 games, going from 85 to 93 to 106 to 117.
Denver will continue that scoring trend and make easy work of the Blazers.
3* NUGGETS (1* to 5* Scale)
Bobby Maxwell
This is the game of the year in the West Coast Conference and if it's a big game we're going to put our money behind the experience of Gonzaga, especially with the Bulldogs getting points in this one.
Gonzaga got a double-OT win at Santa Clara Saturday, 87-82, as a 7 1/2-point road favorite. The Bulldogs are on an 8-3 ATS roll in conference play and they have that experience of being in big games and delivering big performances in NCAA Tournament games.
A week ago we saw St. Mary's get slapped around by San Diego 63-55 and look very average in that one. They might be 5-1 in WCC action and putting up 76 or more points in every win, but we saw what a little defense could do to them last Monday.
Gonzaga is averaging 83.5 points per game in conference play and will likely get in a shootout with St. Mary's in this one. We're going to grab the points with the Bulldogs and back Gonzaga.
4* GONZAGA
JIM FEIST
While the Orlando Magic were resting at home Sunday watching football, the Mavericks were in Detroit battling the Pistons. Now they have to fly south and play the next night, and Dallas is a .500 road team with a losing ATS mark. Orlando is not only rested but on a roll, winning 4 in a row. The Magic are 7-1 with Carlos Arroyo in the starting lineup. The Magic's system favors the 3-point shot, and they hit 14 of 25 (56 percent) the last game, a win over Indiana. Dallas has a lack of guard depth because of injuries, making it tougher to defend the three-point arc. Play the Magic!
DAVE COKIN
The shocking run for the Blazers appears to have come to a close, at least from a pointspread perspective. Portland is mired in a really bad ATS run right now. It looks to me like the Nuggets are the value here getting the points."
James Patrick Sports
Missouri vs. Kansas
The Jayhawks let us down on Saturday as they showed the effects of a hand-over, in off their loss to rival Kansas State. Back home in Allen Fieldhouse it should be back to business as usual as we like #726 Kansas Jayhawks as our Monday College Basketball selection.
Hot Lock sports
New Orleans Hornets vs Utah Jazz
Over 203
Non TV game here with the the OVER 4-1 L 5 overall for NO and 20-6 L 26 with 2 days rest. The OVER is 7-3 L 10 when Utah faces a team with a winning % (over.600) which highlights the fact they run with good teams vs shutting them down. We expect this game to end at about 109-105, Over for 3 units
Gator's NBA/CBB 70% Report
NBA
Monday: Play On NBA road teams with a team that allows 92-98 PPG against a team that allows 98-102 PPG after 42+ games, after a combined score of 205 points or more 2 straight games 37-13 ATS since 1996 (74.0%) PLAY: Toronto -8