Rocketman Sports
Los Angeles Clippers vs. Miami Heat
Play: Miami Heat -10
LA Clippers are getting a little healthier but leading scorer Zach Randolph (22 ppg) and Chris Kaman (13.9 ppg) are still out. LA Clippers are 56-88 ATS last 3 years as an underdog. LA Clippers are 39-65 ATS last 3 years when playing a team with a winning record. Clippers are 17-35 ATS in their last 52 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game. Clippers are 21-46-1 ATS in their last 68 games as an underdog of 5.0-10.5. Clippers are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 games as a road underdog of 5.0-10.5. Clippers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record. Clippers are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 vs. NBA Southeast. Clippers are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Clippers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game. Clippers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. Eastern Conference. Clippers are 5-23 ATS in their last 28 Monday games. Clippers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a S.U. loss. Clippers are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog. Clippers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a SU loss of more than 10 points. Clippers are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog. Clippers are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 road games. Clippers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS loss. Clippers are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games overall. Heat are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a double-digit loss at home. Heat are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a losing S.U. record. Heat are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games playing on 1 days rest. Heat are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. loss. Heat are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. Heat are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game. Heat are 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 vs. NBA Pacific. Heat are 13-5-1 ATS in their last 19 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. Heat are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game. Heat are 11-5-1 ATS in their last 17 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. We'll recommend a small play on Miami tonight!
Alex Smart
Calgary Flames -140
The Calgary Flames(30-14-4) enter into this contest against their hosts the Colorado Avalanche (23-26-1) on a red hot 14-3-1 , thanks in part of the play of their goaltender Mikka Kiprusoff, who has started in 17 of those tilts, notching a 14-2-1 record during that span along with a stellar 2.56 GAA. The native of Turku, Finlands current form and his recent successes that have seen his Flames go 7-1-1 with a 1.57 GAA and two shutouts in his last nine starts in this series , make the visitors the right side again in this spot. It must be noted that these teams have played 5 times this season, with Calgary winning 4 of those contests. The only loss for the Flames came by a 6-2 count when, back up netminder Curtis McIlhinney started between the pipes.
Final notes & Key Trends: Colorado has lost 7 of their L/8 overall and have been on the wrong side of the score sheet in 5 of their L/6 home games.
Play on Calgary - (We are not getting much value here, so lets makes this a minimal/conservative wager)
John Ryan
LA Lakers at New York
Ai Simulator 3* graded play on Knicks as the host the Lakers slated to start at 7:30 EST. Supporting this graded play is a system that has gone 32-10 ATS for 76% since 1996. Play against road teams after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games facing an opponent after successfully covering the spread in 6 or more consecutive games. Knicks are 15-7 ATS (+7.3 Units) versus good 3 point shooting teams making >=36% of their attempts this season.
Play on: New York
Complimentary Selection - Jeff Benton
Nice free-play winner with the Cavaliers over the Pistons on Sunday. For Monday’s freebie, we’ll head to the NBA and lay the big points with the Miami Heat.
You know the Clippers are completely dreadful when I’m laying double digits with a Miami squad that A) has lost two straight games to the Pacers (road) and Mavericks (home) by 11 and 15 points, respectively; and B) is 1-4 ATS as a big favorite this year (eight points or more).
Well, here’s what the Clippers have done lately: five straight double-digit losses, and we’re talking margins of 15, 25, 20, 17 and 12 points against the likes of the Warriors, Blazers, Bulls, Cavaliers and Wizards. Los Angeles failed to cover in all five games while averaging 88.8 points per contest (40.8 percent shooting percentage) and allowing 106.6 ppg (48.8 percent shooting).
There’s more: The Clippers have lost 19 of their last 21 games, with nine of the last 11 defeats being by double digits, including five consecutive lopsided SU and ATS road losses (Washington, Cleveland, Golden State, New Orleans and San Antonio) by an average of 18.6 ppg. Really, dreadful isn’t a strong enough verb to describe Mike Dunleavy’s squad.
In a nutshell, this is the perfect opponent for Miami to get back on track. As it is, the Heat are 7-1 ATS in their last eight games after a double-digit home loss and 6-2-1 ATS in their last nine games against the Pacific Division. They’re also in a legit revenge spot, having lost consecutive one-point decisions to the Clippers, including a 97-96 setback on Nov. 19.
Yes, the Clippers got Marcus Camby and Baron Davis last week, but neither has logged many minutes or played very well when on the court. Also, L.A. is still without prolific scorer Zac Randolph. When you consider that that trio contributed 54 points, 15 assists and 30 rebounds in the November win over Miami, that’s pretty significant. Lay the points.
(based on a 1 to a 10 ♦ Rating)
3♦ MIAMI HEAT
Pregame.com total play of the day
Blazers: Portland brings a four-game winning streak into New Orleans following a 122-108 win over Utah on Saturday. The Blazers have won those four games by an average of 16.5 points and have not trailed by more than five points in any of them. “I’m happy that we controlled the game from the tip - we were probably the more physical and active team,” Portland leading scorer Brandon Roy said after beating the Jazz. “It felt good to beat them soundly. It didn’t come down to the last 4 minutes. We played well the entire game.”
PROJECTED SCORE: 89 (UNDER - Total Play of the Day)
The UNDER is 9-0 in Portland's last 9 games as an underdog.
Hornets (-4, O/U 187): New Orleans will try to avoid losing three straight for the first time this season after falling to San Antonio on Saturday, 106-93. The Hornets got 38 points from point guard Chris Paul but committed 14 turnovers to suffer their second loss in as many nights. “We sort of got frustrated a little bit and said ‘darn’ and got two techs,” Paul said. “I’m serious, I said ‘darn.’ I mean, I guess that’s not what you should say.” New Orleans has won two of the three meetings with Portland so far this season.
PROJECTED SCORE: 93
The UNDER is 10-2 in New Orleans' last 12 home games.
BE CAREFUL THE NUMBER HAS MOVED FROM 187 TO 184 ALREADY SO PERHAPS THIS PLAY IS NO GOOD