VEGAS SPORTS PICS
Providence Friars + 5 over Georgetown Hoyas
No.9 Georgetown (20-4, 10-3) at Providence (13-12, 4-9) is 25-6 last 31 home games and 2-1 vs. Hoyas last 3 meetings. The Friars are in "need to win" mode to make the Big East tournament.
Xavier Musketeers - 2 over (at) Rhode Island Rams
Rhode Island (20-5, 6-4) vs. No.12 Xavier (21-4, 9-1) is 22-4 last 26 A-10 reg-season games. The Musketeers leading the A-10 with a plus 14.4 scoring margin are 9-1 last ten meetings.
Texas Longhorns - 4 over Texas A&M Aggies
No.16 A&M (20-5, 6-4) at No.11 Texas (21-4, 8-2) has posted a nation's most 3 wins over teams currently ranked in the AP Top 6. The Horns, 13-1 home, are 15-5 vs. A&M under coach Barnes
Seabass
7* Manhattan +4.5
10* RI +2
10* Pepperdine +13.5
20* St Petes +14
20* Gtown -5
20* San Jose Sharks
Insiders
100* SD +7.5
Cajun Sports CBB
Game: Texas A&M vs. Texas
Time: 9:00 PM EST
Line: Texas -4
Rating: TWO-Star
Selection: TEXAS LONGHORNS -4
Analysis
Some series are dominated by the home team and this series happens to be one of them. The home team in this series has won the last eight straight meetings and has posted a 6-2 against the spread mark during this run. A&M held serve in College Station back on Jan. 30th as they trounced the Horns 80 to 63. A&M shot 56.3% from the field while Texas shot a horrible 34.4%. The story was the same from behind the arc as A&M shot 53.8% and Texas was only able to hit 30.8% from three point land. Since that loss the Longhorns have reeled off 5 straight wins both SU and ATS included in those five wins are Baylor twice, at Iowa State, at Oklahoma and of course their huge win over Kansas. A&M enters this contest off a home loss to Oklahoma State 59 to 54 as a 12.5 point home favorite on Saturday. A&M had their confidence shaken on Saturday and Austin is not the place to try and regain it. The Longhorns will be looking to avenge that double-digit loss in College Station and we know that the Horns are 5-1 ATS in that role. Texas is also a perfect 4-0 both SU and ATS playing with revenge versus Texas A&M their last four times to post. Finally we know that Coach Barnes is 26-14 ATS playing at home versus teams who are outscoring their opponents by 12+ points per game on the season. Hook'em HORNS
POINTWISE
LASALLE RATING: 4
SportsKingz
5 UNITS NIAGARA -12
Mighty Quinn
Marist
Matt Fargo
Wofford vs. Furman
Play: Furman
Wofford comes in after suffering back-to-back-to-back losses for the first time since mid-January. The Terriers are now 7-9 in the conference which is pretty below average considering some of the losses it has sustained. Wofford is 9-5 at home but only 4-7 on the road and now it is actually a road chalk for just the second time this season. The first came at The Citadel where the Terriers were favored by seven point and snuck out with a four-point victory over the 316th ranked team in the nation.
Furman is powerhouse but it is no Citadel either. The Paladins are coming off a blowout loss at Davidson but a return home can cure that. They have won three of their last four games at home including victories against NC-Greensboro and Charleston. Furman has six losses at home including defeats to Georgia Southern, Chattanooga, Davidson and Appalachian St. Those four teams comprise the top four teams in the entire conference so losses to them are not surprising at all.
Wofford is not a good team offensively and that is a huge edge for the Paladins. Furman is 0-13 when allowing its opponents to score 70 or more points, but 5-7 when holding the opposition below 70 points. The Terriers are averaging 64.4 ppg on the season including 62.9 ppg on 41.1 percent shooting on the road. Wofford has scored more than 70 points only once in its last seven games and just three times in its 11 road games. After allowing 77 ppg in its first 11 games, Furman has allowed only 68.1 ppg in its last 14 games.
This is the final home game this season for Furman and that always plays a big role for teams late in the season especially when there is no chance of another home contest come postseason time. To add even more incentive to the mix, the Paladins surely have not forgotten the first meeting this season as the Terriers blasted Furman 75-42 earlier this month. Furman was outshot by 28.3 percent from the floor including an unheard of 51.1 percent from three-point land.
The revenge factor also brings a spectacular situation into play. Play on underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points that are revenging a road blowout loss of 30 points or more and have a losing record on the season. This situation is 37-12 ATS (75.5 percent) over the last five seasons. The offensive struggles of Wofford have been contagious as it is 11-25 ATS in its last 26 games after scoring 30 points or less in the first half in two straight games. The home team have covered five of the last seven meetings as well.
Play Furman Paladins 1 Unit
Bill Young
Saint Peters vs. Niagara
Take Niagara Purple Eagles
1* on Niagara -14 Niagara faces a St. Peter’s team that is just 1-12 on the road this season. This may be a big spread, but you will be counting your chips by halftime. Niagara already beat St. Peter’s by 20 points on the road back on January 25th. Niagara is 9-1 SU and 5-2 ATS in their last 10 home meetings with St. Peter’s. Niagara won their last home contest with St. Peter’s by 33 points with a final score of 88-55. Niagara is 13-4 ATS when playing with one or less days rest over the last 2 seasons. Little rest does not bother this team, they are actually more sharp when this is the case. Take Niagara and lay the points.
John Martin
La Salle vs. Saint Josephs
Take La Salle Explorers
1 Unit on La Salle +13.5 La Salle has been one of the best road teams in the nation against the spread. Despite a losing road record, La Salle is a perfect 8-0 ATS in road games this season which is all that matters in this business. La Salle will not be falling by double-digits tonight when they take on St. Josephs. La Salle has enjoyed 4 road wins in their last 5 attempts away from home with their only loss coming against Xavier. They nearly beat Florida State on the road earlier this year as well. One thing is for certain, La Salle isn’t phased by playing on the road. St. Joe’s is 2-11 ATS off a home win over the last 2 seasons. Cash in with La Salle as the underdog.
Dunkel Index
Game 501-502: Georgetown at Providence
Dunkel Ratings: Georgetown 73.671; Providence 65.234
Dunkel Line: Georgetown by 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Georgetown by 5
Dunkel Pick: Georgetown (-5)
Game 503-504: Syracuse at Louisville
Dunkel Ratings: Syracuse 66.300; Louisville 73.844
Dunkel Line: Louisville by 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Louisville by 10 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Syracuse (+10 1/2)
Game 505-506: Xavier at Rhode Island
Dunkel Ratings: Xavier 70.858; Rhode Island 67.310
Dunkel Line: Xavier by 3 1/2
Vegas Line: Xavier by 2
Dunkel Pick: Xavier (-2)
Game 507-508: LaSalle at St. Joseph's
Dunkel Ratings: LaSalle 57.454; St. Joseph's 67.012
Dunkel Line: St. Joseph's by 9 1/2
Vegas Line: St. Joseph's by 13 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LaSalle (+13 1/2)
Game 509-510: Texas A&M at Texas
Dunkel Ratings: Texas A&M 71.473; Texas 72.975
Dunkel Line: Texas by 1 1/2
Vegas Line: Texas by 4
Dunkel Pick: Texas A&M (+4)
Game 511-512: Utah State at San Jose State
Dunkel Ratings: Utah State 57.513; San Jose State 54.420
Dunkel Line: Utah State by 3
Vegas Line: Utah State by 4
Dunkel Pick: San Jose State (+4)
Game 513-514: Portland at San Francisco
Dunkel Ratings: Portland 48.310; San Francisco 50.052
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 2
Vegas Line: San Francisco by 4 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Portland (+4 1/2)
Game 515-516: Santa Clara at Loyola-Marymount
Dunkel Ratings: Santa Clara 53.461; Loyola-Marymount 45.689
Dunkel Line: Santa Clara by 8
Vegas Line: Santa Clara by 11 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Loyola-Marymount (+11 1/2)
Game 517-518: St. Mary's (CA) at Pepperdine
Dunkel Ratings: St. Mary's (CA) 64.756; Pepperdine 54.793
Dunkel Line: St. Mary's (CA) by 10
Vegas Line: St. Mary's (CA) by 13 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Pepperdine (+13 1/2)
Game 519-520: Gonzaga at San Diego
Dunkel Ratings: Gonzaga 70.278; San Diego 59.970
Dunkel Line: Gonzaga by 10 1/2
Vegas Line: Gonzaga by 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Gonzaga (-7 1/2)
Game 521-522: Wofford at Furman
Dunkel Ratings: Wofford 51.480; Furman 45.782
Dunkel Line: Wofford by 6
Vegas Line: Wofford by 3 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Wofford (-3 1/2)
Game 523-524: Siena at Manhattan
Dunkel Ratings: Siena 57.023; Manhattan 47.819
Dunkel Line: Siena by 9
Vegas Line: Siena by 5
Dunkel Pick: Siena (-5)
Game 525-526: St. Peter's at Niagara
Dunkel Ratings: St. Peter's 45.572; Niagara 56.568
Dunkel Line: Niagara by 11
Vegas Line: Niagara by 14
Dunkel Pick: St. Peter's (+14)
Game 527-528: Rider at Loyola-MD
Dunkel Ratings: Rider 59.060; Loyola-MD 56.552
Dunkel Line: Rider by 2 1/2
Vegas Line: Loyola-MD by 2
Dunkel Pick: Rider (+2)
Game 529-530: Marist at Fairfield
Dunkel Ratings: Marist 52.337; Fairfield 49.443
Dunkel Line: Marist by 3
Vegas Line: Fairfield by 2
Dunkel Pick: Marist (+2)
Game 531-532: Iona at Canisius
Dunkel Ratings: Iona 49.523; Canisius 45.714
Dunkel Line: Iona by 4
Vegas Line: Iona by 6
Dunkel Pick: Canisius (+6)
Game 533-534: Austin Peay at Tennessee State
Dunkel Ratings: Austin Peay 51.185; Tennessee State 49.785
Dunkel Line: Austin Peay by 1 1/2
Vegas Line: Tennessee State by 1
Dunkel Pick: Austin Peay (+1)
NHL
Game 51-52: Carolina at New Jersey
Dunkel Ratings: Carolina 10.625; New Jersey 11.939
Dunkel Line & Total: New Jersey by 1 1/2; 4 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: New Jersey (-190); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: New Jersey (-190); Under
Game 53-54: San Jose at NY Islanders
Dunkel Ratings: San Jose 11.130; NY Islanders 11.234
Dunkel Line & Total: NY Islanders by 1/2; 5 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: San Jose (-125); 5
Dunkel Pick: NY Islanders (+105); Over
Game 55-56: Detroit at Colorado
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 10.419; Colorado 11.598
Dunkel Line & Total: Colorado by 1; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Detroit (-145); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (+125); Under
Game 57-58: Phoenix at Los Angeles
Dunkel Ratings: Phoenix 11.853; Los Angeles 11.288
Dunkel Line & Total: Phoenix by 1/2; 5 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Los Angeles (-120); 6
Dunkel Pick: Phoenix (+100); Under
Big Al McMordie
Siena Saints v/s Manhattan Jaspers
At 7 pm, our complimentary selection is on the Manhattan Jaspers plus the points over Siena, as Manhattan falls into a 56-32 ATS system of mine. What we want to do is play on any home dog of less than 9 points, at Game 12 of the season or later, that is off a double-digit win as a home dog. The Jaspers check into tonight's game off back to back wins (following an eight-game losing streak). On Friday, Manhattan blew out Marist 83-62 to avenge a 76-66 loss to the Red Foxes on January 7, and on Feb. 10, Manhattan beat Canisius by double-digits, 97-87. Now, the Jaspers will go for their third straight win, and will be seeking revenge from a 13-point loss to the Saints on January 17. Manhattan has won seven of its last 10 home games vs. Siena, and it will pull the upset tonight. Take the points.
WINNERS EDGE
Portland + 4 , 2 units
Georgetown - 5.5 , 2 units
Fairfield - 2 , 1 unit
BRW Sports Advisors
NHL
Carolina Hurricanes vs New Jersey Devils Over 5.5 (+120)
POWER INDEX
NHL
New Jersey* (-152) 1/2 over Carolina (+152)
N.Y. Islanders* (-112) even with San Jose (+112)
Detroit (-109) even with Colorado* (+109)
Los Angeles* (-110) even with Phoenix (+110)
Black Magic Sports
5 Unit Black Magic Atlantic-10 GOTY on Rhode Island +2.5
Rhode Island gets their chance to put their name on the map tonight. Despite their 20-5 record with 4 returning starters this season, Rhode Island continues to get no respect nationally. Xavier is a very good team that gets much respect, but they may be playing this game without their floor general and leader in point-guard Drew Lavender. Lavender injured his ankle in a 2-point win over Charlotte in Xavier's last game. Lavender went scoreless in that game and was 0-5 from the field. Even if he plays, he won't be effective enough for this Xavier team to pull off a big road win at Rhode Island. Rhode Island is a perfect 11-0 in home games this season, winning by 17 points per game. All 5 of their starters can score in double figures which makes this team a tough out for any opponent. Xavier is 1-9 ATS after 6 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons. Xavier has had several close wins lately, but they won't be escaping Rhode Island with another A-10 win tonight. Cash in with Rhode Island as the underdog.
3 Unit Sharp Play on Austin Peay +1
Austin Peay will continue to beat up on Tennessee State just as they have over the years. Austin Peay has won 9 out of their last 10 meetings with Tennessee State, yet they find themselves the dog in this match-up. We will gladly cash in on this line mistake set by oddsmakers tonight. Austin Peay has won 5 straight and 8 of their last 10 games to increase their record to 18-9 on the season. Austin Peay is 14-3 in conference play, while Tennessee State has a losing record within the conference. Tennessee State is 0-8 ATS in home games after playing 2 consecutive games as a home favorite since 1997. Tennessee State is 0-8 ATS after 1 or more consecutive wins this season. This is a great spot for Austin Peay. Cash in with Austin Peay as the underdog.
Free Play for February 18th:
1 Unit on La Salle +13.5
La Salle has been one of the best road teams in the nation against the spread. Despite a losing road record, La Salle is a perfect 8-0 ATS in road games this season which is all that matters in this business. La Salle will not be falling by double-digits tonight when they take on St. Josephs. La Salle has enjoyed 4 road wins in their last 5 attempts away from home with their only loss coming against Xavier. They nearly beat Florida State on the road earlier this year as well. One thing is for certain, La Salle isn’t phased by playing on the road. St. Joe’s is 2-11 ATS off a home win over the last 2 seasons. Cash in with La Salle as the underdog.
Locksmith Sports
1 Unit on St. Mary's -13.5
22-3 St. Mary's has a big edge over 9-17 Pepperdine tonight. The Gaels barely sneaked by in the first meeting this season, but with a conference title well within their grasp, they will take care of business tonight and leave no doubt. Pepperdine has lost 10 consecutive games to ranked opponents. St. Mary's has won 5 in a row and 10 of its last 11. It is 8-3 ATS during that time frame. The Gaels are 9-1 in conference games this season and 7-3 ATS in those contests. The Gaels are 11-3 ATS versus poor teams who are outscored by their opponents by 4+ points/game over the last 2 seasons, 15-6 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons, 12-4 ATS versus poor defensive teams with a shooting pct defense of >=45% over the last 2 seasons, and 6-0 ATS in road games vs. poor rebounding teams outrebounded by opponents by 4+ per game after 15+games over the last 3 seasons. Take St. Mary's!
LT's Lock Of The Day
Louisville -10
LT Profits
San Jose State +4.5
The Utah State Aggies have quietly gone 18-8 this season, but they have not exactly played a killer schedule and we expect them to have a difficult time on the road vs. the San Jose State Spartans tonight.
Utah State’s schedule has been so weak in fact that they are have an RPI rating of 85, meaning that they probably need to win the WAC Tournament in order to reach the Big Dance in March. Worst of all, they have not been a good road team, going just 3-7 both straight up and against the spread away from home, getting outscored by an average of -6.7 points in those games. They are currently on a two-game losing streak with both losses coming on the road, and they have lost three of their last four road contests.
Now, San Jose State is 11-13 overall, but they have a winning 6-4 record here at home. Also, while the Spartans are just 3-8 in the conference, all three wins have come inside their last four home games, when they upset Nevada, New Mexico State and Fresno State.
Finally, while Utah State has won the last six head-to-head meetings SU, it is San Jose State that is 5-0 ATS in the last five matchups, and we look for that to continue tonight.
San Jose State +4.5