WILL SYKES
ATLANTA vs SAN ANTONIO
SYKE-O-ANALYSIS: This has got to be the biggest mistake I've seen Vegas put out a line. I've been saying all season how much of a SLEEPER the Hawks are going to be, but I'll be quite honest though. The Hawks haven't looked so great after playing against the Warriors with a big lead and almost blowing it in the 3rd quarter, but that was not due to the fact of the efficiency of the Hawks, the Warriors just always have kick left in them. The Hawks also lost against the Utah in their previous game two nights ago. Losing that game wasn't as bad as you think it was. The Hawks lost by 6 points as 13 points dogs on the road against Utah. They actually won that game in my eyes. They out rebound boozer and company by 6 rebounds, and also out shot e'm percentage wise, but the only thing that killed them was the TO ratio where they turned the ball over ten times more. But as you can see they've improved alot on the glass and shooting. Here's where it gets better, the Spurs have been struggling to get their 6th game winning streak, they've contested that twice this season and failed to win the next game. Once again the Spurs are the same situation and laying 12 points as dogs. Here's where I find the game most valuable, the Spurs allow 45% shooting (giving up 91ppg), while the Hawks only shoot 44% (95ppg) any team that allows a team to shoot more (percentage wise) and giving up a double digit line (has been MONEY, I'm not going to give you guys the exact ATS because it's to outrageous to give out, and took me all night to cap) With these numbers, Spurs allowing 91ppg and Hawks scoring 95ppg, in reality if the Spurs don't play defensively and give up their average 91ppg, means that the Spurs have to score 113 points in tonight's game, which is pretty hard considering that they only score 96ppg. As we can see we have alot of window to work with here. Even if the Hawks slump it anything around 90 points is money, and the way the Hawks have been playing lately, newest guard for the Hawks has been contributing points since his debut. Looks for the Spurs to struggle covering this line, they'll need a monster game offensively and defensively, but as we can see the Spurs haven't been Spurs and are looking older and slower in this western conference. Don't get psyched here by following the public in this huge dog. This play is rated as a 5* GEM, so you don't want to miss this and just stick with Sykes as we find another SLEEPER dog running around.
SLEEPER GEM: Atlanta Hawks +12
Seen IndianCowboy's Pick? He's got one today. Thanks
INDIAN COWBOY
Hornets -10 (pod)
2-0 Sunday - Raptors 5* Game of the Month (and Penn State). Now 11-2 on 5* in 2007 Selections and Still Perfect on the 2007 NBA Season with the GOM - still haven't done a college game of the Month for February - but perfect on that as well.
Just 1 play today - not overly fond of the card - looking forward to more plays later this week. The Hornets are in a decent spot today as they come off frustrating losses on the road to the Spurs - a game that was not as close as the final score indicated at times as this team was getting blown out early given that the Spurs had revenge. The Hornets also had a tough ballgame against the red hot rockets at home losing by 20. This team needs a big win and when they need a big win, they typically respond well at home where they have the shooters to run up the score. I actually like Washington and have backed them plenty of times before and in fact, this team has covered the last 5 of 6. But besides the bigs down low of Jamison and Haywood and a decent outside shot with Stephenson (a great fantasy pick up as well) - this team struggles with depth still as they still have no Caron Butler. After all, if I'm not mistaken they had lost 9 straight before beating the Bobcats the other day - a play that I was on. This is a good team, but the Hornets and Coach Scott will simply be too focused today to get a big win and get back on track after some dissappointing losses of late. I'm not sure if these cats remember, but they lost by 22 to Washington at the end of last year so hopefully they will have some remnants of that. This should be a close game, but I believe the 3rd and 4th quarter similar to the Raptors game yesterday, the depth will be simply too much as the Hornets likely win this ballgame by 15. The Wizards are 0-4 ATS as an underdog of this margin of late, the Hornets are 8-3 ATS following an ATS loss an the home team is 5-1 ATS in this matchup of late.
Josh Dean
10* Marquette -1
5* Spurs -12
5* Raptors -3
Free B: Kansas St.
cheers
LAS VEGAS TECH REPORT (LVTR)
TORONTO -3
WASHINGTON vs NEW ORLEANS OVER 194
Dr. Bob
2 Star Selection
**L.A. CLIPPERS (+9 1/2) over Boston
3-Stars at +10 or more.
Special K
20* Kansas St
7* Hawks - Nuggets
Net Prophet
NBA:
Washington/New Orleans OVER 194
Atlanta/San Antonio OVER 187
NHL:
Buffalo/Philadelphia OVER 6 +105
The Real Animal
5* KState -3
4*Gonzaga -16.5
3* San Diego +11.5
The Killer Move's
10* Chicago
10* Chicago/Dallas OVER