Jeff Scott Sports
4 UNIT PLAY (Total Of The Week)
Pittsburgh/ West Virginia Over 136.5
The Over is 7-2 in Mountaineers last 9 games as a road underdog of 7.0-12.5, while the 5-0 in Panthers last 5 games following a SU win of more than 20 points and 25-6 in their last 31 games as a home favorite of 7.0-12.5. The Panthers offense is clicking on all cylinders right now as they come in having put up 92, 29 and 93 in their last 3 games. For the year the Pitt offense has put up 78 ppg overall, including 84.3 ppg at home overall and 85.6 ppg in their last 5 games at home. Pitt's games overall have averaged 140 ppg, while their home games have put up 145.6 ppg and their Big East home games have averaged 151.3 ppg, with all 4 of their Big East home games going Over tonight's total.West Virginia's offense is not as strong as that of of pitt's, but they still pup 72.7 ppg overall and 71 ppg on the road. Mountaineer road games have averaged 137.4 ppg. Both teams do play very good defense, but the way Pitt has been scoring lately I don't see them being held down too much, while the Aveage West Virginia offense should get their fair share of points vs a Pitt defense that has allowed 71 ppg in their last 5 games. Should be a fun one to watch and the final should be somewhere in the mid to upper 140's.
3 UNIT PLAYS
Furman/ Elon Over 121.5
This really seem like a low OU line, comsidering that in Furman's last 10 games the average OU line was 134, while in Elon's last 10 games the average OU line was 134.8. Furma's games this year have averaged 131.9 ppg overall, including 131.6 ppg on the road and 130.3 ppg in conference play. Elon's games this year have averaged 135.7 ppg overall, 139.6 ppg at home and 135.3 ppg in conference play. Furman has had problems at the offensive end as they are averaging just 59.9 ppg overall and 56.8 ppg on the road, but their offense has gone up a bit lately as they have averaged 64.6 ppg in their last 5 games. Furman should be able to generate some points tonight vs an Elon defense that has allowed 70.8 ppg overall (ranks 252nd) and 45.9% shooting (297th), plus they have allowed 72.4 ppg at home and 71.3 ppg in Southern play. Elon's offense has not been that great this year either (63.1 ppg overall), but they have scored 67.2 ppg at home. Like Elon, the Furman defense has been weak as well. The Paladins come in ranked 248th in scoring defense (70.7 ppg) and 325th in FG% defense (47.2%). Furman also allowes 74.6 ppg on the road and 70.4 ppg in Southern play. Both of these defense's are very weak and they will allow these mediocre offenses to have a good night. I truly feel the OU line should be a bout 8 or 9 points higher, as this game will be played in the 130's.
Power Angle Play
Loyola-MD +14 over SIENA
The Greyhounds are 7-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings in Siena, while the Saints are 2-8-1 ATS in their last 11 home games vs. a team with a losing road record, plus the Underdog is 12-2 ATS in the last 14 meetings. despite losing their last 2 games, Loyola has still won 6 of their last 8. The Greyhounds may be 6-7 overall in the MAAC, but they have played pretty well in conference road games, going 4-3 and outscoring their foes by 2.4 ppg. Their only conference loss that was more than 14 points was back in December to Niagara. Overall on the road this year Loyola has been outscored by 6.7 ppg, while they have been outscored by 8.7 ppg in their 7 conference losses. Siena comes in with a 12-1 confernece record, but outscoting MAAC foes by just 9.5 ppg, including outscoring them by 11.7 ppg in their home games. It's true that Siena is the calss of the MAAC, but Loyola has found a way to keep from getting blownt out this year, especially on the road and I feel they will find a way to keep this one in single digits.
POWER ANGLE For This Play--- Loyola-MD is 28-5 ATS in it's last 33 road games in February.
2 UNIT PLAYS
Rider -1.5 over MARIST
The Broncs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. Metro Atlantic Athletic, while the Red Foxes are 3-8-1 ATS in their last 12 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record and 4-10 ATS in their last 14 home games. Rider comes in on a roll as they have won 4 or their last 5 games, including a big win over league leader Siena their last time out. Marist comes in heading in the other direction as they have lost 7 in a row and and they are 3-10 within the confines of the MAAC. The defenses are about even in this one, but Rider has the clear offensive advantage and they hit the offenssive board much better than that of Marist, plus they have the momemtum. Add it all up and you get a solid Rider win, weven though they are play in enemy territory tonight.
West Virginia +8.5 over PITTSBURGH
1 UNIT PLAY
Kansas +4.5 over MISSOURI
The Jayhawks are 12th in FG% defense (38.2%), plus they are 14th in offensive FG% (48.6%) and they hit their free throws at a 72.9% (49th) clip, plus they are the better rebounding team. A couple of ingredients you need to win on the road. Granted the Tigers can score a ton of points at home (89.3 ppg) and their overall defense is solid at home (62.4 ppg, but in their last 2 homes games they have allowed 86 and 72 points to Texas Tech and Baylor, respectively. Two teams that are iun the top 35 in scoring, just like the Jayhawks. Missouris ls also a horrible free throw shooting team, as they hit just 65.7% (259th) from the charity stripe and in what should be a close game that will cost them down the stretch. I see an outright upset here.
Boise State -1 over FRESNO STATE
KELSO
10 units each
Memphis -2
Missouri -4.5
Jim Hurley
West virginia +8
Missouri -4
LA Clippers +1
Memphis -2