Arthur Ralph
Super Picks Charlotte Bobcats
900 GOLD KEY winner Minn Timberwolves
Wunderdog
Chicago at New Orleans
Pick: New Orleans -4.5
The Hornets have exceeded expectations this season while the Bulls have certainly under-achieved all year long. The Hornets have been whipping the lesser teams of the NBA all season long, and since December 22nd they have been just destroying these teams. They have met nine teams with sub-.500 records at home since December 22nd, and they are 9-0 SU and 8-1 ATS vs. those teams. The only blemish was a missed cover by one point vs Memphis. None of these teams have come within double-digits and the average winning margin has been an amazing 21.2 ppg. The Bulls have covered some big lines on the road vs winning teams, but overall they are just 6-10 ATS vs .500+ teams on the road. When the line is down to 6.5 or less against the .500+ teams they are just 1-4 ATS. Thehe lone cover came vs Portland, a marginal winning team at 35-32. David West will likely not play, but he didn't play against New Jersey and they won by 11. He was also absent vs. Atlanta and they won by 15! Hornets by double-digits here.
Any Indiancowboy? Thanks.
LAS VEGAS TECH REPORT (LVTR)
CHICAGO BULLS vs NEW ORLEANS
Play: NEW ORLEANS -5 (NBA)
Comments: LAS VEGAS TECH REPORT (LVTR) SELECTION: NEW ORLEANS -5 (NBA)
LAS VEGAS TECH REPORT (LVTR): COLORADO vs DALLAS
Play: COLORADO +10 IN ARENA FOOTBALL ( BUY 1/2 HOOK IF NEEDED)
Comments: LAS VEGAS TECH REPORT (LVTR) SELECTION: COLORADO +10 IN ARENA FOOTBALL ( BUY 1/2 HOOK IF NEEDED) ^^^^ No doubt in our minds that Dallas wins this contest SU but as you know, that means nothing for us bettors who play the ATS. We feel Dallas is the better team but not overwhleming to be getting 10 points. This opens up a huge gap for a back door cover by Colorado. You can liken Arena ball to basketball where no matter what happens, 100% effort comes out in the 4th and it definitely helps the dog teams in covering ATS lines. Dallas will be fired up tonight as they are attempting to be the third team in AFL history to win 14 consecutive home games with a victory, joining Orlando and San Jose. The great equalizer is the fact Colorado is coming off a bye week. They are well rested only playing one game going into the bye and with two weeks to prepare for this game, Colorado should be able to stay within the ATS line of +10. If you opt to go on your own, don't take anything less than a +9 on this dog.
LAS VEGAS TECH REPORT (LVTR): COLORADO vs DALLAS
Play: COLORADO vs DALLAS OVER 95.5 (ARENA FOOTBALL)
Comments: LAS VEGAS TECH REPORT (LVTR) SELECTION: COLORADO vs DALLAS OVER 95.5 (ARENA FOOTBALL) This one will be a close one but look for this total to skim past 100 points by games end.
INDIAN COWBOY
PLAY OF THE DAY: CLEVELAND vs ORLANDO
Play: Orlando Magic -6.5 (POD) (3 units)
Comments: INDIAN COWBOY'S PLAY OF THE DAY: Orlando Magic -6.5 (POD) (3 units) I waited for the line to come down slightly from -7 as I figured the public would jump on the Cavs and so they did. The public likes the Cavs 2:1 here and let them. The Magic lost to this team at home as a favorite and the Cavs won outright in Orlando last time out. The Magic come off some nice wins at home lately, but more importantly, they lost to this Cavs team and the Cavs have not played well on the road of late losing to the Nets, Washington and Bulls . You better believe that the Magic are cognizant of the fact the Cavs ended up winning last time out, Van Gundy will more than remind them and this team should be fired up to play the Cavs. Keep in mind that when the Cavs defeated the Magic last time they were coming off a loss, and this time around, they come off some nice wins at home so they will not have that sense of urgency in the first half in my opinion. The Magic are 7-1-1 ATS in their last 9 home games and the Cavs are 1-5 ATS in the last 6 meetings.
INDIAN COWBOY: Boston Celtics vs San Antonio Spurs
Play: San Antonio Spurs (3 units)
Comments: INDIAN COWBOY SELECTION: San Antonio Spurs (3 units) ^^^ Spurs -3.5 (3 units) Can you believe the Spurs have lost their last 5 of 6 ballgames, and even with that they are 44-22. This team still is fine when it comes to making the playoffs, but with 1st and 8th place in the division separated by 4.5 games, you better believe there is a HUGE sense of urgency for this team to win this ballgame with many teams breathing down their neck for the playoff spot and seating as well. The Spurs lost to some good teams on the road however including the Pistons, Hornets, Sixers, Suns and Nuggets. This team is playing healthy and the bottom line is that these are the defending Champs. They come home after a brutal road trip and need a big win and you better believe their defensive intensity will be high today and the crowd will be behind them in a big way. This could be a championship preview as well and Pop will get the most out of his boys today in my opinion, and don't forget the Spurs play with revenge today as well from a previous loss on the road at Boston. Spurs take it down for all of these reasons in my opinion.
INDIAN COWBOY: ATLANTA HAWKS vs WASHINGTON WIZARDS
Play: ATLANTA HAWKS MONEYLINE +201 (1 unit)
Comments: INDIAN COWBOY SELECTION: ATLANTA HAWKS MONEYLINE +201 (1 unit) My standard units are 3 units typically, but I am taking a shot on 3 games with +200 or better Moneylines. I am also tacking on 2 additional standard plays for 3 units a piece as well. I cannot stand +5.5 or +6 dogs. I do enjoy +9 or better dogs. Time and time again, I have seen +5.5 and +6 dogs in the NBA hang in all the way and then fall short late due to free throws or what not just as many times as I have seen them cover. In fact, most of the time they do cover, they end up winning outright. The purpose of doing 3 ML dogs, if the day is about making profit, if one of the dogs hit, and the other 2 fail, it breaks even. If 2 of the 3 hits, it shows profit, I either do 1 ML on a dog that is +5.5 or + or just not play it at all. As per this play, the Hawks could very well win this game outright. This is a team that they lost to at home in overtime and of course, this team remembers that. Tack on the fact that Haywood is listed as probable for this game and the Hawks have begun to play slightly better on the road and are competing desperately for that last playoff spot against the Nets, they need this game a lot more than the Wizards do. This should be an up and down game, but I like the Hawks to start off strong here and end up pulling away as without Haywood the Wiz lose some size down low. Of course, this is not ATS so trends would not make sense here, but I like the Hawks to have a shot at winning this game outright.
INDIAN COWBOY: LA CLIPPERS vs MINNESOTA TIMBERWOLVES
Play: LA CLIPPERS MONEYLINE +227 (1 unit)
Comments: INDIAN COWBOY SELECTION: LA CLIPPERS MONEYLINE +227 (1 unit) The Clips might be without Kaman today but they were without Kaman yesterday when they nearly took down the Wizards on the road in overtime. The Clips showed a ton of heart and they are in a similar situation against the Twolves today who also beat them in L.A. and they are looking for revenge as well. Look, this is one of those plays where you either take a shot on the Clippers for 1 unit on the ML, similar to the Hawks and the Bulls, or you don't play it at all. This is exactly what major league baseball is all about, taking dogs that you believe can win outright as of course, there is no against the spread in baseball. It's all about value, and more often than not, the Clips in this same situation with revenge, will have a 50/50 shot at beating the Twolves in my opinion and I will gladly throw some down on the money line to see that happen. The Twolves have played decent ball of late and come home off a loss, but I look for the Clips to be very competitive today, and remember, the Sonics defeated this Minny team on the road, so it can be done. I'll take the Clips at more than 2 :1 dog here today on the ML.
INDIAN COWBOY: CHICAGO BULLS vs NEW ORLEANS HORNETS
Play: CHICAGO BULLS MONEYLINE + 187 (1 unit)
Comments: INDIAN COWBOY SELECTION: CHICAGO BULLS MONEYLINE + 187 (1 unit) There is something very shady about this game. I want you to follow me here: Here you have the Hornets coming off a 20+ point thumping on the road to Detroit, they come back home and play a Bulls team they defeated on the road fairly handily, and over 80% of the public is riding the Hornets, and yet the line continues to go down. Takers? The reason why this is the case is because the Bulls got thumped in the 4th quarter against the Sixers 40-20 and gave up a MASSIVE lead and it was a flat out collapse. The Bulls likely have been itching to play since that ballgame due to that terrible collapse with that sour taste in the mouth and not to mention avenge their earlier season loss to the Hornets. This is another one of those games, you take it on the ML or you don't play it at all as it is similar to baseball except you play it on a notch lower as baseball you flat bet these at 3 units but in basketball, because there is ATS you just bet them for 1 unit as it is in that odd +5 to +6.5 range which I despise. I'll take the money line here on the Bulls as I do like the reasoning and I like the odd line movement in favor of it.
WILL SYKES
BOSTON vs SAN ANTONIO
SYKE-O-ANALYSIS: The Spurs have slumped and lost 3 games straight. Those 3 consecutive loses have come away from home. Now they return back after one days rest, where the Spurs are a mediocre 19-17-2 ATS with one days rest. With all that being said, the Spurs haven't lost 4 consecutive games since January of 2001. Another thing is that the Spurs haven't seen a 7 game ATS losing streak in more than a decade (April of 1994) Being a the NBA defending Champs, I find it hard to believe that the Spurs are going to break those records on their own home court. Being St.Patricks day, the public is slightly backing Celtic Pride, but there's no way I'm back a team that may not have one of their All Stars playing today. I know that the Celtics have already beaten the Spurs the last time they dueled, but in that last game the Spurs starting point guard Tony Parker was out. Look for the Spurs to stick it to them tonight and get REVENGE as they head back home after a tough road trip. The Spurs know what's at steak in the Western Conference race, they'll put on their veteran experience to work tonight and get the job done with no contest. Rate this play as a 4* DIAMOND, and don't get psyched by the lines makers as the dog looks to good to be true on St. Patrick's day. Just stick with Sykes as another REVENGE spot buys me another DIAMOND.
REVENGE DIAMOND: San Antonio Spurs -3.5
Net Prophet
Arena Football
Dallas/Colorado OVER 95'
NBA
Atlanta +6 over Washington
The Fat Jack
THE LA CLIPPER GAME TO GO UNDER THE TOTAL OF 196
Michael Cannon
10 Dime –
CAVALIERS
Take the points with the Cavs tonight when they travel to take on the Magic.
The visiting dog has covered the last four meetings in this series and Cleveland has a great chance at pushing that to five tonight.
That’s because the Cavs, who played at home last night versus the Bobcats, have been money in the second of back-to-back games, covering five of the last six times in that role.
Cleveland should also receive a boost from the return of Zydrunas Ilgauskas, who is probable tonight after missing time with a strained back.
The Cavs are also much better matching up with Dwight Howard now that Ben Wallace is in the mix.
Take the points with the Cavaliers as they stay within the number tonight.
5 Dime –
WIZARDS
Lay the points with the Wizards tonight when they host the Hawks.
Both teams should come out fired up for this matchup as Washington tries to maintain its playoff position while Atlanta is hungry to make the postseason for the first time in years.
But I like the Wizards in this spot, as they’ve gone 14-6 ATS as a home chalk so far this year.
The trends would seem to favor the Hawks as the visiting dog has covered all three meetings this season, but Washington has a big advantage with the return of Caron Butler to action.
The Wizards have won and covered three of the last four meetings with the Hawks, and Atlanta comes into tonight’s game on a 1-6 ATS slide.
Lay the points with the Wizards as they grab the home win and cover.
Wayne Root
Chairman - Jazz
Millionaire - Spurs
GOLD SHEET'S LTS
MINNESOTA (-6 1/2)-home over L.A. Clippers
UTAH (-13 1/2)-home over Toronto
Wunderdog NBA
Game: Cleveland at Orlando
Pick: 4 units on First Half UNDER 101.5 -110 (risk 4 to win 3.6)
This should be a good game to watch and you would think Orlando will have the edge at home where they are 21-12. We will look to the first-half total though. Cleveland has been a very good defensive team all season but lately they have stepped it up. They have held their last five opponents to just 44.8 ppg in the first half. Orlando's defense is fairly weak on the road but at home it's solid. Orlando is 84-67 UNDER in the first half the past two seasons including 54-36 as a favorite. They are 42-25 UNDER over that span coming off an OVER. This season they are 15-7 UNDER after scoring triple-digits in three straight games and 20-11 UNDER in the first half after a game in which 205+ points were scored. Cleveland is 11-3 UNDER in the first half on the road vs. winning teams this season. We like this one to come in the 90s.
Game: Charlotte at Memphis
Pick: 3 units on Memphis +2 (-110) (risk 3 to win 2.7)
Pick: 3 units on Game Total OVER 208 -110 (risk 3 to win 2.7)
Here we have a team that is just 6-25 SU on the road and is now favored. How crazy is this? It's only the second time in franchise history that Charlotte takes to the road as a favorite. Memphis certainly is a place and team that provides justification to such a rare event. But upon deeper analysis of the numbers, there is truely no value in Charlotte in this situation. Memphis has won just two games in their last 21, which happens to be the number of times they have played a team with a losing record at home. The two wins came when they played a team with a losing record at home! Since the first of the year, Memphis is just 7-28 overall and 6-11 at home. They are 0-10 SU and 0-10 ATS vs teams .500+ at home in this stretch. They are 6-1 SU and ATS at home vs losing teams. They are 3-0 in this same situation since they traded Gasol. The season shows a similar story. They are 1-16 ATS at home vs winning teams, and 9-3 ATS vs losing teams. On the surface this line looks viable, but when you really breakdown what is happening within the number, this line is completely off! Charlotte has never won or covered at Memphis, and the Grizzlies have an opportunity to revenge an earlier loss here. We like the Grizzlies to exploit a bad line, and come away with the home win. We also like the OVER as Charlotte is allowing 103.3 per game on the road and Memphis 106.7 per game at home. Memphis also puts up 102.6 per game at home. Charlotte is 29-16 OVER the past three seasons in the second of back-to-back road games. They are also 20-8 OVER the past two seasons after three straight losses. Memphis and the OVER here.
Game: Chicago at New Orleans
Pick: 3 units on New Orleans -4.5 (-110) (risk 3 to win 2.7)
The Hornets have exceeded expectations this season while the Bulls have certainly under-achieved all year long. The Hornets have been whipping the lesser teams of the NBA all season long, and since December 22nd they have been just destroying these teams. They have met nine teams with sub-.500 records at home since December 22nd, and they are 9-0 SU and 8-1 ATS vs. those teams. The only blemish was a missed cover by one point vs Memphis. None of these teams have come within double-digits and the average winning margin has been an amazing 21.2 ppg. The Bulls have covered some big lines on the road vs winning teams, but overall they are just 6-10 ATS vs .500+ teams on the road. When the line is down to 6.5 or less against the .500+ teams they are just 1-4 ATS. Thehe lone cover came vs Portland, a marginal winning team at 35-32. David West will likely not play, but he didn't play against New Jersey and they won by 11. He was also absent vs. Atlanta and they won by 15! Hornets by double-digits here.
Teddy Covers AFL
AFB Dallas Over 94
ANALYSIS: There have been 16 games so far this season in the AFL. Only two of those games have produced less than 97 total points. The Desperados played 17 games last year. Only two of them produced less than 99 points. Colorado had a handful of games that went Under 97 last year, but again, that is the exception, not the rule. Much like in the NFL, even when the numbers point towards a very low total, say 34.5 or less, the long term numbers show that betting Overs in those games is extremely profitable. I’m more than willing to bet Over 94 every time I see a total this low in the AFL.
And there’s little reason to think that these two teams won’t be capable of trading touchdowns. The Desperados defense is getting far too much credit for shutting down two of the weakest offenses in the league so far, Columbus and Georgia. Colorado, too, faced Columbus in their lone previous game this season, with the Destroyers arguably the strongest Under team in the league right now. It’s surely worth noting that Crush QB John Dutton, who struggled with the lowest QB rating of any full time starter in the league last year looked rock solid in Week 1, connecting on 66% of his passes with a 6:1 touchdown to interception ratio.
Meanwhile, Desperados backup QB Chris Sanders threw five TD’s without a pick in his first start with the team last week. Both QB’s currently rank in the Top eight in the league in QB rating, making the Over an easy bet to make (and cash) on Monday Night. Take the Over. Current Total 94. Worth playing up to 97.5.
he Green Kings
NBA HOOPS:
Toronto vs. Utah under the total of 213
Orlando -6
Washington -5
LA Clippers +7
Charlotte -2
Erin Rynning
Charlotte -2 / playmaker