Mighty Quinn
Valpo
RedZone Sports
Dallas Mavericks.
Scott Spreitzer
Golden St
Cappers Access
Georgetown
Texas
Joe Wiz Ill
Chicago
San Fran
Dave Cokin
Bucks
Alex Smart
Game: Phoenix Coyotes vs. Dallas Stars
Prediction: Dallas Stars
Reason: The Dallas Stars enter into this home game, against Wayne Gretzkys Phoenix Coyotes in top form having won 6 straight games, while outscoring their opponents by a 20-9 count. The Coyotes have lost 4 of their L/5, and have been a bad bet in recent meetings in this series,losing 9 of the L/12 meetings. Final notes & Key Trends: The Stars have won 6 straight meetings against Western Conference teams.
Play on the Stars -1.5 puckline
Jimmy the Moose
San Antonio Spurs at Toronto Raptors
The Spurs lost to the Celtics last night and are now 6-14 ATS in their last 20 games. San Antonio is 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games. The Spurs are also 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games vs. Eastern Conference opponents. San Antonio is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games played after 0 days rest. The Raptors played on Sunday and easily beat the T' Wolves. The Raptors are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 vs. Southwest opponents. Toronto is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 home games. In their last 8 games vs. a team with a winning record the Raptors are also 6-2 at the window.
Steve Merril
Loyola Marymount vs. Gonzaga
Play: Loyola Marymount
It will be very difficult for Gonzaga to be focused for this game as they already beat Loyola by 23 points last month. This same situation occurred last year when Gonzaga won the first meeting by 35 points and then lost the rematch outright by 6 points.
Gonzaga is coming off an easy 101-59 win on Saturday and they now fit a negative 28-59 ATS situation which plays against big home favorites playing with just one day’s rest. Gonzaga was in a similar situation last month when they won by just 8 points as a 19½ point home favorite versus San Francisco.
Loyola is 2-0 ATS in their past two games and they have only lost once in their past eight games by more than 24 points. This line seems a bit inflated as my power ratings favor Gonzaga by only 30 points, and Loyola fits a 71-38 ATS contrary indicator which plays on big road underdogs that are coming off a SU road loss.
Play LOYOLA-MARYMOUNT
John Ryan
Loyola Marymount vs. Gonzaga
Play: Gonzaga
Ai Simulator 3* graded play on Gonzaga - This may be the largest favorite ever graded by the AiS, but we also had Gonzaga identified in their last game, which was a 42 point blowout of Pepperdine. Gonzaga was a 23 point favorite in that game. AiS shows a 70% probability that Gonzaga will win this game by 32 or more points. They also have a 90% probability of scoring 81 or more points in this game. Note that Gonzaga is 18-5 ATS when they score 81 or more points in a game over the last 2 seasons. Gonzaga is a strong offensive team and Loyola is 1-8 ATS in road games versus good 3 point shooting teams that are making >=37% of their attempts over the last 2 seasons. Gonzaga is nailing 3’s at a 39.2% clip this season. Loyola is a terrible team and they get just 9 offensive boards and 32.6 total boards per game. Note that Loyola is 0-6 ATS after 2 straight games with 9 or less offensive rebounds this season. Take Gonzaga.
James Patrick Sports
Wizards vs. Warriors 10:35 p.m. est. NBA
Warriors have been scorching the basket as they are on a 8-2 Over the Total run. Tonight’s opponent offers no defensive challenge for Golden State and we look for #514 Washington – Golden State to fly Over the Total as our Monday NBA
Dave Cokin
509 Clippers @ 510 Bucks 8:05PM ET
Play: Bucks
Clippers looked like they had no legs in Saturday's loss at Philly. Hard to imagine them getting new life as they wrap up a lengthy road trip. The Bucks are off a loss to the Knicks, but they're actually respectable overall at home. This is mostly a play against the Clippers, although I do like the fact Milwaukee has moved Villanueva into the starting lineup. He's an upgrade over Yi at this point. Bucks minus the points tonight.
Brad Diamond Sports
Play on: Pepperdine plus over Portland
The road team in this series is running at an 80% clip with the underdog sizzling at 5-0 ATS. Pepperdine is 8-1 ATS off an ATS loss and 6-0 ATS after allowing over 90 points in their last game. Portland is 0-5-1 ATS at home L6, while suffering with and 0-4-1 ATS mark at home versus a team with a losing record on the road. Finally, Portland is 7-20 ATS after a SU victory. Portland has won 5 straight in this series by an average margin of just 5.2 points per game. Although Portland owns the series lately, all the emotion rests with the desperate visitor, who despite many player losses, will not letdown this evening.
Marc Lawrence
Play On: Charlotte Hornets
Note: The first thing Kobe Bryant will likely do when he leads his traveling band of Lakers into Charlotte tonight will be to look for an oxygen bar. That's what happens to a team playing its 8th consecutive road game in 12 twelve days. To make matters worse, they conclude this dizzying road trek Wednesday night in Minneapolis. Enter the Bobcats, off a 26-point loss last night, knowing they are 15-5 SU & 16-4 ATS at home against unrested opponents when Charlotte owns a win percentage of .290 or higher. They are also 19-7-1 ATS in their franchise history when playing at home without rest, including 7-0 ATS against .560 or greater opposition. With that, look for the Bobcats to improve to 6-0 ATS in this series against tiring Los Angeles tonight.
Great Lakes Sports
San Antonio at Toronto
Play on: San Antonio Spurs
The Spurs are 2-0 ATS the last two years at Toronto, and 36-30 ATS revenging a home loss vs opponent the last three years. The San Antonio Spurs is also 67-60 ATS when playing in February since 1996, and 74-62 ATS vs Atlantic division opponents since 1996. We look for the San Antonio Spurs to dismantle the Toronto Raptors for the road ATS Win & cover tonight.
Tom Freese
Utah St at Nevada
Utah St is 24-10 ATS after scoring 75 or more points in two straight games and they are 4-1 ATS their last 5 games vs. a team with a win percentage of over 60%. The Aggies are 9-5 straight up their last 14 games vs. the Wolfpack. Nevada is in a 117-70 ATS Play Against System that says to go against home teams who are a pick or favorite if they have in season revenge if their opponent is off 3 straight conference wins. PLAY ON UTAH ST +
VEGAS SPORTS PICS
Villanova Wildcats + 13.5 over (at) Georgetown Hoyas
No.6 Georgetown (19-3, 9-2) vs. Villanova (14-8, 4-6) went 1-2 vs. the Hoyas last season, the two losses coming by a combined eight points. Wildcats are 6-0 at the Verizon Center.
Texas Longhorns + 4.5 over Kansas Jayhawks
No.4 Kansas (23-1, 8-1) at No.12 Texas (19-4, 6-2) is 12-1 at home this season, 2-0 over the Jayhawks last two home meetings, and 11-2 in 13 ESPN Big Monday home games.
MadduxSports
Philadelphia +4
Brandon Lang
5 Dime - Illinois/Chicago
5 Dime - Wisconsin/Green Bay
5 Dime - Texas
FREE - San Diego
Jimmy Boyd
Dallas vs. Philadelphia
Take Dallas Mavericks
1 Unit on Dallas -3.5 The Mavs led by 11 points before allowing a 36-6 spurt by the Nets Sunday as they lost big. Dallas is a championship caliber team and it will want to erase yesterday's poor performance as soon as possible. Philly is playing its best ball of the year, but it will run into a buzz saw tonight. The Mavs are 6-2-2 ATS in their last 10 games in Philly. They are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a SU loss of more than 10 points and 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a S.U. loss period. The 76ers are just 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games playing on 1 days rest and 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. We'll play the Mavs tonight in this bounce back spot.
Arthur Ralph
Super Pick: SAN DIEGO
900 GOLD KEY: St Mary's
LT Profits Sports Group
Cleveland State is stumbling after a hot start inside the conference, going 0-6 ATS in their last six games. Wisconsin-Green Bay is 4-0 ATS last four, and they get the call.
The Cleveland State Vikings are 8-5 in Horizon League play including a home upset of Butler, but they have really hit the skids of late and the Wisconsin-Green Bay Phoenix could tie them in the conference standings with a win tonight.
In fact, the Vikings are on a six-game losing streak against the spread, and after beginning the season 7-0 straight up in conference play, they had lost five in a row before a non-covering 60-56 win over a lousy Detroit team on Saturday. This skid began with a 59-50 loss to the Phoenix in Green Bay on January 24.
On the other hand, the Phoenix have been faithful to their supporters, as they are a perfect 4-0 ATS in the last four games to move to 12-8, 60.0 percent ATS overall for the season. More importantly they have dominated this head-to-head series from a betting perspective, going 5-0 ATS in the last five meetings.
Perhaps Cleveland State is now feeling the pressure after their surprisingly hot conference start, so we will side with the much hotter team as an underdog in this spot.
Free Pick: Wisconsin-Green Bay +3½
Bob Harvey
Behind the talented duo of Brandon Johnson and Gyno Pomare, the San Diego Toreros should extend their current winning streak to six games tonight at the San Francisco Dons.
The San Fiego Toreros (13-11, 6-1 WCC) put their five-game winning streak on the line vs. a San Francisco squad that comes in at 6-16 overall and just 2-5 in conference play.
The Toreros have two straight series wins including this season's WCC opener back on Jan 12 by a 46-41 score. San Diego has won five straight and six of seven, with five of the wins coming by eight points or less. The last time USD started WCC play with a 6-1 mark was in 1990-91.
Toreros guard Brandon Johnson ranks third in the league in scoring (16.9 ppg), tied for first in steals (2.09), sixth in assists (3.30), first in three-pointers made per game (2.30), and eighth in assist/turnover ratio (+0.99). San Diego's other top caliber player is forward Gyno Pomare who ranks seventh in scoring (14.3), seventh in rebounding (7.2), second in field goal percentage (.554), sixth in blocked shots (1.33) and leads the team with six double-double's.
After playing 11 of its last 14 games on the road, San Francisco opens a three-game homestand tonight. The Dons look to snap a two-game losing skid and improve on an impressive 3-1 conference record. San Francisco is just 1-5 ATS at home. USF is improved, but I'm going with San Diego to stay hot with another win and cover in the WCC.
Free Pick: San Diego -4
Al McMordie
The Bobcats have covered five straight meetings with the Lakers, including winning three as underdogs of 5+ points. Cash in on Charlotte at home against Los Angeles tonight.
Our Monday night NBA selection is on the Charlotte Bobcats at home plus the points over the Lakers, as Los Angeles is a terrible 17-36 ATS in the regular season off back-to-back wins and covers.
Los Angeles comes into tonight's game off wins over Orlando (117-113) and Miami (104-94), and the Purple and Gold covered the spread in each game. Within our 17-36 set, the Lakers are also a terrible 1-7 ATS as road favorites vs. a foe off a SU loss.
Charlotte has dropped six in a row, but the Bobcats have always played great at home off a loss, going 57-38 ATS in their history, including a stellar 33-15 ATS vs. a foe off a SU win. The Bobcats have covered five straight games vs. the Lakers (winning the last three outright as 9-, 5-, and 11-point dogs). Take the points.
Free Pick: Bobcats +8
Bob Akmens
Los Angeles Lakers -8.0
This play is the result of a successful computer model that has allowed Bob Akmens Sports to finish in first-place in 152 different categories of documented monitored handicapping contests since 1978.
The computer models I’ve developed for each sport look at the most-predictive variables that go into the winning and losing of games.
Several interesting factors in today’s play are as follows -
The LAKERS cover the spread when:
They’re away-favorites in this range of 6.5 to 9 points: 5-1 ATS last 6
They play a poor-defensive team: 17-7 ATS last 24
The BOBCATS fail to cover the spread when:
They’ve gone over the total in 3 or more consecutive games: 1-5 ATS last 6
They’ve lost their last game by at least 10 points: 3-11 ATS last 14
They’ve failed to cover ATS in at least 3 games in a row: 2-8 ATS last 10
GO WITH THE LAKERS -8 IN THIS 705PM EST MATCHUP.
Wunderdog
Villonova at Georgetown
Pick: Georgetown -13
The Wildcats were cruising along with an 11-2 mark. Then Casiem Drummond went down with an injury and they have not been the same team since.The Wildcats have dropped seven of their last 11, and have covered just once in their last 13 games. Their last five losses have all been by double-digits. Georgetown is coming off a disappointing loss on the road at Louisville. You can be sure they will be focused and hungry for this one, as their margin for error is gone, sitting with just a one-game lead in the Big East. The Hoyas are 12-0 at home and have won 10 of them by double-digits, and own 19 and 27-point wins coming back off their two losses. We're afraid ‘Nova is in the wrong place at the wrong time, Hoyas roll.