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Jimmy The Moose

San Jose Sharks at Dallas Stars
Prediction: Under

Both team's have solid goaltenders that will keep this one a low scoring affair. The under is 5-1 in the Sharks last 6 games vs. a Pacific Division opponent. The under is 6-2 in their last 8 games following a win. Dallas has played under the total in 5 of their last 7 games. The under is 4-1 in their last 5 home games. The under is 7-2 in their last 9 vs. Western Conference opponents. The under is 5-1-1 in the last 7 meetings between the clubs. Play the under.

 
Posted : February 23, 2009 9:58 am
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Scott Spreitzer

Atlanta Hawks at Utah Jazz
Prediction: Utah Jazz

This is obviously an emotional time for the Jazz with Larry Miller passing away a couple of days ago. But the team is red-hot and they're playing for their owner's family according to a couple of players. Utah has won and covered four in a row and seven of their last eight once they began getting healthy. They have also won and covered seven straight at home. Three of those wins came against the Celtics, Hornets, and Lakers. Tonight, they're hosting an Atlanta Hawks' team that has dropped three straight ATS away from home. It's hard to imagine the Hawks breaking through against Utah's home dominance. The Jazz own a +11-margin as a home favorite this season. And Atlanta has no one to slow down the red-hot Deron Williams right now. Williams is averaging a double-double over the last nine games, scoring 27 ppg with 10 apg. Tough spot for the Hawks who have lost 14 in a row at Utah. I'm laying the points with the Jazz.

 
Posted : February 23, 2009 9:58 am
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Matt Fargo

Atlanta Hawks at Utah Jazz
Prediction: Atlanta Hawks

This is a value play on the Hawks. I was on Utah on Saturday as the Jazz cruised to an easy win over New Orleans. That play was largely based on the Hornets struggles as an underdog this season as well as the fact they were coming off a big-game loss against the Lakers in overtime the prior night. Now Utah is laying the same points to the Hawks who I think are a better team than New Orleans yet are not in the same public eye as the Hornets are. Atlanta has dropped two of three since the All-Star break and those two losses came against the Lakers and Blazers, two extremely solid teams. The Jazz fit into that same category but certain spots call for certain actions and this is one to fade Utah. The Jazz are ranked two spots higher than Atlanta in the NBA power rankings. They are just a half-game better yet have played a schedule ranked 29th in the NBA while Atlanta has played a schedule ranked 16. Those even each other out and the ranking difference is less than a point meaning on a neutral floor, these teams would be at a pickem. Therefore Utah should be no more than a four-point chalk here so there is the added value. Atlanta is 16-8 ATS this season as an underdog including 7-2 ATS when getting six or more points. Utah is just 10-12 against the Eastern Conference this season while Atlanta is a pretty solid 10-9 against the Western Conference. When playing with three or more days of rest, the Hawks are 6-2 straight up and 5-3 ATS. They have been off since Friday which is some good rest that is taking place in the latter half of this roadtrip. Play on road teams in the second half of the season that are allowing between 92 and 98 ppg going up against a team allowing between 98 and 102 ppg, after a combined score of 205 points or more two straight games. This situation is 45-19 ATS (70.3 percent) since 1996 with the average point differential actually favoring the road team by +3.2 ppg. The Hawks keep it close and dont be surprised if they take this one outright. 3* Atlanta Hawks

 
Posted : February 23, 2009 10:00 am
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DUNKEL

Indiana at New York
The Pacers are just 1-5 ATS as a road underdog between 3 1/2 and 6 points, while the Knicks are 17-11 ATS at home. New York is the pick (-6) according to Dunkel, which has the Knicks favored by 7 1/2. Dunkel Pick: New York (-6).

Game 501-502: Indiana at New York
Dunkel Ratings: Indiana 115.811; New York 123.228
Dunkel Line & Total: New York by 7 1/2; 232
Vegas Line & Total: New York by 6; 225
Dunkel Pick: New York (-6); Over

Game 503-504: Philadelphia at New Jersey
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia 120.814; New Jersey 114.380
Dunkel Line & Total: Philadelphia by 6 1/2; 188
Vegas Line & Total: Philadelphia by 1; 189 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-1); Under

Game 505-506: Atlanta at Utah
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta 117.213; Utah 123.766
Dunkel Line & Total: Utah by 6 1/2; 201
Vegas Line & Total: Utah by 7; 205
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (+7); Under

Game 507-508: Boston at Denver
Dunkel Ratings: Boston 125.275; Denver 125.635
Dunkel Line & Total: Even; 201
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 509-510: New Orleans at Sacramento
Dunkel Ratings: New Orleans 117.305; Sacramento 112.111
Dunkel Line & Total: New Orleans by 5; 199
Vegas Line & Total: New Orleans by 7 1/2; 203
Dunkel Pick: Sacramento (+7 1/2); Under

Game 511-512: Golden State at LA Clippers
Dunkel Ratings: Golden State 120.806; LA Clippers 112.181
Dunkel Line & Total: Golden State by 8 1/2; 235
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

NCAAB

Louisville at Georgetown
The Cardinals come in with a 6-1 ATS record in road games and face a Georgetown team that is 1-4 ATS as an underdog. Louisville is the pick (-1) according to Dunkel, which has the Cardinals favored by 4. Dunkel Pick: Louisville (-1).

Game 513-514: Louisville at Georgetown
Dunkel Ratings: Louisville 72.084; Georgetown 67.976
Dunkel Line: Louisville by 4
Vegas Line: Louisville by 1
Dunkel Pick: Louisville (-1)

Game 515-516: Kansas at Oklahoma
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas 72.654; Oklahoma 76.763
Dunkel Line: Oklahoma by 4
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 517-518: Western Carolina at Wofford
Dunkel Ratings: Western Carolina 48.007; Wofford 52.110
Dunkel Line: Wofford by 4
Vegas Line: Wofford by 3
Dunkel Pick: Wofford (-3)

Game 519-520: TN-Martin at Murray State
Dunkel Ratings: TN-Martin 57.859; Murray State 58.395
Dunkel Line: Even
Vegas Line: Murray State by 2
Dunkel Pick: TN-Martin (+2)

Game 521-522: College of Charleston at TN-Chattanooga
Dunkel Ratings: College of Charleston 53.647; TN-Chattanooga 53.454
Dunkel Line: Even
Vegas Line: TN-Chattanooga by 2
Dunkel Pick: College of Charleston (+2)

NHL

San Jose at Dallas
The Stars look to rebound from their 3-1 loss to Chicago on Saturday and build on their 11-4 record after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game. Dallas is the underdog pick (+145) according to Dunkel, which has the Stars favored straight up by 1/2 a goal. Dunkel Pick: Dallas (+145).

Game 1-2: San Jose at Dallas
Dunkel Ratings: San Jose 12.133; Dallas 12.486
Dunkel Line & Total: Dallas by 1/2; 4 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: San Jose (-165); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Dallas (+145); Under

 
Posted : February 23, 2009 10:01 am
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Dave Cokin

NEW ORLEANS HORNETS / SACRAMENTO KINGS
Take "NEW ORLEANS HORNETS

The New Orleans Hornets put up a great fight against the Lakers on Friday. They had little left in the tank for Saturday's game at Utah, but that sets up a good spot for them tonight as they journey to Sacramento. The Hornets have been tremendous playing off a double digit road loss and I like their chances of getting back in the win column tonight. Monday free opinion on the Hornets minus the points.

 
Posted : February 23, 2009 10:04 am
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Vegas Experts

Louisville at Georgetown

We've seen desperate College Basketball home teams respond in similar spots before. Take Texas on Saturday night. Georgetown HAS to start covering some Big East games sooner or later, right. And while Louisville is 15-3 ATS in its last 18 road games, they were blown out at Notre Dame by 33 points. Home team won both head to head meetings last season. Look for the Hoyas to circle the wagons tonight.

Play on: Georgetown

 
Posted : February 23, 2009 10:34 am
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Tom Freese

New Orleans at Sacramento

New Orleans is 53-26-1 ATS off an ATS loss and they are 7-2-1 ATS their last 10 games as road favorites. The Hornets are 24-10 ATS vs. Pacific Division teams and they are 12-5 ATS off a double digit loss. Sacramento is 5-16 ATS their last 27 home games and they are 3-10 ATS their last 13 games as home dogs. The Kings are 2-5 ATS their last 7 games vs. winning teams and they are 10-24 ATS in home games after a combined score of 205 points or more points were scored in two straight games. PLAY ON NEW ORLEANS -

 
Posted : February 23, 2009 10:35 am
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Scott Rickenbach

San Jose Sharks @ Dallas Stars
PICK: San Jose Sharks

The Sharks are pricier than we like to use as a true "service play". However, we do see some value here with San Jose in this spot. They've dominated the Stars in recent seasons and they're also in a good "situational spot" here. The reason for that is that the Sharks struggled on their most recent road trip and so they're out to atone for that in this road game. As good as the Stars have been playing, they are now without leading scorer Brad Richards, and they already had "match-up issues" when squaring off with the Sharks. The Sharks, when hungry and motivated like they will be here, are very tough to beat. Riding the momentum of a solid 3-1 home win on Saturday, the Sharks are hell-bent on taking that success to the road. Also, San Jose has gotten healthier with a pair of players coming back recently and another one due back tonight. That makes the Sharks absolutely worth a look here. Consider a small play on San Jose on Monday night.

 
Posted : February 23, 2009 11:27 am
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Jimmy Boyd

1 Unit on 76ers -1.5

Plays against underdogs (Nets) in a game involving two average offensive teams (92-98 PPG) after 42+ games, after allowing 100 points or more 5 straight games are 24-6 ATS the last 5 seasons. The Nets defense has been awful, allowing opponents to score at will over the last 5 games. The 76ers are the better team and they will be hungry to snap a 3 game losing streak and to get revenge over 2 earlier losses to the Nets. Not surprisingly, both of those losses came at home as New Jersey is a better road team. The Nets are just 11-17 SU and ATS at home this season. It is very difficult to beat a team three straight times in a season, especially when that team is better than you are. 76ers get it done tonight.

 
Posted : February 23, 2009 11:28 am
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Jeff Benton

For Monday’s free play,we’ll stay in the NBA and back the Sixers as a slight road favorite in New Jersey.

The Nets have gotten the best of Philadelphia in two meetings this season, with both victories coming in Philly. Also, the 76ers come into this game on an 0-3 SU and ATS run. Yet despite those facts, the Sixers are the team that’s a slight favorite in New Jersey tonight. Why? Because the Nets have been utterly dreadful lately. Since a stunning 114-70 home win over Denver on Feb. 7 – which capped a 4-0 SU and ATS run – the Nets have lost five straight games by double digits, going 0-5 ATS in the process.

How bad have the Nets been? They’re averaging 91.8 ppg and shooting 42.7 percent from the field (32 percent from three-point distance) during their five-game slide, while giving up 108.6 ppg on 49.4 percent shooting (45.1 percent from three-point range). They’ve also been outrebounded by more than 10 boards per game during the slump (46.6-36.2).

Granted, the Sixers are struggling on the offensive end, too, scoring 91, 91, 89 and 91 points in their last four games (3-1 SU and 0-4 ATS). And they produced just 83 and 84 points in two home losses to the Nets this season. But unlike the Nets, at least Philly is still playing defense (allowing 93.4 ppg in their last seven games). Also, the Sixers have enjoyed a ton of success in New Jersey in recent years, cashing in six consecutive games on the Nets’ home court. In fact, the road team is on a 13-3 ATS roll in this rivalry.

Throw in the fact that Philadelphia is 6-1 ATS in its last seven games as a short favorite (less than 5 points), while New Jersey has failed to cash in four straight games as an underdog, and I’ll throw my support behind the team with more talent and the better record.

2♦ PHILADELPHIA 76ERS

 
Posted : February 23, 2009 12:32 pm
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Jake Timlin

In freebie action I like the Warriors minus the points in Hollywood tonight.

Golden State playing much better than the Clippers thanks to having won 4 of their last 5 games overall I look for the Warriors to continue their series domination tonight. You see in this matchup it has been Golden State who has won the previous five meetings while covering 4 of the past 5, including a pair of wins this season winning by an average of 16 points per game this season.

Meanwhile, for the Clippers all hope maybe gone as they loss 11 of their last 14 games, including a road loss at Portland last night. Mix that losing streak in with the fact Los Angeles five players on the injury report and the Clippers are simple outgunned tonight at home.

Flat out, given that Golden State has won the last five meetings I expect for the Warriors to make it six straight wins as they blast the Clippers on the road tonight.

All Golden State minus the road points!

PICK: Golden State Warriors

 
Posted : February 23, 2009 12:34 pm
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Craig Davis

I realize the Sooners will likely be without superstar Blake Griffin, but I was thoroughly impressed with how the Sooners played without their big man in Texas Saturday night.

On three separate occasions they battled back to take the lead before eventually dropping a five-point heart breaker. This game is back in Norman where the Sooners have yet to lose a game all season.

Though Norman, Oklahoma is largely considered a football town, the locals do come out for big games and you can bet this crowd will be rocking tonight in an attempt to be the sixth man as they know Griffin isn’t going to be able to help them.

Sooners will be battled all night, but will eventually come away with a much-needed home win over a very game Kansas team.

2♦ OKLAHOMA

 
Posted : February 23, 2009 12:35 pm
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Dennis Macklin

San Jose Sharks at Dallas Stars
Prediction: Under

Thought about taking sweet price with the homestanding Stars who are not coincidentally 16-8 in L24 versus winning records but .... not willing to stand in front of Sharks who have won three straight in dominating fashion to come out their only funk of the season. This series has been and under players dream going 8-2-1 to the low in the L11 and both teams seemingly go into defensive shells in division play with San Jose 10-4 Under in L14 and Dallas 9-3 Under in L12. Goals figure to be at a premium here so getting the hook on the five puts us UNDER the total.

 
Posted : February 23, 2009 12:37 pm
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Content provided by Associated Press. Picks by Covers

Louisville Cardinals at Georgetown Hoyas (+1.5)

Louisville and Georgetown met on the last day of the 2007-08 regular season with first place on the line heading into the Big East tournament.

As this season winds down, the seventh-ranked Cardinals are again fighting for the conference's top spot - while the Hoyas are simply battling for their postseason lives.

One of four teams in contention for the No. 1 seed in the Big East, Louisville goes for its fourth win in a row Monday night when it visits Georgetown, which can ill afford another loss if it hopes to earn a fourth consecutive NCAA tournament berth.

The Cardinals (21-5, 12-2) and Hoyas last met March 8 at the Verizon Center, with Georgetown winning 55-52 in a defensive struggle to claim the Big East regular-season title.

Louisville is once again in position to clinch the conference crown while remaining a fixture in the top 10 of the AP poll, but the Hoyas (14-11, 5-9), ranked ninth on Jan. 12, now can't even crack the top 10 in their own league. They've lost eight of 10, most recently falling 78-72 at home to No. 10 Marquette on Saturday that prompted John Thompson III to refer to this as his toughest season as a head coach.

"Period. Not just at Georgetown," Thompson said. "But we'll get through this. Yeah, it's trying. But we're going to do what we do. We're going to try to get better from the top on down."

The Cardinals haven't faced nearly the same level of adversity as Thompson's team, but lost two of their first three games in February in lopsided fashion. The first was a 17-point home defeat to then-No. 1 Connecticut, followed by a stunning 33-point loss at Notre Dame that led coach Rick Pitino to confiscate his players' practice gear with team logos.

Louisville responded with home wins over DePaul and Providence by a combined 63 points before heading to Cincinnati on Saturday. Despite the two preceding blowout victories, Pitino was more impressed with the Cardinals' 72-63 win over the Bearcats behind Terrence Williams' 20 points, eight rebounds and five assists.

Pick: Louisville

ATS Trends - Louisville
Cardinals are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games as a road favorite of 0.5-6.5.
Cardinals are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a road favorite.
Cardinals are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite.
Cardinals are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
Cardinals are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games following a ATS win.
Cardinals are 23-7-1 ATS in their last 31 road games.
Cardinals are 22-7-1 ATS in their last 30 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Cardinals are 41-13-2 ATS in their last 56 vs. Big East.
Cardinals are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games following a S.U. win.
Cardinals are 19-7-1 ATS in their last 27 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
Cardinals are 19-7-1 ATS in their last 27 games as a favorite of 0.5-6.5.
Cardinals are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 Monday games.
Cardinals are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record.

Georgetown - ATS Trends
Hoyas are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 Monday games.
Hoyas are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Hoyas are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog.
Hoyas are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
Hoyas are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS loss.
Hoyas are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games following a S.U. loss.
Hoyas are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games overall.
Hoyas are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 vs. Big East.
Hoyas are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 games as a home underdog.
Hoyas are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record.
Hoyas are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games as a home underdog of 0.5-6.5.
Hoyas are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog of 0.5-6.5.
Hoyas are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
Hoyas are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games.

==========================================

Sports Betting Laugh Corner 😀

Bookie's nightmare pick system :'(

We lost money on yesterday's
game by 2 measley points. Now
on a terrible run of 5 wins and
two losses. 😡

Today's bounce back pick.
Take Louisville on the money
line - 130 😉

8)

 
Posted : February 23, 2009 12:49 pm
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MyDreamBet

Pick: Denver Nuggets

Tonight the Boston Celtics moved up to the Pepsi Center to meet the Denver Nuggets. In this game the current champions of the NBA are given as favorites by the Spread of 2-2. The range of total points in the meeting is located in 199.

The current champions of the NBA, the Boston Celtics, still make an excellent season and even without Kevin Garnett achieve a great victory on yesterday's front for the Phoenix Suns 128-108 where Rajon Rondo and Ray Allen play at the highest level with both the players to pass the mark of 30 points. The Celtics stay in the 2nd position of the East Division with a record of 42-12 and tonight will face a great team to cope and show all his quality. Kevin Garnett still out and not expected to play in the coming days.

The Denver Nuggets lost their last 2 games but still its performance in this league has been really great. At this time the Nuggets stay in the 3rd position of the hard division of the West with an excellent record of 37-19 and have to be a strong team capable of defeating any adversary. The Nuggets were defeated in last 2 games by the Chicago Bulls and Milwaukee Bucks and tonight and will face the champions of the NBA, the Boston Celtics, and have the opportunities to return to victories in style.

It is a great game for tonight between two of the best teams in the league. The Nuggets have a fantastic record of 20-6 and I believe that will enforce the home factor to win the Celtics, this is an excellent opportunities to take them as serious candidates for the title. I think the absence of K. Garnett of the Celtics team is a very important factor for this game and the Nuggets could take advantage of this weakness. I believe the team of the Denver Nuggets can win a good game in tonight.

 
Posted : February 23, 2009 2:44 pm
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